future trends in education the worlds of dotcoms & ferals annimac futurist side pd workshop 11...
TRANSCRIPT
Future Trends in Education
The Worlds of DotComs & Ferals
AnnimacFuturist
www.annimac.com.au
SIDE
PD Workshop11 November 2004
Rate of ChangeRate of Change every 10 seconds : new web siteevery 10 seconds : new web site
every 10 minutes : new technologyevery 10 minutes : new technology
every 10 days : new product / service
Amount of change we have in one day
our Grandparents had in one year
Younger means faster
Driving all Drivers of ChangeDriving all Drivers of Change
Technology by 2020
70 % of types of jobs do not exist now
because
80% of technology is not yet invented
Likely jobs in next 10 years :
• Creative Undertaker
• Director of Emerging Thought
• Chief Zookeeper of people
• Thought Jockey
• Chief Imagination Officer
• Hacker Relations Manager
• Valuer of Intangible Assets *
• Human Interface Manager * * Exists 2003
Gap : Haves & Have NotsGap : Haves & Have Nots
Was - wealth Was - wealth $$
Now - technology Now - technology
21 C Nature of Work21 C Nature of Work
Flexible ResponsiveFlexible Responsive
Project basedProject based Team basedTeam based
One off alliances consortiaOne off alliances consortia
Multi taskedMulti tasked
Flat decision makingFlat decision making
Skill based Skill based leadershipleadership
21 C Nature of Employment21 C Nature of Employment
New jobs created – 70%New jobs created – 70% Contract workContract work Part timePart time Self employment Self employment
Five Career changes in life Five Career changes in life Multi skilled employees Multi skilled employees Small businesses SOHOSmall businesses SOHO
Increase low income jobs - serviceIncrease low income jobs - service Increase in female jobs Increase in female jobs Work close to home / home basedWork close to home / home based
Last 50 years : Next 50 years :
masculine paradigm feminine paradigm
respond to change envision, create change
wealth driven values driven
Thrivers : Then & NowThrivers : Then & Now
accept fateaccept fate create destiny create destiny
controlcontrol facilitate facilitate
do the thing rightdo the thing right do the right thing do the right thing
work work inin the organisation the organisation
work work onon the the organisationorganisation
Thrivers Thrivers Last 50 yearsLast 50 years Next 50 yearsNext 50 years
An exampleAn example
To create changeTo create change : :
Last 50 yearsLast 50 years Next 50 yearsNext 50 years
- - by using fearby using fear - by using - by using hopehope
- - use desperationuse desperation - use inspiration- use inspiration
- - go for win-losego for win-lose - go for win-win- go for win-win
ThriversThrivers Last 50 yearsLast 50 years Next 50 yearsNext 50 years
Worlds of DotComs & FeralsWorlds of DotComs & Ferals age 15 - 30 age 0 – 15age 15 - 30 age 0 – 15
• Moving fasterMoving faster
• Speedier communication Speedier communication
• Global communityGlobal community
• Virtual world preferredVirtual world preferred
• Value drivenValue driven
• Innovating Innovating
GenerationsGenerations
Baby Boomers
b 1945 – 60 age 45 - 60 fewer females than males
Generation X 1960 – 75 30 - 45 largest number in population
DotComs 1975 – 90 15– 30 first wired generation
Ferals 1990 – 05 0 - 15 smallest number - ½ of GenX
GenerationsGenerationsBaby Boomers 45 - 60 The New Aged, confident they have the answers if only
someone would ask the right questions.
Generation X 30 - 45 Uncertain what to do with themselves or their ageing
parents. Old system not very appropriate; no apparent new options. Boomers won’t hand over reins.
DotComs 15 - 30 Boomers’ grandkids, busy connecting globally with no
concerns about getting old. Assume innovations will offer untold new options for everything they need.
Ferals 0 - 15 No boundaries, no limits in time, space or distance.
What they need they will create.
