global opportunities for growth : viewpoint of a ... · 4/6/2009 · pressure vessel &...
TRANSCRIPT
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Global Opportunities for Growth : Viewpoint of a Specialty Plate Producerp y
February 2010
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Summary
• Industeel within ArcelorMittal• Industeel within ArcelorMittal
• Forecasts
• Focus on future developments
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Industeel within ArcelorMittal
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ArcelorMittal leading the steel industry g y
60
Crude Steel production in 2009 9M (MT) Sales in 2009 9M (US$ billion)*
Em erging dom estic
40
50
60
AsiaROW
dom estic31%
EU-1537%
10
20
30
Asia
US & Canada
Export to em erging
14%
0
10
ArcelorMittal Hebei Iron &Steel Group
Baosteel Posco JFE Nippon Steel
16%
7%
24%
EU15
Canada18%
%
287,000* employees in more than 60 countries
15%
9%
Rest EU (EU27)Other European countriesNorth AmericaSouth AmericaAsiaAfrica
3
15%
12%
Africa
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Industeel/Coatesville within ArcelorMittalIndusteel/Coatesville within ArcelorMittal
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Industeel : a long history…
June 2007
g y
Marrel FrèresChâteuneuf 1865
Usine SchneiderLe Creusot 1836 1998 2000 2002 2006
Fabrique de Fer
• a history of providing quality products • a capacity for Research and Development • one same team (commercial and technical)
Fabrique de FerCharleroi 1863 the widest range of
special plates products for a better service to your projects
5
INDUSTEELSPECIAL STEEL SOLUTIONS
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Industeel : 3 Production plants
Brussels CharleroiIndusteel Belgiumg
Le CreusotParis
More than
Le CreusotIndusteel Creusot+ Research Center
More than 40 agenciesWorldwide
Turnover 2008
Chateauneuf& Euroform
Industeel Loire
LYON
Turnover 20081.5 billion Euros.
6
IndusteelIndusteel
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Industeel : Product overview
Stainless & Clad steels
Moulds & Tools steels
Austenitic, ferritic, H. Resist.Uranus® duplex, superduplexCarbon + stainless clad
Cryogenic steels
Superplast ® 300 - 400Tenasteel ®
Weary g
Cryelso® 9% Ni, 5% Ni,Cryelso® 36% Ni
Pressure Vessel &
Wear resistant steelsFora 360 - 400 – 450Creusabro ® 4800 - 8000
Pressure Vessel & Structural steels Cromelso ®Cr Mo, CrMoVCMn HIC 3 5%Ni
High Strength steelsCarelso ® 690 – 960 Q -
CMn HIC, 3,5%Ni
Jack up rigsSuperelso ® 500 Superelso ® 690CR
Protection steelsMars ® 190 – 240 - 300
7
Superelso ® 690CR
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Industeel : Markets
2008 sales volumes
PROJECTS65%
others8%construction
oil & gas30%
8%6%process
6%DISTRIBUTION35%
assembly industry
14%
chemistry petrochemistry
21%
industrial abrasion
15%
8
• Geographical split: 44% Europe, 25% Asia, 19% North America, 12% Others
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Forecasts
9
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The economy in 2009 tough timesThe economy in 2009 – tough times…
10
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2010 : things are looking better?g g
Oxford Economics Forecast Dec 08
81012
% GDP world
246
wth
rate
% GDP worldGDP europeGDP china
-202
Gro
w
-42008
12008
2 2008
32008
42009
12009
22009
32009
42010
12010
22010
32010
4
Q t
11
Quarter
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2010 global growth lifted by emerging markets
12
But annualised Quarterly OECD growth weaker in H1’10 than H2’09
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ArcelorMittal production is on the up…
ArcelorMittal quarterly crude steel production (million tonnes)
30
35 Estimated crudesteel production
15
20
25Realised crudesteel production
0
5
10
6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9
Q1 2006
Q2 2006
Q3 2006
Q4 2006
Q1 2007
Q2 2007
Q3 2007
Q4 2007
Q1 2008
Q2 2008
Q3 2008
Q4 2008
Q1 2009
Q2 2009
Q3 2009
Q4 2009
13
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Stainless Steel plate production is expected to increase
1200
expected to increase
1000
1100
700
800
900kT
500
600
700economicdownturn
stronginvestments
economicdownturn
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
14
Industeel estimate , Quarto only
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Steel Pricing has stabilisedSteel Pricing has stabilised…
300
220240260280
April 1994 = 100
140160180200
80100120140
5 6 7 8 9 0
j-05
m-0
5
s-05 j-06
m-0
6
s-06 j-07
m-0
7
s-07 j-08
m-0
8
s-08 j-09
m-0
9
s-09 j-10
m-1
0
Carbon Steel Stainless Forecast Forecast Source:
15
Forecast Forecast CRU Monitor indexes
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Exchange rates remain volatile…g
16
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What about the markets?
