global energy budget 2

8/14/2019 Global Energy Budget 2

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The Energy udget Global Energy Consumption Normalized (

Year Oil Gas Coal Nucle Wind Solar PW*hrs PW*hrs PW*hrs PW*hrs PW*hrs PW*hrs

In 2001 you are elected Energy Czar of the 1950 3.64 1.31 6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00

planet. Your job is to manage the planet's 1955 5.38 2.08 7.34 0.00 0.00 0.00remaining non-renewable energy resources 1960 7.36 3.22 8.92 0.01 0.00 0.00

and project how new energy resources 1965 10.59 4.66 9.12 0.04 0.00 0.00

will be utilized. 1970 16.01 7.20 9.54 0.14 0.00 0.00

1971 16.92 7.76 9.51 0.21 0.00 0.00

Guidel ines for the Game 1972 17.89 8.21 9.51 0.28 0.00 0.00

1. You are appointed to the position for 1973 19.51 8.71 9.92 0.39 0.00 0.00

life. Thus, you are in charge of how the 1974 19.68 8.85 10.07 0.53 0.00 0.00

resources will be spent until the year 1975 18.67 8.89 10.18 0.62 0.00 0.00

2040. Warning: If your budgeting or 1976 20.37 9.27 10.71 0.74 0.00 0.00

policies turn out to be too wildly unpopular, 1977 20.98 9.51 11.10 0.87 0.00 0.00

you can be unseated. (Consult recent 1978 21.22 9.79 11.34 1.00 0.00 0.00

articles pertaining to Energy in Albania.) 1979 21.92 10.49 11.80 1.06 0.00 0.00

1980 20.89 10.21 11.99 1.18 0.00 0.00

2. Certain energy resources come in limited 1981 19.51 10.47 12.16 1.36 0.00 0.00

supplies on the planet Earth. You may not 1982 18.56 10.40 12.29 1.49 0.00 0.00

overspend these resources. 1983 18.39 10.45 12.66 1.66 0.00 0.00

Est imated Am ount o f Remain ing 1984 18.96 11.41 13.18 1.92 0.01 0.00

Non-Renewable Resources 1985 18.67 11.88 13.90 2.19 0.01 0.00

Oil: 670 PW*Hrs 1986 19.47 12.16 14.05 2.42 0.01 0.00

Gas: 450 PW*Hrs 1987 19.33 12.73 14.48 2.60 0.01 0.00

Coal: 53,600 PW*Hrs 1988 20.22 13.34 15.32 2.72 0.01 0.00

Sources: Kraushaar/Ristinen "Energy and Problems 1989 20.48 13.77 15.37 2.80 0.02 0.00

of a Technical Society" 1993 and Scientific American, March 1 1990 20.75 14.11 14.81 2.87 0.02 0.00

1991 20.55 14.36 14.56 2.85 0.02 0.00

3. You may increase without limit the 1992 21.05 14.36 14.73 2.86 0.02 0.00amount of energy being created by Nuclear, 1993 20.75 14.68 14.64 2.94 0.02 0.00

Wind, and Solar Power. However, it may 1994 20.96 14.78 14.71 2.96 0.03 0.00

cost you. 1995 21.19 15.26 14.93 2.98 0.04 0.00

You may add a total of 0.5 PW*hrs per year 1996 21.72 15.96 15.46 3.00 0.05 0.00

in new energy sources without serious cost 1997 22.19 15.88 15.33 3.00 0.06 0.00

to the global economy. If you go above 1998 22.17 16.11 15.01 3.00 0.08 0.00

0.5 PW*hrs in new sources in one year, 1999est 22.37 16.60 14.52 3.02 0.11 0.00

you must pay an equivalent of 0.25% for 2000est 22.60 17.21 14.40 3.10 0.18 0.00

every additional 0.5 PW*hrs. Year Oil Gas Coal Nucle Wind Solar 2001

4. Population growth: 2002The human race currently has an annual 2003

growth rate of 1.8%. This is equal to a 2004

fertility rate of about 2.7 children per 2005

woman (i.e. for every one hundred women, 2006

270 children will be born to them in their 2007collective lifetimes). 2008

2009You may raise or lower this birthrate by 2010



changing the average family size as follows: 20113.1 kids/woman = 3.5% 20122.9 kids/woman = 2.7% 20132.7 kids/woman = 2.0% 20142.5 kids/woman = 1.3% 2015

