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Gold Money. Title Slide Box. Title & Headline. Title & Headline. Gold Money. The Role of Gold in The 21 st Century James Turk 27 January 2011 Cheviot Sound Money Conference London. Document slug: date/pp #. Title Slide Box. Title & Headline. Title & Headline. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Gold Money

GoldMoney

Page 2: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

The Role of Gold in The 21st Century

James Turk27 January 2011

Cheviot Sound Money ConferenceLondon

GoldMoney

Page 3: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

One of the best performing asset classes

Gold % Annual ChangeUSD AUD CAD CNY EUR INR JPY CHF GBP

2001 2.5% 11.3% 8.8% 2.5% 8.1% 5.8% 17.4% 5.0% 5.4%

2002 24.7% 13.5% 23.7% 24.8% 5.9% 24.0% 13.0% 3.9% 12.7%

2003 19.6% -10.5% -2.2% 19.5% -0.5% 13.5% 7.9% 7.0% 7.9%

2004 5.2% 1.4% -2.0% 5.2% -2.1% -0.0% 0.9% -3.0% -2.0%

2005 18.2% 25.6% 14.5% 15.2% 35.1% 22.8% 35.7% 36.2% 31.8%

2006 22.8% 14.4% 22.8% 18.8% 10.2% 20.5% 24.0% 13.9% 7.8%

2007 31.4% 18.1% 11.5% 22.9% 18.8% 17.4% 23.4% 22.1% 29.7%

2008 5.8% 33.0% 31.1% -1.0% 11.0% 30.5% -14.0% -0.3% 43.7%

2009 23.9% -3.6% 5.9% 24.0% 20.4% 18.4% 27.1% 20.3% 12.1%

2010 29.8% 14.0% 24.3% 25.3% 39.1% 25.0% 13.2% 17.0% 34.5%10-Year

Average 18.4% 11.7% 13.8% 15.7% 14.6% 17.8% 14.9% 12.2% 18.3%

Page 4: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Gold is money

Crude Oil Prices (Base of 100)January 1950 through December 2010

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 100

2000

4000

6000

8000

British pound

Page 5: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Gold is money

Crude Oil Prices (Base of 100)January 1950 through December 2010

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 100

2000

4000

6000

8000

British pound

US dollar

Page 6: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Gold is money

Crude Oil Prices (Base of 100)January 1950 through December 2010

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 100

2000

4000

6000

8000

British pound

US dollar

euro

Page 7: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Gold is money

Crude Oil Prices (Base of 100)January 1950 through December 2010

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 100

2000

4000

6000

8000

British pound

US dollar

euro

goldgram

Page 8: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio composition

INVESTMENTS

100%

0

50%

LIQUIDITY

Page 9: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio composition

LIQUIDITY

INVESTMENTS

(wealth producing assets)

100%

0

50%

Page 10: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio composition

LIQUIDITY

INVESTMENTS

(wealth producing assets)

(wealth preserving assets)

100%

0

50%

Page 11: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio composition

LIQUIDITY

INVESTMENTS

(wealth producing assets)

(wealth preserving assets)

100%

0

50%

- Risk / Reward -

Page 12: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio composition

LIQUIDITY

INVESTMENTS

(wealth producing assets)

(wealth preserving assets)

100%

0

50%

- Risk / Reward -

- Safety -

Page 13: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Portfolio measurement

LIQUIDITY

INVESTMENTS

(wealth producing assets)

(wealth preserving assets)

- Safety -

- Risk / Reward -

100%

0

50%Units of

Wealth

Page 14: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 15: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 16: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 17: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

– value derives from usefulness

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 18: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

– value derives from usefulness• food

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 19: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

– value derives from usefulness• food

• shelter

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 20: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

– value derives from usefulness• food

• shelter

• communication (interaction in society)

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 21: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Gold is special because it is different– accumulated (saved); not consumed

– large aboveground stock relative to annual production

– value derives from usefulness• food

• shelter

• communication (interaction in society)

• Gold is special because it is money

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 22: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Money is a mental tool that enables economic calculation

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 23: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Money is a mental tool that enables economic calculation– unchanged throughout history

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 24: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Money is a mental tool that enables economic calculation– unchanged throughout history

• Currency is a medium of exchange

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 25: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Money is a mental tool that enables economic calculation– unchanged throughout history

• Currency is a medium of exchange– improves as a result of technological innovations

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 26: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 27: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694– ‘invention’ of paper currency

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 28: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694– ‘invention’ of paper currency

– banknotes circulated current in place of gold/silver coins safely stored in vault

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 29: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694– ‘invention’ of paper currency

– banknotes circulated current in place of gold/silver coins safely stored in vault

– currency changes from a tangible asset to a bank liability

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 30: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694– ‘invention’ of paper currency

