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Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws regarding both MPC and MPLX. These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things, expectations, estimates and projections concerning the business and operations of MPC and MPLX. You can identify forward-looking statements by words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” "objective," “expect,” “forecast,” "plan," “project,” "potential," “could,” “may,” “should,” “would,” “will” or other similar expressions that convey the uncertainty of future events or outcomes. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond the companies’ control and are difficult to predict. Factors that could cause MPC’s actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include: its ability to successfully integrate the acquired Hess retail operations and achieve the strategic and other expected objectives relating to the acquisition, including any expected synergies; changes to the expected construction costs and timing of pipeline projects; volatility in and/or degradation of market and industry conditions; the availability and pricing of crude oil and other feedstocks; slower growth in domestic and Canadian crude supply; an easing or lifting of the U.S. crude oil export ban; completion of pipeline capacity to areas outside the U.S. Midwest; consumer demand for refined products; transportation logistics; the reliability of processing units and other equipment; its ability to successfully implement growth opportunities; modifications to MPLX earnings and distribution growth objectives; impacts from the repurchases of shares of MPC common stock under share repurchase authorizations, including the timing and amounts of any common stock repurchases; state and federal environmental, economic, health and safety, energy and other policies and regulations, including the cost of compliance with the Renewable Fuel Standard; other risk factors inherent to MPC’s industry; and the factors set forth under the heading "Risk Factors" in MPC's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Factors that could cause MPLX’s actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include: the adequacy of MPLX capital resources and liquidity, including, but not limited to, availability of sufficient cash flow to pay distributions and execute business plans; the timing and extent of changes in commodity prices and demand for crude oil, refined products, feedstocks or other hydrocarbon-based products; volatility in and/or degradation of market and industry conditions; completion of pipeline capacity by competitors; disruptions due to equipment interruption or failure, including electrical shortages and power grid failures; the suspension, reduction or termination of MPC's obligations under commercial agreements; the ability to successfully implement growth strategies, whether through organic growth or acquisitions; state and federal environmental, economic, health and safety, energy and other policies and regulations; other risk factors inherent to MPLX’s industry; and the factors set forth under the heading "Risk Factors" in MPLX's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013, filed with the SEC. In addition, the forward-looking statements included herein could be affected by general domestic and international economic and political conditions. Unpredictable or unknown factors not discussed here, in MPC’s Form 10-K or in MPLX’s Form 10-K could also have material adverse effects on forward-looking statements. Non GAAP Financial Measures EBITDA and free cash flow are non-GAAP financial measures provided in this presentation. EBITDA and free cash flow reconciliations to the nearest GAAP financial measures are included in the Appendix to this presentation. EBITDA and free cash flow are not defined by GAAP and should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to net income attributable to MPC, net cash provided by (used in) operating activities or other financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP.
2
Current Market Trends
Positive domestic outlook
Sustainable U.S. refining advantages
Product exports growth
Significant infrastructure investments in U.S.
4
Expecting Attractive Crude Spreads MPC Outlook*
Brent/WTI Spread
LLS/WTI Spread
Brent/LLS
North Dakota Light
Canadian Heavy Differentials
Differentials
$7-$12/BBL, wider at times
$5-$10/BBL, transportation/quality based
$3-$5/BBL, domestic light sweet crude surplus
Competes with WTI and LLS, prices accordingly
Attractive, but narrowing with new pipelines and coker capacity
Volatile, extreme at times and impossible to predict
5
*As noted during MPC Analyst & Investor Day on December 4, 2013
Our Priorities for Our Investors
Maintain top-tier safety and environmental performance
Substantially accelerate the growth of MPLX
Sustain our focus on shareholder returns
Balance capital returns with value-enhancing investments
Grow higher valued and stable cash flow businesses Midstream/MPLX Speedway
Enhance the margins in our refining operations
6
Substantial Acceleration of MPLX Growth
Grow MPLX to ~$450 MM of run-rate EBITDA (December 2015 annualized), from current ~$160 MM run-rate (3Q 2014 annualized)
Accelerate MPLX’s annual LP distribution growth rate to average mid-20% over next five years
Evolve MPLX into large-cap, diversified logistics MLP
Dropped 30.5% interest in MPLX Pipe Line Holdings to MPLX on December 1 for $800 MM, representing ~$80 MM of annual EBITDA
7
$MM
111
160
450
-
100
200
300
400
500
~3x 3Q 2014 annualized
EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to MPLX
Substantial Acceleration of MPLX Growth
Rapidly changing midstream business environment creates multiple opportunities where size matters
Hess retail acquisition has expanded MPC’s opportunity set and strategic options Identified fuels distribution EBITDA source Expands retained MLP-qualifying EBITDA by ~$600 MM
Market has not appropriately reflected MPLX contribution to total value of MPC enterprise
8
16.0
20.4
24.8
0
5
10
15
20
25
1 2 3
$B
9
Illustrative Value of MPC Ownership in MPLX*
GP Distributions
LP Distributions CAGR 25% 82
124
187
267
389
557
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
$MM
Total Distributions to MPC Illustrative Value of MPC Ownership
based on 2019E Distributions**
*Represents cash distributions applicable to the period in which the distributions were earned. GP distributions include incentive distribution rights. **Graph shows estimated valuations for MPC’s LP and GP interests in MPLX. See MPLX LP and GP Illustrative Valuation slide in appendix for underlying assumptions.
