ghg emissions and reducons in agriculture what is ...€¦ · 161027 - iscc sustainability...
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GHGEmissionsandReduc0onsinAgricultureWhatishappeninginthe
EU?
RobVierhout,MScISCCSustainabilityConference27October2016-SãoPaulo
TheEUEnergy&Climatepolicypost2020
TheAgriculturalsectoranditsemissions
Concludingremarks
Agenda
2161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
WhyambiKoustargetsareneeded
Source:EEA,Commission(DGCA)
3161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
TheEUEnergy&Climatepolicypost2020
TheAgriculturalsectoranditsemissions
Concludingremarks
Agenda
4161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
TheEU’sEnergy&ClimatePolicy:thetargets
5
InOctober2014theEuropeanCouncilagreedthe2020-2030policyframeworkandtargetsforClimateandEnergy
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
Theonlytargets?
TheEU’sEnergy&ClimatePolicypost2020:GHGtargets&instruments
6
Sector Savingtobeachieved How
Overall Economy-wide Atleast40%comparedto2009
BindingfortheEU28+Norway+
Iceland
ETS*Highenergyconsumingindustries
43%comparedto2005
Market-basedemissionrights(allowances)
Non-ETSAG,waste
management,transport,buildings
30%comparedto2005
NaKonallybindingreducKontargets
(ESD/R)
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
*ETSstandsforEmissionsTradingScheme,coveringover11000largeinstallaKons
TheEU“Effortsharing”policy
7
• TheEffortSharingDecision(2009)establishedbindingannualGHGemissiontargetsforMemberStates(MS)fortheperiod2013–2020
• Onlyapplicablefornon-ETSsectors:transport(exceptaviaKonandinternaKonalmariKmeshipping),buildings,agricultureandwaste
• ProposalonthetabletoupdatetheEffortSharingpolicywithbindingtargetsfor2021-2030
• MoreambiIousthanthepresentESD:
• 30%reducKoninsteadof10%now
• NineMSmayachievetheirtargetbycoveringsomeemissionswithEUETSallowancesbutnomorethan100MtonsCO2
• MSmayusetoacertainlevelsavingsfromcertainlandusecategories
• Bankingandborrowingpossible,aswellasbuyingandsellingbetweenMS
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
GHGemissiontargetscomparisonforeachMS2013-2020and2021–2030
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GHGem
ission%
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Luxembo
urg
Swed
enDe
nmark
Finland
Germ
any
France UK
Nethe
rland
sAu
stria
Belgium
Italy
Ireland
Spain
Cyprus
Malta
Portugal
Greece
Sloven
iaCzechRe
public
Estonia
Slovakia
Lithuania
Poland
CroaKa
Hungary
Latvia
Romania
Bulgaria
EUto
tal
Targets2013-2020
Targets2021-2030*
carbondioxide(CO2),methane(CH4),nitrousoxide(NO2),hydrofluorocarbons(HFCs),perfluorocarbons(PFCs)andsulphurhexafluoride(SF6)
*SKllunderdiscussionbyMS&EP
TheEUEnergy&Climatepolicypost2020
TheAgriculturalsectoranditsemissions
Concludingremarks
Agenda
9161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
GlobalGHGemissionsbyeconomicsector(2010)
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Source:IPCC2014,5thassessmentreport
AGGHGEmissionsintheEU(excludingLULUCF)2012
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Source:EuropeanEnvironmentAgency2015
471MtCO2eq(2012):- Manuremanagement(CH4,N2O):16.8%- Livestock(CH4):31,3%- Agriculturalsoils(N2O):51.3%
DevelopmentofAGGHGemissionCO2eqintheEU(1990-2012)
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Source:EuropeanEnvironmentAgency2015
ChangesintheEU-28GHGemissionsbysector(1990-2012)
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Source:EuropeanEnvironmentAgency2015
Projectedemissions/carbonsinkfromLandUse,LandUseChange,Forestry(LULUCF)-2005-2030
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Source:EuropeanCommission,COM(2016)479final,IA
