gabites porter waikato regional transportation model grant smith & julie ballantyne
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GABITES PORTER
Waikato Regional Waikato Regional Transportation ModelTransportation Model
Grant Smith & Julie BallantyneGrant Smith & Julie Ballantyne
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected• Model CapabilitiesModel Capabilities
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected• Model CapabilitiesModel Capabilities• Model FormModel Form
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected• Model CapabilitiesModel Capabilities• Model FormModel Form• Model Basic StatisticsModel Basic Statistics
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover
• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected• Model CapabilitiesModel Capabilities• Model FormModel Form• Model Basic StatisticsModel Basic Statistics• A Look at the FutureA Look at the Future
GABITES PORTER
Items to coverItems to cover• Objectives of WRTMObjectives of WRTM• Project TimetableProject Timetable• Data CollectedData Collected• Model CapabilitiesModel Capabilities• Model FormModel Form• Model Basic StatisticsModel Basic Statistics• A Look at the FutureA Look at the Future• Interesting IssuesInteresting Issues
GABITES PORTER
Objectives for the WRTMObjectives for the WRTM
1.1. A single transport model for the Waikato RegionA single transport model for the Waikato RegionAs opposed toAs opposed to
– Two modelling platformsTwo modelling platforms– Five different modelsFive different models
GABITES PORTER
Objectives for the WRTMObjectives for the WRTM
1.1. A single transport model for the Waikato RegionA single transport model for the Waikato RegionAs opposed toAs opposed to
– Two modelling platforms– Five different models
2.2. Quality data and modeling:Quality data and modeling:CurrentlyCurrently
– Previous Models used old or borrowed dataPrevious Models used old or borrowed data– Asking more of existing modelsAsking more of existing models
GABITES PORTER
Objectives for the WRTMObjectives for the WRTM1.1. A single transport model for the Waikato RegionA single transport model for the Waikato Region
As opposed toAs opposed to– Two modelling platformsTwo modelling platforms– Five different modelsFive different models
2.2. Quality data and modeling:Quality data and modeling:CurrentlyCurrently
– Previous Models used old or borrowed dataPrevious Models used old or borrowed data– Asking more of existing modelsAsking more of existing models
3.3. Minimise project and administration overhead:Minimise project and administration overhead:– Range of project managers and administratorsRange of project managers and administrators
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation• Contract signed 19th October 2007Contract signed 19th October 2007
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation• Contract signed 19th October 2007Contract signed 19th October 2007• Initial Completion date April 2009Initial Completion date April 2009
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation• Contract signed 19th October 2007Contract signed 19th October 2007• Initial Completion date April 2009Initial Completion date April 2009• Delayed by Home Interview SurveyDelayed by Home Interview Survey
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation• Contract signed 19th October 2007Contract signed 19th October 2007• Initial Completion date April 2009Initial Completion date April 2009• Delayed by Home Interview SurveyDelayed by Home Interview Survey• Clean HIS data available March 2009Clean HIS data available March 2009
GABITES PORTER
Project TimetableProject Timetable
• Project = Model Build + OperationProject = Model Build + Operation• Contract signed 19th October 2007Contract signed 19th October 2007• Initial Completion date April 2009Initial Completion date April 2009• Delayed by Home Interview SurveyDelayed by Home Interview Survey• Clean HIS data available March 2009Clean HIS data available March 2009• Model build completed Jan 2010Model build completed Jan 2010
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys
– Survey March 2008 to January 2009 Survey March 2008 to January 2009 – Face-to-face interviews conductedFace-to-face interviews conducted– 2,000 Households (1,000 in Hamilton)2,000 Households (1,000 in Hamilton)– Saturday Survey for additional 500 HHsSaturday Survey for additional 500 HHs– Trip rates:Trip rates:
• Unexpanded = 9.4 daily person trips/HHUnexpanded = 9.4 daily person trips/HH• Expanded = 11.2 daily person trips/HHExpanded = 11.2 daily person trips/HH
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys
