g3 group industrials mail and beyond price* nz$0.75 … ou… · · 2015-06-17nxt company...
TRANSCRIPT
16 June 2015
G3 Group coverage is provided through the NXT Research Scheme
NXT company spotlight
Mail and beyond
G3 Group operates three businesses: a New Zealand-based business mail
operation; a unique UK tourist mail business (Universal Mail UK); and
document management in New Zealand. The compliance listing on the New
Zealand NXT market does not include the raising of any capital and will
provide a platform for organic and acquisition-fuelled growth.
Business aggregation
Since 2005, G3 Group’s corporate mail business has grown organically and
through acquisitions, which include Pete’s Post (2012) and Fastway Post (2013).
The UK Mail business began in London in 2009 and the acquisitions made in 2014
(Filecorp and Eureka) have given G3 a presence in the filing and document
management business. Several of these businesses were acquired from parties
who became the three major shareholders of G3. The acquisition strategy rationale
includes combining infrastructure and expertise and building the scale required to
undertake further industry consolidation in New Zealand and in Australia and to
enter the electronic data management space.
Past performance
The disclosure document reveals that there has been organic growth in each of the
last 11 years; however, it does not disclose the contribution from acquisitions. Since
2005, revenue has increased from NZ$1m to NZ$41m in FY15. The EBITDA
margin for FY15 fell to 9.3% from 10% in FY14 due to a higher proportion of
earnings from the lower-margin NZ Mail business.
Growth options
G3 sees its existing high-growth options as the UK tourist mail business and
document management in New Zealand and Australia. It believes that there are
near-term industry consolidation opportunities in the physical filing, document
management and possibly in the mail house space in Australia. However, the most
significant growth opportunity remains the yet to be explored digital space. The
traditional mail business is expected to continue to slow with some upside from cost
out and business aggregation.
Valuation: Peer comparison
The last share price used for an acquisition and for the issue of shares to the
independent directors and certain key employees was NZ$0.75. This implies a
market capitalisation of NZ$40.4m, which implies a FY15 EBITDA multiple of 11.3x
and a FY15 P/E of 15.0x compared with a peer group FY15 P/E of 22.2x and the
NZ All Index FY15 P/E of 19.4x.
G3 Group Industrials
Price* NZ$0.75
Market cap* $40.4m
*Share issue price used in ESOP
Share details
Code GGL
Listing NXT
Shares on issue 53.8m
Business description
G3 Group is undertaking a compliance listing on
NXT. The last acquisition transaction and the issue of
shares to the non-executive directors and senior
executives was struck at NZ$0.75 per share implying
a market capitalisation of ~NZ$40m.
Bull
Experienced board and management.
Profitable operations.
Successful acquisition and integration track record.
Bear
Dependent on access agreements in New Zealand and UK.
No IP limits margins (EBITDA ~10%).
No presence in electronic data management.
Analysts
Moira Daw 61 2 9280 1161
Finola Burke 61 2 9280 1161
Historic financials
Year end
Revenue (NZ$m)
NPAT (NZ$m)
EPS (c)
DPS (c)
P/E (x)
Yield (%)
03/12 19.3 (0.5) N/A 0.0 N/A N/A
03/13 25.6 1.2 N/A 0.0 N/A N/A
03/14 32.3 1.4 3.0 0.0 25.0 N/A
03/15 40.5 1.9 5.0 0.0 15.0 N/A
Source: G3 disclosure document. Note: P/E based on NZ$0.75/sh (most recent issue price).
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 2
Company description: Mail and more
G3 Group is an amalgamation of several businesses that were previously owned and operated by
the three major shareholders. The terms of this transaction have not been disclosed. These
amalgamated businesses have achieved consistent year-on-year revenue growth for 11 years and
since 2010 have shown steady growth in EBITDA. The amount of growth attributable to acquisitions,
which include four between 2012 and 2014, has not been disclosed. G3 plans to build on its
expertise in physical mail and workflow to expand into the digital world of data creation,
management, distribution and storage through making acquisitions.
Business segments
The current business of G3 comprises:
business mail in New Zealand (NZ Mail, Pete’s Post, Fastway Post and SEND);
tourism mail in UK; and
filing and document management in New Zealand.