17
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Focus on Future Developments
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Capture growth in key emerging marketsmarkets
ArcelorMittal key emerging markets currently targeted for growth
19
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Oil & Gas
20
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Brent crude oil
Heading towardsHeading towards 80$
2121
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Oil & Gas projects : example of jack-up rigsj g
80
90
120
140No. of Jack-ups Forecast (*) Brent price ($/bbll)
40
50
60
70
de ja
ck-u
p
60
80
100
/bar
il
10
20
30
40
Nbr
e d
20
40
60 $/
Phase 1Offshore booming
Phase 2 In the doldrums
Phase 3Peak Energy 2012Phase 4
The Future
0
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
0
Offshore booming In the doldrums gy
Non OPEC production growthOil prices drifted between $10-25 per barrel Offshore drilling rigs yielded very low returns
Strong structural growth in Asia should lead to continued strong world macro-economics.Offshore rigs should continue to enjoy relatively strong marketsin the years to come given our
The FutureGrowth in world increased Consumption of Oil increased from 66 to 85 mill bbl per day and Oil price reach $65 per barrel Energy supply chain nearly disintegrated due to 15 years of neglect
High Oil prices were driven by decisive Cuts in OPEC production pushing demand for exploration and production assets
22
y gassumption of firm energy markets over the next few years.
y g
(*) Base case based on new jack-ups likely to be built to replace the oldest
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Development of LNG tradeDevelopment of LNG trade
23
source: International Energy Agency
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LNG projects in developing countries
24Oil and Gas Customers and Linepipe Suppliers meeting April 6, 2009 24
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Strong development of CRA linepipe (solid, clad)
Global line pipe construction forecast 2007 to 2010
All grades and sizes Corrosion Resistant Alloys (CRA)line pipes all sizes
CRA
1200
1400
1600 CRAHICRSSCS
100
120 EUAmAfr.AsiaME
600
800
1000
kilo
tons
40
60
80
kilo
tons
MERuss
0
200
400
0
20
40
25
02007 2008 2009 2010
year
02007 2008 2009 2010
year
Source: EEW
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9%Ni for conventional LNG tanks9%Ni for conventional LNG tanks
(Industeel data – 9%Ni for LNG storage tanks)
26
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New Developments - FLNG p• Floating LNG facility, "new" concept to better exploit gas
resources
Shell concept (vessel is 400m+ long)
27
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Refining – New developmentsg p
28
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GTL/CTL principles
ifi f ( )29
source: SASOL
gasifier furnace (syngas)
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Biofuels
Brazil
China
China
Bioethanol in the USA Brazil EU
30
Bioethanol in the USA, Brazil , EU
Biodiesel mostly european
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Power Plants outlookPower Plants outlook
• 1000 MW of power generation capacity construction every 3 days (1 p y y y (nuclear reactor equivalent)
• coal (direct firing) and gas (combined cycle, heat from gas turbine exhaust) h th li ’ h fhave the lion’s share of new constructions
Coal power plant is 50% of new capacity
32
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Power plant : Coal
33
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Power Plant - Nuclear
• Revamping and new building nuclear New reactors planned (cumulative)reactors will almost double every 5 years.
