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GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION

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Page 1: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION

Page 2: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Background

Headquartered in Purchase, NY

World’s largest producer of paper and forest products

Forward integrated into distribution (XPEDX)

Backward integrated into forestry mgt.

Products

papers, packaging products, building materials, pulp, chemicals

Page 3: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

International Shipping

Production facilities located worldwidebulk is in eastern U.S.

Small margin on paper prevents shipping large quantities internationally

Pulp makes up largest portion of international shipments

higher margin allows for more international sales

Page 4: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Example: US to Australia

IP Mills (Southeast US)

Rail 4-10 days(depends on origin)

Freight Forwarder(New Orleans)

Ocean Freight30-60 days

Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane

Page 5: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Closer Look at Ocean Freight

Statistics

Mean 38Standard Deviation 11

Range 17Minimum 31Maximum 48# Carriers 13

New Orleans to Sydney

Statistics

Mean 43Standard Deviation 7

Range 27Minimum 26Maximum 53# Carriers 12

New Orleans to Melbourne

Statistics

Mean 45Standard Deviation 9

Range 28Minimum 31Maximum 59# Carriers 13

New Orleans to Brisbane

Statistics calculated from quoted transit times for IP’s contracted carriers

Why the large discrepancy between carriers ?

Page 6: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Carrier Differences

Primary Factor is Resource Allocation

If US to Australia is a primary lanevessels make the trip non stop

shipments aren’t transferred at an intermediary port

IF US to Australia is a secondary lanevessels will stop in an intermediary port (most likely Asia)

Shipments are transferred to different vessel before reach final stop

Page 7: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Transit Time Variation by Carrier

Much less variable than by secondary carrierTypically more expensivePrimary factors

missing departure due to fumigation requirementsmechanical failureHuman error

Usually no more than 7 days off

Much less variable than by secondary carrierTypically more expensivePrimary factors

missing departure due to fumigation requirementsmechanical failureHuman error

Usually no more than 7 days off

Primary Carriers

More variableBut usually less expensivePrimary factors

Missing connections in intermediary portmissing departure due to fumigation requirementsmechanical failureHuman error

Anywhere from 7 -14 days off

More variableBut usually less expensivePrimary factors

Missing connections in intermediary portmissing departure due to fumigation requirementsmechanical failureHuman error

Anywhere from 7 -14 days off

Secondary Carriers

Page 8: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Profile

• Headquartered in Middletown, Ohio.• A leader in the production of coated and cold-rolled

carbon and stainless steel products.• Customers include automobile, appliance,

construction, and distribution and service centers.

Page 9: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Operations

Operation facilities in

Ashland, Kentucky

Middletown, Ohio

Rockport, Indiana

Strategic partner in Mexico

Hylsamex in Monterrey, Mexico

Page 10: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Transportation Modes

AKSteelPlants

Border

Hylsamex

Rail 3-4 days Rail 1-2 days

Barge 40-50 days Truck 1 day

Truck 2-4 days

Brownsville, TX

1-3 days

Page 11: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Affecting Factors

the time spent in Custom’s to process the paperwork

the availability of capacity, such as containers, trucks, and so on

traffic

weather

Page 12: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Smurfit-Stone

New Company (1998) merger of Jefferson Smurfit Corporation and Stone Container Corporation

Leading force in the paperboard and paper packaging industry

Operates approximately 300 facilities worldwide

Page 13: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Containerboard Mill Division

Operation:

12 kraft linerboard mills, 11 medium mills

Production:

Unbleached kraft linerboard and Medium

Products:

Commodity and specialty paperboards for conversion into corrugated containers, folding cartons, and related products.

Page 14: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Corrugated Container Operations

Operation:

More than 150 corrugated container plants in North America and 33 plants in Europe, Asia, Australia and South America

Production:

Nation’s largest supplier of corrugated containers, made linerboard and corrugating medium (supply by CMD)

Products:

High-quality corrugated containers

Page 15: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Operation between CMD and CCO-Mexico

Rail: From U.S. Mills to Mexican Border

Truck: From Mexican Border to plants

Project Scope:

Rail Operations

Causes of Variability in the Supply Chain

Mills:Florida

Louisiana

Border:Weslaco,

Tex

Plants:Monterrey,

Mexico

Page 16: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

From Florida to Mex. Border

Data 17Avg 13.65StDev 3.55Max 19.00Min 7.00

Rail Shipments

Normal Dist.

Page 17: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

From Louisiana Mex. Border

Data 17Avg 9.76StDev 2.11Max 13.00Min 7.00

Rail Shipments

No Normal Dist.

Page 18: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Causes Of Variation

Rail:Not Direct RouteHigh Demand in Pick Season

Customs:Shift to TruckPaperworkTraffic Congestion

Truck:Availability

Supply Chain

Page 19: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Fibras Quimicas• Mexican company, Located in Monterrey, Mexico.

• Fibras Quimicas' parent company is Akra.

• Akra's holding company is Alpek.

• Alpek is the petrochemical division of Group Alfa.

• Group Alfa is one of the biggest industrial groups in Mexico.

• Group Alfa is an association of Mexican companies focused on the diverse and quite varying industry sectors including the steel, food, petrochemicals, synthetic fibers, aluminum auto parts, mattresses, carpets and telecommunications.

