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Mapping the Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP

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Page 1: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

Mapping the Future

GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise

Mark Lightner, GISP

Page 2: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

Adapting to Rising TidesBay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and

Mapping Project

2 Mapping the Future

CONSULTANT TEAM: Justin Vandever, Mark Lightner, Sarah Kassem,Julie Guyenet, Michael Mak, Claire Bonham-Carter

Page 3: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

General Methodology

– Create or obtain digital elevation model (DEM)

– Create landward water surface

– Initial sea level rise (SLR) calculations

– Stakeholder Review

– DEM Modifications

– Secondary SLR Calculations

– Overtopping Analysis

– Create Maps / Finalize Data

3 Mapping the Future

Inundation Mapping

Page 4: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

4 Mapping the Future

NOAA SLR Viewer

https://coast.noaa.gov/slr/

Page 5: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

5 Mapping the Future

Linear Superposition SLR Modeling

– AKA “Modified” bathtub– Detects lowlying areas– Accounts for hydro-connectivity

Page 6: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

6 Mapping the Future

Linear Superposition SLR Modeling

Page 7: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

7 Mapping the Future

Linear Superposition SLR Modeling

Page 8: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

8 Mapping the Future

NOAA Open Coast – Elevation Data

Page 9: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

9 Mapping the Future

NOAA Open Coast – Elevation Data

Page 10: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

10 Mapping the Future

LiDAR Point Cloud

Page 11: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

11 Mapping the Future

LiDAR Point Cloud – Ground

Page 12: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

12 Mapping the Future

LiDAR Point Cloud – Ground

Page 13: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

13 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Tool

INPUTSDEMWater Surface points (Tide Station, Vdatum, etc.)

PROCESSCreate contour on DEM (eg. 20ft)Create transects to contourInterpolate values at transects

Page 14: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

14 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Page 15: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

15 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Page 16: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

16 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Page 17: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

17 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Page 18: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

18 Mapping the Future

Water Surface Creation

Page 19: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

19 Mapping the Future

Inundation Tool

INPUTSDEMWater SurfaceScenario List

PROCESSIterates through scenarios• Add SLR to water surface• Subtract DEM from water surface• Evaluate connected areas (no pooling)• Create lowlying areas > 1 acre• Clip landward inundation to mask

OUTPUTSConnected inundation layersDisconnected lowlying areas > 1acres

Page 20: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

20 Mapping the Future

Inundation Tool

Page 21: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

21 Mapping the Future

Inundation Tool

Page 22: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

22 Mapping the Future

Inundation Tool

Page 23: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

23 Mapping the Future

OvertoppingTool

INPUTSDEMInundation layersShoreline

PROCESSCreate points along line (5ft)Assign DEM values to pointsIterate through scenarios• Assign water surface values to points• Calculate overtopping at point• Summarize (mean) of points in 100ft segment

OUTPUTSOvertopping line in 100ft segments

Page 24: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

24 Mapping the Future

OvertoppingTool

Page 25: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

25 Mapping the Future

Stakeholder Engagement– Community meetings

– Online draft maps

– Comments on location

Page 26: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

26 Mapping the Future

Stakeholder Engagement

Page 27: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

27 Mapping the Future

Stakeholder Engagement

Before modification After modification

Page 28: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping

28 Mapping the Future

Final thoughts

• Uses readily available (and mostly free) data.• Automate (script) the bulk of the process.• CAN incorporate storm surge, tides, wave run-up

Page 29: GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise - cdn.ymaws.com€¦ · Future GIS Tools for Sea Level Rise Mark Lightner, GISP. Adapting to Rising Tides. Bay Area Sea Level Rise Analysis and Mapping