geo-neutrinos: combined kamland and borexino analysis, and future

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Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future. 4° Neutrino Geoscience Takayama 21-23 March 2013. 1° Neutrino Geoscience Honolulu 14-16 December 2005. Fabio Mantovani – University of Ferrara & INFN. Summary. An historical perspective How to look into the deep Earth? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future
Page 2: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

1° Neutrino Geoscience

Honolulu 14-16 December 2005

Fabio Mantovani – University of Ferrara & INFNFabio Mantovani – University of Ferrara & INFN

4° Neutrino Geoscience Takayama 21-23 March 2013

Page 3: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Summary• An historical perspective

• How to look into the deep Earth?

• Why the refined local and global models are important?

• New Borexino and KamLAND results: theory vs experiments

• Multi-site “view” of the mantle

Page 4: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geo-neutrinos: anti-neutrinos from the EarthGeo-neutrinos: anti-neutrinos from the Earth

U, Th and 40K in the Earth release heat together with anti-neutrinos,

in a well fixed ratio:

• Earth emits (mainly) antineutrinos whereas Sun shines in neutrinos.

• A fraction of geo-neutrinos from U and Th (not from 40K) are above threshold for inverse on protons:

• Different components can be distinguished due to different energy spectra: e. g. anti- with highest energy are from Uranium.

• Signal unit: 1 TNU = one event per 1032 free protons per year

p e n 1.8 MeV

Page 5: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geo-neutrinos born on board of the Santa Fe Chief trainGeo-neutrinos born on board of the Santa Fe Chief train

In 1953 G. Gamow wrote to F. Reines: “It just occurred to me that your background may just be coming from

high energy beta-decaying members of U and Th families in the crust of the Earth.”

F. Reines answered to G. Gamow: “Heat loss from Earth’s surface is 50 erg cm−2 s−1.

If assume all due to beta decay than have only enough energy for about 108 one-MeV neutrinos cm−2 and s.”

Page 6: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geoneutrino signal: an historical perspectiveGeoneutrino signal: an historical perspective

Models assuming uniform U distribution in the Earth:

• Eder (Nucl. Phys. 1966)

• Marx (Cz. J. Phys 1969)

• Kobayashi (GRL 1991)

Model with an uniform distribution of U in the continental crust:

• Krauss et al. (Nature 1984)

2° x 2° crustal model with BSE constraint (papers after 2004)

BSE model with different U distribution between crust and mantle:

• Rothschild et al. (1991)

▲ Raghavan et al. (1998) KamLAND and Borexino measurements

Page 7: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

How to look into the deep Earth?How to look into the deep Earth?Expected signal in SNO+ (2013-14)

• 82 % from crust

• 18 % from mantle

Expected signal in KamLAND (2002)

• 75 % from crust

• 25 % from mantle

Expected signal in Borexino (2007)

• 75 % from crust

• 25 % from mantleReconstruction of

geo- direction

with Gd, Li and B

loaded LS is being

investigated by

several groups.

(See Shimizu,

Domogatsky et al.,

Hochmuth et al.)

Expected signal in Hawaii

• 28 % from crust

• 72 % from mantleSee Jocher et al. 2013

John Learned talk – Saturday 23 March – 10.00 @ NGS13

Page 8: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

?

arXiv:1204.1923v1 [hep-ph] Apr 2012

Page 9: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Modeling geo-neutrino signalModeling geo-neutrino signal

For each element (U, Th) the expected geo-neutrino signal S in one site on the Earth’s surface is the sum of three contributions:

RExpected al e O Cst f rust MantlL C eOS S S S

LOC (~500 x 500 km)

• Refined geophysical model of the crust• Main tectonic structures• Direct and detailed survey of U and Th content • Hierarchy of uncertainties sources

ROC

• Discrimination of OC and CC• Thickness and extension of the main continental reservoirs• U and Th abundance of the crustal layers• Evaluation of the uncertainties

Measured LO al est f rustM Rantle C O CS S (S S )

Page 10: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

A refined local model for KamiokaA refined local model for Kamioka

A world wide reference model* predicts for KamLAND:

