georgia academy for economic development 1examine the data for education in georgia 2economic impact...
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Georgia Academy for Economic Development
1 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
2 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates
3 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
4 What Can We Do?
Examine the Data for Education in Georgia
Academic Achievement Milestones
School Readiness
Literacy by 3rd Grade
Numeracy by 8th Grade
High School Graduation
Workforce and/or College Ready
Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2008
Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center.
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20%
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Georgia63%
UnitedStates61%
NAEP 2009 4th Grade Reading At or Above Basic
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
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Georgia63%
UnitedStates65%
NAEP 2009 8th Grade Math At or Above Basic
Source: National Center for Education Statistics
0
20
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UnitedStates71%
Georgia67%
SAT 2009 Scores – All States
Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.
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2000
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SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 25%
Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.
0
500
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1500
2000
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SAT 2009 Scores – States with Participation Rate At or Above 60%
Source: College Board, 2009 College-Bound Seniors, State and National Reports.
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500
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1500
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Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08.
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UnitedStates74.9% Georgia
65.4%
High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings
Georgia High School Graduation Rates
Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. *2010 data is preliminary.
YearHigh School
Graduation RateNumber of High
School Non-Grads
2007 72% 28,883
2008 75% 27,248
2009 79% 23,567
2010* 80% 22,498
Total 102,196
Economic Impact ofGeorgia Non-Graduates
Education Pays
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. Data given are 1st quarter 2010 averages.
EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT
Unemployment Rate April 2010Median Wkly Earnings
(& approx. annual)
15% 10% 5% 0% 0 200 600 1000
4.4Bachelor’s
Degree & Higher$1,140 ($59,280)
8.1Some college/
Associate Degree$738 ($38,376)
10.5HS Graduates,
No College$624 ($32,448)
14.5Less than a High School Diploma
$448 ($23,296)
Unemployment Rates by Education Level
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.
Unemployment Rates by County, Feb. 2010
Source: Georgia Department of Labor
State Service Delivery Regions
Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion
How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone?
Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding.
Region 1 $2.2 billion
Region 2 $1.2 billion
Region 3 $4.2 billion
Region 4 $1.1 billion
Region 5 $1.1 billion
Region 6 $1.0 billion
Region 7 $1.1 billion
Region 8 $0.9 billion
Region 9 $0.9 billion
Region 10 $2.0 billion
Region 11 $1.0 billion
Region 12 $1.1 billion
TOTAL $18 billion*
Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion
Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children.
INDIVIDUALS THE COMMUNITY
Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth
Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity
Higher health care & criminal justice costs
Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood
Higher public services costs
Less voting; Less volunteeringLow rate of community involvement
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY ISSUE
#1Early Life Experiences
KEY ISSUE
#2Academic Achievement K-12
KEY ISSUE
#3Transitions to Work or College
Family Income Affects School Readiness
Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99.
Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36
Age of child in months
Voc
abu
lary
Siz
eDisparities in Early Vocabulary Growth
Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.”
Professional Families 1,116 words
Working Class Families 749 words
Welfare Families 525 words
Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study
41%
36%
29%
20%
13%
7%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Never onwelfare as adult
Own home
Earn $2,000+monthly
Program group No-Program group
Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
66%
15%
45%
34%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Graduated HSon Time
ReceivedSpecial
Education
Program group No-program group
Economic Benefits of Early Education:Perry Preschool Study
Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences
KEY ISSUE
#2Academic Achievement K-12
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#3#3Transitions to Work or CollegeTransitions to Work or College
6th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School
Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions.
Flag in Sixth Grade
Percent with this flag who…
Attended ≤ 80%
Failed Math
Course
Failed English Course
Suspended Out of School
Un-satisfactory
Behavior
Graduated on time 13 13 12 16 24
Did not graduate 83 81 82 80 71
Cost of Student Retention in Georgia
61,642 X $8,909 =More than $549
million
Georgia students retained in 2009
Average annual cost of education
per student
Total cost of student retention in 2009 for
Georgia
Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation
Example for Washington County School System:
152 X $8,540 = $1,298,080
Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States
Higher Standards
Rigorous Curriculum
Clear Accountability System
Statewide Student Information System
Leadership Training
3rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009
All Students Black Hispanic White
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009
All Students Black Hispanic White
8th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
% of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009All Students Black Hispanic White
High School Graduation Rates in Georgia:Closing the Gaps
Source: Georgia Department of Education.
Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#1#1Early Life ExperiencesEarly Life Experiences
KEY KEY ISSUE ISSUE
#2#2Academic Achievement K-12Academic Achievement K-12
KEY ISSUE
#3Transitions to Work or College
Are They College Ready?
Source: Nat’l Center for Education Statistics. “The Condition of Education: Student Effort & Educational Progress.” 2004
Educational Attainment of Remedial Coursetakers
Source: College Board, “The 6th Annual A.P. Report to the Nation: Georgia Supplement,” 2010.
Participation & Performance in AP Courses
Source: U.S. Department of Labor. Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009.
The Demands of America’s New Economy
The number of jobs for workers with a bachelor’s degree or higher will increase from 38 million in 2006 to 43 million by 2016 – a growth rate of nearly 15 percent.
12 of the 20 fastest growing occupations require an associate degree or higher.
Source: National Skills Coalition, “The Issues.”
Middle-Skills Gap Between Jobs & Workers
Persistent shortages of middle-skill workers inhibit industry growth and U.S. competitiveness
What Can We Do?
Look at the Data for your Community
KIDS COUNT Data
Georgia Family Connection Partnership
www.gafcp.org
School and System Comparisons
Georgia School Council Institute
www.georgiaeducation.org
2009 CRCT Comparisons: 3rd Grade ReadingWashington County Schools
Source: Georgia School Council Institute
2009 CRCT Comparisons: 8th Grade MathWashington County Schools
Source: Georgia School Council Institute
2009 SAT Comparisons: Average Total ScoreWashington County Schools
Source: Georgia School Council Institute
Improving the Pipeline:Low Birth Weight in 2008
GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Washington County.
Washington County
Georgia
Total # of births 291 146,464
# of low weight births 39 14,014
low birth weight rate 13.4% 9.6%
RESULT: 4 healthier babies!Source: Georgia Department of Community Health
35
12.0%
Improving the Pipeline:High School Graduation in 2010
GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Washington County.
Washington County
Georgia
Total # of Graduates 219 88,003
Graduation Rate 75.8% 78.9%
RESULT: 22 more high school graduates!
Source: Georgia Department of Education
241
83.4%
Aligning Educational Strategies
Aligned Acts of Improvement
Random Acts of Improvement
GOALS
GOALS
Insulating the Birth to Work Pipeline
LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS
Childcare Providers
Afterschool Programs
Academic Supports
Job Training
Civic Opportunities
Early Childhood
K – 12 SystemPost Secondary
Work & Career
ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES
Transportation Health Housing Financial
Source: The Forum for Youth Investment