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The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (Pty) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07 Gas to Liquid Technologies March 2012 Gareth Shaw The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (Soc) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (Pty) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

Gas to Liquid

Technologies March 2012

Gareth Shaw

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (Soc) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

2

Objectives

What role should GTL technology play in future energy supply in South Africa?

• List of GTL technologies to be considered

• Major characteristics:

­ Costs

­ Emissions

­ Jobs

­ Water use

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

3

GTL role in future supply

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

4

Regional energy resource mix

Source: DOE, RSA 1

• East coast and West coast gas

• Shale gas (not shown below)

Current Operations

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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Demand for liquid fuels

Source: PFC Energy 2

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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Gas reserves required to meet future growth

Source: PFC Energy 2

GTL technology is now

designed to make diesel

In 2030 a further 4.6 Tcf of gas will be required to meet the 70 000 b/d diesel demand growth.

In 2025 3.3 Tcf of gas will be required to meet 50 000 b/d diesel demand growth.

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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GTL growing internationally

Mossel Bay Sasolburg

Qatar

Malaysia

Nigeria

Qatar

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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GTL operations worldwide

Current

PetroSA

36 000 b/d

South Africa

Sasol/QP

40 000 b/d

RSA/Qatar

Shell/QP

85 000 b/d

Malaysia/Qatar

Future

Sasol/Chevron

32 400 b/d

Nigeria

Shell/QP

70 000 b/d

Qatar

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

PetroSA Sasol Shell

Capa

city

bar

rels

/day

Future

Existing

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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PetroSA’s GTL Operations

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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PetroSA GTL Operations

producing 1992 -2012

Fresh water design

Petrol design basis

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

11 Source: Technip

Oryx GTL in Qatar

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

12 Source: SasolChevron

Escravos GTL in Nigeria

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

13 Source: Gas Matters

Shell Pearl GTL in Qatar

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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Semi Commercial Demonstration

operational trials completed

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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GTL industry facing high capital cost

increases

Source: Cera

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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GTL costs at $100 per barrel crude price

$30/bbl

$47/bbl

$13/bbl

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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GTL Technologies

LTFT Prod

Cost

Emissions Jobs Water

use

Sea

Water

use

Units $/bbl tCO2/t prod Number T H2O/t

prod

T H2O/t

prod

40 000 b/d 90 1.3 750 0 15

LCA Well

to wheels

4.0 3

HTFT Prod

Cost

Emissions Jobs Water

use

Sea

Water

use

Units tCO2/t prod Number T H2O/t

prod

T H2O/t

prod

HTFT

Mossel

Bay

2.3 4 1000 5 (17)

• Approximation 3

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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Conclusions

• South Africa is well positioned to use GTL in the future

• Diesel production by GTL matches local market demand

• GTL technology production costs competitive

­ At $100 per barrel oil price

­ $5 per MMBTU gas price

• Sufficient regional gas reserves discovered to meet diesel demand growth post 2020.

• GTL technology designed to use seawater but then needs a coastal location.

The Petroleum Oil and Gas Corporation of South Africa (SOC) Ltd Reg. No. 1970/008130/07

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References

1. Magubane Nelisiwe, Our Journey Towards 2030, Department of Energy, RSA

2. PFC Energy, BLNS Supply Zone – Demand & Supply Forecast, November 2011

3. Forman G, Hahn T & Jensen S, Greenhouse Gas Emission Evaluation of the GTL Pathway, Environmental Science and Technology, Sept 2011

4. Environmental Resources Management Report, PetroSA Carbon Footprint Study FY09/10 & FY 10/11, Oct 2011