228
336
3066
103
2005/2009 2010/2014 2015/2019 2020/2024 2025/2028
Source : World Nuclear Status Report 2007
34
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New nuclear reactors worldwide
35
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With new nuclear technologies
New Reactor Designs
AP600,1000
36
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Special Stainless for Potable Water
These Monovar valves for New York City Waterfor New York City Water use 4’’ to 5’’17-4-PH platesCourtesy of GRISS SAPAG
37
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Stainless : development of Duplex
2507
ngth
22022304
2205
2507
Yie
ld S
tren
904L6Mo
Y 904L316L304L
Corrosion Resistance
38
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Flue Gas Cleaning –W t S bb i D l d S d lWet Scrubbers in Duplex and Superduplex
•Duplex supplied for 40 scrubbers in US FGD market since 2002
39
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Desalination market
Western Europe
South Asia
North America
Middle East & North Africa
Latin America & Caribbean
East Europe & C t l A iCentral Asia
East Asia & Pacific
Sub-Saharan Af iAfrica
• strong capacity increase in Middle East and North Africa
40
strong capacity increase in Middle East and North Africa
• potential increase in Asia after 2010
Source: GWR 2007
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Desalination : Use of Special Stainless Steels
LOCATIONLOCATION TRADITIONAL MATERIALTRADITIONAL MATERIAL OPTIMIZED MATERIALOPTIMIZED MATERIAL
Water intake + grids Concrete/carbon steel UR45 N+/ 47N+/52 N+
Feed water pipes Coated Carbon steel UR47 N+/52 N+
LOCATIONLOCATION TRADITIONAL MATERIALTRADITIONAL MATERIAL OPTIMIZED MATERIALOPTIMIZED MATERIAL
Feed water pipes Coated Carbon steel UR47 N+/52 N+
Brine heaters Titanium, CuNi URB66 ?
Condensers CuNi Titanium 6 Mo or UR47 N+/52 N+Condensers CuNi, Titanium 6 Mo or UR47 N+/52 N+
Flash chambers 316L UR 45 N
Internals 316L Ti UR 45N/UR 47 N+Internals 316L Ti UR 45N/UR 47 N+
Supporting frames Coated CS UR 35N
41
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GeothermalDRY STEAM power plants• DRY STEAM power plants
Oldest type , simple ,economic But few sites available
• FLASH STEAM power plantsFLASH STEAM power plants
Use water above 180°C Steam produced as pressure drops Most common type today in active geothermal areas
• BINARY CYCLEUse water from 105°C to 180°C Heat transferred to low boiling fluid
42
gCan be used in less active areas
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GeothermalIn active areas, corrosion and scaling is a big issue regarding materials STAINLESS or CLAD pipes , stainless vessels
Replaced with 2507
43
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NEW INVESTMENTS ?Tidal Energy
NEW INVESTMENTS ?
Limited number of sites for big tidal projects
HIGH INVESTMENTS COSTS
VISIBILE IMPACT on landscape
Possibly associated with infrastructures ( car , rail bridges …)
OTHER OPTIONS ?
Tid l fTidal energy farms
Similar to windmills
Small unit cost
Invisible
44
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Solar EnergySolar reflectors
CR stainless
1 solar tower
concrete
2 concentrator
stainless, CRA
3 steam vessels pipes3 steam vessels, pipes
stainless ( 347H)11MW Solucar plant
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4 turbines Sevilla,Spain
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85% f t d f t l b t t / it t
Wind Energy 85% of towers are made of steel but concrete/ composite towers are gaining acceptance
Tower systemsTower systems
Steeltube
Prefabconcrete tube
In-situconcrete tube
HybridSteel/Concrete
SteelLattice
y
Steeltube
Prefabconcrete tube
In-situconcrete tube
HybridSteel/Concrete
SteelLattice
y
SteelSteelSteelSteel
Con-crete
60m
Con-crete
60m
Con-crete
60m
Con-crete
60m
Vestas (DK), Gamesa (ES),
Enercon (DE)…
ATS (NL), …
SeeBA (DE), Airwerk (DE),
Enercon (DE)…
crete35m
crete35m
crete35m
crete35m
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Enercon (DE), Tower Tec (DE)
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Architecture : Bridges, StructuresArchitecture : Bridges, StructuresFootbridge
Piove Di Sacco Bridge
Stainless steel swimming pool
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Architecture : BuildingsArchitecture : BuildingsFondation Louis Vuitton project
Abu Dhabi museum project
Le Mt St Michel barrage The Spire of Dublin
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Les Bons EnfantsThe Spire of Dublin
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Architecture : Monuments
To Those Brave Men Omaha Beach, Normandy Duplex UR 2205 / 316L
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Duplex UR 2205 / 316L
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INDUSTEELthe widest range of special plates products f b tt i t j tfor a better service to your projects
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