future platform for mobile communication for mobile communication hajime sasaki chairman of the...
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Future Platform Future Platform for Mobile Communicationfor Mobile Communication
Hajime SasakiHajime SasakiChairman of the Board NEC CorporationChairman of the Board NEC Corporation
ISQEDISQEDMarch. 27, 2001March. 27, 2001
C NEC Corporation 2001
Mobile Communication
Terminal
NetworkInfrastructure
C NEC Corporation 2001
BLACKOUT?
C NEC Corporation 2001
Achille’s Heel of IT Society
IT Society
Mobile & Internet
Network Infrastructure Operating 24 Hours a Day
Global Environmental Problem
NetworkExpands Rapidly
Results in Sudden Electric PowerResults in Sudden Electric PowerSupply ProblemSupply Problem
C NEC Corporation 2001
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2009
1999
?
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
ServersPCsRoutersOthers
In the US, the Internet will be the largest power consumer…
Power Consumption Share of the Internet
In 10 years, the power consumption share of the Internet will surpass 50% !
ARPANETEthernet
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
1st Wave2nd Wave
3rd Wave
WWW
Internet Society（Mainframe Era）
（ PC Era）
（ Internet Era）
E-Commerce
E-BusinessNext Generation Internet
IMT2000/Optics
Grow
th
Internet Penetration and Development
C NEC Corporation 2001
Simulation in Japan….
30 x nuclear power plant
285Bwh285Bwh
C NEC Corporation 2001
By 2010, electric power consumption will increase by….
=2MB 1 lb
E-mail is not Eco-mailE-mail is not Eco-mail but Ego-mail?but Ego-mail?
C NEC Corporation 2001
0.1
1
10
100
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100000
Pow
er(W
atts
)
4004
80088080
80858086 286
386486
PentiumProcessors
1971 1974 1978 1985 1992 2000 2004 2008ISSCC2001
ＣＰＵ ＣＰＵ becomes the Sun?becomes the Sun?
C NEC Corporation 2001
250
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0
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1/3 of Contribution to Energy 1/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Efficiency is Attributed to Change in Industry StructureChange in Industry Structure The portion of low energy The portion of low energy
consumption industry consumption industry increasedincreased(Textile (Textile Software Software IndustryIndustry））
2/3 of Contribution to Energy 2/3 of Contribution to Energy Efficiency is Attributed to Efficiency is Attributed to Internet EconomyInternet Economy Decrease in excess Decrease in excess
production (SCM)production (SCM) Reduction in logistic costs Reduction in logistic costs
(home office, EC)(home office, EC)
American IT vs. Energy Needs
Energy Consumption as ratio of GDP（ Left）
Internet Hosts（ Right）
CY1991 1993 1995 1997 1999
Oil Ratio Tons 10K Units
C NEC Corporation 2001
The Inescapable Two “E’s”
E-economyE-economy
EnvironmentEnvironmentC NEC Corporation 2001
Low power consumptionLow power consumption
Macro Needs Micro Needs
C NEC Corporation 2001
ＮＮＮＮＮＮＮ
Business(Office) Government
EDI: Electronic Data Interchange
TeleworkTeleworkＳＣＭＳＣＭ
ＥＤＩＥＤＩ
RemoteEducation
RemoteMedicalTreatment
CyberMarket
Consumer(Home)
C NEC Corporation 2001
The Networked Society is Coming…
New Utility Created Independently of Time or Place
C NEC Corporation 2001
Regional Difference of Penetration between Internet and Mobile in Developing Stage
(CYE1999 Est.)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Fin
lan
d
No
rwa
y
Sw
ed
en
Ita
ly
UK
Ja
pa
n
Sp
ain
Fra
nc
e
Ge
rma
ny
US
Ca
na
da
(Source: Global Mobile, Nua Ltd.)