– Survey December 2007 to March 2008Survey December 2007 to March 2008– 18 locations in total18 locations in total– Auckland & Tauranga data borrowedAuckland & Tauranga data borrowed– All vehs, 1 direction, 12 hoursAll vehs, 1 direction, 12 hours– 6 Hamilton Sites ANPR6 Hamilton Sites ANPR
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys• Bus Passenger Interview SurveysBus Passenger Interview Surveys
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected• Bus Passenger Interview SurveysBus Passenger Interview Surveys
– Survey July 2008 to November 2008Survey July 2008 to November 2008– Survey 50% peak & 33% off-peak servicesSurvey 50% peak & 33% off-peak services – On-board interview surveyOn-board interview survey– Interviewed 4,700 passengersInterviewed 4,700 passengers– 30% sample (16k pax/day)30% sample (16k pax/day)– Expand to EW patronage dataExpand to EW patronage data
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys• Bus Passenger Interview SurveysBus Passenger Interview Surveys• Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys• Bus Passenger Interview SurveysBus Passenger Interview Surveys• Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)• Traffic CountsTraffic Counts
GABITES PORTER
Data CollectedData Collected
• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys• Roadside Interview SurveysRoadside Interview Surveys• Bus Passenger Interview SurveysBus Passenger Interview Surveys• Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)Census Data (JTW & Crosstabs)• Traffic CountsTraffic Counts• Journey Time SurveysJourney Time Surveys
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
• Two modelsTwo models• Vehicle driverVehicle driver• PersonPerson
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
• Vehicle DriverVehicle Driver• Includes light and heavy vehicles Includes light and heavy vehicles
separatelyseparately• Three periodsThree periods
• Morning Peak – 0700 to 0900Morning Peak – 0700 to 0900• Inter peak – 1100 to 1300Inter peak – 1100 to 1300• Evening peak – 1600 to 1800Evening peak – 1600 to 1800
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
• Vehicle DriverVehicle DriverSuitable for Suitable for • Road network analysisRoad network analysis• Network operationNetwork operation• Landuse planningLanduse planning• Inputs to economic analysisInputs to economic analysis
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
Person modelPerson modelOutputs are trips by modeOutputs are trips by mode
• Car DriverCar Driver• Car PassengerCar Passenger• Bus PassengerBus Passenger• Walk and CycleWalk and Cycle
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
Person modelPerson model• Two PeriodsTwo Periods
• Morning Peak – 0700 to 0900Morning Peak – 0700 to 0900• Inter Peak – 1100 to 1300Inter Peak – 1100 to 1300
GABITES PORTER
Capabilities of the ModelsCapabilities of the Models
Person modelPerson modelSuitable forSuitable for• Travel demand management analysisTravel demand management analysis• Bus Passenger service designBus Passenger service design• Land use PlanningLand use Planning
GABITES PORTER
Model FormModel Form
Standard three and four step modelsStandard three and four step models
GABITES PORTER
Model FormModel Form
Standard three and four step modelsStandard three and four step modelsTrip generation – 10x4 category modelTrip generation – 10x4 category model
GABITES PORTER
Model FormModel Form
Standard three and four step modelsStandard three and four step modelsTrip generation – 10x4 category modelTrip generation – 10x4 category modelGravity Distribution - -ve exponential Gravity Distribution - -ve exponential
functionsfunctions
GABITES PORTER
Model FormModel Form
Standard three and four step modelsStandard three and four step modelsTrip generation – 10x4 category modelTrip generation – 10x4 category modelGravity Distribution - -ve exponential Gravity Distribution - -ve exponential
functionsfunctionsLogit mode split modelLogit mode split model
GABITES PORTER
Model FormModel Form
Standard three and four step modelsStandard three and four step modelsTrip generation – 10x4 category modelTrip generation – 10x4 category modelGravity Distribution - -ve exponential Gravity Distribution - -ve exponential
functionsfunctionsLogit mode split modelLogit mode split modelAssignment – full Intersection modellingAssignment – full Intersection modelling
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes20,000 Links20,000 Links
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes20,000 Links20,000 Links13 Trip Purposes13 Trip Purposes
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes20,000 Links20,000 Links13 Trip Purposes13 Trip PurposesThree step takes 6 minutes per Three step takes 6 minutes per periodperiod