Reducingemissionsfromagriculture
15
• ExpectaKonisthatby2030comparedto2005AGemissionreducKonwillbearoundonly-2.4%
• Mainreasonisthatthecost-efficientmiKgaKonpotenKalofnon-CO2emissionsislow*
• However,thereismorepotenKalinreducKonofCO2emissionsinAGland.CarbonsequestraKonthroughland-use,land-usechange,cropproducKon;ferKlizerapplicaKon;zeroKllage;wetland/peatlandrestoraKon**
• TheroleoftheAGsectorasfoodsuppliermakesthisalong-termopKon
• Othersectors(transport,buildings,waste)needtodeliverrelaKvelymoreGHGemissionsreducKontoachievethe-30%target
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*AneconomicassessmentofGHGmiKgaKonpolicyopKonforEUAG,JRC,2016**EffecKveperformanceoftoolsforclimateacKonpolicy.Ricardo-AEA,2016
ExisKngpolicyandpolicyunderconsideraKon
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• GreeningtheCAP
• ChangeinferKlizeruse
• BeteraccounKngofemissionsforLULUCFandlinkagetoESD
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GreeningtheCommonAgriculturalPolicy(CAP)
17
• 'Greening',amajorinnovaKonbroughtinunderthe2013CAPreformmakingthedirectpaymentssystemmoreenvironment-friendly:farmerswhousefarmlandmoresustainablyandcarefornaturalresourcesbenefitfinancially
• Coreelements:
• diversifyingcrops-mandatorycroprotaKon(farmsize-related)
• maintainingpermanentgrassland(taskforauthoriKes)
• dedicaKng5%ofarablelandto'ecologicallybeneficialelements'('ecologicalfocusareas’)suchas:fallowland,fieldmargins,hedgesandtrees,bufferstrips
• Small-holdersareexcludedfrom‘greening’
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
LandUse,LandUseChange,Forestry(LULUCF)
18
• FollowingtheCOPParisAgreementthereisabillunderdiscussiontohaveinEUlawtheKyotoProtocolprincipleofthe“nodebitrule”byincorporaKnglanduseandforestryintotheEU'semission-reducKonefforts(excludednowfromGHGemissionsavingtargets)
• EnsurethatGHGemissionsfromlandusearecompensatedbyanequivalentabsorpKonofCO₂byaddiKonalacKoninthesector:AccounInginsteadofjustreporKng
• Theproposedmeasuresarebindingforcountriesnotforfarmers(yet)
• The“nodebitrule”appliestotheoverallEUtargetandtheindividualMStargets
• LULUCFcredits(netemissionsavings)canbeusedforESDcompliance;onewaythough
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
Circulareconomy-ferKlizer
19
• DecemberlastyearamajorpolicychangewasproposedtocreateacirculareconomyinEurope:resource-efficientuseofmaterials,lesswaste,morere-useofwaste
• InMarchthisyearasafirstdeliverableofthecirculareconomypackagewaspresented:aproposalonorganicandwaste-basedferKlizers
• TheobjecKvesare:a) morestringentstandardsforfossil-basedferKlizers,andb) creaKnganinternalmarketfororganicferKliserreducing
theneedforfossil-basedferKlizers
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
TheEUEnergy&Climatepolicypost2020
TheAgriculturalsectoranditsemissions
Concludingremarks
Agenda
20161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
Concludingremarks
21
• TheEUisontrackreducingitsGHGemissionsasplannedbutambiKouspost2020EUtargetshadtobeagreedupontostayontrack
• Forthenon-ETSsectorsallMS(exceptBulgaria)needtorealiseemissionsavingsbutunderasystemthatallowsmoreflexibility
• TheEUisplanningtoabandontargetsontransportandfuels,anexcepKonisbeingconsideredforadvancedbiofuelsbuttheoverallobjecKveismaximumflexibilityoftheMStoachieveGHGemissiontargets
• GHGemissionsavings(non-CO2emissions)intheEUAGsectorareachallenge(toocostly);savingswouldneedtocomefromLU,LUCandF
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo
QuesKons
22
• WhatwillbethefutureofconvenKonalbiofuels?
• WhatmightbetheimpactofthenewE&EpolicyfortheagriculturalsectorhereinSouth-America?
161027-ISCCSustainabilityConference,SãoPaulo