gary becker solow. becker at princeton. john milnor. talcott parsons. becker graduating from...
TRANSCRIPT
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GARY BECKER
Milton Friedman InstituteConference in Honor of Gary BeckerFebruary 11, 2011
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Beck’s Flex
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Which Way to the Beach?
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Gary Becker—The Isaac Newton of Economics?
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On Isaac Newton
[Newton’s] peculiar gift was the power of holding continuously in his mind a purely mental problem until he had seen straight through it. I fancy his preeminence is due to his muscles of intuition being the strongest and most enduring with which a man has ever been gifted.
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On Isaac Newton
…but it was his intuition which was pre-eminently extraordinary—‘so happy in his conjectures,’ said de Morgan, ‘as to seem to know more than he could possibly have any means of proving.’ The proofs for what they are worth, were, as I have said, dressed up afterwards—they were not the instrument of discovery.
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On Isaac Newton
His experiments were always, I suspect, a means, not of discovery, but always of verifying what he knew already.”
—Keynes (Essays in Biography,
1963, pp. 312–313)
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Developments in Economics 1950-1990
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Ansley Coale
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James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
“For many years economists have taken variations in rates of population growth, and in family size, as data which help to explain various economic phenomena but which cannot themselves be explained in terms of economic theory. Becker has done us a real service in bringing economic analysis to bear on the problem once more.”
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James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
“Questions of semantics aside, there is an important substantive difference between Becker’s approach and that taken by economists whose approach is, if he will excuse the expression, more sociological.”
“I used to tell my students that the difference between economics and sociology is very simple. Economics is all about how people make choices. Sociology is all about why they don’t have any choices to make.”
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“…I submit that a sociologist would take the view that given the educational level, occupation, region, and a few other factors, most couples would consider that they have a very narrow range of choice. To take only one example, I suggest that there is no one in the room, not even Becker, who considers himself free to choose either two children who go to university or four children who stop their education after high school…”
James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
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“…It may be said that that still leaves lots of room for variation, but I think it can be said that no one in this room considers seriously having, say, four children who attend third-ratecolleges at low cost per head or three who attend better ones.”
James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
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“…But in many respects the standard of living of the children ismechanically linked to that of the parents. Is it possible to have crowded housing conditions for the children and uncrowded conditions for the parents? …Becker has used the term quality as though it were just another expression for expenditure at constant prices… But even if one had nothing else to do, the marginal disutility of Cub Scout and PTA meetings rises rapidly. These non-cash costs must certainly be of some importance in determining family size.”
James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
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“The time which parentsspend on children is largely determined by social conventions.”
James Duesenberry on Becker’s Work on Fertility
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General Intelligence
Gf (Fluid Intelligence)Sequential ReasoningInductive ReasoningQuantitative ReasoningPiagetian Reasoning
Math ReasoningQuantitative ReasoningMath Problems
Visual PerceptionVisualizationSpatial RelationsClosure SpeedClosure FlexibilitySerial Perceptual IntegrationSpatial ScanningImagery
ClosureClosure SpeedClosure Flexibility
Perceptual SpeedNumber ComputationRT and other Elementary Cognitive TasksStroopClerical SpeedDigit/Symbol
Learning and MemoryMemory SpanAssociative MemoryFree Recall MemoryMeaningful MemoryVisual Memory
Knowledge and AchievementGeneral School AchievementVerbal Information and KnowledgeInformation and Knowledge, Math and ScienceTechnical and Mechanical KnowledgeKnowledge of Behavioral Content
Ideational FluencyIdeational FluencyNaming FacilityExpressional FluencyWord FluencyCreativityFigural FluencyFigural Flexibility
Gc(Crystallized Intelligence)Verbal ComprehensionLexical KnowledgeReading ComprehensionReading Speed“Cloze”SpellingPhonetic CodingGrammatical SensitivityForeign LanguageCommunicationListeningOral ProductionOral StyleWriting
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Big Five Personality
Factor
American PsychologyAssociation Dictionary
description
Facets (and correlatedtrait adjective)
Related Traits
Conscientious-ness
“the tendency to beorganized, responsible,and hardworking”
Competence (efficient)Order (organized)Dutifulness (not careless)Achievement striving(ambitious)Self-discipline (not lazy)Deliberation (notimpulsive)
GritPerseveranceDelay of gratificationImpulse controlAchievement strivingAmbitionWork ethic
Openness toExperience
“the tendency to be open to new aesthetic, cultural, or intellectual experiences”
Fantasy (imaginative)Aesthetic (artistic)Feelings (excitable)Actions (wide interests)Ideas (curious)Values (unconventional)
—
The Big Five Personality Domains and Their Facets
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Big Five Personality
Factor
American PsychologyAssociation Dictionary
Description
Facets (and correlatedtrait adjective)
Related Traits
Extraversion “an orientation of one’sinterests and energiestoward the outer worldof people and thingsrather than the innerworld of subjectiveexperience; characterized bypositive affect andsociability”
Gregariousness(sociable)Assertiveness (self-confident)Activity (energetic)Excitement seeking(adventurous)Positive emotions(enthusiastic)
—
Agreeableness “the tendency to act in a cooperative, unselfishmanner”
Trust (forgiving)Straight-forwardness (not demanding)Altruism (warm)Compliance (notstubborn)Modesty (not show-off)Tender-mindedness(sympathetic)
EmpathyPerspective takingCooperationCompetitiveness
The Big Five Personality Domains and Their Facets
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Big Five Personality
Factor
American PsychologyAssociation Dictionary
Description
Facets (and correlatedtrait adjective)
Related Traits
Neuroticism/Emotional Stability
Emotional stability is“predictability andconsistency in emotionalreactions, with absenceof rapid mood changes.”Neuroticism is “a chronic level of emotional instability and proneness topsychological distress.”
