gifford lecture one: cosmos, time, memory
TRANSCRIPT
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Sean CarrollCalifornia Institute of Technology
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Science and philosophy have changedour image of the world
Our everyday, common-sense way of thinking about the world (the “manifest image”) has not caught up.
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Manifest image Scientific image
Time flows from past Time is a label within to future an eternal universe
For every event there is Parts of the universe a reason; for every are related by patterns: effect there is a cause the laws of nature
Life and mind are Life and mind are distinct from matter physical and emergent
Purpose, morality, and Purpose, morality and meaning are objective meaning are personal and transcendent and constructed
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Ontology: the study of being,
what existsReality
Monism
multiple one
Idealism
nature mind
Naturalism
Propertydualism Physicalism
extra-physical physical
Austerenaturalism
Poeticnaturalism
eliminative expansive
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Poetic Naturalism
• There is only one world, the natural world.
• We learn about it empirically, through science.
• But there are many ways of talking about the world.
• If a way of talking accurately describes (part of) the world, the concepts it refers to are real.
Our task: understand how the fundamental-physicsway of talking about the world is compatible with the everyday-life way of talking about it.
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[Allesandro Bianchi, Reuters]
Cause and effect, motion and movers,reasons why
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Everything that happens has a cause/reason?
Aristotle: Eric Gaba.
Aristotle Spinoza Leibniz
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We learn about the world by looking at it(not just by thinking about it)
Hume Bayes
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Bayesian reasoning
posteriorcredence
likelihood ofevidence given theory
priorcredence
“Credence” = “degree of belief.”
1) Assign priors.2) Calculate likelihoods.3) Gather evidence.4) Update credences.
Steps:
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Conservation of momentum:the world moves by itself
Ibn SinaIbn Sina: Adam Jones; Voyager: NASA/JPL. Wikimedia commons.
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“An intellect which at a certain moment would know all forcesand all positions of all items of which nature is composed…for such an intellect nothing would be uncertain and the future just like the past would be present before its eyes.”
- An Essay on Probabilities, 1814
Laplace’s Demon.
Laplace: Wikimedia Commons
Conservation of information:each moment determines
its past and future
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Laws are differential equations in time.
Isaac Newton:
Erwin Schrödinger:
(Footnote: quantum indeterminism?)
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Time doesn’t “flow,”or bring the futureinto existence; it’sjust a label.
Laws of nature arepatterns connectingdifferent moments.
time
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“Cause and effect” isn’t fundamental
“The law of causality, I believe, like much that passes muster among philosophers, is a relic of a bygone age, surviving, like the monarchy, only because it is erroneously supposed to do no harm.”
– Bertrand Russell
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Aging Memory
Cause & EffectFree Will
Major disconnect between fundamental physicsand everyday life: the arrow of time.
Nowhere to be found in the underlying, microscopic laws.
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A single phenomenon underlies allmanifestations of time’s arrow: increasing entropy.
Entropy is a measure of disorderliness,messiness, randomness.
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Time
Entro
pySecond Law of Thermodynamics:entropy increases with time(in closed systems).
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Ludwig Boltzmann, 1870’s:
Entropy counts the number of ways we can re-arrange a system without changingits basic appearance.
high entropy:all mixed up
low entropy:delicatelyordered
[Martin Röll]
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possible arrangementsof atoms/molecules,grouped by macroscopicindistinguishability
Entropy increasessimply because thereare more ways to be high-entropy than low-entropy.
All makes sense, if the entropy waslow to begin with.
lowentropy
highentropy
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The Past Hypothesis:our universe started in a low-entropy state.
13.8 billion years ago, at the Big Bang.
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1 second: hot, smooth plasma.
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380,000 years: ripples in a smooth background
[Planck]
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1010 years: stars and galaxies.
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1015 years: black holes and rocks.
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10100 years: empty space (dark energy).
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1 sec 105 yr 1010 yr 1015 yr 10100 yr
Our observable universe
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“Memories” and “causes” are emergent features ofan underlying time-symmetric universe that has amacroscopic arrow of time.
Memory: feature of nowthat lets us infer somethingabout the past.
Cause: feature of nowthat lets us infer somethingabout the future.
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Low-entropy past gives features of the presentleverage over other times.
what we knowabout the present
low-entropypast
correct reconstruction
possiblefuturespossible
pasts
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Emergence:different levels of description involve
completely different concepts/vocabularies
Macroscopic world
Microscopic fundamental physics
tableschairs
people planets
particlesforces
spacetime
• arrow of time• dissipation• cause and effect• “reasons why”
• laws of nature• patterns• differential equations• conservation of
information
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1. Cosmos, Time, Memory images of the world; causality; the arrow of time
2. The Stuff of which We Are Made quantum theory; the laws underlying everyday life
3. Layers of Reality effective theories; emergence; multiple vocabularies
4. Simplicity, Complexity, Thought entropy vs. complexity; life; consciousness
5. Our Place in the Universe ought vs. is; meaning, caring, constructing morals