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Page 1: Gabon - reliefweb.int - Web.pdf · UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk Reduction This series is designed to make available to a wider readership

GabonRisk-sensitive Budget Review

UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Page 2: Gabon - reliefweb.int - Web.pdf · UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk Reduction This series is designed to make available to a wider readership

UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk ReductionThis series is designed to make available to a wider readership selected studies on public investment planning for disaster risk reduction (DRR) in cooperation with Member States.

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) Country Reports do not represent the official views of UNDRR or of its member countries. The opinions expressed and arguments employed are those of the author(s).

Country Reports describe preliminary results or research in progress by the author(s) and are published to stimulate discussion on a broad range of issues on DRR.

Front cover photo credit: Oleg Puchkov. Waterfall in Gabon.

Funded by the European Union

Page 3: Gabon - reliefweb.int - Web.pdf · UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk Reduction This series is designed to make available to a wider readership

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Table of contentsList of figures ....................................................................................................................................ii

List of tables .....................................................................................................................................iii

List of boxes .....................................................................................................................................iii

List of acronyms and abbreviations .................................................................................................iv

Currency equivalents ........................................................................................................................ iv

Acknowledgements ...........................................................................................................................v

Executive summary .......................................................................................................................... 1

1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 2

2. Gabon at a glance ..................................................................................................................... 3

3. Disaster risk reduction in Gabon ............................................................................................... 5

3.1. Past disasters and losses ......................................................................................................................5

3.2. Disaster risk governance ........................................................................................................................6

4. Risk-sensitive budget review .................................................................................................... 7

4.1. Methodology ............................................................................................................................................7

4.2. Scope of the analysis ..............................................................................................................................8

4.3. Principal and significant DRR investments ..................................................................................... 11

4.4. DRR investments across categories of the DRM cycle ................................................................ 16

5. Conclusion and recommendations ......................................................................................... 20

References ..................................................................................................................................... 22

Annex 1: Risk-sensitive budget review methodology ..................................................................... 24

Annex 2: Additional tables .............................................................................................................. 27

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List of figuresFigure 1: Scoring decision rule for the OECD DAC DRR policy marker and Rio marking system ......... 8

Figure 2: Average DRR investment .................................................................................................. 11

Figure 3: Principal DRR investment by sector .................................................................................. 11

Figure 4: Principal DRR investment across sectors ........................................................................ 12

Figure 5: Principal DRR investment by ministries ............................................................................ 13

Figure 6: Significant DRR investment by ministries ......................................................................... 15

Page 5: Gabon - reliefweb.int - Web.pdf · UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk Reduction This series is designed to make available to a wider readership

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List of tablesTable 1: Disasters and losses, 1988–2012 ........................................................................................ 5

Table 2: Scope of the risk-sensitive budget review ............................................................................ 9

Table 3: Ministries and agencies whose programmes had DRR elements ....................................... 10

Table 4: Principal DRR investment across sectors ........................................................................... 12

Table 5: Significant DRR investment across sectors ........................................................................ 13

Table 6: Principal DRR investment across ministries ....................................................................... 14

Table 7: Significant DRR investment across ministries .................................................................... 15

Table 8: Principal marked DRR budget across DRM categories ....................................................... 16

Table 9: Principal DRM categories in the disaster cycle ................................................................... 16

Table 10: Principal marked DRR budget across DRM categories ..................................................... 17

Table 11: Significant marked DRR budget across DRM categories .................................................. 17

Table 12: Significant DRM categories in the disaster cycle .............................................................. 17

Table 13: Significant marked DRR budget across DRM categories .................................................. 18

Table A1: UNDRR’s RSBR: an overview ............................................................................................ 26

Table A2: Ministries in Gabon .......................................................................................................... 27

Table A3: Principal marked DRR programmes and activities by ministries ...................................... 27

Table A4: Significant DRR marked programmes and activities by ministries ................................... 28

List of boxes

Box 1: Official development assistance by DRM categories ............................................................. 19

Page 6: Gabon - reliefweb.int - Web.pdf · UNDRR Country Reports on Public Investment Planning for Disaster Risk Reduction This series is designed to make available to a wider readership

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List of acronyms and abbreviations

ACP African, Caribbean and Pacific Group of States

DRM Disaster risk management

DRR Disaster risk reduction

GDP Gross domestic product

FCFA Central African CFA franc

RSBR Risk-sensitive budget review

MDAs Ministries, departments and agencies

UNDRR United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

Currency equivalents

Year US$1 to FCFA

2014 494.4

2015 530.0

2016 570.0

2017 580.0

Authors’ calculation based on the Economic, Social and Financial Report, accompanying the draft Finance Law Budgets 2014 to 2017 (Rapport Economique, Social et Financier, accompagnant le projet de loi de finances 2017).

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Acknowledgements

UNDRR wishes to express its profound appreciation for the support provided by the national authorities for disaster risk reduction/disaster risk management and by the United Nations Country Teams in the respective countries.

Coordinators: Jean-Marc Malambwe Kilolo (Economist) and Roberto Schiano Lomoriello (Associate Expert DRR Economics). Under the overall supervision of Katarina Mouakkid Soltesova (Risk Knowledge Programme Officer) and Luca Rossi (Deputy Chief of the Regional Office for Africa).

Analysts (authors): Belinda Kaimuri (Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Gambia (The), Ghana, Kenya, São Tomé and Príncipe), Brais Álvarez Pereira and Tatiana Martinez Zavala (Angola, Guinea-Bissau), Elvis Mtonga (Botswana, Cameroon, Eswatini (The Kingdom of), Namibia, Zambia), Jean-Claude Koya (Côte d’Ivoire).

UNDRR particularly thanks the country experts and DRR specialists for their comments on and review of two draft versions of the analysis, specifically: Edson Fernando (Angola), Nkosiyabo Moyo (Botswana), Mariatou Yap and Celestin Kegne (Cameroon), Dr. Touré Kader and Paul Kaman (Côte d’Ivoire), Gabriel Ngua Ayecaba (Equatorial Guinea), Russell Dlamini (Eswatini (The Kingdom of)), Hortense Togo (Gabon), Sanna Dahaba and Kawsu Barrow (Gambia (The)), Koranteng Abrokwah (Ghana), Alsau Sambu, Elisio Gomes Sá, Justino Fernandes and Domingos Gomes da Costa (Guinea-Bissau), Charles Owino (Kenya), Japheth Litenge (Namibia), Jean-Baptiste Nsengiyumva (Rwanda), Carlos Dias (São Tomé and Príncipe), Charles Msangi (Tanzania (United Republic of)), Lengandji Sikaona (Zambia).

