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Globalizing Air Pollution, Climate Forcing, and Heath Impacts Jintai Lin 林金泰 Peking University ACM Group [email protected] http://www.atmos.pku.edu.cn/acm/ 1

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Page 1: Globalizing Air Pollution, Climate Forcing, and Heath Impactsacmg.seas.harvard.edu/presentations/IGC8/talks/WedB_AirQual_lin_ji… · Globalizing Air Pollution, Climate Forcing, and

Globalizing Air Pollution, Climate

Forcing, and Heath Impacts

Jintai Lin 林金泰 Peking University ACM Group

[email protected]

http://www.atmos.pku.edu.cn/acm/

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•ACM: D. Pan, R.-J. Ni, Y.-Y. Yan, J.-X. Wang …

• THU: Q. Zhang, K. He, Y. Zhao, D. Tong, F. Tong …

•N.A.: S. Davis, D. Streets, Z. Lu, D. Wuebbles, R. Martin, A. van Donkelaar, M. Brauer …

• Europe: D. Guan …

• Funding: NSFC 41175127, 41422502, etc.

ACM Group, Collaborators and Funding

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Globalizing Air Pollution

Producer Consumer

Trade

Atmospheric

Atmosphere: Move pollution from producer to consumer Trade : Move Pollution from consumer to producer

Lin et al., 2014, PNAS

Pollution

Climate

Ecosystem

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Goods Export Contributes ~ 30% of China’s Sulfate

Lin et al., 2014, PNAS 4

% contribution of China’s export-related pollution to total pollution anywhere in the world

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China’s Inter-regional Pollution Transport Via Trade

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Zhao et al., ACP, 2015 Cui et al., ACP, 2016

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Trade Transfers Emissions from Rich to Poorer Regions

6 Lin et al., 2016, Nature Geoscience

Consumption-based minus Production-based Emissions in 2007

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Trade Redistributes Emissions

7 Lin et al., 2016, Nature Geoscience

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Trade Transfers RF from Rich to Poorer Regions

8 Lin et al., 2016, Nature Geoscience

Consumption-based minus production-based TOA direct RF in 2007

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Trade Transfers RF from Rich to Poorer Regions

9 Lin et al., 2016, Nature Geoscience

Developed regions: RFc is higher than RFp by 50–100% Developing regions: RFc is smaller than RFp

What is a region’s contribution to climate change ???

Poster: Jingxu Wang Day 2, B.13

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Transport and Trade are Related to Large Deaths

10 Zhang et al., 2017, Nature

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Summary: Globalizing Air Pollution

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In recognition of dual routes of pollution transport : • Domestic economic and environmental strategy ? • International collaboration to reduce pollution transfer ? • Roles of individual consumers and producers ?

Producer Consumer

Trade

Atmospheric We hire postdocs

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References http://www.atmos.pku.edu.cn/acm/acmPublication.html

• Lin, J.-T. #*, Pan, D. # , Davis, S. J., Zhang, Q. *, He, K. *, Wang, C., Streets, D. G., Wuebbles, D. J., and Guan, D.: China’s international trade and air

pollution in the United States, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111, 1736-1741,

doi:10.1073/pnas.1312860111, 2014, http://www.pnas.org/content/111/5/1736.short

• Guan, D.-B., Lin, J.-T. *, Davis, S. J., Pan, D., He, K.-B., Wang, C., Wuebbles, D. J., Streets, D. G., and Zhang, Q.: Reply to Lopez et al.: Consumption-

based accounting helps mitigate global air pollution, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111,

E2631, doi:10.1073/pnas.1407383111, 2014, http://www.pnas.org/content/111/26/E2631.full

• Jiang, X., Zhang, Q., Zhao, H., Geng, G., Peng, L., Guan, D., Kan, H., Huo, H., Lin, J.-T., Brauer, M., Martin, R. V., and He, K.: Revealing the hidden

health costs embodied in Chinese exports, Environmental Science & Technology, 49, 4381-4388, doi:10.1021/es506121s, 2015,

http://pubs.acs.org/doi/abs/10.1021/es506121s

• Zhao, H. Y., Zhang, Q., Davis, S. J., Guan, D., Liu, Z., Huo, H., Lin, J.-T., Liu, W. D., and He, K. B.: Assessment of China's virtual air pollution transport

embodied in trade by using a consumption-based emission inventory, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15, 5443-5456, doi:10.5194/acp-15-

5443-2015, 2015, http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/15/5443/2015/

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Geng, G., He, K., Huang, Y. *, and Guan, D.: Global climate forcing of aerosols embodied in international trade, Nature Geoscience, 9, 790-794,

doi:10.1038/NGEO2798, 2016 , http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/v9/n10/abs/ngeo2798.html

• Zhao, H., Zhang, Q., Huo, H., Lin, J.-T., Liu, Z., Wang, H., Guan, D., and He, K.: Environment-economy tradeoff for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei's product

exports, Applied Energy, 184, 926-935, doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.04.038, 2016,

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261916304822

• Cui, Y.-Z., Lin, J.-T. *, Song, C., Liu, M.-Y., Yan, Y.-Y., Xu, Y., and Huang, B. *: Rapid growth in nitrogen dioxide pollution over Western China, 2005–

2013, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16, 6207-6221, doi:10.5194/acp-16-6207-2016, 2016, http://www.atmos-chem-

phys.net/16/6207/2016/

• Zhao, H., Li, X., Zhang, Q., Jiang, X., Lin, J.-T., Peters, G. G., Li, M., Geng, G., Zheng, B., Huo, H., Zhang, L., Davis, S. J., and He, K.: Effects of

atmospheric transport and trade on air pollution mortality in China, Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 2017, 1-23, doi:10.5194/acp-2017-263, 2017 ,

http://www.atmos-chem-phys-discuss.net/acp-2017-263/

• Zhang, Q. #*, Jiang, X. #, Tong, D. #, Davis, S. J. *, Zhao, H., Geng, G., Feng, T., Zheng, B., Lu, Z., Streets, D. G., Ni, R.-J., Brauer, M., van Donkelaar,

A., Martin, R. V., Huo, H., Liu, Z., Pan, D., Kan, H., Yan, Y.-Y., Lin, J.-T. * , He, K. *, and Guan, D.: Transboundary health impacts of transported

global air pollution and international trade, Nature, 543, 705-709, doi:10.1038/nature21712, 2017,

http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v543/n7647/full/nature21712.html

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