2.3 kids/woman = 0.9% 2016

2.1 kids/woman = no growth 20171.9 kids/woman = -0.4% 2018

Currently, your 2040 population growth 2019rate goal is set at: 2020

1.80% 2021Or a 2040 Population of: 2022

12,396,937,199 20232024202520262027

2028

2029203020312032203320342035203620372038

20392040

Oil Gas Coal Nucle Wind Solar

0 0 0

Remember your limits:Oil: 670 PW*Hrs

Gas: 450 PW*HrsCoal: 53,600 PW*Hrs

0.00

10.00

20.0030.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

1 9 5 0

1 9 7 5

1 9 8 4

1 9 9 3

2 0 0 7

2 0 1 6

2 0 2 5

2 0 3 4

P W * h r s

Year

Human Energy Consumption

Solar

Wind

Nuclear

Coal

N.Gas

Oil

02000400060008000

1000012000

K W * h r s p

e r p e r s o n

Year

Per Capita Energy

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

P e o p l e

( M i l l i o n s )

Year

Global Population

Global Cost



0

1

2

3

4

5

6

C o

s t ( B i l l i o n $ U . S . )

Year



950-2000) Sources: Worldwatch, Vital Signs 1996 & 2000

Total Global P PerCap Energy Cost (inPW*hrs Mill ions of Peo KW*hours per person 1950-1995 avg.

11.15 2556 4364 5

14.81 2780 5326 519.51 3039 6420 5

24.42 3345 7300 5

32.90 3707 8874 5

34.40 3785 9090 5

35.90 3861 9298 5

38.53 3937 9788 5

39.13 4013 9751 5

38.36 4086 9389 5

41.08 4158 9880 5

42.45 4231 10032 5

43.34 4303 10073 5

45.27 4378 10341 5

44.28 4454 9941 5

43.50 4530 9602 5

42.75 4610 9273 5

43.16 4690 9203 5

45.47 4770 9532 5

46.65 4851 9617 5

48.11 4933 9752 5

49.15 5018 9795 5

51.62 5105 10111 5

52.44 5190 10105 5

52.56 5277 9960 5

52.34 5359 9766 5

53.02 5442 9743 553.03 5523 9601 5

53.45 5603 9539 5

54.40 5682 9574 5

56.19 5761 9754 5

56.46 5840 9668 5

56.37 5919 9524 5

56.62 5996 9443 5

57.49 6073 9467 496 0.036 0.0004 2304 5

Total Global P PerCap Energy#Nuclear

Reactors Built

Land Mass

(Oregons)-Wind

Land Mass

(Oregons)-Solar

Coal Plants

Built

New Energy

Added

Global Cost

(billions of US

dollars)

0.00 6182.314 0 -496 0 0 -2304 0 0.00

0.00 6293.596 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000.00 6406.88 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 6522.204 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 6639.604 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 6759.117 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 6880.781 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7004.635 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7130.718 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7259.071 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00



0.00 7389.735 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7522.75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7658.159 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7796.006 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 7936.334 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8079.188 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8224.614 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000.00 8372.657 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8523.365 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8676.785 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8832.967 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 8991.961 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 9153.816 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 9318.585 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 9486.319 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 9657.073 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 9830.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 10007.86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 10188 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000.00 10371.38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 10558.07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 10748.11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 10941.58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 11138.53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 11339.02 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 11543.12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 11750.9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 11962.41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 12177.74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

0.00 12396.94 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00

#Reactors Built

Total Land

Mass Covered

(Oregons)-Wind

Total Land

Mass Covered

(Oregons)-Solar

Total Coal

Plants built

Tot. Global

Cost

(bil.'95$US)

-496 0 0 -2304 0



.S. Billion)

28

global energy budget 2

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