Produced with support from Development Initiatives.

Published in January 2020.

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Executive summary

This report provides an analysis of public investment planning for disaster risk reduction (DRR) in Gabon and informs on the level of public investment in DRR in the country. This is done using a risk-sensitive budget review (RSBR) that applies the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Development Assistance Committee (DAC) DRR policy marker to the Gabon’s domestically financed current and capital budgets. The RSBR analysis is done to evaluate and assess the extent to which the government has budgeted for disaster risk reduction.

Key messages• Ministries, departments and agencies (MDAs) have neither classified nor coded for DRR in their

programmes and activities. From the RSBR analysis, 21 programmes related to DRR in nine ministries between 2014 and 2017 were identified.

• The DRR authority is the Directorate for Civil Protection under the Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization, drawing on several laws to coordinate DRR and disaster risk management (DRM) activities in Gabon.

• During the four-year period, an annual average of $290.33 million has been planned for DRR activities, amounting to 7.4% of the national budget.

• Of the above marked DRR budget, 2% is held by programmes that directly target DRR (“principal”: $5.55 million, or 0.1% of the national budget) while the remaining 98% is held by programmes that indirectly target DRR (“significant”: $284.78 million, or 7.4% of the national budget).

• The social sector holds the highest share of the principal marked DRR budget (95.2%), with the Ministry of Public Health holding this share under the “Struggle against HIV/AIDS” programme.

• The social sector also holds the highest share of the significant marked DRR budget (82.4%), with the Ministry of Public Health holding two thirds of this share under three health care programmes.

• Half of the disaster budget in Gabon focuses on risk prevention and mitigation; the remaining portion is shared equally between preparedness, and reconstruction and recovery.

• Post-disaster activities (response and relief, and reconstruction and rehabilitation) accounts for half of the disaster budget. In addition, the country benefits from ODA assistance in emergency response and reconstruction, rehabilitation and relief (with an annual average of $0.18 million)

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1. Introduction

In 2013, the European Union (EU) and the African, Caribbean and Pacific Group of States (ACP) signed an agreement focused on strengthening the ACP Member States’ regional integration and inclusion in the global economy. Furthermore, the agreement addressed challenges related to climate change, agriculture and rural development.

Under this agreement, a programme titled “Building Disaster Resilience to Natural Hazards in sub-Saharan African Regions, Countries and Communities” was launched in July 2015. Its aim was to provide a comprehensive framework for disaster risk reduction (DRR) and disaster risk management (DRM), and their effective implementation across sub-Saharan Africa.

To support DRR in the region, the €80 million programme covered a period of five years and focused on five key results: strengthening regional DRR monitoring and coordination; enhancing DRR coordination, planning and policy advisory capacities of Regional Economic Communities; improving the capacity of national and Regional Climate Centres for weather and climate services; improving risk knowledge through disaster databases for future risk modelling; and developing disaster risk financing policies, instruments and strategies at regional, national and local levels.

The programme contributed to broader efforts aiming to assist African countries in building capacity in risk-sensitive investment planning and supporting initiatives to increase public investment in DRR. Furthermore, referring to the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015–2030), the programme sought to assist countries in estimating potential disaster impacts, including economic losses. Subsequently, it provided tools for countries to optimize their investment plans in order to address disaster risk and reduce future losses.

As part of the programme, UNDRR has developed risk-sensitive budget review reports for 16 countries in sub-Saharan Africa: Angola, Botswana, Cameroon, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, Eswatini (The Kingdom of), Gabon, Gambia (The), Ghana, Guinea- Bissau, Kenya, Namibia, Rwanda, São Tomé and Príncipe, Tanzania (United Republic of) and Zambia.

The analysis uses the DRR policy marker, developed by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Development Assistance Committee (DAC). The methodology has been used widely to provide information about DRR mainstreaming. Nevertheless, the tracking of planned and actual expenditures related to DRR is an area that is still evolving.

This report provides information on public investment planning for DRR in Gabon and presents findings of a RSBR analysis of the country’s budget from 2014 to 2017. The analysis which follows was presented and discussed during a series of country-level workshops – conducted in 2018, in each of the 16 countries – and additional feedback and input from country experts was sought to improve the analysis.

The report is organized as follows: Section 2 presents Gabon at a glance (key statistics); Section 3 explains the methodological basis, the OECD DAC DRR policy marker, and its application by UNDRR across 16 country analyses: and Section 4 presents findings of the risk-sensitive budget review (RSBR) of Gabon. The report concludes with a summary of the findings and recommendations for further action.

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120110100908070605040302010

Alert

Warning

Sustainable

Stable

POPULATION

2018 estimate

(million people)

(million people)

2050 projection

2018 estimate

(billion $)

(billion $)

2050 projection

GDP

1.8

3.8

16.9

67.7

Area: 267,667 km2

Population density: 6.8 people/km2

Human Development Index: 0.7

Agriculture: 5% of GDP

Services: 50.4% of GDP

Industry: 44.7% of GDP

Poverty rate ($1.90 per day): 3.4%

2. Gabon at a glance

Gabon is located on the west coast of Central Africa, with 85% of its topography consisting of forest cover. Its population is estimated at 1.8 million people as of 2018 and expected to grow to 3.8 million people by 2050. With an area of 267,667 km2, this translates to about 6.8 inhabitants per square kilometre, making the country sparsely populated.1 Gabon has one of the highest rates of urban population in Africa, at 89% in 2017.

Gabon is a resource-rich country with a large part of the economy based on oil extraction. The country’s GDP reached $16.9 billion in 2018 and shows an annual average growth of 2.2% between 1994 and 2018.2 Nevertheless, GDP growth has consistently decreased, from 5.6% in 2013 to 0.8% in 2018, pushed by low oil prices. Services is the economic sector with the highest contribution to national GDP, with a 50.4% estimate for 2017, followed by the industry sector with 44.7%. Agriculture accounts for only 5% of GDP.3

1 Central Intelligence Agency.2 World Bank.3 Central Intelligence Agency.

Sources: Data from: African Development Bank (2019); Central Intelligence Agency; International Institute for Applied Analysis; United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2019); United Nations Development Programme (2019); United Nations, Statistics Division; and World Bank.

Note: Data is for 2013 (GDP projection), 2017 (sector analysis and poverty levels) or 2018 (GDP, population, population density, HDI) depending on availability.

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Gabon’s fiscal deficit has been improving in the last three years as a result of fiscal consolidation. The fiscal deficit improved to 0.3% in 2018, from -3.6% in 2017 and -6.6% in 2016. Despite lower oil production, the country’s current account deficit has also been improving due to increased lumber and manganese exports. Gabon registered a deficit of -1.5% of GDP in 2018 from -4.9% of GDP in 20174.