The table below uses data from G3 Group’s FY15 audited accounts adjusted to include revenue
and EBITDA from acquisitions made during FY15 (see Exhibit 7 for detail)
Exhibit 1: G3 Group – segment revenue and EBITDA
(NZ$000) Revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin
NZ Mail operations 35,078 1,766 5.0%
UK Mail operations 5,449 1,983 36.4%
Filing and document management 1,978 374 18.9%
Total 42,505 4,123 9.7%
Source: G3 Group disclosure document
NZ Mail
The 650 million items per year mail market1 in New Zealand was deregulated in 1998 but is still
dominated by the government owned NZ Post (~60%) of the market by volume. There are 25
private postal operators, the largest of which are G3 and DX Mail (owned and operated by
Freightways, FRE.NZX) with a market share of approximately 10% each. Freightways aggregates
its Business Mail division with the courier services and freight support businesses, which means
that it is not possible to draw meaningful comparisons of operating metrics or the value of the
Business Mail division. Freightways’ Express Package and Business Mail division reported FY14
revenue of NZ$332m and EBITDA of NZ$60m.
G3 expects to grow its market share of the NZ mail business via acquisitions sourced from the long
tail of small operators and from market share gains from government owned incumbent NZ Post.
This should fuel increased revenue and improved EBITDA margins in spite of an estimated overall
market decline in mail volumes of 6-7% per year.
G3’s four mail businesses offer a differentiated service including:
prepaid personalised products and postage stamps, which are sold either directly or via product
distribution channels. The items are distributed either through NZ Post or delivered within the
DX Mail network (the SEND brand); and
outsourced postal services including the collection and despatch of mail and courier items.
Customers are charged a monthly management fee as well as a fee per item.
G3 has an access agreement with NZ Post whereby it pays a wholesale fee for access and charges
its customers retail rates. The access arrangements for mail delivery are determined by the Postal
Network Access Committee and are therefore subject to change. G3’s NZ Mail business has a
1 Estimated by G3 Group – G3 Group disclosure document.
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 3
commercial relationship with Freightways for an alternative mail delivery and service channel via
DX Mail.
UK tourism mail
The G3 start-up business Universal Mail UK (UMUK) entered the UK personalised tourism stamp
market in 2009 following the liberalisation of the UK postal market in 2006. There are only two
providers of international postcard stamps – the incumbent Royal Mail and UMUK. UMUK designs
bespoke tourist stamps, commissions the printing and then distributes them to re-sellers, tour
operators and other retailers so that tourists can affix the specialised stamps to postcards. Tourism
at 9% of GDP is a significant industry in the UK and in spite of a plethora of instant digital
communication operations the ‘old fashioned’ postcard, (which made its first appearance in 1840),
is still a favoured form of holiday communication.
G3 has an access agreement with Royal Mail, which means that any postcard with a UMUK stamp
can be mailed in a Royal Mail red post box or at a post office located in England, Wales, Scotland
and Northern Ireland. Royal Mail charges a fee to cover the aggregation and extraction of UMUK
stamped items, which are then forwarded to an international mail distribution partner who bears the
responsibility for delivery of the mail item to the designated recipient. The access agreement with
Royal Mail is subject to change and, although management considers this unlikely, the access
agreement could, in theory, be cancelled.
We expect demand to grow in line with general tourism growth and from an extension of G3’s
distribution network in the UK. There may be opportunities in markets outside the UK; however,
there are no imminent plans to enter new markets.
Document management (New Zealand)
In 2014, G3 entered the document management market via acquisition and focuses on large
vertical markets such as legal, health, accounting, finance and government. Services and products
offered include document filing systems, consultancy services, cabinetry and software solutions to
assist in the storage and management of physical in-house documents and records. The branded
products are Filecorp, where G3 has only one competitor and Eureka Filing Systems. All products
are sold through telemarketing, direct mail or through major office product retailers.
Strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats
Exhibit 2: G3 Group – SWOT analysis
Strengths Weaknesses
Experience in the mail/records business. Growth dependent on acquisitions.
Well credentialed management and board. No track record in electronic data management.
One of two key non-government players in NZ mail market. Margin limited by access agreement.
Successful record of acquisition integration. No intellectual property, which limits EBITDA margins (~10%).
Profitable operations.
In-depth understanding of business communications.
Conservative balance sheet.
Opportunities Threats
Consolidation in the NZ mail sector. Termination of extraction agreement with Royal Mail.
Expansion in physical document management (Australia/NZ). Termination of NZ Post access agreement.
Acquisitions of digital data storage and management businesses. Access price increases that cannot be passed on to customers.
Leverage fixed-cost base. Declining volumes of physical mail.
Intangible asset write-down if profitability declines.