TrendsTrends BABY BOOMERS BABY BOOMERS 45 - 6045 - 60
Married or divorced
Empty nesters
Retired or p-t work
Identity from job
Material status
Downsizing their lives
Set relationships
Sense of community
Travellers, homebodies
Medium term planners
Seek new IF safe experiences
Security conscious
Health conscious
Defer to authorityDefer to authority
Love & hate changeLove & hate change
TrendsTrends GEN X ERS GEN X ERS 30 - 4530 - 45
SingleSingle
ChildlessChildless
I.d. ephemeral, I.d. ephemeral, changing changing
Global i.d., no Global i.d., no commitmentcommitment
Short term planners Short term planners
Risk takers, fast Risk takers, fast decisionsdecisions
Mobile, Mobile, nfa, renters , renters
Varied lifestyles, wired Varied lifestyles, wired
Multi careers, SOHOMulti careers, SOHO
Net DatingNet Dating
Materialism assumed Materialism assumed
Environmental valuesEnvironmental values
Personal journeyPersonal journey
Defer to heroesDefer to heroes
Expect, accept changeExpect, accept change
TrendsTrends DOTCOMS DOTCOMS 15 - 3015 - 30
Parental homeParental home
Global I.d. Global I.d.
No careers, own pathNo careers, own path
I.d. from activityI.d. from activity
Group socialisingGroup socialising
Temporary pairingTemporary pairing
WiredWired
Net relationships Net relationships
ImmediacyImmediacy
Multi channeled, multi Multi channeled, multi actions actions
Non consumers Non consumers
Planetary group Planetary group missionmission
Temporary deferenceTemporary deference
Need & welcome Need & welcome changechange
TrendsTrends FERALS FERALS 0 - 150 - 15
Parental home Parental home No patternsNo patterns Unlimited channelsUnlimited channels Future jobs Future jobs
unimportantunimportant Global limitless Global limitless
relationshipsrelationships Momentary Momentary
relationshipsrelationships Global i.d. & Global i.d. &
commitment commitment
Very immediate & long t viewVery immediate & long t view
I.d. from self valuesI.d. from self values
Non consumers, global valuesNon consumers, global values
Wired into global villageWired into global village
No deference, respect per needNo deference, respect per need
Live changeLive change
Ignore all barriersIgnore all barriers
Teaching Teaching in Technology Agein Technology Age Michael GursteinMichael Gurstein Tech & Educ Futurist Canada Tech & Educ Futurist Canada
" to add a set of complex / conceptual skills
to manage, construct, deconstruct information & knowledge at a conceptual level
make sense of what we are doing with ITs
control ITs and how they structure our relationships with others & with physical world.
young developing skills spontaneously & intuitively. need to catch up or get out of their way
or help them systematize what they sense. "
1.1. Linguistic : word smart IQ Tests Linguistic : word smart IQ Tests
2.2. Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart Logical-mathematical : number / reasoning smart
3.3. Spatial : picture smart New EQSpatial : picture smart New EQ 4.4. Bodily-Kinaesthetic : body smartBodily-Kinaesthetic : body smart
5.5. Musical : music smartMusical : music smart
6.6. Interpersonal : people smart Required nowInterpersonal : people smart Required now 7.7. Intrapersonal : self smart Required nowIntrapersonal : self smart Required now
8.8. Naturalist : nature smart Required nowNaturalist : nature smart Required now
Eight Multiple Intelligences Eight Multiple Intelligences Howard GardnerHoward Gardner
SUMMARYSUMMARY Future Trends in Education Future Trends in Education
Exponential change
Technology is - drives all change
Younger means faster everything
Wired & multi - five? - channelled
Young creating own world – new paradigm
Young drive curricula
Teachers as social mentors
Teachers as resource guides
Ready for biotech life !
Thank you www.annimac.com.au
Thank you Thank you www.annimac.com.auwww.annimac.com.au