The main indicators for the country’s economy place Gabon in a privileged position within central Africa. Despite this, Gabon’s living standard, measured by gross national income per capita, decreased by 18.5% between 1990 and 2018; its Human Development Index score of 0.702 in 2018 puts the country in the high human development category.5

4 African Development Bank (2019).5 United Nations Development Programme (2019).

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3. Disaster risk reduction in Gabon

3.1. Past disasters and lossesNatural hazards that affect Gabon are climate-related in nature, due to its location in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean and on the Equator. Epidemics, floods and storms are the most common natural hazards. Other natural hazards experienced include coastal erosion, forest fires and windstorms.

The EM-DAT database shows that between 1988 and 2012, epidemics have been the most frequent hazard, and have killed the highest number of people. There are 44,000 Gabonese adults, aged 15 and older, infected with HIV; 68% of these are women.6 Some 2,600 Gabonese children, aged 14 and under, are living with HIV.7 Gabon also has high incidences of tuberculosis,8 malaria and insect-transmitted diseases, with malaria being a yearly epidemic risk, especially during and after a rainy season.9

While not frequent, floods have affected the highest number of people. Flooding in Gabon is mainly from violent rainstorms. One rainstorm in June 2012 caused flooding in over 12 neighbourhoods in Gabon’s capital city, Libreville. The floods caused extensive damage to houses and infrastructure which affected over 77,000 people, with over 1,600 people displaced.10

Table 1: Disasters and losses, 1988–2012Hazards Occurrence Total deaths Total affected

Epidemic 8 116 18,708

Flood 2 1 87,845

Storm 3 0 4,330

Source: Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), EM-DAT: International Disaster Database.

.

6 www.unaids.org/en/regionscountries/countries/gabon. 7 Ibid.8 Bélard, S.M. (2019).9 www.iamat.org/country/gabon/risk/malaria.10 International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent (2013).

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3.2. Disaster risk governanceThe DRR process in Gabon is coordinated and managed by the Ministry of the Interior, Security, in charge of Decentralization and Local Development. The mandate for coordinating the DRR activities at the national level is assigned to the General Directorate for Risk Prevention, under the Ministry of the Interior.

In terms of a requisite legal framework, Gabon is yet to develop a specific law to provide legal support for disaster risk management (DRM) and related activities. Instead, authority to implement DRM actions is drawn from various pieces of legislations and decrees that address DRR in one form or another. These include:

• Decree No. 007/2014 of 1 August 2014 for the Protection of the Environment and its application

• Decree No. 0333/PR/MISPID of 28 February 2013 (civil protection)11

• Order No. 0007/MISPID of 14 March 2013 that organized the Provincial Committee of the National Platform and its functions

• Order No. 00979/PM MISPID 11 November 2012 that created the Inter-Ministerial Committee of Experts in Emergency Management

• Decree No. 0672/PR/MISPID of 16 May 2011 that established the National Platform for the Prevention and Reduction of Risks of Catastrophe

• Decree No. 016/2001 on the Forestry Code and Decree 03/2007 of 27 August 2007 relating to protection of national parks.

• Decree No. 00248/PR of 15 February 1972 that authorizes the Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization responsibility over all matters of civil protection.

11 Revised from Decree No. 0192/PR/MISPID of 22 May 2012.

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4. Risk-sensitive budget review

4.1. MethodologyThe OECD DAC DRR policy marker is a quantitative tool used to identify spending activities that target DRR as a policy objective. An activity should be classified as linked to DRR if it promotes the targets of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030 to achieve “substantial reduction of disaster risk and losses in lives, livelihoods and health and in the economic, physical, social, cultural and environmental assets of persons, businesses, communities and countries”.12

According to the OECD DAC policy marker document,13 a DRR-related activity focuses on preventing new risks, and/or reducing existing disaster risks and/or strengthening resilience through “the implementation of … measures that prevent and reduce hazard exposure and vulnerability to disaster and increase preparedness for response and recovery with the explicit purpose of increasing human security, well-being, quality of life, resilience, and sustainable development”.

In addition, a DRR-related activity must meet at least one of the four priorities for action of the Sendai Framework,14 namely: (1) understanding disaster risk; (2) strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster risk; (3) investing in DRR for resilience; or (4) enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response and to “Build Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction.15

The risk-sensitive budget review (RSBR) is simply the application of the OECD DAC DRR policy marker to country budgets to identify and mark public expenditures that have a DRR objective. By doing this, the extent to which the government has planned or invested implicitly or explicitly in DRR can be identified. Spending activities targeting DRR are screened, marked and weighted as follows:

• Activities are marked as “principal” (marked as 2) when DRR is their principal objective and it is fundamental in the design of and motivation for the activity. These budget activities are then weighted as 100% of the planned or spent allocations which underpin them.

• Activities are marked as “significant” (marked as 1) when their DRR objective is explicitly stated but is not a fundamental motivation for undertaking and designing the activity. These budget activities are weighted as 40% of the planned or spent allocations which underpin them.

• Activities are not marked (marked as 0) when they have no DRR-related objective. These budget activities are weighted as 0% of the planned or spent allocations which underpin them.16

The total of principal and significant marked budget allocations is counted as DRR-focused planned or spent budgets or, put simply, DRR investments. Figure 1 illustrates the marking and scoring procedure for the OECD DRR policy marker and how funding allocated to DRR objectives is accounted for.

12 UNDRR (2015), p. 12.13 OECD (2017), p.8.14 UNDRR (2015), p.14.15 From this, a DRR-related activity can be located along the disaster management cycle: pre-disaster activities (prevention, mitigation or

preparedness) or post-disaster activities (response or mitigation).16 Petri (2016); European Commission (2016).

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Figure 1: Scoring decision rule for the OECD DAC DRR policy marker and Rio marking system

4.2. Scope of the analysisThe RSBR explored budgets presented by MDAs and the various programmes and activities budgeted for under the central government for the financial periods 2014 to 2017. Planned budgets funded by own government resources were considered for the analysis; external resources were not considered. The main documents that have been used are Finance Law Budgets of Gabon sourced from Mays Mouissi17 Of the 21 ministries reviewed (Annex 2), only 8 had principal and significant DRR policy objectives. Table 2 shows the scope of RSBR and the specific sectors and ministries found to have a DRR policy objective.

17 Documents downloaded from: www.mays-mouissi.com/telecharger-les-budgets-du-gabon.

Do any objectives of the budget activity meet any “eligibility criteria” of the DRR marker?