Anxiety (worrying)Hostility (irritable)Depression (notcontented)Self-consciousness (shy)Impulsiveness (moody)Vulnerability to stress(not self-confident)
Internal vs. ExternalLocus of controlCore self-evaluationSelf-esteemSelf-efficacyOptimismAxis Ipsychopathologies(mental disorders)including depressionand anxiety disorders
The Big Five Personality Domains and Their Facets
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An Intellectual Biography:The Role of Brilliance, Persistence, and Creativity
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Becker as a Child
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James Madison High School
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Lifetime Antagonist andFellow Madison Alum,
Robert Solow
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Becker at Princeton
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John Milnor
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Talcott Parsons
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Becker graduating from Princeton in 1951
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William Baumol
“The Classical Monetary Theory: The Outcome of the Discussion,” with W. J. Baumol, Economica XIX (76): 355-76, November, 1952.
“A Note on Multi-Country Trade,” American Economic Review, XLII (no. 4): 558-68, September 1952.
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Jacob Viner
“Becker is the best student I ever had.”
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COWLES COMMISSION
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Report of Research Activities, July 1, 1952 – June 30, 1954
President Alfred Cowles 3rd *Nobel laureates = 8
Executive Director
Rosson L. Cardwell
ResearchDirector
Tjalling C. Koopmans
Research Associates
Stephen G. AllenMartin J. BeckmannRosson L. CardwellGerard Debreu*John Gurland
Arnold C. Harberger I.N. HersteinClifford HildrethH.S. Houthakker
Tjalling C. Koopmans* Jacob Marschak C. Bartlett McGuire Richard F. Muth
Roy RadnerLeo TörnqvistDaniel WatermanChristopher Winstein
Research Assistants
Gary Becker*Francis BobkoskiWilliam L. Dunaway
Thomas A. Goldman Edwin Goldstein
Marc NerloveLester G. Telser
Alan L. TritterJagna Zahl
Research Consultants
Stephen G. Allen Theodore W. AndersonKenneth J. Arrow*Herman Chernoff
Carl F. ChristHarold T. DavisTrygve Haavelmo*Clifford Hildreth
William C. Hood H.S. HouthakkerLeonid Hurwicz*Lawrence R. Klein*
Theodore S. Motzkin Herman Rubin Herbert A. Simon*
Guests Pierre F.J. BaichereKarl Henrik BorchJacques DrezeAtle Harald Elsas
Masao FukuokaJose Gil-PelaezWilliam HamburgerHerman F. Karreman
William E. KrelleGiovanni ManciniRene F. Montjoie
Sigbert J. Prais Bertram E. RifasCiro Tognetti
Guests Fritz Christian Holte Thomas Peter Hill
Eva BoessmannDavid A. Clarke
Michio Morishima Wieslaw Sadowski
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“…[W]hen you cannot express it in numbers, your knowledge is of a meager and unsatisfactory kind…”
– (Kelvin, 1883)
Motto of the Cowles Commission: Science and MeasurementLater became: Theory and Measurement
Exterior of Cowles Building: Social Science Research
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SELECTIONS FROM THE COWLES ROSTER
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Tjalling Koopmans
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Jacob Marschak
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Kenneth Arrow
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Gerard Debreu
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Leonid Hurwicz
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T. W. Anderson
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The Department
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Milton Friedman
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H. Gregg Lewis
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T. W. Schultz
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D. Gale Johnson
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Frank Knight
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Arnold Harberger
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Margaret Reid
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Fellow Students and RAs
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Gregory Chow
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Zvi Griliches
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Marc Nerlove
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Lester Telser
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Roy Radner
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Law School
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Aaron Director
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Edward Levi
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Committee on Social Thought and Interdisciplinarity
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Friedrich von Hayek
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“Measurement is the making of distinctions, and the finer the distinctions, the finer the measurement.”
Enrico Fermi
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“Gary Becker is a young man who received his A.B. from Princeton. He was recommended to us by his Princeton teachers for a departmental fellowship in termsthat we found hard to take seriously – the best person that we have had in the last ten years; the best student that I have ever had, and the like…”
Milton Friedman
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“…After observing him closely for the past year and a half, I am inclined to use similar superlatives: there is no other student that I have known in my six years at Chicago who seems to me as good as Becker or as likely to become an important and outstanding economist.