MPLX Value per MPC Share $41.26 $56.93 $72.62
GP
GP
GP
LP LP LP
@ 20x @ 25x @ 30x
@ 55x
@ 45x
@ 35x
$56.93 $72.62 $88.29
MPC’s Currently Identified Eligible MLP EBITDA Sources of ~$1.6 B Retained by MPC
59 MMBBL storage (tanks and caverns) 25 rail loading racks and 24 truck loading racks 7 owned and 11 non-owned docks 2 condensate splitter investments
27 owned and 2,138 leased 763 general service; 1,166 high pressure; 236 open-top hoppers
~5,400 miles of additional crude and products pipelines – Owns, leases or has an ownership interest in these pipelines – 0.5% of MPLX Pipe Line Holdings LP
Southern Access Extension, Sandpiper and Utica investments
Railcars
Pipelines
63 light product; ~23 MMBBL storage; 192 loading lanes 18 asphalt; ~4 MMBBL storage; 65 loading lanes Terminals
200 owned and 12 leased inland barges; 5.3 MMBBL capacity 17 owned and one leased inland towboats Marine
20 B gallons of fuels distribution volume – Existing MPC and Speedway volumes; ~17 B gallons refined products – Acquisition of Hess’ retail operations adds ~3 B gallons refined products
Fuels Distribution
Refineries
New
10
Delivering Peer Leading Return of Capital Last twelve months*
2.0% 2.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0%
4.3%
8.0%
1.4%
6.4% 5.6%
3.9%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
MPC HFC TSO PSX VLO
Dividend Yield Special Dividend Yield Share Repurchase/Share Yield
10.0%
8.3% 8.3% 7.9%
5.9%
* Total Capital Return Yield: Last Twelve Months Dividends per share, plus Last Twelve Months special dividends per share, plus Last Twelve Months share repurchase per share, all divided by Last Twelve Months average share price through September 30, 2014 11
Source: Company Reports
12
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$/BB
L
MPC’s Rank
Competitor Range
11 Companies Ranked* 12 11 9 10 9 8 9 9 8 10 8 8 8 8 8
Operating Income Per Barrel of Crude Throughput**
*Current companies ranked: BP, CVX, HFC, MPC, PSX, TSO, VLO, XOM **Adjusted domestic operating income per barrel of crude oil throughput
Engine behind MPC’s focus on capital returns Performing Consistently in the Top Tier
Sept. YTD
Preliminary
3 3 2
1
2 3
7
2
1
5
3
1 3
1
2
2 5
Grow Higher Valued and Stable Cash Flow Businesses
Speedway
Pipeline Transportation
R&M
R&M
Speedway
Midstream
Historical Mid-Cycle EBITDA*
Future Mid-Cycle EBITDA
*2007-2013 average. Non-GAAP disclosure, see appendix for reconciliation to net income attributable to MPC
13
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
$MM
Southern Access ExtensionSandpiperCondensate SplittersMidstream Infrastructure*
Increasing Midstream Growth Investments
*Includes Pipeline Transportation segment spend and midstream investments included in the R&M segment. Excludes maintenance capital.
15
Investing in Significant Growth Projects
Sandpiper MPC Investment: $1.0 B - $1.2 B MPC Equity: 27% - 30%
2017 completion
Southern Access Extension (SAX) MPC Investment: ~$305 MM
MPC Equity: 35%
Late 2015 completion
Cornerstone Completion of successful
non-binding open season
MPLX Estimated Investment: ~$200 MM
$20 MM EBITDA
2016 Completion
16
Superior, WI
Canadian
Bakken
Flanagan, IL
Patoka, IL
SAX
Canton
Utica
Youngstown
Canton
Ohio
Pa.
Wellsville Steubenville
MarkWest, Cadiz
M3, Leesville M3, Scio
Midland
MPC Refinery
Utica Gas Processing Facilities
Terminal Facilities
Proposed Cornerstone Pipeline
MPLX Products Pipeline
MPC Crude Pipeline
Future Build-out
Cornerstone
MPLX Developing a Comprehensive Utica System
Non-binding open season supports 12 inch pipeline, 16 inch option
Capital estimates vary subject to binding open season results
East and West connectivity options River access via Midland/Wellsville Canton/Detroit/Robinson Third-party refineries and pipelines
Other Utica organic growth opportunities being evaluated
Cornerstone Pipeline and Additional Opportunities
18
Acquisition of Hess Retail - Transaction Overview
19
Hess Retail acquisition included: 1,245 company operated locations Transport fleet with capacity to transport ~1 B gal/yr.