• DRR marker = 0 ~ Rio marker = 0 0% of budget

• DRR marker = 1 ~ Rio marker = 1 40% of budget

• DRR marker = 2 ~ Rio marker = 2 100% of budget

2 Principal

1 Significant

0 Not marked

Would the budget activity have been undertaken without that DRR objective?

YES

YES

NO

NO

Source: OECD (2017).

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Table 2: Scope of the risk-sensitive budget review

Year plan 2015–2017

Coverage • Economic sector18

- Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food, Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment, Ministry of Mining, Energy, Oil and Hydraulic Resources

• Social sector19

- Ministry of Public Health - Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity

• Infrastructure sector20

- Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing • Cross-sectoral21

- Ministry of Prevention and Management of Natural Disasters - Ministry of Planning and Development Policy

Planned budget or executed budget • Planned budget

Current or capital • Both current and capital

Target hazards • Drought, flood, storm, fire, pest and diseases outbreak

Led by the OECD DAC DRR policy marker, Rio marker and the Sendai Framework to Action priority areas, the analysis found 20 programmes that implicitly and explicitly target DRR in 9 MDAs of the central government for the fiscal years 2014 to 2017. Table 3 shows these programmes. The largest number of DRR programmes were held equally by the Ministry of Forestry Economy, Waters, Fisheries and National Parks and the Ministry of Public Health (four programmes each). The least number of programmes were held equally by the Ministry of Prevention and Management of Natural Disasters and Ministry of Planning and Development Policy (one programme each). Table 6 shows the DRR marked programmes under the eight ministries.

18 Defined as a sector that addresses productivity of the economy.19 Defined as a sector whose main aim is to achieve social development and improve welfare.20 Defined as a sector that focuses in the provision of physical facilities in an economy.21 Defined as a sector that mainly offer services and cuts across all other sectors in an economy.

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Table 3: Ministries and agencies whose programmes had DRR elements

Ministry Programmes

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food • Pilotage and support for agricultural and livestock policies• Pilotage and support for livestock and fisheries policies

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming • Coordination of urban policies

Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructure and Public Works • Steering and support for infrastructure, public works and spatial planning policies

Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment • Sustainable management of water and forests• Conservation of biodiversity• Improvement of the living environment and climate change• Steering and support for forest economics policy

Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing • Urbanization and development of the living environment• Piloting and support for urban planning and housing policy

Ministry of Public Health • Prevention and safety• Supply and access to care• Struggle against HIV/AIDS• Steering and support for health policy

Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity • Social protection• Steering and support for social protection policy

Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization

• Disaster prevention and mitigation

Ministry of Water and Energy • Management and control of mining activities• Piloting and support for mining policy• Radioactivity management

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

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4.3. Principal and significant DRR investments

Aggregate DRR marked budgetThe marked DRR budget is 7.5% of the total national budget22 at an average of $290.33 million. A larger part of the marked DRR budget is held by the significant policy objective ($284.78 million, 7.4% of national budget). The remaining portion is held with the principal policy objective, ($5.55 million, 0.1% of national budget).

Figure 2: Average DRR investment

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

DRR marked budget by sector

Principal marked DRR budget

Considering the aggregate sectors described in Table 2, Figure 3 shows that nearly all of the principal marked DRR budget is held by the social sector (average 95.2%) The services and cross-sectoral sector holds the remaining portion (average 4.8%). The economic and infrastructure sectors (both having an average of 0%) have the lowest share of principal marked DRR budget.

Figure 3: Principal DRR investment by sector

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

22 Total national budget includes both domestic and donor funds.

USD 284.78 (7.4% of national budget)

Marked DRR budget in millions

current prices

USD 5.55 (0.1% of national budget)

Principal Significant

Social sector 95.2%

Services and cross-sectoral sector 4.8%

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Table 4 presents the principal marked DRR budget by sector. On average, the social sector has had a declining allocation over the years, contrary to the services and cross-sectoral sector. The year 2014 had the highest total budget set aside for DRR programmes, with programmes under the social sector having the highest allocated budget.

Table 4: Principal DRR investment across sectorsSectors, value in $ millions, current prices

No. of programmes

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Social 1 7.59 6.28 3.72 3.55 21.16 5.29 95.2%Services and cross-sectoral 1 0.36 0.29 0.16 0.25 1.06 1.75 4.8%Economic 0 – – – – – – 0.0%Infrastructure 0 – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100%Total national budget 5,408 3,460 3,586 2,956 15,410 3,852Share of national budget 0.1%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

The principal marked DRR budget amounts to $5.55 million on average, which is approximately 0.1% of the averaged total national budget for the four-year period between 2014 and 2017.

Significant marked DRR budget

Figure 4 shows the significant marked DRR budget through the four sectors. One sector holds the highest share of the significant marked DRR budget – the social sector (82.4%). The remaining portion is shared mostly by the infrastructure sector (9.3%) and the economic sector (8.2%). The lowest share is held by the services and cross-sectoral sector (0.1%).

Figure 4: Principal DRR investment across sectors

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Economic sector 8.2%

Services and cross-sectoral sector 0.1%

Infrastructure sector 9.3%

Social sector 82.4%

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Table 5 presents the significant marked DRR budget by sector. While the services and cross-sectoral sector receives only 0.1% of the four-year average marked DRR budget, the social sector represents over three quarters of the significant marked DRR budget (82.4%). The rest is held by the infrastructure sector (9.3%) and economic sector (8.2%).

Table 5: Significant DRR investment across sectors Sectors, value in $ millions, current prices

No. of programmes

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Social 5 282.13 228.89 171.54 256.08 938.64 234.66 82.4%Infrastructure 3 63.27 14.88 12.28 15.97 106.40 26.60 9.3%Economic 9 37.09 20.95 19.61 15.73 93.38 23.34 8.2%Services & cross-sectoral 1 0.22 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.70 0.175 0.1%Total marked DRR budget 382.71 264.91 203.58 287.92 1,139.12 284.78 100%Total national budget 5,408 3,460 3,586 2,956 15,410 3,852Share of national budget 7.4%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

The estimated marked budget under the significant DRR objective was $0.37 million, which is approximately 0.3% of the total national budget.

DRR marked budget by ministries

Principal marked DRR budget

Figure 5 and Table 6 disaggregate principal marked DRR budget by ministries. The Ministry of Public Health carries nearly all the principal marked DRR budget (95.2%). The remaining portion is held by the Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization (4.8%). In Annex 2, Table A3 shows the various programmes under these ministries with principal marked DRR objectives.

