going places phase 1 wrap up
TRANSCRIPT
Phase I Wrap Up Meeting
Steering Committee and
Planning Advisory Committee
April 15, 2009
Tell the person next to you a few things that stood out to you while reviewing the Phase I materials
and the Executive Summary
Urbanization Trends
Population:346,864
Urbanized Area:66.2 sq milesPopulation Density:
5,236 pop/sq mi
Urbanization Trends
Population:723,955
Urbanized Area:327.6 sq milesPopulation Density:2,210 pop/sq mi
How do you envision the Region in 2040?
Land Use Pattern Implication
Higher infrastructure and service delivery cost“Thinner” tax baseLonger police, EMT and fire runsLess open space and farmlandLonger commutes, more fuel, more time in vehiclesHard to provide transit, especially in suburbs for elderly and people with disabilitiesHard for low income and minority workers in the city to reach jobs in the suburbs
What is Going Places?
Going Places – An Integrated Land Use Vision of the Miami Valley Region
is to bring theMiami Valley Region
TOGETHER and to make this Region aBETTER PLACE
to live, work, and play with aShared Land Use Vision
Planning Process
3 Phase process with an estimated timeline of 4 yearsPhase I – Existing Condition Assessment: Physical and Non-Physical Condition Evaluation Phase II – Future Landscape Exploration: Future Land Use Scenario Development and AssessmentPhase III – Building a Clear and Shared Regional Growth Framework
Summary of Phase I Existing Conditions Assessment
Phase I Structure
Physical Condition Evaluation – Land SupplyEvaluate the Region’s land development suitability based on both natural and built environment factors Examine the existing uses of land, including land use intensities in the RegionIdentify developable land in the Region
Non-Physical Condition Evaluation – Land DemandIdentify how much land is devoted to different types of land uses Identify socio-economic trends and develop projections Translate these projections into future land demand
Completed Studies
Physical Condition Evaluation - Land SupplyOpen Space AssessmentLand Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment FactorsLand Suitability Assessment – Built Environment FactorsLand Development Suitability Assessment
Non – Physical Condition Evaluation - Land DemandEconomic Base AssessmentHousing AssessmentIndustrial Development AssessmentCommercial Development AssessmentLand Use Demand Assessment
Study reports available on MVRPC’s Going Places website at www.mvrpc.org/rlu/
What have we found out?
Geographically, development has been unevenCommercial GLA Concentration: 2007Housing Unit Change: 1990 - 2000
Development has been shifting among land use types
Residential Commercial Industrial Agricultural
Region 56.1% 148.1% 22.0% -10.5%
- Greene 105.7% 85.9% -10.7% 6.6%
- Miami 123.8% 183.3% 81.7% -6.3%
- Montgomery 25.6% 161.1% 20.3% -31.7%
Land Use Percentage Change: 1975 - 2000
The Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land development
Not all of our land is equal in terms of development potential – some areas are better suited for physical development than others Assessment of Region’s landscape from natural and built environment perspectives provided a comprehensive overview of where developmental constraints and/or opportunities exist
Land Suitability Assessment – Natural Environment
Natural Environment Suitability Composite Map
Regional Land by Development Potential Classification
Land Suitability Assessment – Built Environment
Residential Suitability Composite Map Non-Residential Suitability Composite Map
Comprehensive Land Suitability Measure
Land Development Condition Measure
Land Developability Measure
The Region is in the process of a demographic and economic shift
Population is aging and household size has been decreasingThe Region is shifting from a production-based economy to a service-based economyHousehold income has remained stagnant Number of households who pay more than 30% of their income on housing-related cost has been increasing
Land development not tied to population change
Population in the Region remained relatively stable between 1970 and 2000Between 1975 and 2000, total developed land in the Region increased by 61.2%Vacancy Rates have increased
Residential vacancy rate has risen from 6.34% in 1980 to 6.98% in 200014.6% of the Region’s commercial space is vacant*19.3% of the Region’s industrial space is vacant*
* Estimates were calculated based on Gem Real Estate Group’s sample data from their Retail, Office, and Industrial studies
If current development trends continue, a moderateamount of additional developed land will be required
Regional Population Projections Regional Employment Projections
The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs
Supply Vs. Demand
The entire Region will benefit if..
Development is planned and executed in a manner that takes advantage of existing infrastructure before paying for new constructionDevelopment takes advantage of the Region’s natural resources without threatening their quality
Next Step – Phase II
Given projected land demand and considering the regional landscape, where and how should the Region develop in the future?
Future Land Use Scenario DevelopmentLand Use Scenario Impact Assessment
Identify and incorporate local voices into a regional vision of the future
Focus groups and community meetings to understand the wants and needs of the region’s citizensAll data will be used to generate regional development models
Questions?
Endorsement
Phase I Highlights
The Region has become increasingly urbanized, characterized by decentralized, low density development patternsThe Region has experienced a demographic and economic shiftIncreases in land development in the Region have not been tied to population changeLand development in the Region has been uneven geographically and has been shifting among land use typesThe current landscape of the Region contains varying degrees of potential for future land developmentA moderate amount of additional developed land will be required to accommodate the needs of the Region in 2040The Region has enough developable land to accommodate future needs
Questions, Answers, and Discussion
In terms of LAND USE between 2010 and 2040,
the Miami Valley should …
Discussion
Ways to get endorsement of Phase I from more regional stakeholders…
Homework Assignment
Future Land Use Theme Development:
Group the input from today’s discussion into future land use themes
Future Land Use Theme DevelopmentTo identify common future land use themes from the input gathered from today’s meetingCommon themes identified from you and other members of the committees will be used as the base in the future land use scenarios mapping exercise, which is the focus of the Joint Phase II Kick Off meeting Staff will compile input from today and send you a homework assignment details
Next Meeting
Phase II Joint Kick-Off Meeting: Future Land Use Scenario
Development
Time: 9:00 – 11:00 am Date: TBD
Location: Center for Regional Cooperation
Thank You!