global environment outlook -4: environment for development brown bag discussion unep, nairobi

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Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October, 2006

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GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK-4: Environment for Development

Brown Bag DiscussionUNEP, Nairobi4 October 2006

Munyaradzi ChenjeHead, GEO Section, DEWA

GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT OUTLOOK-4: Environment for Development

Brown Bag DiscussionUNEP, Nairobi4 October 2006

Munyaradzi ChenjeHead, GEO Section, DEWA

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Image Courtesy of NASA: SeaWiFs

Fourth Global Environment Outlook (GEO-4) Assessment: Brown Bag Discussion, UNEP, Nairobi, 4 October 2006

Keep under review the state of the global environment ...

UNGA Res. 2997 (XXVII)

1972

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Provide leadership and encourage partnership in caring for the environment by inspiring, informing, and enabling nations and peoples to improve their quality of life without compromising that of future generations

UNEP Mission

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Provide the world community with improved access to meaningful environmental data and information, and increase the capacity of governments to use such information for decision-making and action for sustainable human development

DEWA Mission

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Science Interface Policy

Assessments

Indicators

Early Warning

Monitoring

3 May 2001

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Global Environment OutlookGlobal Environment Outlook GEO is the UNEP flagship assessment which bridges science-

policy processes

Has two main components – overall process and main Consultative and participatory process, including capacity building

Main report and complementary products

Involves collaborating centres, UN agencies and other partners

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Global Environment OutlookGlobal Environment Outlook

Analyses environmental change, causes and impacts, and policy responses

Communicates, raises awareness, provides policy options

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GEO answers the following questionsGEO answers the following questions

What is happening to the environment and why?

What are the consequences for the environment and humanity?

What is being done and how effective is it?

Where are we heading?

What actions could be taken for a more sustainable future?

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GEO assessmentGEO assessment

IEA: links environmental state-and-trends with

policy responses integrates environmental analysis with social

and economic trends and policies incorporates global and sub-global

perspectives incorporates historical and future

perspectives involves diverse environment-socio-economic

expertise

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Support for multi-scale assessment and reporting

Con

tent

Context/Scale

Local

Sub-national

National

Sub-regional

Regional

Global


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Target audiences

• UNEP Governing Bodies

• Policy advisors in relevant government ministries

• UN

•IGOs, NGOs, civil society

• Scientific/Academic community

•Private sector

• General public, media

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SUB-GLOBAL PRODUCTS

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GEO Targeted Products

GEO for Youth

Pachamama(Arabic, Chinese, Danish,

English, French, Italian,

Japanese, Korean, Spanish

and Thai)

Training Manual Capacity Building

for Integrated Environmental

Assessment and Reporting (Chinese, English, French and Spanish)

Technical reports

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GC.22/1IB (2003) - keep under review the world environmental situation by ... preparing the comprehensive Global Environment Outlook report series, following the full participatory and consultative GEO approach, every five years, with the next report for 2007

GC.23/6 (2005) calls for a GEO-4 process which involves governments and builds upon national, subregional and regional information, assessments and experiences ... and strengthens subregional and regional capacities

GEO-4 mandatesGEO-4 mandates

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GEO-4 assessment objectivesGEO-4 assessment objectives

Show how the environment is key to sustainable development, human well-being, conflict prevention, prosperity and poverty alleviation

Identify the direct and indirect drivers of environmental change and their impacts on the environment, and human well-being

Show the impacts of policy responses since the Brundtland Commission report – Our Common Future – in 1987 in terms of addressing the environmental challenges of today

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Analyse progress and barriers towards meeting commitments under MEAs; and effectiveness of policy responses

Identify emerging issues at global and regional levels that may impact human well-being

Use global and regional scenarios to show the impact of different policy interventions

Highlight the need for immediate action at different levels to mitigate and adapt to negative environmental change from human actions and enhance well-being

GEO-4 assessment objectivesGEO-4 assessment objectives

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SECTION A: OVERVIEWSECTION A: OVERVIEW

• Introduction : GEO process, scope etcIntroduction : GEO process, scope etc • Chapter 1: Environment for DevelopmentChapter 1: Environment for Development

SECTION B: STATE AND TRENDS OF THE SECTION B: STATE AND TRENDS OF THE ENVIRONMENT: 1987-2007ENVIRONMENT: 1987-2007

• Chapter 2: AtmosphereChapter 2: Atmosphere• Chapter 3: LandChapter 3: Land• Chapter 4: WaterChapter 4: Water• Chapter 5: BiodiversityChapter 5: Biodiversity• Chapter 6: Regional PerspectivesChapter 6: Regional Perspectives

GEO-4 Outline

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SECTION C: ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, HUMAN SECTION C: ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE, HUMAN DIMENSIONSDIMENSIONS

• Chapter 7: InterlinkagesChapter 7: Interlinkages• Chapter 8: Challenges and OpportunitiesChapter 8: Challenges and Opportunities