Figure 5: Principal DRR investment by ministries

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Ministry of Public Health 95.2%

Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization 4.8%

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Table 6 presents the principal marked DRR budget across ministries. For the last fiscal years, the Ministry of Public Health has had the largest allocation of the average principal marked DRR budget.

Table 6: Principal DRR investment across ministries Sectors and ministries, value in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Social sector 7.59 6.28 3.72 3.55 21.16 5.29 95.2%Ministry of Public Health 7.59 6.28 3.72 3.55 21.16 5.29 95.2%Services and cross-sectoral sector 0.36 0.29 0.16 0.25 1.06 0.26 4.8%Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization

0.36 0.29 0.16 0.25 1.06 0.26 4.8%

Economic sector – – – – – – 0.0%Infrastructure sector – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100%Total national budget 5,408 3,460 3,586 2,956 15,410 3,852 Share of national budget 0.1%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Significant marked DRR budget

Figure 6 portrays the share of different ministries in DRR budgets marked as significant. The Ministry of Public Health accounts for over half of the significant marked DRR budget (60.9%). The Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity (21.5%) accounts for the better part of the remaining share. The remaining portion is then shared between the Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing (6.0%), the Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works (3.3%), the Ministry of Water and Energy (3.2%), the Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment (2.9%), and the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food (2.1%). The Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming accounts for the lowest share of the significant marked DRR budget (0.1%).

Table A4 (Annex 2) shows the various programmes under these ministries with significant DRR marked objectives. Overall, these programmes and significant DRR activities in eight ministries show the wider approach in the commitment and availability of funds for disaster risk. Furthermore, the programmes are under all sectors in Gabon. This illustrates a multi-stakeholder approach in covering implicit DRR activities.

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Figure 6: Significant DRR investment by ministries

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Table 7 presents the significant marked DRR budget by sector/ministry. Overall, the Ministry of Public Health plans the largest share of the significant marked DRR budget.

Table 7: Significant DRR investment across ministries Sectors and ministries, value in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Social 282.13 228.89 171.54 256.08 938.64 234.66 82.4%Ministry of Public Health 226.97 180.36 96.17 189.68 693.17 173.29 60.9%Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity

55.17 48.53 75.37 66.40 245.47 61.37 21.5%

Infrastructure 63.27 14.88 12.28 15.97 106.40 26.60 9.3%Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning Housing

49.96 4.41 2.78 11.16 68.32 17.08 6.0%

Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works

13.31 10.47 9.50 4.81 38.08 9.52 3.3%

Economic 37.09 20.95 19.61 15.73 93.38 23.34 8.2%Ministry of Water and Energy 8.76 11.47 6.67 9.17 36.08 9.02 3.2%Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment

21.67 3.41 7.19 1.13 33.41 8.35 2.9%

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food

6.65 6.07 5.75 5.42 23.90 5.97 2.1%

Services and cross-sectoral 0.22 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.70 0.18 0.1%Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming

0.22 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.70 0.18 0.1%

Total marked DRR budget 382.71 264.91 203.58 287.92 1,139.12 284.78 100%Total national budget 5,408 3,460 3,586 2,956 15,410 3,852Share of national budget 7.4%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming 0.1%Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment 2.9%

Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing 6.0%

Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works 3.3%

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food 2.1%

Ministry of Water and Energy 3.2%

Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity 21.5%

Ministry of Public Health 60.9%

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4.4. DRR investments across categories of the DRM cycleIn addition to categorizing the budget for different programmes and activities as principal or significant, resources were also classified into four distinct categories of DRR: risk prevention and mitigation, preparedness, response and relief, and reconstruction and recovery.

Principal objective by DRM categories

Aggregate results

Table 8 portrays the principal marked DRR budget through the four key DRM categories. The share of risk prevention and mitigation makes up all the total principal marked DRR budget. Despite this allocation, preparedness, response and relief and reconstruction and recovery are left out in planning for explicit DRR activities.

Table 8: Principal marked DRR budget across DRM categoriesPrincipal marked DRR budget allocations per risk categories, values in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Risk prevention and mitigation 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100.0%Preparedness – – – – – – 0.0%Response and relief – – – – – – 0.0%Reconstruction and recovery – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

As shown in Table 9, Gabon has 100.0% of the principal marked DRR budget allocated to pre-disaster risk reduction.

Table 9: Principal DRM categories in the disaster cyclePeriod Pre-disaster activities Post-disaster activities

Risk prevention and mitigation

Preparedness Response and relief

Reconstruction and recovery

Values in $ millions, current prices

2014–2017 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.21Four-year Average 100.0% 0.0% 5.5

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Results across ministries

Table 10 presents the principal marked DRR budget according to the four key DRM categories for the last four fiscal years. The key finding is that all of the principal marked DRR budget is under the “risk prevention and mitigation” category. There are no principal DRR programmes within the categories of preparedness, response and relief, and reconstruction and recovery.

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming 0.1%Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment 2.9%

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Table 10: Principal marked DRR budget across DRM categoriesPrincipal marked DRR budget allocations per risk categories, values in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Risk prevention and mitigation 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100.0%Ministry of Public Health 7.59 6.28 3.72 3.55 21.16 5.29 95.2%Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization

0.36 0.29 0.16 0.25 1.06 0.26 4.8%

Preparedness – – – – – – 0.0%Response and relief – – – – – – 0.0%Reconstruction and recovery – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 7.96 6.57 3.88 3.80 22.21 5.55 100%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Significant objective by DRM categories

Aggregate results

Table 11 shows the significant marked DRR budget across different categories. Preparedness (59.0%) has the largest share, followed by reconstruction and recovery (21.5%) and risk prevention and mitigation (19.5%). The least important category under this review is response and relief, with none of the total significant objective marked DRR budget.

Table 11: Significant marked DRR budget across DRM categoriesSignificant marked DRR budget allocations per risk categories, values in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Preparedness 225.85 182.73 101.32 162.24 672.13 168.03 59.0%Reconstruction and recovery 55.17 48.53 75.37 66.40 245.47 61.37 21.5%Risk prevention and mitigation 101.70 33.65 26.89 59.29 221.52 55.38 19.5%Response and relief – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 382.71 264.91 203.58 287.92 1,139.12 284.78 100%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

Table 12 shows that Gabon has 78.5% of the significant marked DR budget under pre-disaster risk reduction.