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes20,000 Links20,000 Links13 Trip Purposes13 Trip PurposesThree step takes 6 minutes per Three step takes 6 minutes per periodperiodFour step takes a little longerFour step takes a little longer
GABITES PORTER
Some Basic StatisticsSome Basic Statistics
900 Zones900 Zones8400 Nodes8400 Nodes20,000 Links20,000 Links13 Trip Purposes13 Trip PurposesThree step takes 6 minutes per Three step takes 6 minutes per periodperiodFour step takes a little longerFour step takes a little longerTRACKS softwareTRACKS software
GABITES PORTER
A look at the futureA look at the future
Deficiency analysis atDeficiency analysis at200620062021202120412041
GABITES PORTER
-50
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550
Kil
om
etr
es
of
Ro
ad
Aff
ec
ted
by
LO
S
LOS F 0.9 43.6 72.1LOS E 30.2 56.5 109.6LOS D 42.8 93.7 129.8LOS C 107.5 171.8 210.7
2006 2021 20410
100
200
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Nu
mb
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Inte
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y L
OS
LOS F 22 50 83LOS E 23 19 35LOS D 38 44 54LOS C 210 223 287
2006 2021 2041
Example Model OutputsExample Model Outputs
GABITES PORTER
Example Model OutputsExample Model Outputs
Evening Peak Traffic Performance Index (2006=1.00)
0
0.5 1
1.5 2
2.5 3
3.5Vehicle kms
Link Vehicle Minutes
Link Mean Running Speed (kph)
Total Vehicle Intersection Delay (min)
Vehicles Subject to Intersection Delay
Intersection Delay per Vehicle (secs)
Total Vehicle Trips
Intrazonal Vehicle Trips
Vehicle Trips (Excluding Intrazonals)
Network Total Vehicle Minutes
Network Mean Network Speed (kph)
Average Trip Distance in kms
Average Trip Time in Minutes
2006
2021
2041
Evening Peak Traffic Performance Index (2006=1.00)
0
0.5 1
1.5 2
2.5 3
3.5Vehicle kms
Link Vehicle Minutes
Link Mean Running Speed (kph)
Total Vehicle Intersection Delay (min)
Vehicles Subject to Intersection Delay
Intersection Delay per Vehicle (secs)
Total Vehicle Trips
Intrazonal Vehicle Trips
Vehicle Trips (Excluding Intrazonals)
Network Total Vehicle Minutes
Network Mean Network Speed (kph)
Average Trip Distance in kms
Average Trip Time in Minutes
2006
2021
2041
Evening Peak Traffic Performance Index (2006=1.00)
0
0.5 1
1.5 2
2.5 3
3.5
Vehicle kms
Link Vehicle Minutes
Link Mean Running Speed (kph)
Total Vehicle Intersection Delay (min)
Vehicles Subject to Intersection Delay
Intersection Delay per Vehicle (secs)
Total Vehicle Trips
Intrazonal Vehicle Trips
Vehicle Trips (Excluding Intrazonals)
Network Total Vehicle Minutes
Network Mean Network Speed (kph)
Average Trip Distance in kms
Average Trip Time in Minutes
2006
2021
2041
Evening Peak Traffic Performance Index (2006=1.00)
0
0.5 1
1.5 2
2.5 3
3.5
Vehicle kms
Link Vehicle Minutes
Link Mean Running Speed (kph)
Total Vehicle Intersection Delay (min)
Vehicles Subject to Intersection Delay
Intersection Delay per Vehicle (secs)
Total Vehicle Trips
Intrazonal Vehicle Trips
Vehicle Trips (Excluding Intrazonals)
Network Total Vehicle Minutes
Network Mean Network Speed (kph)
Average Trip Distance in kms
Average Trip Time in Minutes
2006
2021
2041
GABITES PORTER
Hamilton Hamilton PM peak LOSPM peak LOS
5.0km
20062006
Key Link LOS
Road
LOS D
LOS E
LOS F
GABITES PORTER 5.0km
Key Link LOS
Road
LOS D
LOS E
LOS F
Hamilton Hamilton PM peak LOSPM peak LOS
20212021
GABITES PORTER 5.0km
Key Link LOS
Road
LOS D
LOS E
LOS F
Hamilton Hamilton PM peak LOSPM peak LOS
20412041
GABITES PORTER
Interesting IssuesInteresting Issues
• Geographic coverageGeographic coverage
GABITES PORTER
Interesting IssuesInteresting Issues
• Geographic coverageGeographic coverage• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys
- - hiringhiring- data integrity/stops vs trips- data integrity/stops vs trips- expansion/under-reporting- expansion/under-reporting
GABITES PORTER
Interesting IssuesInteresting Issues
• Geographic coverageGeographic coverage• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys
- - hiringhiring- data integrity/stops vs trips- data integrity/stops vs trips- expansion/under-reporting- expansion/under-reporting
• Trip rates (urban/rural)Trip rates (urban/rural)
GABITES PORTER
Interesting IssuesInteresting Issues
• Geographic coverageGeographic coverage• Household Interview SurveysHousehold Interview Surveys
- - hiringhiring- data integrity/stops vs trips- data integrity/stops vs trips- expansion/under-reporting- expansion/under-reporting
• Trip rates (urban/rural)Trip rates (urban/rural)• Distribution functions (urban/rural)Distribution functions (urban/rural)
GABITES PORTER
Questions?Questions?