future vaughn nelson conservation and energy efficiency renewable energy carbon trading national...
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FUTUREVaughn Nelson
Conservation and energy efficiency
Renewable energy
Carbon trading
National Renewable Portfolio Standard
US Goal: 20% of electric from wind by 2030, www.20percentwind.org
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FUTURE WIND
2020, World Wind 580,000 MW
2015, Texas 22,000 MW
WIND FARM DEVELOPMENT1.LAND with good to excellent winds
2.ACCESS to transmission lines (proximity and carrying capacity)
3.CONTRACT to sell energy
(Incentives, penalties, public education)
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TEXAS PREDICTION
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ELECTRIC GENERATION, MW2009 2030
20% WIND
Texas 101,000 25,000
New Mexico 7,200 2,500
Oklahoma 20,000 6,000
In general, windy areas are far from major load centers. Need transmission to East, West, South (ERCOT).
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TRES AMIGAS, 15,000 MWAC-DC-AC intertie
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WIND TURBINES, MWEnormous Potential (8-15 MW/sq mile)
TX Panhandle 60,000
OK Panhandle, Western 35,000
NM Eastern 15,000
Total 120,000
Future Regional (best scenario)ERCOT 8,000
Southwest Power Pool 9,000
Tres Amigas intertie 13,000
Total 30,000
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WIND, MWERCOT Transmission Upgrade 18,000
Present (08) 7,000 New 11,000
Interconnect requests (09)ERCOT 50,000
Southwest Power Pool 40,000
Xcel (Southwestern Public Ser) 13,000
Subtotal 90,000
Future Regional (best) 30,000Land owner; contracts, queue
GIR, $20,000 to 175,000
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TX PanhandleMax 8,000 MW
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FUTUREWind Installed Capacity (2030) 30,000 MW
Only 1/4 of present contracts will be installed
New contracts (a bunch)
Landowners within 25 miles of major substations or high voltage lines have advantage.
Curtailment will still be a problem.
Flip of projects (resource option to wind farms)