Pipeline shipper history in various pipelines, including ~40 MBPD on Colonial Pipeline
Prime undeveloped real estate bank for organic growth
Total consideration of $2.82 B $2.37 B base purchase price $194 MM working capital* $263 MM capital leases cash settled
Unique acquisition opportunity of premier East Coast locations
Financed with a combination of debt and available cash
Transaction closed on September 30, 2014
*Subject to post-closing adjustment
Conversion Plans for Former Hess Stores 2014-2017
250 Stores by March 2015
500 Stores by Dec. 2015
505 Stores by Dec. 2016
20
Conversion to Speedway: $181 MM
Remodel Capital: $240 MM Maintenance Capital: $150 MM Largest conversion in company’s history Completing Hess legacy stores first allows us to
terminate transition service agreements earlier Quick Serve Restaurant amendments or terminations
required Time required to transfer permits Permitting in new markets
Transformative Transaction for MPC and Speedway
Accelerates strategy to grow higher valued and stable cash flow businesses
Provides larger integrated platform for growth in new markets
Meaningfully expands scale and provides multiple levels of strategic optionality
Continued commitment to balance value enhancing investments in the business with capital returns to shareholders
21
Refined Product Placement Opportunities Incremental 200 MBPD of refined products
placement capacity, increases assured gasoline sales to ~75% of production
Incremental supply of MPC Gulf Coast refined products to northeast and southeast markets
Logistics Opportunities Increases utilization and optimization of MPC
terminals with incremental 70 MBPD of throughput
Marketing Potential Growth platform for further expanding Speedway,
Marathon brand and wholesale
Light Product Supply Strategy Existing supply and terminal agreements provide
near term competitive supply with upside potential to aggregate volumes and further reduce costs
Optimize supply in southeast market through existing production and logistics assets
Leverage Midwest and Gulf Coast production to provide supply to the New York Harbor
Enhances Strategic Value for Integrated System
22 Note: Includes owned and third-party terminals
Water Terminals
Light Product Terminals
Connecting Pipelines
Refineries
Hess Marketing Area
Speedway Marketing Area
Dual Marketing Area
Speedway – Earnings growth through Margin Capture
2011-2013 Average
65%
35%
Total Gross Margin Mix
Light Product
Merchandise
23
381 424 487
700
750
800
850
0
200
400
600
2011 2012 2013
$MM
Margin $M
M E
BITD
A
Total EBITDA and Merchandise Margin
EBITDA Margin
Top-tier performance in the convenience store industry
Scalable technology and organizational infrastructure
Disciplined expense control
Industry leading consumer loyalty program
Leverage integration value within MPC’s infrastructure
175
365 35 40
45
70
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2013Pro Forma
Hess EBITDA*
Form 10WilcoHessSynergies
Operating andG&A Expense
Synergies
Light ProductSupply and
Logistics
MarketingEnhancements
2017E HessEBITDA
$MM
Earnings Opportunities
Operating and G&A expense synergies of $75 MM Integrated light product supply savings of $45 MM Additional sales uplift and merchandise margin enhancement of $70 MM Expedited integration and transition process due to spin-off preparation
24
20 30 35 10 20
40 45 45
45 25
70
0
50
100
150
200
2014E* 2015E 2016E 2017E
$MM
Synergies and Marketing Enhancements
Marketing EnhancementsLight Product Supply and LogisticsOperating and G&A Expense SynergiesWilcoHess Synergies
20
75
120
190
*Based on Oct. 1, 2014 closing
Synergies and Marketing Enhancements Will Drive Value
Sources: Company reports, MPC internal estimates *Sept. 30, 2013 Form 10 Pro Forma annualized
Speedway and Hess Side-by-Side Comparison
Speedway generates an incremental $17,300 of merchandise margin per store per month
~$250 MM of additional annual merchandise margin potential across Hess retail
25
Hess1 Speedway2
Company Operated Sites 1,255 1,478
Fuel Sales (gallons/store/month)
198,500 177,400
Fuel Margin ($/gallon)
$0.137 $0.144
Merchandise Sales ($/store/month)
$111,000 $176,800
Merchandise Margin ($/store/month)
$29,200 $46,500
1) 2013PF data provided in Hess Retail Corporation Form 10 SEC filing 2) 2013 data provided in Marathon Petroleum Company 10K SEC filing
7.13
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
2005 2013
Ligh
t Pro
duct
Bre
ak E
ven
(cpg
)
Speedway Hess Sept. 30. 2013 Form 10 Estimated
Focus on Improving Light Product Breakeven
LPBE = Total Expenses – Merchandise Margin
Light Product Volume
26
Measure of operating efficiency and merchandise contribution to total expense
Potential to drive substantial value in the business over time
2.56
12.39
Each 1.00 cent per gallon improvement = ~$30 MM annual
pretax earnings
Increasing Light Sweet Crude and Condensate Capacity
Condensate splitters Canton: 25 MBD
– 4Q 2014 completion
Catlettsburg: 35 MBD – 2Q 2015 completion
$250 MM >30% ROI for each project
Light crude processing Robinson: +30 MBD light crude $140 MM >45% ROI, 2016 completion
Ultra- New Light Naphtha to Gasoline BlendingSweet Fractionator Heavy Naphtha to ReformingCondensate Distillates to Hydrotreating
Heavier Components
Conventional Existing To DownstreamCrude Crude Unit Process Units
Condensate Processing Opportunity
28
Growing Gulf Coast Export Capabilities
Added new 500,000 barrel export tank at Garyville in 2013
Galveston Bay in 2015 +30 MBD ULSD ~40% ROI
