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Ge#ng Beyond Theory – Helping Developing & Emerging Countries Move on Energy Efficiency Mark Radka United NaEons Environment Programme Division of Technology, Industry and Economics Energy, Climate, and Technology Branch June 2015

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Page 1: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Ge#ng  Beyond  Theory  –  Helping  Developing  &  Emerging  Countries  Move  on  Energy  Efficiency    

Mark  Radka United  NaEons  Environment  Programme

Division  of  Technology,  Industry  and  Economics Energy,  Climate,  and  Technology  Branch

June  2015

Page 2: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

50%  of  Savings  We  Need  to  Keep  the  2°C  Climate  Goal  Alive  Can  Be  Achieved  With  Energy  Efficiency

2  Image:  Columbia  Sportswear  Company,  San8ago  de  Chile  (2009)                                                        Figures:  IEA  WEO  Special  Report  ‘Redrawing  the  Energy-­‐Climate  Map’  2013  

Page 3: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Countries  Risk  Locking-­‐in  Inefficient  Products  

3  Source:  NAMAs  in  the  refrigera8on,  air  condi8oning  and  foam  sectors:  A  technical  handbook”,  GIZ,  2013;  UNEP  Global  Distribu8on  Transformer  Market  Model;  January  2014  

Non-­‐OECD

OECD +25%

+78%

+30%

+195%

Global  stock  of    distribuEon  transformers

Global  stock  of   room  air  condiEoners

2010 2010 2030 2030

Page 4: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

With  No  AcEon,  Electricity  Demand  in  non-­‐OECD  Countries  Will  Double  by  2030  

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

World OECD Non-­‐OECD

Electricity  GeneraEon  [TWh]

2011 2030

+22% +103% +64%

Source:  IEA  World  Energy  Outlook  2013,  current  policies  scenario  

Page 5: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Most  Developing  Countries  Do  Not  Have  Policies  in  Place  Today  to  Leapfrog  to  Efficient  Products

5  Source:  UNEP,  2014

MEPS  in  2013:  mostly  in  OECD  Countries Our  goal:  MEPS  in  all  countries  by  2020!

Motors

Refrigerators

Air  CondiEoners

Transformers

Motors

Refrigerators

Air  CondiEoners

Transformers

Page 6: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Global  ConsumpEon  of  Electrical  Products  in  2030

Global  Electricity  ConsumpEon  in  2030  –  Business  as  Usual

LighEng

Refrigerators

Electric  motors  (0.75-­‐375kW;  excluding  AC  &  refrigerators)

Transformers

InformaEon  technology

Σ  56%  of  global  electricity  use Total:  31,000  TWh

Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model; USEIA , UNEP

•  HeaEng •  Motors  >375kW •  Electrolysis

Air-­‐condiEoners

Page 7: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

The  PotenEal  of  Improving  Energy  Efficiency  in  the  Top  6  High-­‐consuming  Products  

7  Source:  UNEP,  2014  (esEmated  annual  figures  for  2030)

Page 8: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Ge#ng  Beyond  Theory  –  AcceleraEng  the  Move  to  Efficient  Products  in  Developing  &  Emerging  Countries

8  

Country  assessments    of  potenEal  savings  &  policy  readiness  

Global  consensus  on  best  pracEce  policies

Implement  naEonal  &  regional  product  policies

Gain  poliEcal  commitment  from  countries  and  regions

Page 9: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

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Successful  market  transformaEon

Minimum  Energy    Performance  Standards      

SupporEng  policies    promoEng  demand  for  efficient  products  and  financing  mechanisms

Environmentally  sound    life-­‐cycle  management    mercury,  electronic  waste,  ozone  depleEng  substances…

Monitoring,  verificaEon  and  enforcement  programmes  that  discourage  non-­‐compliant  products  

Integrated  policy  approach

Modus  Operandi  to  Transform  Markets  

Page 10: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

The  en.lighten  IniEaEve  Supported  48  Countries  in  Shioing  to  Efficient  LighEng  

10  

 >  2.75  billion    US$  savings  per  year

 >  14  million  tonnes  annual  CO2    savings

>  25  TWh    saved  per  year

In  total  66  partner  countries

efficient  lighEng  for   >   1  b i l l i on  peop le

Source:  UNEP  en.lighten  IniEaEve,  2015

Page 11: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

COLLECTIVE  IMPACT

Five  Condi*ons  for  Collec*ve  Impact  –  with  elements  

Precondi*ons  for  collec*ve  impact:  

•  Influen*al  champion  or  champions  (small  group)  

•  Sustained  and  adequate  financial  resources  (for  at  least  3  years)  

•  Sense  of  “urgency  for  change”  around  the  issue  

Kania, & Kramer, 2011 Hanleybrown, Kania, & Kramer, 2012

Hanleybrown, Kania, & Splansky Juster, 2014

COMMON  AGENDA     A  shared  vision  leading  to  a  common  understanding  of  the  problem      A  joint  approach  to  solving  it  through  agreed  upon  ac8ons

SHARED  MEASUREMENT     Collec8ng  data  and  measuring  results  consistently      Aligning  efforts      Holding  each  other  accountable

MUTUALLY  REINFORCING  ACTIVITIES  

  Projects  and  ac8vi8es  that  are  differen8ated  while  s8ll  being  coordinated  through  a  mutually  reinforcing  plan  of  ac8on

CONTINUOUS  COMMUNICATION  

  Consistent  and  open  communica8on  across  the  many  players  to  build  trust      Reinforcing  mutual  objec8ves  and  the  common  mo8va8on

BACKBONE  SUPPORT     Strategic  direc8on,  facilita8ng  dialogue,  managing  data  collec8on  and  analysis,  communica8on  and  outreach,  and  mobilizing  funding

MINDSET  SHIFTS    -­‐  Who  is  involved?  -­‐  How  to  work  together?  -­‐  How  progress  happens?  

  Involve  all  actors,  including  those  with  radically  different  perspec8ves     Do  not  underes8mate  the  power  of  rela8onships  and  trust   Sharing  credit  with  others  is  far  more  powerful  than  taking  credit   No  single  network  has  the  silver  bullet  –  it  has  be  craeed  together

Page 12: Ge#ng&Beyond&Theory&–Helping&Developing ......Data Sources: IEA Key World Energy Statistics 2013, IEA World Energy Outlook 2013, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory BUENAS Model;

Make  the  Global  Shio  to    Efficient  Appliances  &  Equipment

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•  Make  energy  efficiency  a  reality  beyond  OECD  countries

•  Move  beyond  lighEng  to  the  next  ‘High-­‐consumpEon  products’

•  Apply  European  experiences  in  transforming  markets  to  other  countries