Table 12: Significant DRM categories in the disaster cyclePeriod Pre-disaster activities Post-disaster activities

Risk prevention and mitigation

Preparedness Response and relief

Reconstruction and recovery

Values in $ millions, current prices

2014–2017 19.5% 59.0% 0.0% 21.5% 1,139.12Four-year Average 78.5% 21.5% 284.78

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

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Results across ministries

Looking at DRM categories by ministries, Table 13 shows the following key results:

• Preparedness (59.0%) is accounted for by two ministries, with the Ministry of Public Health holding a larger share of the preparedness portion (55.7%) and the remaining share held by the Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works (3.3%).

• Risk prevention and mitigation accounts for 19.5% of DRR, and the highest number of ministries (six in total): the Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing (6.0%); the Ministry of Public Health (5.2%); the Ministry of Water and Energy (3.2%); and the Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment (2.9%); the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food (2.1%); and the Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming (0.1%).

• Reconstruction and recovery accounts for 21.5% of DRR, allocated to only the Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity.

The least important category under this review is response and relief, at 0% of the total significant objective marked DRR budget – there were no programmes under this DRR category.

Table 13: Significant marked DRR budget across DRM categoriesSignificant marked DRR budget allocations per risk categories, values in $ millions, current prices

2014 2015 2016 2017 Total planned budget

Four-year average budget

%

Preparedness 225.85 182.73 101.32 162.24 672.13 168.03 59.0%Ministry of Public Health 212.54 172.26 91.82 157.43 634.05 158.51 55.7%Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works

13.31 10.47 9.50 4.81 38.08 9.52 3.3%

Risk prevention and mitigation 101.70 33.65 26.89 59.29 221.52 55.38 19.5%Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing

49.96 4.41 2.78 11.16 68.32 17.08 6.0%

Ministry of Public Health 14.42 8.10 4.35 32.26 59.12 14.78 5.2%Ministry of Water and Energy 8.76 11.47 6.67 9.17 36.08 9.02 3.2%Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment

21.67 3.41 7.19 1.13 33.41 8.35 2.9%

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food

6.65 6.07 5.75 5.42 23.90 5.97 2.1%

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming

0.22 0.19 0.14 0.14 0.70 0.18 0.1%

Reconstruction and recovery 55.17 48.53 75.37 66.40 55.17 48.53 21.5%Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity

55.17 48.53 75.37 66.40 245.47 61.37 21.5%

Response and relief – – – – – – 0.0%Total marked DRR budget 382.71 264.91 203.58 287.92 1,139.12 284.78 100%

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

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Box 1: Official development assistance by DRM categoriesA key finding from the RSBR in Gabon is that most of the marked DRR budget goes to pre-disaster risk reduction activities over post-disaster activities. Besides, most of the post-disaster activities are carried out by humanitarian actors. This concurs with the findings of Van Aalst and others (2013), whose background note that showed that, of the total ODA dedicated to DRR, 69.9% was used for emergency response activities, 24.8% for reconstruction activities (post-disaster activities) and 3.6% for disaster prevention and preparedness (pre-disaster risk reduction).

The figure below shows the ODA for principal DRR activities in between 2015 and 2017 and its allocation to various DRM categories in Gabon. An average of $0.18 million has been used for post-disaster management activities – emergency response and reconstruction, rehabilitation and relief. This could explain why Gabon has focused on pre-disaster risk reduction activities, as it has humanitarian efforts to cover post-disaster activities.

ODA to Gabon by DRM categories, 2015–2017

0.45

0.08 0.12

2015 2016 2017

$ m

illion

s

Emergency response

Reconstruction relief and rehabilitation

Disaster prevention and preparedness

Source: ODA data, OECD.

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5. Conclusion and recommendations

UNDRR has partnered with the European Union (EU), the African Union and the ACP to deliver a programme to build the capacity of African countries in risk-sensitive investment planning and to increase public investment in disaster risk reduction (DRR). The intention is to assist the countries to align their strategies with the targets outlined in the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030.

This report contributes to this deliverable with the risk-sensitive budget analysis of Gabon’s national budgets using the OECD DAC DRR marker and Rio marking system to determine marked DRR budgets’ contribution to the DRM cycle.

The following conclusions are made about the state of public investment planning for disaster risk reduction in Gabon:

• DRR governance is led by the Directorate of Civil Protection (DCP), under the Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization. Disaster management and risk reduction activities are carried out by several government agencies in collaboration with a variety of non-government stakeholders, including development partners, civil society organisations, and scientists. The legal framework derives from various pieces of legislation instead of a single law.

• Disaster risk management is not explicitly documented in the programmes of the national budget. As such, mainstreaming of DRM and DRR in the national budget is limited. However, there is a specific allocation of planned budgets to disaster prevention and mitigation under the Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization. The four-year average planned budget was estimated at $0.26 million, 0.02% of the national budget.

• Applying the OECD DAC DRR policy marker found 20 programmes related to DRR and DRM, in 9 of the 21 ministries of the central government in the Finance Budget Laws 2014 to 2017.

• Between 2014 and 2017, a total of $1,161 million (averaged to $290 million per year) was marked as DRR budget. This represented 7.5% of the total national budget (about $15,410 million, averaged to $3,852 million per year for the four-year period).

- Marked budget that directly target DRR – principal marked DRR budget – averaged $5.6 million, and comprised the lowest proportion of the allocation at 2% the total marked DRR budget. This is equivalent to only 0.1% of the total national budget.

- The budget for programmes that indirectly target DRR – significant marked DRR budget – averaged to $284.8 million, and comprise the bulk of the allocation at 98% the total marked DRR budget. This is equivalent to only 7.4% of the total national budget.

• The marked DRR budget is heavily concentrated in one ministry – the Ministry of Public Health – at 95.2% of the principal marked DRR budget for two ministries. Similarly, 60.9% of the significant marked DRR budget is allocated to the Ministry of Public Health, out of eight ministries.

• Reviewing the disaster risk categories of the DRM cycle indicates that the marked DRR budget is heavily focused on only two risk categories. All the principal marked DRR budget (100%) is allocated for risk prevention and mitigation activities while 59% of the significant marked DRR budget is allocated to preparedness activities.

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• Thus, the national budget for the periods 2014 to 2017 allocate more funds to pre-disaster risk reduction activities than to post-disaster management.

• There is heavy reliance on donor funds for post-disaster management. During the three-year period from 2015 to 2017, Gabon received a larger share of ODA funds for emergency response (post-disaster management), averaged to $0.18 million per year, as opposed to an average of $0.04 million on disaster prevention and preparedness (pre-disaster risk reduction).