Milton Friedman
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Becker has a brilliant, analytical mind; great originality; knowledge of the history of economic thought and respect for its importance; a real feeling for the interrelationships between economic and political issues; and a profound understanding of both the operation of a price system and its importance as a protection of individual liberty.
Milton Friedman
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Thesis Committee for Economics of Discrimination. H.G. Lewis Chair, J. Marschak, D. Gale Johnson and William Bradbury (sociologist)
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Becker as a Graduate Student at Chicago
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John Hicks
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Paul Douglas Henry Schultz
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H. Gregg Lewis
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Mel Reder
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Albert Rees
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Seymour Harris
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T. W. Schultz
“Gary Becker is as good as they come at that age. He has unusual analytical power and he has learned how to use it. He is so much better than most graduate students and the run of Ph. D’s that one has to compare him with men like Kenneth Arrow. With the evidence we now have, he is in Arrow’s class in analytical power, his command of tools, both economic theory and statistical inference, and in his sense of relevance. Moreover, he has a taste and a desire to do empirical work.”
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T. W. Schultz
“Again let me say, to the extent that I have insights on what is involved in distinguished work in economics, Gary Becker has all of the earmarks of coming through.”
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H. Gregg Lewis
“It is hard to write to you about Mr. Becker without sounding overenthusiastic. He is an exceedingly intelligent and imaginative young man and certainly, I think, will become really outstanding in the economics profession. He is honest in all matters, has the highest character, and I am confident, is exceedingly trustworthy. I recommend himto you without any reservations.”
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Becker at Columbia
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Partnership with Mincer at Columbia
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Colleague, William Vickery
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Colleague, Kelvin Lancaster
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Students
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William Landes
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Barry Chiswick
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Arleen Smigel Leibowitz
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Mark Rosenzweig
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Solomon Polachek
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Andrea Beller
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Isaac Ehrlich
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Robert Michael
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Reuben Gronau
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Michael Grossman
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Gilbert Ghez
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Haim Ofek
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Marjorie Honig
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Lisa Landes
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Solomon Fabricant
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Becker, Fuchs, and Mincer
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Tom Juster
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NBER NY 1960’S–EARLY 1970’S
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Finis Welch
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Bob Willis
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Sherwin Rosen
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James Smith
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Moved Back to Chicago (visitor in 1969 and Permanent Faculty Since 1970: 47 Years at Chicago)
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Becker on Leave at Chicago
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Friedman and Stigler
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Friedman
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Stigler
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George Schultz
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Fogel with Harberger and Friedman
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Harberger as Triangle Man
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H. Gregg Lewis
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Harry Johnson
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Reuben Kessel
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Margaret Reid
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Merton Miller
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Eugene Fama
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Ronald Coase
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Robert Mundell
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T. W. Schultz
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Robert Fogel
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Marc Nerlove
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Arnold Zellner
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Henri Theil
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George Tolley
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Lester Telser
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Robert Lucas
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More Junior Faculty
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Fischer Black
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Myron Scholes
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Robert Barro
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Donald McCloskey
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Sam Peltzman
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Robert Gordon
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Stanley Fisher
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Richard Posner
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James Heckman
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Ed Lazear
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Kenneth Wolpin
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Jose Scheinkman
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Buzz Brock
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Denis Carlton
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Frederic Mishkin
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Jacob Frenkel
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Lars P. Hansen
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David Galenson
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Sherwin Rosen
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Sanford Grossman
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Robert Topel
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Rob Townsend
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Nancy Stokey
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Stigler Workshop
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Becker and Mincer
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Ronald Coase and Richard Posner
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Reuben Kessel
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Becker and Sam Peltzman
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Ed Lazear
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Patricia Danzon
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Buzz Brock and Steve McGee
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LEGENDARY WORKSHOPS
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Orley Ashenfelter
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Dick Freeman
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Edmund Phelps
“He started his workshop with D.H. Robertson’s question: ‘what is it that economists economize?’ The answer: ‘love, the scarcest and most precious of all resources’ (1956).”
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BECKER AT CHICAGO
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Becker Teaching
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Human Capital Lecture
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Early Becker Workshop
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The Chicago School of Economics
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Friedman, Stigler, DirectorAt First Mt. Pelerin Society Meeting
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Frank Knight
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Friedrich von Hayek
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Fritz Machlup
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Armen Alchian
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Jack Hirshleifer
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James Laughlin
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Thorstein Veblen
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Henry Simons
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Jacob Viner
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Frank Knight
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Henry Schultz
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Paul Douglas
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Oscar Lange
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Viner and Lewis
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Lewis
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T. W. Schultz
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Marschak
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Tjalling Koopmans
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Haavelmo
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Friedman
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Kevin Murphy
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Richard Posner
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Richard Epstein
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Jeremy Bentham
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Coleman
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Becker and Posner at Rational Choice Workshop
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Margaret Reid
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Blinder
Opposition:
Blinder (1974). “The Economics of Brushing Teeth.”
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Solow
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Developments in Economics 1950-1990
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Passing the Price Theory Torch
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Becker and Murphy at Blackboard
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“It [economics] is judgedultimately by how well ithelps us understand theworld, and how well wecan help improve it.”
-Gary Becker