Source: Edison Investment Research
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 4
Acquisition opportunities – mail houses Australia
As well as opportunities to acquire some of the 23 independent mail operators in NZ who have 1%2
or less market share, there are also opportunities for industry consolidation within the Australian
bulk mail house markets and associated data management markets. This is evidenced by the 52
independent mail operators who have been awarded Bulk Mail Partner (BMP) status by Australia
Post.
Exhibit 3: G3 Group – approved BMP Australia
NSW Vic/Tas Qld WA SA/NT
Abnote Australiasia x
Action Mail Australia x
Adelaide Business Bureaux x
Adsone x
Bing Mail x x x x
Blue Star MD x x
Canprint Communications x
Chandler CK Communications x
Chequemates x x
CMR Direct x
COJO x
Colemans Printing x
Complete Mailing x x
Computershare Comm x x x x
D&D Mailing x x
Data Direct Australia x
Data Transfer Shares x
Direct Mail ontime x
Direct Response x
Docmaster x
Fergies print & Mail x
Forms Express x
Fuji Xerox x x x x
GJI Pty Ltd x
Hardline x
IBM Output x
Integrated Mailing x
IQ Mail Soltuions x
Lane Print Group x
Lasermail x
Mail Marketing Works x
Mailezy x
Mailforce Document Solutions x
Mailing Today x
McPhersons Printing x
Median Technologies x
Melbourne Mailing x
Merge Print Mail x
Mulitpack x
National Mailing x
Offset Alpine x x x
OTG Mastermail x
Print Mail Logistics x
Quickmail x
Racing Pigeon x
SEMA x x
Smartcomm x
The Camerons Group x
The Faimly Mail House x
The Mailing House x
Universal Approach x
Zipform x
Source: www.australiapost.com
There are also acquisition opportunities in the physical data management space as well as in the
evolving digital data management environment.
2 G3 disclosure document.
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 5
Data management and the digital world
G3 intends to progress from physical document and file management to automated digital workflows
and data storage. Businesses are looking for solutions that will enable them to securely and
accurately manage complex information environments to minimise risk, achieve greater cost
effectiveness and discover better processes to use both digital and physical assets profitably. The
global physical and digital information management services market is estimated to be at least
A$20bn per year3 and includes the following:
collection, indexing and storage of physical and digital information assets;
secure destruction of records and other information;
protection and backup of computer data and other media; and
broader technology-enabled information management solutions.
The largest player in this market in Australia and NZ is Recall (REC.ASX), which was demerged
from Brambles (BXB.ASX) in October 2013 and is currently under a take-over offer from Iron
Mountain (IRM:NYSE). At the time of the demerger Recall’s principal business was still physical
document management, secure document destruction and data protection.
There are also a number of niche IT platform service providers in New Zealand and Australia that
automate complex inbound and outbound data flows. Such solution based operators often work
within industry verticals such as finance, health and government. G3 may look to leverage its larger
customer, geography and service base across a number of these niche operators.
Revenue model
G3 generates revenue from the sale of goods and services. It has a track record of year-on-year
revenue growth for 11 years; however, part of the strong growth in the FY13 to FY15 period has
come from acquisitions. The segment data in the audited financial statements for G3 Group show
that total revenue in FY15 grew by 32.8% with the lower margin NZ Mail business growing at 35.4%
(5.7% segment contribution margin) and the Tourism mail business in UK growing by 18% (36.3%
segment contribution margin.
Exhibit 4: G3 Group revenue – 2005-15
Source: G3 disclosure document
Profitability
The gross margin on products is dependent on the volume of product sold and the following factors:
NZ Mail Business – the terms of the access agreement with NZ Post, the proportion of mail
delivered using DX Mail and the value of the mail out-sourcing contracts;
UK Tourist Mail – the terms of the access agreement with Royal Mail; and
filing and document management – costs of manufacture of the filing systems.
3 G3 disclosure document.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
NZ
$'00
0
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 6
The group’s EBITDA performance over the past 11 years is shown below.
Exhibit 5: G3 Group EBITDA – 2005-15
Source: G3 Group disclosure document
Key operating milestones
In the disclosure document G3 has defined its key operating milestones (KOMs) as:
gross margin – group revenue less cost of goods sold;
operating margin – revenue less gross margin plus the direct variable costs of production;
days sales of inventory – the number of days sales it will take to clear the inventory; and
number of units processed – encompasses all product units sold including stamps, postage
permits, envelopes and filing products.