Garyville in 2015 +20 MBD Gasoline ~30% ROI
Galveston Bay in 2016-18 +115 MBD Gasoline ~35% ROI
29
150
320
395
510
050
100150200250300350400450500550
2012 2013 2015E 2018+EM
BD
Export Capacity
Capitalizing on Global Growth in Diesel Demand Hydrocracker expansions/revamps
30
Garyville +25 MBD ULSD in 2014-15
$225 MM
~45% ROI
Galveston Bay +9 MBD ULSD in 2015
$18 MM
~70% ROI
Robinson +5 MBD ULSD in 2015
$77 MM
~20% ROI
32
34
36
38
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Distillate Production
300
400
500
600
700
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
Distillate Production
Perc
ent o
f Cru
de C
apac
ity
MBD
Evaluating Garyville Resid Hydrocracker Project
$130 MM sanctioned for front- end engineering and design
Increases ULSD production by 28 MBD and decreases gas oil purchases
Converts low value resid to ULSD using hydrogen produced from low cost natural gas
20 - 25% ROI
$0.8 - $1.0 B EBITDA
$2.2 - $2.5 B investment, projected 2018 start-up
Conversion opportunity - leverages favorable market dynamics
31
2014 Value Drivers
Top-tier safety and environmental performance
Accelerate growth of Midstream/MPLX
Capital return to shareholders Strong and growing dividend Share repurchase program
2014 $2.4 B capital investments*
Speedway growth
Increasing light crude processing and export capabilities
Enhancing margins in our refining operations
32 *Excludes the acquisition of Hess’ retail operations
MPLX LP and GP Illustrative Valuation
34
2014 2019Multiple of LP distributions 20x 25x 30x 20x 25x 30x
LP Valuation ($MM) $1,523 $1,904 $2,285 $4,644 $5,805 $6,966
Multiple of GP distributions 35x 45x 55x 35x 45x 55x
GP Valuation ($MM) $202 $260 $318 $11,355 $14,600 $17,844
MPLX Value to MPC ($MM) $1,725 $2,164 $2,603 $15,999 $20,405 $24,810
MPLX Value per MPC Share $6.14 $7.70 $9.26 $56.93 $72.62 $88.29Value Assumptions - Used 25% for mid-20% Distribution Growth - MPC maintains 54 MM LP units, 2% GP Interest - Acquired EBITDA financed 50/50 Debt/Equity - MPC shares outstanding as of 9/30/2014
Illustrative MPLX Value to MPC*
MPC Distributions & Asset Sales Proceeds from MPLX ($MM) 3Q 2013 YTD 3Q 2014 YTDGP Distributions, including IDRs 1 3
LP Distributions 40 53
Total Cash Distribution Received from MPLX 41 56Asset Sales Proceeds from MPLX 100 310
*Represents cash distributions applicable to the period in which the distributions were earned.
Focused Return of Capital to Shareholders
4,077
2,022
2,413
2,785
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000$M
M
Hess Retail Acquisition
Dividends and sharerepurchases*
Investments, excluding HessAcquisition**
Net cash provided byoperations
35
*$512 MM dividends plus $1,901 MM share repurchases **Includes cash capital expenditures, acquisitions, investments and contingent consideration, excluding $2.785 B for the acquisition of Hess’ retail operations and related assets ***Cash flow provided by operations less cash used for investments, excluding $2.785 B for the acquisition of Hess’ retail operations and related assets
~1.2x of Free Cash Flow***
$2,055 Free Cash Flow,
excluding Hess Acquisition***
LTM Ended 9/30/14
Fully Integrated Downstream System
36
Coastal Water Terminals
Inland Water Terminals
Light Product Terminals
Connecting Pipelines
Refineries
Asphalt Terminals
Marketing Area
Barge Dock
Butane Cavern
Tank Farms
Refining and Marketing Seven-plant refining system with ~1.7 MMBPCD capacity One biodiesel facility and interest in three ethanol
facilities One of the largest wholesale suppliers in our market area One of the largest producers of asphalt in the U.S. ~5,400 Marathon Brand retail outlets across 19 states ~660 retail outlet contract assignments primarily in the
Southeast and select Northeast states Owns/operates 63 light product terminals and
18 asphalt terminals, while utilizing third-party terminals at 60 light product and eight asphalt locations
17 owned and one leased inland waterway towboats with 200 owned barges and 12 leased barges, 2,165 owned/leased railcars, 170 owned transport trucks
Speedway (Retail) ~2,740 locations in 22 states Second largest U.S. owned/operated c-store chain
Pipeline Transportation Owns, leases or has interest in ~8,300 miles of pipelines One of the largest petroleum pipeline companies in U.S. Part ownership in non-operated pipelines includes
Explorer, LOCAP, LOOP, Maumee and Wolverine
Ethanol Facility
Biodiesel Facility
As of Sept. 30, 2014
Generating Significant Cash Flow Through All Cycles Pro forma EBITDA adjusted for current configuration
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009 thru 2013Mid Cycle
$MM
Pro forma EBITDA
Pipeline Transportation SpeedwayDepr. & Amort. less corporate expense Refining and MarketingGME DHOUPGalveston Bay Hess Retail
37
Hess Retail
Sustaining Core Liquidity Needs Minimum cash balance of $500 MM - $1.5 B
Ongoing Operating Cash Flow Requirements – Maintenance/Sustaining Capital – Interest Payments – Dividend Payments
Contingent Calls on Corporate Liquidity - Probability Adjusted – Contingent and Uncommitted Letters of Credit – MPC Credit Shock and Impact on Unsecured Lines (Crude Purchases) – Major Operating Upset – Working Capital Shock
Reduced by - Cash Flow from Operations Under Stressed Scenario
Committed Facilities – MPC Revolving Credit Facility $2,500 – Trade Receivables Facility* $1,300
Targeted Cash and Near-Cash Equivalents $500 - $1,500 MM
~$4,200 - $5,200 MM
$3,800 MM
Requirements
Liquidity Sources
38
*Availability is dependent on outstanding trade receivables.