RecommendationsGiven these conclusions, this report further contributes to the body of knowledge on DRR in Gabon and will aid in ongoing mainstreaming of DRR in the budget planning process. We recommend:

• Increasing the principal marked budget to cover the range of hazards that Gabon faces due to its location and geography. This will not only help Gabon increase its resilience to disaster risk but also effectively reduce the losses, monetary and non-monetary, expected from disaster events.

• Introducing the classification and coding of DRR and DRM programmes and activities when budget planning. This will involve continuous capacity building at technical and institutional levels to efficiently apply the OECD DAC DRR policy marker.

• Classifying DRR planned and executed budgets into the four key DRM categories – risk prevention and mitigation, preparedness, response and relief, and reconstruction and recovery – to ascertain the use of the earmarked funds.

• Introducing application of cost–benefit analysis on DRR budgets, specifically those programmes and activities that target various hazards, both natural and human-made, and for which loss data can be computed.

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ReferencesAfrican Development Bank (2019). Gabon Economic Outlook 2019. Available at https://www.afdb.org/en/countries/central-africa/gabon/gabon-economic-outlook. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

Bélard, S.M. (2019). Tuberculosis in South and Central Africa: Understanding epidemiology – Improving diagnosis and management. Available at https://pure.uva.nl/ws/files/36513446/Thesis_complete_.pdf.

Central Intelligence Agency. The World Factbook. Available at https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/za.html. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

CIMA Research Foundation (2018). Disaster Risk Profile, Gabon. Available at www.cimafoundation.org/.

Finance Law Budgets (2014 to 2017). Available at www.mays-mouissi.com/telecharger-les-budgets-du-gabon/.

Flamen, A., and others (2014). Childhood tuberculosis in Lambaréné, Gabon: tuberculosis control in its infancy? Infection, vol. 42, No. 1, pp. 161–164.

International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent (2013). Gabon: Floods DREF n° MDRGA006 – Final Report. Available at https://reliefweb.int/report/gabon/gabon-floods-dref-n%C2%B0-mdrga006-final-report.

International Institute for Applied Analysis. Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Database. Available at https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb/dsd?Action=htmlpage&page=welcome. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

Ministry of Budgets and Public Accounts (2017). Economic, Social and Financial Report, accompanying the draft Finance Law Budgets 2014 to 2017. Available at www.mays-mouissi.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/RESF_PLFI2017-VF.pdf.

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2016). Converged Statistical Reporting Directives for the Creditor Reporting System (CRS) and the Annual DAC Questionnaire. Available at www.oecd.org/dac/stats/DCD-DAC(2016)3-ADD2-FINAL%20-ENG.pdf.

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (2017). Proposal to Establish a Policy Marker for Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) In the OECD DAC Creditor Reporting System (CRS). Available at www.oecd.org/officialdocuments/publicdisplaydocumentpdf/?cote=DCD/DAC/STAT(2017)26&docLanguage=En.

Petri, H. (2016). Short Guide to the Use of Rio Markers. Capacity4dev, European Commission. Available at https://europa.eu/capacity4dev/public-environment-climate/minisite/tools-and-methods/short-guide-use-rio-markers.

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2019). World Population Prospects 2019 database. Available at https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery Accessed on 15 January 2020.

United Nations Development Programme (2019). Human Development Index (HDI). Available at http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/human-development-index-hdi.

United Nations Development Programme (2019). Inequalities in Human Development in the 21st Century: Briefing note for countries on the 2019 Human Development Report – Gabon. Available at http://hdr.undp.org/sites/all/themes/hdr_theme/country-notes/GAB.pdf.

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United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2015). Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030. Available at https://www.unisdr.org/we/inform/publications/43291.

United Nations, Statistics Division, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (2018). Demographic and Social Statistics. Available at https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/products/dyb/dyb_2018/. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

Van Aalst, Maarten; Kellett, Jan; Pichon, Florence and May, Tom Mitchell (2013). Incentives in Disaster Risk Management and Humanitarian Response. Background note for World Development Report 2014. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTNWDR2013/Resources/8258024-1352909193861/8936935-1356011448215/8986901-1380568255405/WDR14_bn_Incentives_in_disaster_risk_management_vanAalst.pdf.

World Bank. Data: Gabon. Available at https://data.worldbank.org/country/gabon. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

World Bank. Data: GDP growth (annual %) – Gabon. Available at https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2018&locations=GA&start=1994. Accessed on 15 January 2020.

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Annex 1: Risk-sensitive budget review methodology

UNDRR’s application of the OECD DAC DRR policy marker: an overviewPerforming the RSBR for each country involved several steps, the first one being to access programme-based budgets.23 For most countries (13 out of 16), the budget information was readily available online (generally through the Ministry of Finance web portal).24 Budget information from Cameroon and Côte d’Ivoire was shared by some participants during national DRR workshops organized by UNDRR in Yaoundé and Abidjan, respectively, both in 2018. In the case of Guinea-Bissau, consultants managed to gain access through their connection with the Ministry of Finance. For a more detailed methodological note on UNDRR’s application of the RSBR, please consult the companion document, “A methodological guidance note on risk-sensitive budget reviews”.

Once the budget data was secured, the OECD policy marker methodology was applied to identify DRR components from the budgets. This involved reviewing the most recent national budgets available (see Table A1) in several steps:

Step 1: Review of overall performance of each ministry/institution in its respective programmes.

Step 2: Review of targets and policy outcomes expected to be delivered for DRR elements. This then guided the authors in reviewing budget allocations under each programme and subprogramme.

Step 3: Analysing subprogramme activities that had DRR elements and categorizing them according to the four key DRM categories – risk prevention and mitigation, preparedness, response and relief, and reconstruction and recovery.

Step 4: The same subprogramme activities were further categorized according to DRR policy objectives – principal, significant and not targeted – and were weighted using the OECD DAC Rio marker weighting guidelines (principal = 100%, significant = 40% and non-DRR = 0%).

The policy marker relies on – and the quality of results therefore depends on – the availability of documentation in relation to policy objectives and spending activities. In general, the more disaggregated and documented the budget at the activity level, the more accurate the marking. In reality, the level of disaggregation varies from one country to another.25

Although programme objectives were stated in 14 country budgets out of 16, Table A1 shows that only half of the countries disaggregated activities. In most cases (13 out of 16), financial documents available captured exclusively domestic budget resources; Angola,26 Côte d’Ivoire and Guinea-Bissau were the exceptions (both domestic and foreign resources were presented in the budgets).

23 When budget data was not available (i.e. for Cameroon and Guinea-Bissau), public investment plans were used instead. Due to data availability, the analysis is based on ‘planned’ rather than ‘executed’ expenditures.

24 Budget information for Gabon and São Tomé and Príncipe was retrieved from www.mays-mouissi.com and www.cabri-sbo.org, respectively.