G3’s disclosure document provides selected financial information and key operating milestones for
the three years from FY15 to FY17. We have used this information to undertake some sensitivity
analysis using a range of revenue growth assumptions to show the expected increase in earnings
per share. The key operating milestones are based on the existing company structure and do not
assume any further acquisitions, although these are likely to play a role in future growth. G3 has
stated that it expects to undertake further acquisitions to consolidate the mail market in New
Zealand, to enter the Australian bulk mail market and to diversify its earnings streams in New
Zealand and other markets, in particular the digital document management market.
Exhibit 6: Key operating milestones FY15a-17e
2015e 2016e 2017e
Gross margin 19.1% 21.9% 22.0%
Operating margin 17.6% 20.1% 20.2%
Days sales in inventory (days) 19 22 22
No of processed units (m) 60.32 70.54 75.31
Source: G3 Group disclosure document. Note: The 21.5% increase in processed units is a result of the full-year impact of acquisitions made during FY15.
Selected financial information
The table below combines the data from G3 Group’s disclosure document and from the group’s
audited financial statements.
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
EB
ITD
A m
argin %
NZ
$'00
0
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 7
Exhibit 7: G3 Group select financial information FY12-15
(NZ$'000) Actual Actual Actual Reported Inc acq Pro forma
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY15 FY15
NZ Mail 27,643 35,078 35,078 35,078
UK Mail 4,617 5,449 5,449 5,449
Filing and document management 1,978 3,500
Total Revenue 19,289 25,605 32,260 40,527 42,505 44,027
EBITDA 2,199 2,868 3,215 3,749 4,123 4,294
EBIT 513 2,781 3,050 3,593 N/A N/A
NPAT -545 1,176 1,363 1,909 N/A N/A
Dividends 196 4
Total Assets 21,075 23,290 24,328 27,999
Cash and cash equivalents 2,460 2,339 2,455 815
Total Liabilities 19,964 21,076 20,717 18,060
Total Debt 12,395 16,132 14,266 9,148
Net cash flow from operations 1,431 -389 4,182 3,365
EBITDA margin 11.4% 11.2% 10.0% 9.3%
EBIT margin 2.7% 10.9% 9.5% 8.9%
NPAT margin N/A 4.6% 4.2% 4.7%
Net debt 9,935 13,793 11,811 8,333
Equity 1,111 2,214 3,611 9,940
Average net debt 11,864 12,802 10,072
Average equity 1,663 2,913 6,776
ROCE 20.6% 19.4% 21.3%
ROE 70.7% 46.8% 28.2%
Source: G3 Group disclosure document, G3 Group financial statements
Return on funds
As is expected for a services business the return on capital shows a healthy margin over the
weighted average cost of capital.4
Intangible assets
The audited financial statements of G3 Group show intangible assets of NZ$19.4m of which
NZ$17m is goodwill. The UK Mail business goodwill of NZ$12.8m was reduced by an impairment of
NZ$1.8m made in FY12. There have been no further goodwill impairments since FY12.
Management expects revenue growth of 9% in FY16 and 8% per year thereafter with operating
costs forecast to be between 17-19% of revenue.
Exhibit 8: G3 Group – intangible assets
(NZ$'000) FY14 FY15
Goodwill
NZ Mail 1,969 1,969
UK Mail 12,753 12,753
Filing and document management 2,277
Total goodwill 14,722 16,999
Other intangibles 740 2,515
Total intangibles 15,462 19,514
Source: G3 Group financial statements
Cash flow from operations
The relationship between cash flow from operations and NPAT adjusted for non-cash items is set
out in the table below.
4 G3 Group’s FY15 financial statements (Note 12) uses post tax discount rates of 14.6% for UK Mail and 16.1%
for NZ Mail in order to test for goodwill impairment.
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 8
Exhibit 9: G3 Group – cash vs profit (FY12-15)
Actual Actual Actual Actual
(NZ$'000) FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
EBIT 513 2,781 3,050 3,593
Cash flow from operations (pre interest and tax) 1,431 -389 4,182 3,365
Adjustment for tax 200 852
EBIT (adjusted) 1,431 -389 4,382 4,217
Cash flow % of adjusted NPAT 279% -14% 144% 117%
Source: G3 Group disclosure document, G3 Group financial statements
G3 Group needs to fund working capital in particular, inventory for the mail and international tourist
stamp businesses. The KOMs include a focus on inventory turns.