Sustaining Capital Returns Since Spin
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
$MM
Dividends Share repurchases
$7.0 B
Cumulative Return of Capital Since July 1, 2011
39
0
20
40
60
80
100
120 Forecast Actual
Growing Global Product Demand
Distillate and gasoline demand continues to rise
Fuel oil continues to decline on economics and emissions issues
Sources: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, MPC
Gasoline
Distillate
Fuel Oil
40
+1.2%
-1.6%
+1.4%
+0.9%
Other
Compounded Annual
Growth Rates 2030 vs. 2013 2013
MM
BD
“Other” consists of refinery gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), solvents, petroleum coke, lubricants, wax, and other refined products and refinery fuel “Distillate” includes jet fuel “Gasoline” includes naphtha
Growing U.S. Distillate Demand
Distillate demand growth outpaces other products
Gasoline will be constrained by CAFE standards and modest growth in biofuels penetration
Residual fuel demand continues to fall
Overall U.S. demand remains flat
-0.3%
-0.4%
+1.5%
+0.7%
Sources: DOE/EIA, MPC
-2.9%
Compounded Annual
Growth Rates 2030 vs. 2013
41
MM
BD
2013
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Gasoline
Gasoline ex ethanol
Distillate
Jet Fuel
Resid
Forecast Actual
Rising North American Crude & NGLs Production
Sources: EIA, CAPP, MPC
42
2013
0
5
10
15
20
25
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MM
BD
U.S.
Canada
Forecast Actual
Growing Crude Oil Supply
Forecast
Bakken +829 MBD
Utica +106 MBD
Permian +826 MBD
Eagle Ford +695 MBD
Canada +2,549 MBD
Total U.S. Growth +3,506 MBD
Sources: EIA, CAPP, MPC
43
Niobrara +286 MBD
Total Growth 2013 – 2025 +6,055 MBD
0200400600800
1,0001,2001,4001,6001,800
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MBD
North Dakota
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MBD
Texas
020406080
100120140
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
MBD
Ohio 2013
2013
2013
← Actual Forecast →
← Actual Forecast →
← Actual Forecast →
MPC Refinery
U.S. Shale Oil Production Under Different Price Scenarios
44
MM
BD
U.S. Shale Crude and Condensate Production (MMBD)
0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.04.55.05.56.06.57.07.58.08.59.09.5
$120
$100
$90
$80
$70
$60
$40
Note: Brent used as benchmark oil price. Source: PIRA Energy Group
Much of OPEC Depends on High Crude Prices
45
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
OPEC Fiscal Breakevens ($/BBL)
2010
2012
2014
Source: Apicorp
Refining Capacity in Advantaged Regions 100% in PADDs II and III
PADD III
PADD V
PADD IV PADD II
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
MPC VLO HFC PSX TSO
PADD II PADD III PADD I PADD IV PADD VPADD I PADD II PADD III PADD IV PADD V
Canadian Bakken Utica
Permian Basin Eagle Ford Gulf of Mexico Canadian
PADD I
46
Source: Oil & Gas Journal effective December 31, 2013
Refinery Capacity
The Nelson Complexity Index is a construction cost-based measurement used to describe the investment cost of a refinery in terms of the process operations being conducted. It is basically the ratio of the process investment downstream of the crude unit to the investment of the crude unit itself. This index has many limitations as an indicator of value and is not necessarily a useful tool in predicting profitability. There is no consideration for operating, maintenance or energy efficiencies and no consideration of non-process assets such as tanks, docks, etc. Likewise it does not consider the ability to take advantage of market related feedstock opportunities.