Fibras QuimicasFibras Quimicas

Page 20: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

ProductsPoliester Products :

• Textured Yarns

• Flat Yarns

• Pre-oriented Yarns ( POY )

• Wrapped Yarns

• Twisted Yarns

Final Uses :

• Apparel

• Home Textiles

• Out wear

• Linings

• Narrows

• Upholstery

• Mattress and thicking

• Automotive fabrics

• Comfort fabrics

Page 21: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

By Ship

Europe 28 to 30 Days

Africa 30 to 32 Days ( Morocco )

Middle East 38 to 40 Days ( Syria )

By Truck

Central America 10 to 15 Days

By Ship

South America 20 to 25 Days

Colombia 12 to 15 Days

By Truck

Canada 8 to 9 Days

U.S. Eastern Coast 5 to 6 Days

This is where we got raw data, and where we will do a more extensive analysis.

Operations of Fibras Quimicas

Page 22: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Shipping to The United States and Canada

• We were able to gather raw data on 5 U.S. customers and 2 Canadian customers.

• This customers account for 67% of Fibras Quimicas sales in the North America region.

• Team Drivers = the use of two drivers for the same truck ½ the lead time.

• We took out this effect, because it disrupted our data, only use less than 5% of the time ! Higher cost !

Customer Location

# of Shipments up to March 2000

Buffer Inventory

Average Lead time in Days

Std Deviation

W/O Team drivers Avg Lead time

W/O Team drivers Std Deviation

Blumenthal Mills Inc. Sumter, SC 58 3 weeks 5.3 0.34 5.3 0.34Burke Mills, Inc. Valdese, NC 19 5.1 * 0.74 * 5.3 0.21Culp Weaving Inc. Monroe, NC 18 2 weeks 5.9 0.18 5.9 0.18Dan River Inc. Danville, VA 17 6 0.22 6 0.22Guilford Mills Inc. Monroe, NC 47 2 weeks 5 * 0.64 * 5.2 0.19Huntindong Mills Hawksbury, ON 21 8.8 0.13 8.8 0.13Rayonese Textile Co. St. Jerome, PQ 39 7.8 0.12 7.8 0.12

219

* with the use of Team Drivers

Total

Page 23: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Crossing the Mexico – U.S. Border

• One of the greater sources for variability is crossing the border.

• Although for Canadian shipments, this doesn't affect that much!

• Crosses at Laredo Texas !

The trucks, willhave to wait their turn

to cross, the traffic can go up to 1 mile..

If Inspection needed (determined randomly by

U.S. Customs)It can delay the shipment

for one whole day.

The Cargo is sealed as Inbound, and passeswithout inspection.

The Truck is sent to a big facility, where it waits for an American

driver, Mexican drivers stillare not allowed to cross the border.

Final Destination

U.S.

Final Destination

Canada

+ Var.

Page 24: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Guilford Mills• Located in Monroe, NC.

• Produces Automotive fabrics FORD FOCUS.

• 47 Shipments

• Mean 5 Days

• Std Dev. 0.64

• Team drivers, we took out 4 points, mean went to 5.2 and std dev. to 0.19

• Inventory buffer on site 2 weeks.

• Pass the Normality Test.

• AKRA uses the same carrier.

• Lower lead time than Culp, that is on the same city !

• Service important to this customer.

Page 25: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Rayonese Textile

• Located in St. Jerome, PQ.

• Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery.

• 39 Shipments

• Mean 7.8 Days

• Std Dev. 0.12

• Canadian Customer

• No Team drivers !

• Fail the Normality Test.

• AKRA uses different carriers depending on availability and price!

• The distribution is shifted to the right.

Page 26: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

Other Customers• Located in Danville, VA.

• Produces Bed in a Bag.

• 17 Shipments

• Mean 6 Days

• Std Dev. 0.22

• No Team drivers !

• Pass the Normality Test.

• Located in Valdese, NC.

• Dye yarns and resell them.

• 19 Shipments

• Mean 5.1 Days

• Std Dev. 0.74

• Team drivers ! took out 2 points mean went to 5.3 days and std dev. to 0.21

• Pass the Normality Test.

• Located in Monroe, NC.

• Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery.

• 18 Shipments

• Mean 5.9 Days

• Std Dev. 0.18

• No Team drivers !

• Inventory buffer on site 2 weeks.

• Pass the Normality Test.

• Located in Hawksbury, ON.

• Produces Polar fleece.

• 21 Shipments

• Mean 8.8 Days

• Std Dev. 0.13

• Canadian Customer

• No Team drivers !

• Pass the Normality Test.

Burke Mills Culp Weaving Dan River

Huntingdon Mills

• AKRA uses different carriers in all of this customers, depending on availability and price!

• Located in Sumter, SC.

• Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery.

• 58 Shipments

• Mean 5.3 Days

• Std Dev. 0.34

• No Team drivers !

• Inventory Buffer on site 3 weeks.

• Pass the Normality Test.

Bluementhal Mills

Page 27: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

AKRA's ConclusionsWe have found some important factors that affect variability, when shipping by truck to The United States and Canada.

• Inspection by U.S. Customs.

• Driver availability at the border.

• Using different carriers or using a dedicated carrier, that reduces variability.

• Traffic jams at border.

• Weather conditions.

Customer Location Normal Dist.Blumenthal Mills Inc. Sumter, SC YESBurke Mills, Inc. Valdese, NC YESCulp Weaving Inc. Monroe, NC YESDan River Inc. Danville, VA YESGuilford Mills Inc. Monroe, NC YESHuntindong Mills Hawksbury, ON YESRayonese Textile Co. St. Jerome, PQ NO

Page 28: GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION. Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated

General Conclusions

Truck

Rail

Vessel

Barge

Air

Lead-Time Variability Volume Costs

Mid-Small

Mid-Large

Large

Large

Small

Low

Low

High

Mid-Low

Mid-High

Small

Mid-Small

Large

Large

Mid-Large

High

Low

Low

Low

Medium