Sensitivities
Using the select financial data and key operating metrics from the disclosure document and the
FY15 financial statements we have reconstructed the income statement and have conducted a
sensitivity analysis based on a range of revenue increases. Our reconstructed income statement
assumes that the pro forma for FY15 includes acquisitions made during FY15 as if the acquisition
had taken place on 1 April 2014. The table below uses revenue and operating cost growth
assumptions and key operating metrics provided by the company for FY16 and FY17.
Exhibit 10: G3 Group – Key operating metrics, revenue and cost assumptions
FY15a FY15a FY16e FY17e
Inc acq Pro forma
Revenue growth (G3 Group Est)
NZ Mail 7.0%
UK Mail 11.0%
Filing and document management 7.0%
Total group 7.0%
Growth in costs
NZ Mail 3.0% 3.0%
UK Mail 5.0% 5.0%
Filing and document management 3.0% 3.0%
Gross margins 19.5% 19.5% 21.9% 22.0%
Operating margins 17.6% 17.6% 20.1% 20.2%
Days sales in inventory (days) 19 19 22 22
Numbers of units processed (m) 60.32 70.54 75.31
Source: G3 disclosure document
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 9
Exhibit 11: G3 Group – Income statement from FY14a to FY17e
FY14a FY15a FY15a FY15 FY16e FY17e
(NZ$'000) Data source Reported Reported Inc acq. Pro forma
Revenue
NZ Mail Co data/assumptions 35,078 35,078 37,533
UK Mail Co data/assumptions 5,449 5,449 6,048
Filing and document management Co data/assumptions 1,978 3,500 3,745
Total revenue 32,260 40,527 42,505 44,027 47,327 50,640
Gross margin Co KOM 7,903 8,585 10,365 11,141
Direct variable costs Edison extrapolation -770 -837 -925 -912
Operating margin Co KOM 7,133 7,749 9,440 10,229
Overheads Edison extrapolation -3,428 -3,338 -4,100 -4,223
EBITDA Edison extrapolation 3,213 3,705 4,123 4,411 5,340 6,006
Depreciation & amortisation Assumed no change Fy16-17e -165 -156 -231 -370 -370 -370
EBIT 3,048 3,549 3,892 4,041 4,970 5,636
Interest Assumed free cash returned to shareholders -1,227 -952 -952 -560 -560 -560
NPBT 1,821 2,597 2,940 3,481 4,410 5,076
Income tax Tax rate of 28% -458 -688 -823 -975 -1,235 -1,421
NPAT 1,363 1,909 2,117 2,506 3,175 3,655
Statistics
Gross margin 19.5% 19.5% 21.9% 22.0%
Operating margin 17.6% 17.6% 19.9% 20.2%
EBITDA margin 10.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 11.9%
Growth in EBITDA 40.1% 21.1% 12.5%
Revenue per item ($) 0.73 0.67 0.67
Source: G3 Group disclosure document, G3 Group financial statements, Edison Investment Research. Note: The estimates for FY16 and FY17 do not include the impact of future acquisitions.
The increase in earnings per share in FY16 is driven by the company’s expected increase in gross
margin of 240bp and the improvement in operating margin of 250bp as well as some fixed cost
leverage. The expected increases in margins are as specified in the key operating metrics.
Our sensitivity analysis (Exhibit 12) uses a range of revenue increases and sets out the impact on
NPAT and earnings per share.
Exhibit 12 - G3 Group – sensitivity analysis
Additional revenue increase (NZ$'000) Base case 1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
FY16e
Annual revenue increase 7.5% 8.5% 9.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.5%
NPAT 3,175 3,244 3,314 3,383 3,453 3,522
Increase in NPAT(EPS) 26.7% 29.5% 32.2% 35.0% 37.8% 40.5%
FY17e
Annual revenue increase 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0%
NPAT 3,655 3,793 3,932 4,073 4,215 4,358
Increase in NPAT (EPS) 15.1% 16.9% 18.7% 20.4% 22.1% 23.7%
Source: G3 Group disclosure document, Edison Investment Research
Directors and management
The four person board comprises non-executive directors. The only director with current listed
public company directorships is the chairman Robert Campbell who is also chairman of Summerset
Group Holdings (SUM.NZX) and chairman of Tourism Holdings (THL.NZX).
The other directors are:
Stephen Phillips who has particular expertise in lateral filing systems and office related systems
and consumables. Stephen has over 25 years’ experience as a CEO and director of office
supply and printing companies. He has also chaired the advisory boards of Brand Developers
and Hydroflow.