* Mantovani et al. – Phys. Rev. D 69 – 2004 - hep-ph/0309013

Total signal 32.4 ± 8.3 TNU

Local signal (6 tiles) 16.5 TNU

Inputs used for the refinement

• Use a geochemical study of the

Japan Arc exposed upper crust

(166 samples distinguishing 10

geological classes)

• Use detailed (± 1 km)

measurements of Conrad and

Moho depth

• Use selected values for

abundances LC

• Build a new crustal map of the

Japan Arc (scale ¼° x ¼°)

• Consider possible effect of the

subducting plate

below Japan

Page 11: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Local contribution to geo- signal in KamLANDLocal contribution to geo- signal in KamLAND

Different local sources of geo- are investigated

and the expected signals are estimated:

Reservoir S(Th) [TNU] S(U) [TNU]

Six-tiles 3.20 ± 0.37 11.17 ± 0.65

Subducting slub 0.90 ± 0.27 2.02 ± 0.61

Sea of Japan 0.09 ± 0.03 0.34 ± 0.10

LOC Total 4.19 ± 0.46 13.53 ± 0.90

• The local expected signal is 17.7 ± 1.4 TNU to

compare with 16.4 TNU

• For a fixed element the 1 uncertainties are

independent

• We assume S(U) and S(Th) totally correlated

Page 12: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Local contribution to geo- signal in BorexinoLocal contribution to geo- signal in Borexino

A world wide reference model predicts for Borexino:

Total signal 39.1 ± 8.0 TNU

Signal from 6 tiles 15.0 TNU

Signal from CT 11.8 TNU

Inputs used for the refinement

• The geophysical structure of the

crust is modeled using data of

CROP seismic sections and from

38 deep oil and gas wells.

• We identify 6 reservoirs: 4 of

sediments, UC and LC.

• Representative samples of the

sedimentary cover were collected

and measured by using ICP-MS

• U and Th content

measured in samples

collected from outcrops

on Alps is adopted

for UC and LC

Page 13: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

The main results of this study

are about the thickness of

layers and their composition.

Before the refinement After refinement

Res. z [km] a(Th) [mg/g] a(U) [mg/g] z [km] a(Th) [mg/g] a(U) [mg/g]

Sed. ~ 0.5 6.9 1.67 ~ 13 2.00 ± 0.17 0.80 ± 0.07

UC ~ 10 9.8 2.5 ~ 13 8.1 ± 1.6 2.20 ± 0.43

MC ~ 10 6.1 1.6 / / /

LC ~ 10.5 3.7 0.6 ~ 8 2.6 ± 1.2 0.30 ± 0.10

A refined local model for BorexinoA refined local model for Borexino

The local expected signal calculated signal is SAfter = 9.7 ± 1.3 TNU to

compare with SBefore = 15.0 TNU.

Page 14: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

The Rest Of the CrustThe Rest Of the Crust

Main inputs for calculating geo- signal from the crust: The CRUST2.0 crustal model (Laske G. et al. 2001). For each of the 16200 tiles density and thickness of sediments, upper, middle and lower crust are given. Values of the U and Th mass abundance in each layer taken by review papers (Plank & Langmuir 98, Rudnick & Gao 03).

Why do we need a refinement of the crustal

model?

• We need to evaluate the uncertainties of the geophysical crustal model• New compilations of U and Th abundances are published• An updated 1°x1° map of the sediments is available• New approach based on seismic arguments can be used in the evaluation of U and Th abundances (and their uncertainties) in MC and LCYu Huang talk

Friday 22 March – 14.00 @ NGS13

Page 15: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Theory vs experimentsTheory vs experiments

1 Fiorentini et al. 2012; 2 Huang et al. 2013

RExpected al e O Cst f rust MantlL C eOS S S S

Expected geoneutrino signal [TNU]

Crust MantleTotal

LOC1 ROC2 CLM2 Mantle2

KamLAND 17.7 ± 1.4 7.3 ± 1.4 1.6 ± 1.6 8.8 35.4 ± 2.5

Borexino 9.7 ± 1.3 13.7 ± 2.5 2.2 ± 2.2 8.7 34.3 ± 3.6

Measured geoneutrino signal [TNU]

KamLAND 2013 31.1 ± 7.3

Borexino 2013 38.8 ± 12.0

These expected signals can be

compared with the data published

in 2013 by KamLAND and

Borexino collaborations.