BPCD NCI*
Garyville 522,000 11.0
Galveston Bay 451,000 13.1
Catlettsburg 242,000 10.2
Robinson 212,000 10.0
Detroit 123,000 9.9
Texas City 84,000 8.0
Canton 80,000 8.8
Total 1,714,000 11.0**
**Weighted Average NCI Source: MPC data as reported in the Oil & Gas Journal effective December 31, 2013
*Nelson Complexity Index calculated per Oil & Gas Journal NCI Formula
47
Balance in Refining Network
Midwest Capacity 657,000 BPCD
Louisiana Capacity 522,000 BPCD
Texas Capacity 535,000 BPCD
Canton (Ohio) 80,000
Catlettsburg (Ky.) 242,000
Detroit (Mich.) 123,000
Robinson (Ill.) 212,000
Galveston Bay (Texas) 451,000
Texas City (Texas) 84,000
Garyville (La.) 522,000
Total 1,714,000
48
Source: MPC data as reported in the Oil & Gas Journal effective December 31, 2013
Portland
Cushing
Superior Clearbrook
Montreal
Burnaby
Anacortes
Edmonton
Trans Mountain
Chicago
Guernsey
Wood River
Patoka
Sarnia
Mustang SAX
Hardisty
Steele City
Seaway
Houston Freeport
St James Houma Ho-Ho
MBPD Pipeline Estimated
Completion
540 Keystone Current
190 Spearhead Current
360 Ho-Ho Reversal Current
700 Keystone Gulf Coast Current
300 BridgeTex Current
230 Pony Express Current
600 Flanagan South Current
400 850
Seaway Phase 2 Seaway Phase 3
Current 4Q 2014
300 Line 9 2015
300 SAX Late 2015
200 Diamond 2016
225-375 Sandpiper 2017
300 890
TransMountain TransMountain (TMX)
Current 2017
830 Keystone XL 2018
1,100 Energy East 2018
525 Northern Gateway 2018
Flanagan South
Flanagan
U.S./Canada Key Existing and Planned Pipelines
Sources: Publicly available Information, MPC Estimates
49
Northern Gateway
BridgeTex
MPC Refineries
Planned Keystone XL
Keystone
Planned Seaway Expansion
Ho-Ho Reversal
Flanagan South
Planned SAX Planned Line 9
Planned Energy East
Planned Diamond
Keystone GC
BridgeTex
Planned Northern Gateway
Planned TransMountain
Pony Express
Memphis Diamond
Pony Express
Planned Sandpiper
Midland
38%
62%
Crude Oil Refining Capacity
PADD IIPADD III
Key Strengths
50
Balanced Operations
52% 48%
Crude Slate
Sour Crude
Sweet Crude
~62% ~38%
Assured Sales
Wholesale andOther Sales
Assured Sales of Gasoline Production (Speedway + Brand + Wholesale Contract Sales)*
September 30, 2014 YTD
As of September 30, 2014 September 30, 2014 YTD
*Excludes assured sales volumes resulting from the Hess retail acquisition. Assured sales are ~75% including the Hess retail volumes.
Compelling Advantage for Pipeline and Marine
Patoka, IL
Houston, TX $2
$5-6
$2 $14-16
$13-15
$6-7
$4
Chicago, IL
All costs shown as $/BBL Pipeline costs exclude any storage or transfer fees and line loss Sources: MPC, publicly available information
$10-12
$5-6
LLS
$15-16
Legend Rail Pipeline Marine
WTI
$12-14 $6
Bakken
Canadian
$10
St. James, LA
Cushing, OK
51
$5
Utica
Creating Crude/Condensate Advantage
Bakken
Utica
Truck Unload Expansion
Wellsville Barge
Condensate Splitter
Permian
Eagle Ford
Patoka, IL
Source: MPC
Cornerstone Pipeline
MPC Refinery
Sandpiper
Southern Access Extension
Robinson Light Crude
Enhancements
Connectivity Enhancements
Additional Barging
Condensate Splitter
Canada
52
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E
$MM
Refining and Marketing, excluding Midstream MidstreamPipeline Transportation SpeedwayOther Garyville resid upgrade project committedGaryville resid upgrade project uncommitted
*Excludes Galveston Bay and Hess retail acquisitions
2012 – 2016 Capital Investment Profile
53
Allocating Capital to Higher Valued Businesses
Galveston Bay
Revamp crude and vacuum units Optimize for future crude
availability Improve distillate recovery
Add hydrotreating capacity Move to 100% ULSD
Idle the smallest and oldest FCC
Expand export capabilities
Long-term opportunities
54
Rising MPC Finished Product Exports
55
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2010 2011 2012 2013 Sept. 30,2014 YTD
MBD
Leveraging Existing Capacity to Run Light Sweet Crude
48% sweet crude oil throughput September 2014 YTD versus 65% sweet crude oil capacity
Reformer capacity captures full value of light crude processing
Additional value added through aromatics production
05
1015202530
MPCMidwest
MPCUSGC
Perc
ent o
f Cru
de C
apac
ity
Reforming Capacity
Source: 2014 Oil & Gas Journal
Industry Average
Sources: Argus DeWitt Aromatics Reports 2011-12 and MPC internal data. Benzene, toluene, mixed xylenes, and cumene shown. Xylene revised.
