global monitoring for food security

Global Monitoring for Food Security

UN International Workshop on the Use of Space Technology for Disaster Management

Mirko Gregor, GIMMunich, 20 October 2004

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http://www.gmfs.info

GMFS Project - ContextGMFS Project - Context

• GMESGMES – GGlobal lobal MMonitoring for onitoring for EEnvironment and nvironment and SSecurityecurity– Joint EC and ESA initiativeJoint EC and ESA initiative– unites research, development and operational communitiesunites research, development and operational communities– operational capacity by 2008 for monitoring the environment operational capacity by 2008 for monitoring the environment

and security of our planetand security of our planet– responds to user needsresponds to user needs

• GMFSGMFS– GGlobal lobal MMonitoring for onitoring for FFood ood SSecurityecurity– is one of 12 projects in GMES Service Element program of is one of 12 projects in GMES Service Element program of

ESAESA– shows what Earth Observation can do for improving food shows what Earth Observation can do for improving food

securitysecurity

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GMES Service element (GSE) - GMES Service element (GSE) - ScheduleSchedule

2003 – 2004: consolidation phase2003 – 2004: consolidation phase

2005 - 2008: implementation phase 2005 - 2008: implementation phase

.. identify a portfolio of services that can offer a cost-effective response to already established long-term needs for global monitoring information and can serve the public interest in specific environmental & security policy domains..

> 2008 > 2008

.. Implementation of the services as proposed in the consolidation phase..

.. Operational (& sustainable) service..

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Famines around the world in 2003Famines around the world in 2003

Main reasons:Main reasons: • Poverty • Inadequate governmental management and policies• Inadequate management of natural resources and environment• Population dynamics, diseases• Racial and gender discrimination• Episodic climatic events and climate changes

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Facts & FiguresFacts & Figures2003 - 20042003 - 2004

Sudan: 3.6 Mi need Food assistance

Eritrea: 1.4 Mi vulnerable people

Ethiopia: 7.2 Mi require assistance13.2 Mi in 2003

Malawi: 0.5 Mi in 2003/2004

Mozambique: 950,000 drought affected vulnerable people

Angola/Zimbabwe: 1.4 Mi / 4.4 Mi

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Policies – GSE Policies – GSE GMFSGMFS

• Transnational institutions involved in FS (FAO, WFP, JRC)Transnational institutions involved in FS (FAO, WFP, JRC)– Universal declaration of Human rights (1948)Universal declaration of Human rights (1948)– World Food summits (1996, 2002)World Food summits (1996, 2002)– UN millennium declaration (2000)UN millennium declaration (2000)– World Food Summit on Sustainable Development (2002)World Food Summit on Sustainable Development (2002)– Council Regulation (EC) No 1292/96 on food aid policyCouncil Regulation (EC) No 1292/96 on food aid policy

• Regional Institutions involved in FSRegional Institutions involved in FS– CILSS (1973: 9 countries)CILSS (1973: 9 countries)– SADC (1980: 14 countries)SADC (1980: 14 countries)– IGAD (1996: 7 countries)IGAD (1996: 7 countries)

• National Institutes involved in FS (Senegal, Malawi, ..)National Institutes involved in FS (Senegal, Malawi, ..)– Monitor the food/agricultural situation and propose corrective Monitor the food/agricultural situation and propose corrective

measuresmeasures

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User User needsneeds

• Need for transparent information on agricultural production Need for transparent information on agricultural production EO has made a unique and critical contribution to our awareness of EO has made a unique and critical contribution to our awareness of environmental trends, especially when time series have been presented as environmental trends, especially when time series have been presented as evidence of environmental degradation. This information is essential to those evidence of environmental degradation. This information is essential to those who are trying to model the consequences of these trends for policy analysis who are trying to model the consequences of these trends for policy analysis and advocacy.and advocacy.Henri Josserand, Chief GIEWS, FAO (Comments on the GMFS Strategic Henri Josserand, Chief GIEWS, FAO (Comments on the GMFS Strategic Orientations)Orientations)

• Need for accurate and timely agricultural statisticsNeed for accurate and timely agricultural statisticsEO based vegetation indices have demonstrated value in agricultural EO based vegetation indices have demonstrated value in agricultural monitoring. Currently available agricultural models do not meet the required monitoring. Currently available agricultural models do not meet the required accuracy. The GMFS services reveal the potential to meet our needs. I look accuracy. The GMFS services reveal the potential to meet our needs. I look forward to planned enhancements, especially with regard to MSG.forward to planned enhancements, especially with regard to MSG.Papa Boubacar Soumare, CSE, responsible agricultural monitoringPapa Boubacar Soumare, CSE, responsible agricultural monitoring

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Existing precursor systemsExisting precursor systems