Evan Christian co-founded G3 and holds 41.15% of the issued shares. Evan is not currently a
director of any publicly listed company. His past director roles have included Zintel Group
(ZIN.NZX), Abano Healthcare Group (ABA.NZX) and Provenco Group.
Jason Butler co-founded G3 with Evan Christian and holds 41.15% of the issued shares. He
has spent 15 years at senior levels in mail operations including a period in UK overseeing the
UMUK business.
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 10
The senior members of the management team are:
Mark Brightwell, CEO with expertise in supply chain solutions for customers. Mark was
previously GM of DX Mail, DataPrint and Online Security Services at Freightways (FRE.NZX).
Rob Alker, as COO, has been with G3 for six years. He has been instrumental in the successful
integration of four acquisitions made between 2012 and 2014.
Eric Skilling, financial controller, has had 20 years’ experience as a financial controller. He
joined G3 after a recent period of contracting. He was previously financial controller of Digital
Equipment Corporation (NZ).
Shareholders
Under the NXT market rules as a way of increasing liquidity in the market place, the co-founders
Evan Christian and Jason Butler have agreed to lend 100,000 shares each to the market maker.
The co-founders control 82.3% of the shares and management and the board hold a further 13.4%.
Exhibit 13: G3 Group – shareholders
Evan Christian Director 39.06%
Jason Butler Director 38.88%
Mark Brightwell CEO 6.97%
Rob Campbell Chairman 2.47%
Rob Alker COO 2.47%
Stephen Phillips Director 0.62%
Other shareholders 9.53%
Total 100.00%
Source: G3 Group disclosure document
G3 Group | 16 June 2015 11
Employee share ownership plan
G3 has issued 6,133,333 shares to allow certain directors and key employees to purchase shares
at a price of NZ$0.75/share. This therefore constitutes the most recent share issue price. The
shares vest in three separate tranches with vesting dates of 13 May 2017, 13 May 2019 and 13
May 2021. The directors and employees taking up shares have been issued with loan facilities,
which are to be repaid by the loan repayment date. Other terms relating to the loans issued under
the employee share ownership plan have not been disclosed.
Exhibit 14: G3 Group – loans to directors and management
Shares (‘000) Loans (NZ$’000)
Rob Campbell 1,333 1,000
Stephen Phillips 333 250
Mark Brightwell 1,333 1,000
Rod Alker 1,333 1,000
Others 1,801 1,350
Total 6,133 4,600
Source: G3 Group disclosure document
Valuation
Peer group valuation
There are no relevant directly comparable listed companies. We think that the best comparative
company is Salmat (SLM.ASX) because its business includes aspects of the mail business and
digital data management. It does have other businesses including its letterbox delivery business
(junk mail including catalogues). Freightways has a directly comparable business however it is a
small part of the overall business, which is in the main a freight/courier business. Both Iron
Mountain and Recall are only partially relevant because of their size and the emphasis on
document management rather than mail.
Exhibit 15 Comparative company analysis
Ticker CCY Price ($)
Market cap ($m)
FY15e P/E (x)
FY16e P/E (x)
FY15e EV/EBITDA
(x)
FY16e EV/EBITDA
(x)
FY15e EV/EBIT
(x)
FY16e EV/EBIT
(x)
FY15e yield
(%)
FY16e yield
(%)
Recall Holdings REC.ASX A$ 7.14 2,189 22.8 20.3 10.8 9.9 14.9 13.3 3.0 3.3
Salmat SLM.ASX A$ 0.76 121 N/A 16.8 9.4 4.6 N/A 10.7 5.3 4.0
Iron Mountain IRM.NYSE US$ 31.95 6,727 25.7 24.0 12.2 11.7 19.1 17.0 6.0 5.9
Freightways FRE.NZX NZ$ 6.12 946 18.2 16.5 11.4 10.5 13.4 12.3 3.9 4.2
Peer group average 22.2 19.4 11.0 9.2 15.8 13.3 4.6 4.4
Source: Bloomberg. Note: Priced at 10 June 2015.
The implied EV/EBITDA multiple for G3 Group for FY15 is 11.3x, which is a small premium to the
above peer group. The implied FY15 P/E for G3 Group is 15.0x compared with 22.2x for the peer
group, excluding Salmat, which is expected to be loss making in FY15 due to a A$64.6m goodwill
impairment. At an implied market capitalisation of NZ$40.4m G3 Group is trading at a FY15 P/E
discount of 32% to the above peer group.
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