– banknotes circulated current in place of gold/silver coins safely stored in vault

– currency changes from a tangible asset to a bank liability

– creation of payment risk a/k/a “Herstatt risk”

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 31: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Bank of England established, 1694– ‘invention’ of paper currency

– banknotes circulated current in place of gold/silver coins safely stored in vault

– currency changes from a tangible asset to a bank liability

– creation of payment risk a/k/a “Herstatt risk”

– first bank crisis in 1696

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 32: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 33: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914– defined one British pound as an

unchanging weight of gold

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 34: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914– defined one British pound as an unchanging

weight of gold

– pound banknote redeemable into gold on demand

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 35: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914– defined one British pound as an unchanging weight of

gold

– pound banknote redeemable into gold on demand

– Bank of England responsible for ensuring redeemability

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 36: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914– defined one British pound as an unchanging weight of gold

– pound banknote redeemable into gold on demand

– Bank of England responsible for ensuring redeemability

– voluntary rules ensure system’s automaticity

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 37: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Newton’s Gold Standard, 1700-1914– defined one British pound as an unchanging weight of gold

– pound banknote redeemable into gold on demand

– Bank of England responsible for ensuring redeemability

– voluntary rules ensure system’s automaticity

– gold is backbone of British empire

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 38: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 39: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 40: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

– unintended consequence is the development of deposit currency

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 41: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

– unintended consequence is the development of deposit currency

– payment risk escalates

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 42: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

– unintended consequence is the development of deposit currency

– payment risk escalates

– new British banking model eventually adopted worldwide

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 43: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

– unintended consequence is the development of deposit currency

– payment risk escalates

– new British banking model eventually adopted worldwide

– seed for “too big too fail”

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 44: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Peel’s Bank Act, 1844– limits quantity of pound banknotes

– unintended consequence is the development of deposit currency

– payment risk escalates

– new British banking model eventually adopted worldwide

– seed for “too big too fail”• 2 functions within one bank

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 45: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution begins

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 46: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution begins– “The gold standard is already a

barbarous relic.” J.M. Keynes, 1923

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 47: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution begins– “The gold standard is already a barbarous

relic.” J.M. Keynes, 1923

– governments chafe at the discipline imposed by the gold standard

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 48: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution begins– “The gold standard is already a barbarous relic.” J.M. Keynes,

1923

– governments chafe at the discipline imposed by the gold standard

– governments claim that currency managed by central banks can eliminate the boom/bust cycle

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 49: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution succeeds

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 50: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution succeeds– ‘Gold Standard’ finally disappears 1971

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 51: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution succeeds– ‘Gold Standard’ finally disappears 1971

– US dollar and other currencies no longer redeemable into gold

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 52: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution succeeds– ‘Gold Standard’ finally disappears 1971

– US dollar and other currencies no longer redeemable into gold

– governments can now create currency without limit

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 53: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution is ending

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 54: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution is ending– when currency can be created without

limit, there are consequences

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 55: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution is ending– when currency can be created without limit,

there are consequences

– these include inflation, global imbalances and sovereign wealth funds

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 56: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution is ending– when currency can be created without limit, there are

consequences

– these include inflation, global imbalances and sovereign wealth funds

– “Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world.” Alan Greenspan, 1999

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 57: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• Keynesian revolution is ending– when currency can be created without limit, there are consequences

– these include inflation, global imbalances and sovereign wealth funds

– “Gold still represents the ultimate form of payment in the world.” Alan Greenspan, 1999

– gold remains the standard by which all things are measured – gold is money

GoldMoneyGold, money & currency

Page 58: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Gold is money

Crude Oil Prices (Base of 100)January 1950 through December 2010

50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 100

2000

4000

6000

8000

British pound

US dollar

euro

goldgram

Page 59: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Stocks or Cash

Dow Jones Industrials in GoldDecember 1913 through December 2010

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

50

100

200

500

1000

1

2

5

10

20

3040

Log Scale

goldgrams ounces

DJIA expensive / gold cheap

DJIA cheap / gold expensive

Page 60: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Dow Jones Industrials in GoldDecember 1913 through December 2010

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

50

100

200

500

1000

1

2

5

10

20

3040

Log Scale

goldgrams ounces

DJIA expensive / gold cheap

DJIA cheap / gold expensive

Stocks or Cash

Page 61: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Boom & Bust

December 1913 through December 2010

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

50

100

200

500

1000

1

2

5

10

20

3040

Log Scale

goldgrams ouncesStocks expensive / gold cheap

stocks cheap / gold expensive

Dow Jones

Page 62: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Boom & Bust

December 1913 through December 2010

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

50

100

200

500

1000

1

2

5

10

20

3040

Log Scale

goldgrams ouncesStocks expensive / gold cheap

stocks cheap / gold expensive

Dow Jones FTSE

Page 63: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

Boom & Bust

December 1913 through December 2010

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 10

50

100

200

500

1000

1

2

5

10

20

3040

Log Scale

goldgrams ouncesStocks expensive / gold cheap

stocks cheap / gold expensive

DAX

Dow Jones FTSE

Page 64: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• A safe place to put our money