Page 16: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

Year

Sig

nal [

TN

U]

Measured geoneutrino signals in the last yearsMeasured geoneutrino signals in the last years

KamLAND

Data taking from March 02

Year Geo-nu S [TNU]

2005 63 +28 -25

2007 39.4 +14.4 -14.3

2010 38.3 +10.3 -9.9

2013 31.1+7.3-7.3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2007 2009 2011 2013

Year

Sig

nal [

TN

U]

Borexino

Data taking from Dec. 07

Year Geo-nu S [TNU]

2010 64.8 +26.6 -21.6

2013 38.8 +12 -12

Expected signal*

Expected signal*

*Fiorentini et al. 2012 arXiv:1204.1923v2 + Huang et al. 2013

Two independent experiments, far ~104 km each other, measure a geo- signal in good agreement with the expectation.

Page 17: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Multi-site “view” of the mantleMulti-site “view” of the mantle

CruMe stasure led MantS SS

al est f rusR tLO CC usC O r tS S S LOC [TNU]1 ROC [TNU]2 Crust total [TNU]

KamLAND 17.7 ± 1.4 7.3 ± 1.4 25.0 ± 2.0

Borexino 9.7 ± 1.3 13.7 ± 2.5 23.4 ± 2.8

2013 data [TNU] Crust [TNU] Mantle [TNU]

KamLAND 31.1 ± 7.3 25.0 ± 2.0 6.1 ± 7.6

Borexino 38.8 ± 12.0 23.4 ± 2.8 15.4 ± 12.3

1 Fiorentini et al. 2012; 2 Huang et al. 2013

Preliminary

Preliminary

Page 18: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geo-, global U mass and radiogenic heat powerGeo-, global U mass and radiogenic heat power• For a fixed site on Earth’s surface the expected geo- signal from U depends on its global mass m(U) and its distribution inside the Earth:

Manlte Crustm U m U m U

• For a fixed m(U) , the highest and lowest signal is obtained with these U distributions:

• maximal amount of U tolerated by crustal models• the remaining U mass homogeneously distributed in the mantle

• minimal amount of U tolerated by crustal models• the remaining U mass displaced on the bottom of the mantle

m(U)

Page 19: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Geological implications of new KL and BX results

Geological implications of new KL and BX results

Region allowed by a BSE

model with a global m(U) = 0.8

± 0.1 1017 kg and Th/U = 3.9.

The graph is site dependent:

the “slope” is universal

the intercept depends on the site (crust effect)

the width depends on the site (crust effect)

Page 20: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Implications of KL and BX on terrestrial radiogenic heatImplications of KL and BX on terrestrial radiogenic heat

• New results based on ~40.000 measurements in deep bore-holes (55% more than used in previous estimates)

• Heat loss through the sea floor is estimated by half space model.

mW / m2Global heat loss [TW]

Williams and von Herzen [1974]

43

Davies [1980] 41

Sclater et al. [1980] 42

Pollack et al. [1993] 44 ± 1

Hofmeister et al. [2005] 31 ± 1

Jaupart et al. [2007] * 46 ± 3

Davies and Davies [2010] 47 ± 2

For the first time the global terrestrial

heat power from U and Th is

measured in two different locations

H(U+Th) [TW]

KamLAND 13 ± 9

Borexino 23 ± 14

Preliminary

Page 21: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future

Waiting SNO+…

1° Neutrino Geoscience

Honolulu 14-16 December 2005

4° Neutrino Geoscience Takayama 21-23 March 2013

See you for Neutrino Geoscience in 2020!

Page 22: Geo-neutrinos: combined KamLAND and Borexino analysis, and future