• FEWS Net - USAID Famine Early Warning System• GIEWS - FAO Global Information and Early Warning System• VAM - WFP Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping• MARS FOOD - Monitoring Agriculture with Remote Sensing (EC/JRC)• EARS - Environmental Analysis and Remote Sensing• AP3A - Alerte Précoce et Prévision des Productions Agricoles

(CILSS/Agrhymet - Sahel)• SADC - Regional Early Warning System for Food Security• DMC - Drought Monitoring Centers (SADC/IGAD)

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GMFS ObjectivesGMFS Objectives

• To improve the provision of operational and sustainable To improve the provision of operational and sustainable information servicesinformation services

• To consolidate and complement existing early warning To consolidate and complement existing early warning systems (national and transnational precursor systems) systems (national and transnational precursor systems) for food security and faminefor food security and famine

• To provide To provide crop information (yield, acreage and crop information (yield, acreage and production)production) derived from earth observation (EO) data of derived from earth observation (EO) data of low-, medium- and high-resolution (multi-scalarity) in low-, medium- and high-resolution (multi-scalarity) in combination with agrometeorological modelscombination with agrometeorological models

• To assist food security decision makers from a local to a To assist food security decision makers from a local to a global levelglobal level

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What & WhereWhat & Where

“Crop Monitoring system”

- Areas under cultivation- Yield forecasting and historical trends- Production forecasting and trend analysis

Geographic coverage

- Sub-Saharan Africa- Selected sites (Senegal, Malawi)

2003-20042003-2004

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Which multi-scale information is generated?

Continental & Regional Scale

Low resolution sensors

National ScaleMedium resolution sensors

& modelsField Data

End Crop Season

Subnational Scale High resolution sensors

Begin Crop Season

Rainfall, Relative Evapotranspiration, Relative Crop Yield, Vegetation Indices and corresponding trends

Tim

e

Production during the Crop SeasonLand Cover Information

Production atHarvest Time

Crop Acreage Growth Status and Acreage Crop Acreage Major Land Cover Map & Changes

Acreage atPlanting Time

Yield Forecast and Estimated Harvest Time

Socio-Economic Data Season Development Status Index and Impact Index on Food Security

Growth Status and AcreageMajor Land Cover Map & Changes

CropAcreage

CropAcreage

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Relative ET

Maize Yield Forecast

Regional

National

Land Cover Map

Global/Continental

Dry Matter Productivity

Sub-national

Acreage Map

Acreage

Yield

Production

CROP FIGURES

TRENDS AND FORECAST FIGURES

Yield Forecast

Land Cover Map


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Continental productContinental productSPOT-VGT DMPSPOT-VGT DMP


proxy for the crop/pasture/vegetation yield (quantitative estimation)

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Regional products - Regional products - METEOSAT multi-temporal METEOSAT multi-temporal yield estimation yield estimation

January 2002 March 2002

May 2002February 2002

Maize growing seasonDecember - May

Yield estimation for Maize during dry period in 2002 in Southern Africa

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Malawi - Zomba test zone: ENVISAT ASAR acreages

Forest

Cropped area

preliminary results (validation ongoing)

cumulative from 7 Dec 2003 to 30 Jan 2004

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User/collaboration schemeUser/collaboration scheme

• SADC-RRSU• CILSS-Agrhymet• CSE, Senegal• DAPS, Senegal• MoAIFS Malawi

• FAO-GIEWS• WFP-VAM• MARS-FOOD

Affected populations

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Partners & alliancesPartners & alliances

• FAO-GIEWS– FAO Global Information and Early Warning System

• EC-JRC MARS-FOOD• WFP/VAM

– WFP Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping• IBIMET AP3A (CILSS)

– Alerte Précoce et Prévision des Productions Agricoles• FEWS Net

• ESA TIGER initiative - GMFS demonstrator project

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Information disseminationInformation dissemination

• GMFS Service Portal

• establishment of a FAO Geonetwork node in 2005

• on national/sub-national level dissemination via existing networks (WorldSpace community radio network in 2005)

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Capacity Building and Capacity Building and Institutional DevelopmentInstitutional Development 5 groups of synchronized activities5 groups of synchronized activities

• Evaluation of the efficiency of the national FSIEWS and identification of training needs

• Sensibilisation activities aiming at the decision makers• Information dissemination activities about the new EO technologies • Training activities for the assurance of adequate technology transfer

– Technical courses on the use of EO– Technical courses on collection, management and dissemination of data

relevant for food security– Advanced training for trainers – « the champions of GMFS »– GMFS: use of existing networks for technology transfer and CB

• monitoring and evaluation of the process

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More information?More information?

• Contact– project co-ordinator – Dirk Van Speybroeck

[email protected]– Project manager – Lieven Bydekerke

[email protected]• Read more on:

– http://www.gmfs.info

global monitoring for food security

Documents

global monitoring information

food securityis

food assistanceeritrea

food securityhttp

world food summits

mi vulnerable peopleethiopia

needs need

fs fao