GoldMoneyMoney for the 21st century

Page 65: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• A safe place to put our money–Not banks because of the boom

and bust cycle caused by fractional reserve banking

GoldMoneyMoney for the 21st century

Page 66: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• A safe place to put our money–Not banks because of the boom

and bust cycle caused by fractional reserve banking

• An efficient – low cost – currency for global commerce

GoldMoneyMoney for the 21st century

Page 67: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

• A safe place to put our money–Not banks because of the boom and

bust cycle caused by fractional reserve banking

• An efficient – low cost – currency for global commerce–No clearing, settlement & payment

risk

GoldMoneyMoney for the 21st century

Page 68: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

GoldMoney

•Open system

National currency

•Cartel

Page 69: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

GoldMoney

•Open system

•Modern built

National currency

•Cartel

• Legacy built

Page 70: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

GoldMoney

•Open system

•Modern built

•Asset based

National currency

•Cartel

• Legacy built

• Liability based

Page 71: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

GoldMoney

•Open system

•Modern built

•Asset based

• Private issued

National currency

•Cartel

• Legacy built

• Liability based

•Gov’t issued

Page 72: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

GoldMoney

•Open system

•Modern built

•Asset based

• Private issued

•Market based

National currency

•Cartel

• Legacy built

• Liability based

•Gov’t issued

• Politics based

Page 73: Gold Money

Title Slide Box

Document slug: date/pp #

Title & HeadlineTitle & Headline

“The U.S. government has a technology, called a printing press (or today, its electronic equivalent), that allows it to

produce as many U.S. dollars as it wishes at no cost.”

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke

GoldMoney

Page 74: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5trillions

S&P 500

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

Page 75: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillionsS&P 500

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

Page 76: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillionsS&P 500

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

Page 77: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillionsS&P 500

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

Page 78: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillions

Fed Announces End of "QE"

S&P 500

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

FGMR.com

Page 79: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillions

Fed Announces End of "QE"

S&P 500

Fed Ends "QE"

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

FGMR.com

Page 80: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The path to hyperinflation

Correlation of Fed Monetizing to S&P 500 IndexJanuary 2, 2009 through January 21, 2011

2009 2010 2011

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

$0.5

$1.0

$1.5

$2.0

$2.5

Fed Announces "Quantitative Easing"

trillions

Fed Announces End of "QE"

S&P 500

Fed Ends "QE"

S&P 500 Index(left scale)

Fed Monetizationof Securities(right scale)

"QE2" Begins

Page 81: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The US dollar’s problem

Federal Tax Receipts Tumble As Outlays & Debt SoarJanuary 2000 - December 2010 (US dollars in billions)

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11125

150

200

250

300

350

Outlays (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scale

Log scales

Page 82: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The US dollar’s problem

Federal Tax Receipts Tumble As Outlays & Debt SoarJanuary 2000 - December 2010 (US dollars in billions)

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11125

150

200

250

300

350

Outlays (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scaleReceipts (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scale

Log scales

Page 83: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The US dollar’s problem

Federal Tax Receipts Tumble As Outlays & Debt SoarJanuary 2000 - December 2010 (US dollars in billions)

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11125

150

200

250

300

350

Outlays (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scaleReceipts (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scale

Log scales

Page 84: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The US dollar’s problem

Federal Tax Receipts Tumble As Outlays & Debt SoarJanuary 2000 - December 2010 (US dollars in billions)

00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11125

150

200

250

300

350

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

15,000

Federal Debt, quarterly - right scale

Outlays (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scaleReceipts (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scale

Log scales

Page 85: Gold Money

Title Slide BoxTitle & HeadlineTitle & HeadlineGoldMoney

The British pound’s problem

UK Tax Receipts Tumble As Outlays & Debt SoarJanuary 2005 - November 2010 (British pounds in billions)

05 06 07 08 09 10 11

35

40

45

50

300

400

500

600

700

800

1,000

UK Debt, quarterly - right scale

Outlays (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scaleReceipts (12-mon. mov.avg.) - left scale

Log scales

Page 86: Gold Money

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“The main thing we miss today is a universal money, a standard of value, the link between the past and the future and the cement of

civilization linking remote parts of the human race to one another.”

Robert Mundell, Nobel Laureate, 1999

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“Money in the 21st century will surely prove to be as different from the money of the current century as our money is from that of the previous century.”

Jerry Jordan, President, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, 1996

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[email protected]

www.goldmoney.com

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