SECTION D: THE OUTLOOK – TOWARDS 2015 AND SECTION D: THE OUTLOOK – TOWARDS 2015 AND BEYONDBEYOND

• Chapter 9: The Future TodayChapter 9: The Future Today

SECTION E: ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT: OUR SECTION E: ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT: OUR COMMON FUTURE REVISITEDCOMMON FUTURE REVISITED

• Chapter 10: Options for ActionChapter 10: Options for Action

GEO-4 Outline

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GEO-4 consultationsGEO-4 consultations

Intergovernmental consultation on strengthening the scientific base of UNEP - Jan 2004

GEO-4 Initial Design Meeting - June 2004

Regional Ad Hoc Expert Consultations - Sept-Oct 2004

Expert and partner consultations - Sept 2004-Feb 2005

GEO-4 Design Meeting - Nov 2004

Global Intergovernmental and Multi-stakeholder Consultation on the scope and process of the fourth Global Environment Outlook (GIMC) - Feb 2005

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GEO-4 1st Production and Authors’ Meeting - June 2005

Set-up of GEO Fellowship programme – August 2005

Lead Authors’ Meetings – October 2005 – Dec 2006

Internal review of Draft 0 of GEO-4 – Jan-Feb 2006

Human well-being meeting – Jan-Feb 2006

GEO-4 2nd Production and Authors’ Meeting - March 2006

Peer review of Draft 1 of GEO-4 – May-July 2006

GEO-4 Regional Consultations – June-July 2006

Revision into second draft – August-September 2006

GEO-4 chapter developmentGEO-4 chapter development

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Policy insightPolicy insightGovernments – Governments – GC/GMEF, GC/GMEF, MEAs, regional MEAs, regional bodiesbodies

Methodology & Methodology & processprocess

CEGs, science, CEGs, science, data, scenariosdata, scenarios

Specialized Specialized inputsinputs

Collaborating Collaborating Centres, NGOs, Centres, NGOs, private sector, private sector, youthyouth

Specialized Specialized inputsinputs

Individual Individual experts, private experts, private sector, sector, universities, universities, networksnetworks

Data and Data and informationinformation

Databases & UN Databases & UN organizationsorganizations

UNEPUNEP

GEO ASSESSMENTGEO ASSESSMENT

HLCGHLCG

Task ForceTask Force

Chapter CoordinatorsChapter Coordinators

Divisional FPsDivisional FPs

Chapter expert groupsChapter expert groups

CLAs, CREsCLAs, CREs

GEO technical GEO technical reportsreports

GEO global and GEO global and regional dataregional data

GEO report GEO report seriesseries

GEO cities and GEO cities and national reportsnational reports

GEO regional GEO regional reportsreports

CAPACITY CAPACITY BUILDINGBUILDING

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Major advances made since 1987 in global governance regimes with the adoption of, inter alia, multilateral environmental agreements

Barriers to the realization of the vision of the Brundtland Commission persist because environmental challenges are complex and interwoven with the development challenges Environmental concerns are still not fully integrated into development policy formulation and planning

GEO-4 preliminary findingsGEO-4 preliminary findings

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Rapid growth in energy use, transport and consumption is resulting in unprecedented absolute growth in emissions causing climate change and air pollution Climate change will continue and there is an increasing concern on severity of anticipated impactsLand degradation is widespread and expanding. Land degradation in drylands (desertification) is at the centre of extreme environmental degradation and extreme poverty


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All regions point to the threats of climate change, and concern about its potential impacts has grown in all regions over the past 20 years The poor are more vulnerable to natural and human disasters. Economic growth has not been accompanied by environmental sustainability


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Timetable for 2006Timetable for 2006

• 12 months left to GEO-4 launch in September 200712 months left to GEO-4 launch in September 2007• 3 months left to have final draft of GEO-4 report3 months left to have final draft of GEO-4 report• May - July: Peer review of 1May - July: Peer review of 1stst Draft Draft• June-July: Regional Consultations on GEO-4June-July: Regional Consultations on GEO-4• July-Sept: Revision and production of 2July-Sept: Revision and production of 2ndnd Draft Draft• 19-20 Sept: High-level Consultative Group meeting19-20 Sept: High-level Consultative Group meeting• 9 Oct-7 Nov: Second review process9 Oct-7 Nov: Second review process• 13-17 Nov: Final Production and Authors’ Meeting13-17 Nov: Final Production and Authors’ Meeting• 30 Nov: Deadline for submission Final Drafts by CEGs30 Nov: Deadline for submission Final Drafts by CEGs• December 2006: Sign-off on final GEO-4 Draft by UNEPDecember 2006: Sign-off on final GEO-4 Draft by UNEP

GEO-4 Schedule

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Eight draft chapters will be available at dewa03.unep.org/geo/review. The following details provide access to the documents:

Username: ReviewerPassword: GEO4Draft2

Comments should be sent to:

[email protected]

Deadline: 7 November, 2006

GEO-4 second reviewGEO-4 second review

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Thank youThank you

global environment outlook -4: environment for development brown bag discussion unep, nairobi

Documents