25 An interesting aspect of disaggregation is whether local government authorities have their own budgets, in addition to national budgets. In 13 cases out of 16, countries have only national budgets (the exceptions are Angola, Rwanda and Tanzania (United Republic of)).

26 For example, the publicly available budgets for Angola do not separate domestic and external resources, making it impossible to take the origin of resources into account into the analysis.

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The main challenge experienced during the RSBR was that programmes and activities are often neither classified/coded for DRR nor sufficiently described. This makes it difficult to identify the full range of activities that may be related to DRR in the budget. For some countries, such as Angola, budget expenditures are simply not coded; this requires the titles of expenditures to be linked across different years to perform the RSBR.

Considering these challenges and the 13 countries with national budgets only, the RSBR overview shows that, on average, a country has 27 national ministries, departments and agencies, of which 11 have DRR expenditures (either principal or significant).

In addition, 9 out of 16 countries have a specific budget allocated to the administration in charge of DRR. This specific budget always represents a small fraction of total DRR expenditures, given the cross-cutting nature of DRM/DRR activities.

As climate change is an important underlying disaster risk driver, it is important to understand whether governments are taking climate change adaptation (CCA) measures. Table A1 shows the countries with expenditures related to CCA, marked either as principal (eight countries) or significant DRR measures (two countries). It is worth noting that 6 countries out of the 16 have not planned for CCA expenditures.

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Page 26Table A1: UNDRR’s RSBR: an overviewCountry Coverage of RSBR analysis Source of

budget Disaggregation level DRR agency

portfolioClimate change adaptation (CCA)

DRR marked sectors*

Period # of MDAs (ministries, departments, agencies)

# of DRR marked MDAs

Budget resources considered in the analysis^

Are programme objectives stated in the budget?

Are programme objectives disaggregated to activities?

Was the national DRR agency budget marked?

How was climate change marked in budgets?

Larger share of Agriculture marked DRR budget lies under…

Larger share of Health marked DRR budget lies under…

Larger share of Infrastructure marked DRR budget lies under…

Angola 2017–2019 66 40 Domestic/foreign No No Yes* Principal Principal Significant Significant

Botswana 2014/15–2018/19 25 9 Domestic Yes Yes No NA Significant Significant Significant

Cameroon 2019 54 13 Domestic Yes Yes Yes Principal Significant Principal Significant

Côte d’Ivoire 2016–2018 38 29 Domestic/foreign Yes No No Principal Significant Significant Significant

Equatorial Guinea 2016–2018 21 5 Domestic Yes Yes Yes NA Significant Significant Significant

Eswatini (The Kingdom of)

2014/15–2018/19 35 12 Domestic Yes Yes No Principal Principal Significant Significant

Gabon 2014–2017 21 9 Domestic Yes No Yes Significant Significant Significant Significant

Gambia (The) 2014–2017 19 5 Domestic Yes No Yes NA Significant Significant Significant

Ghana 2016–2018 29 8 Domestic Yes Yes Yes Principal Significant Significant Principal

Guinea-Bissau 2015–2018 23 7 Domestic/foreign No No No Principal Significant Significant None

Kenya 2013/14–2016/17 23 10 Domestic Yes Yes No Principal Principal Significant Principal

Namibia 2014/15–2018/19 35 8 Domestic Yes Yes Yes NA Significant Significant Significant

Rwanda 2016/17–2018/19 56 42 Domestic Yes No Yes Significant Significant Significant Significant

São Tomé and Príncipe

2014–2017 11 7 Domestic Yes No No NA Significant Significant Significant

Tanzania (United Republic of)

2016/17–2018/19 93 48 Domestic Yes No No Principal Significant Significant Significant

Zambia 2015–2017 27 21 Domestic Yes Yes Yes Principal Significant Significant Significant

Source: UNDRR (2019)..

* These sectors were chosen due to their direct linkage to natural hazards; NA – No programmes for CCA were found in the RSBR analysis; ^ – All budgets analysed were planned budgets.

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Annex 2: Tables

Table A2: Ministries in Gabon

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food

Ministry of Budgets and Public Accounts

Ministry of Commerce

Ministry of Communication, Digital Economy and Post

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming

Ministry of Employment, Youth, Vocational Training, Integration and Reinsertion

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Cooperation, Francophone and Regional Integration

Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment

Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing

Ministry of Higher Education, Scientific Research and Technology Transfer

Ministry of National Defence and Territorial Security

Ministry of National Education

Ministry of Public Health

Ministry of Public Service, Innovation and Labour

Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works

Ministry of Relations with Constitutional Institutions and Independent Administrative Authorities

Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity

Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization

Ministry of Transports and Logistics

Ministry of Water and Energy

Ministry of Youth, Tourism and Leisure

Table A3: Principal marked DRR programmes and activities by ministriesMinistry Marked DRR Programme

Ministry of the Interior, Territorial Administration, Local Authorities and Decentralization Disaster prevention and mitigation

Ministry of Public Health Struggle against HIV/AIDS

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

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Table A4: Significant DRR marked programmes and activities by ministriesMinistry Marked DRR Programme

Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Fisheries • Pilotage and support for agricultural and livestock policies• Pilotage and support for livestock and fisheries policies

Ministry of Economy, Foresight and Development Programming • Coordination of urban policies

Ministry of Equipment, Infrastructures and Public Works • Steering and support for infrastructure, public works and spatial planning policies

Ministry of Forestry Economy, Fisheries and Environment • Sustainable management of water and forests• Conservation of biodiversity• Improvement of the living environment and climate change• Steering and support for forest economics policy

Ministry of Habitat, Urban Planning and Housing • Urbanization and development of the living environment• Piloting and support for urban planning and housing policy

Ministry of Public Health • Prevention and safety• Supply and access to care• Steering and support for health policy

Ministry of Social Protection and National Solidarity • Social protection• Steering and support for social protection policy

Ministry of Water and Energy • Management and control of mining activities• Piloting and support for mining policy• Radioactivity management

Source: Authors’ calculations, based on 2014–2017 Finance Law Budgets, Ministry of Budget and Public Accounts.

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UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction

www.preventionweb.net/resilient-africa www.undrr.orgThis publication has been produced with the assistance of the European Union.

The contents of this publication are the sole responsibility of the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union.

The material in this document is subject to copyright. Because UNDRR encourages dissemination of its knowledge, this work may be reproduced, in whole or in part, for non-commercial purposes as long as full attribution to this work is given.

Citation: UNDRR (2020). Gabon: Risk-sensitive Budget Review.