Global Applications

Program

Presented By: Haley McIntyreAlaska Center for Energy & Power

October 9, 2013Arctic Energy Summit 2013

International Market Analysis

Presentation Objectives

1.Present a tool for broad market analysis

2.Demonstrate the global relevance of Arctic experience

3.Open up a dialogue about building on common experiences

Energy in Rural Alaska• Remote

• Long Supply Lines

• Lack of Infrastructure

• Challenging geographic conditions

• Islanded grids reliant on diesel generation

Nome 2011

Project Motivation

• Growth of hybrid micro-grid systems in Alaska

• Integration challenges

• Share best practices

• Unique in the U.S.

International Potential• Circumstances exist elsewhere• Identify those facing similar energy

issues• Build on common experience• Relevant products and services

San Lorenzo, Ecuador Ramea, Canada

Market Analysis• Multi-dimensional evaluation tool

• Methodology • Define “Ideal Market”• Identify the criteria that serve as

indicators• Apply scoring system• Select countries• Series of filters to reveal countries for

further investigation

• “GAP Matrix”

Defining Criteria• Envisioned “Ideal Market”

• 4 requirements1. Correlation with “Ideal Market”2. Differences between countries3. Easily quantifiable4. Single credible source

• Qualitative Example: Business Environment (supportive, not supportive): Classifies the country’s overall business climate, using data that indicates the complexity and cost of their regulatory environment as well as the strength of their legal institutions. For this qualitative assessment, the World Bank’s Doing Business rankings were used.

Scoring SystemCriteria Meaning Value

Emerging Economy Very high importance 5

Population Density High importance 4

Gross Domestic Product Medium importance 3

Criteria Outcome Score

Emerging Economy Yes 5

No 0

Population Density 0 < 200 4

201 < 2000 2

Gross Domestic Product $10,000 – $30,000 3

0 – $10,000 2

$30,000 and above 1

Scores

Values

Country Selection• 100 countries and territories• Literature review• Regional selections• Reviewer input

GAP Matrix

ResultsFive highest scoring counties

Results Map

http://a.tiles.mapbox.com/v3/henryjarend.GAP.html

Strengths & Weaknesses

• Strengths1. Surprises2. Filtering out of unrelated nations3. Broad range of possibilities

• Weaknesses1. Regional challenges2. Cohesion of data3. Unavailable data

Senegal

solar-wind-diesel Sine Moussa Abdou

• Synergies with Ideal Market• Rapid

electrification• Comparable village

sizes• National and

international programs

• Reliance on imported oil

• Rapid expansion hybrid micro-grids

Vanuatu

• Bulk fuel delivery and storage throughout the country

• Data collection regarding energy use and the performance of the energy sector

• A national renewable energy atlas and wind resource assessments

Identification of a number of national energy priorities that provide unexpected opportunities for collaboration

AVEC: Fuel tank farm in Gambell, AK

Thank You