56
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
MBP
CD
U.S. Aromatics Capacity
Renewable Fuels
Corn Ethanol Plants 67% equity interest* in Greenville, Ohio
– 110 MM gallon/year capacity
60% equity interest in Clymers, Indiana – 110 MM gallon/year capacity
43% equity interest in Albion, Michigan – 55 MM gallon/year capacity
The Andersons operates the plants and provides all the facility services
Biodiesel Refinery 100% owner in Cincinnati, Ohio 60 MM gallon/year capacity Generates 90 MM RINs per year Supplied by both truck and rail, with river
access in close proximity
57
*Direct and indirect
2014 Significant Capital Projects
Sandpiper investment
Southern Access Extension investment
Utica Shale projects Condensate splitters Utica system
Speedway expansion
Robinson hydrocracker revamp
Garyville resid hydrocracker engineering design and study
Garyville and Galveston Bay gasoline and diesel export
58
Capital Expenditures & Investments ($MM) 2014 MPC Budget 3Q 2014 YTD
Refining & Marketing (R&M) 864 445
Midstream included in R&M 348 232
Speedway 327 153
Pipeline Transportation* 760 418
Corporate and Other 133 60
Total Capital Expenditures & Investments 2,432 1,308
($MM) 2014 MPLX Revised Budget
(100% basis) 3Q 2014 YTD
Growth 82 37
Maintenance 28 17
Total Capital Expenditures 110 54
*Includes MPLX (100% basis) Note: Excludes capital expenditures and investments attributable to the acquisition of $2.68 B for Hess retail operations and related assets. Excludes capitalized interest
59
Garyville Resid Hydrocracker Project Increase production of ULSD and refinery intermediates
60
Hydrogen LPG to Sales
Naphtha to ReformerSlurry
ULSD to Sales
Vacuum Resid Gas oil to FCC
Unconverted Resid to Coker
EB Hydrocracker
Feeds MBPD
Vacuum Resid 63
FCC Slurry 7
Hydrogen (mmscfd) 110
Products MBPD
LPG 2
Naphtha 7
ULSD 23
Gas Oil 22
Unconverted Resid 23
Resid Hydrocracker
Annual Price and Margin Sensitivities $MM (After Tax)
LLS 6-3-2-1 Crack Spread* Sensitivity ~$450 (per $1.00/barrel change) Sweet/Sour Differential** Sensitivity ~$200 (per $1.00/barrel change) LLS-WTI Spread*** Sensitivity ~$85 (per $1.00/barrel change) Natural Gas Price Sensitivity ~125 (per $1.00/MMbtu change in Henry Hub)
*Weighted 38% Chicago and 62% USGC LLS 6-3-2-1 crack spreads and assumes all other differentials and pricing relationships remain unchanged
**Light Louisiana Sweet (prompt) - [Delivered cost of sour crudes: Arab Light + Kuwait + Maya + Western Canadian Select + Mars]
***Assumes 20% of crude throughput volumes are WTI-based domestic crudes
61
MPLX’s Priorities for Investors
62
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
Oct
-12
Dec-
12
Feb-
13
Apr-
13
Jun-
13
Aug-
13
Oct
-13
Dec-
13
Feb-
14
Apr-
14
Jun-
14
Aug-
14
Oct
-14
Dec-
14
Unit Price
IPO
Source: Thomson Reuters
Maintain Safe and Reliable Operations
Sustain Long-term Distribution Growth; Mid 20% for
the Next Five Years
Focus on Fee-Based Businesses
Pursue Organic Growth Opportunities
Grow Through Acquisitions
MPC views MPLX as integral to its operations and is aligned with its success and incentivized to grow MPLX
MPLX assets consist of a 99.5% GP interest in Pipe Line Holdings as well as 100% ownership in the Neal, W.Va., Butane Cavern
MPC retains the remaining 0.5% LP interest in Pipe Line Holdings
MPC also owns 69.5% LP interest and 100% of MPLX’s GP interest and IDRs
0.5% limited partner interest
100.0% ownership interest
100.0% ownership interest
MPLX Operations LLC
r
MPLX Terminal and Storage LLC
100.0% ownership interest Public
100.0% ownership interest
2.0% GP interest 28.5% LP interest
Marathon Pipe Line LLC (“MPL”)
99.5% GP interest
Ohio River Pipe Line LLC (“ORPL”)
MPLX GP LLC (our General Partner)
69.5% LP interest
100.0% ownership interest
MPLX LP (NYSE: MPLX)
(the “Partnership”)
MPLX Pipe Line Holdings LP (“Pipe Line Holdings”)
Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Affiliates
(NYSE: MPC)
MPLX Organizational Structure
MPLX and MPC are Aligned
63
As of December 31, 2014
Investing in Significant Growth Projects ~$2.3 B investment with potential annual EBITDA of up to $300 MM
MPC Projects Timing Investment $MM
North Dakota System Equity 2017 $1,200
Condensate Splitters 2013-2015 $250
Southern Access Extension Equity Late 2015 $305
Wellsville Truck to Barge Operation 2013 $30
Other 2013-2014 $220
Total $2,005
MPLX Projects Timing Investment $MM
Cornerstone Pipeline (Utica Shale)* 2016 $200
Robinson to Mt. Vernon 2014-2016 $70
Other 2015-2016 $75
Total $345
64
*Estimate
MPLX Deficiency Payment Effect Example for illustrative purposes only
65
($MM)
Quarter 1
Quarter 2
Quarter 3
Quarter 4
Quarter 5
Quarter 6
Quarter 7
Quarterly deficiency payment 2 5 3 5 - - -
Use or expiration of credit (on or before) - - - - 2 5 3
Cumulative deferred revenue 2 7 10 15 13 8 5
Distributable cash flow Yes Yes Yes Yes No No No
Adjusted EBITDA No No No No Yes Yes Yes
Incentive Distribution Rights
3Q 2014 distribution of $0.3575/unit is in Third Target Distribution tier
66
4Q 2014 Outlook
67
Crude Throughput*
Other Charge/
Feedstocks Throughput*
Total Throughput*
Percent of WTI-priced
Crude
Turnaround and Major
Maintenance
Depreciation and
Amortization
Other Manufacturing
Cost**
Total Direct
Operating Costs
Corporate and Other
Unallocated Items***
in MBD Refinery Direct Operating Costs****
Proj
ecte
d
4Q 2
014
Gulf Coast Region 1,000 200 1,200 6% $2.00 $1.10 $4.60 $7.70
Midwest Region 650 50 700 44% $1.40 $1.75 $4.25 $7.40
MPC Total 1,650 200 1,850 21% $1.85 $1.35 $4.60 $7.80 $85MM
4Q 2
013
Gulf Coast Region 943 238 1,181 5% $1.67 $1.24 $4.44 $7.35
Midwest Region 604 51 655 41% $2.40 $1.82 $4.56 $8.78
MPC Total 1,547 247 1,794 19% $1.98 $1.48 $4.59 $8.05 $93MM
*Region throughput data includes inter-refinery transfers, but MPC totals exclude transfers **Includes utilities, labor, routine maintenance and other operating costs ***Includes pension settlement expense ($6 MM and $12 MM pension settlement expense included in 4Q 2014 and 4Q 2013, respectively) ****$/BBL throughput
MPLX Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation from Net Income
68
($MM) 2013 3Q 2014
AnnualizedDec. 2015
AnnualizedNet income 146 172 305 Less: Net income attributable to MPC-retained interest
68 56 1
Net income attributable to MPLX LP 78 116 304 Plus: Net income attributable to MPC- retained interest 68 56 1 Depreciation 49 50 71 Provision for income taxes - - 4 Non-cash equity-based compensation 1 2 - Net interest and other financial costs 1 4 71 Adjusted EBITDA 197 228 451 Less: Adjusted EBITDA attributable to MPC-retained interest
86 68 1
Adjusted EBITDA attributable to MPLX LP 111 160 450
EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income Attributable to MPC
($MM) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
Net income attributable to MPC 2,262 1,215 449 623 2,389 3,389 725 593 168 626 199 855 672
Less: Net interest and other financial income (costs) 165 30 31 12 (26) (109) (48) (45) (47) (39) (46) (48) (50)
Add: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests - - - - - 4 5 6 5 5 8 9 7
Add: Provision for income taxes 1,164 670 236 400 1,330 1,845 378 316 81 338 108 457 333
Add: Total segment depreciation and amortization 582 604 670 912 873 972 281 297 294 325 308 312 310
Add: Items not allocated to segments 147 (11) 182 265 316 277 67 124 82 93 131 66 97
Total Segment EBITDA 3,990 2,448 1,506 2,188 4,934 6,596 1,504 1,381 677 1,426 800 1,747 1,469
By Segment
Refining & Marketing Segment EBITDA 3,413 1,819 950 1,539 4,309 5,902 1,341 1,155 473 1,248 623 1,524 1,228
Speedway Segment EBITDA 312 408 343 404 381 424 94 150 131 112 86 123 152
Pipeline Transportation Segment EBITDA 265 221 213 245 244 270 69 76 73 66 91 100 89
Total Segment EBITDA 3,990 2,448 1,506 2,188 4,934 6,596 1,504 1,381 677 1,426 800 1,747 1,469
Last Twelve Months Segment EBITDA 4,988 4,284 4,650 5,442
69
Reconciliation
70
($MM) 2013 2014 (For the Quarter) 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q
Net cash provided by operating activities 1,355 766 878 1,078
Additions to property, plant and equipment (473) (267) (302) (383)
Acquisitions* - - (42) (4)
Investments (38) (123) (41) (177)
Contingent Consideration - - - (172)
Free cash flow 844 376 493 342
Last twelve months free cash flow 2,055
Free Cash Flow to Net Cash Provided by Operations
*Represents cash paid, excludes acquisition of Hess retail operations and related assets.
EBITDA Reconciliation to Net Income for Hess
71
($MM)
2013* 2017E
Net Income 47 138
Less: Net interest and other financial income (costs) (12) -
Add: Provision for income taxes 22 78
Add: Depreciation and amortization 94 149
EBITDA 175 365
*Based on Hess Sept. 30, 2013 Form 10 data annualized