Excluding North America, MobilePenetration Exceeds Internet Penetration
0.1
1
10
100
1000
1989 1994 1999 2004
PC clock
ＰＣ ＲＡＭ
Mobil e R O M
Mobil e R A M
Mobile clock
［ＭＨｚ］［ＭＢ］
C NEC Corporation 2001
Comparison between PC & MobileCapacity of Mobile Phone follows Capacity of Mobile Phone follows that of Laptop PC (5-7year time log)that of Laptop PC (5-7year time log)
ROMRAM
Processing Power Doubles Every One and Half Years
C NEC Corporation 2001
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2
i mode Ez web J-sky
20001999
(million subscribers)
<Provides ＞
Imode ； NTT Docomo
EZWeb ： AU
J-Sky ； J Phone
2001Free fromKeyboard Easy to Operate
Slow Adoption ofPC Internet
Surpassed 30 millionSurpassed 30 millionin 2 yearsin 2 years
Internet Connectable Mobile Phone Subscribers in Japan
3G
VA
LU
E
2G
Wireless Communication
InformationAppliance
InformationAppliance
1GMobile PhoneMobile PhoneDataData
VoiceVoice
Quasi-VideoQuasi-Video
VideoVideo
Development of Mobile ServicesDevelopment of Mobile Services
GPSGPSPersonalPersonal
“Push” Type Info“Push”
Type Info
Real TimeReal Time
Core Areas of Mobile ServicesCore Areas of Mobile Services
InteractiveInteractive
PortablePortable
CombinationCombination
C NEC Corporation 2001
Creation of New Mobile Services
Large Display Processing Capacity
Agent
GPS
Certification/Security
Power
Small Size
LCD, ELLCD, EL
CPU, SoftwareCPU, Software
LSILSI
BatteryBattery
MountingMounting
PCB Lithium ion Rechargeable BatteryIntegration of CPU and DSP into 1 chip C NEC Corporation 2001
Future Functions of Mobile Terminal
C NEC Corporation 2001
Flat Panel Display
ＬＣＬＣＤＤ
Li-IonLi-IonＰＤＰＤＰＰ
Total Solution
Energy Device
Key Devices for IT Society
MPUMPUMemoryMemory SOCSOC
Semiconductor
Thinking/Processing（ Brain/Nerve）
Power Supply（ Blood circulation）
Interface（ Face/Expression）
IT
Revolu
tion
The IT Revolution
Semiconductor TechnologySemiconductor Technology
Mobile Revolution
Internet Revolution
C NEC Corporation 2001
C NEC Corporation 2001
Requirement for Next Generation’s Terminal Devices
C NEC Corporation 2001
End of PC Oriented EraEnd of PC Oriented Era
What Paradigm Will Be in the Mobile & Internet Era?Keyboard culture
Ten-keys culture
Paradigm Shift
Seeking high performance and lowcost based on chip shrink technology
PC Oriented Era:
From From PCPC oriented device oriented device (shrink technology)(shrink technology)
To To MobileMobile oriented device oriented device (energy saving technology)(energy saving technology)
Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era
Supreme CommandSupreme Command
Low power consumptionLow power consumption
C NEC Corporation 2001
Paradigm change in Mobile & Internet Era
From seeds oriented deviceFrom seeds oriented device (shrink technology)(shrink technology)
To needs oriented deviceTo needs oriented device (energy saving technology)(energy saving technology)
Supreme CommandSupreme Command
Low power consumptionLow power consumption
C NEC Corporation 2001
Technology RoadmapITRS '99
20012001 20052005 20082008MPU Gate Length(nm) 100100 6565 4545Equivalent physical oxcide thickness Tox(nm) 1.5-1.91.5-1.9 1.0-1.51.0-1.5 0.8-1.20.8-1.2
Number of metal levels 77 8-98-9 99Conductor effective resistivity Cu wiring(μΩ-cm) 2.22.2 2.22.2 1.81.8Interlevel metal insulator-effe
ctive dielectric constnat(k) 2.7-2.7-3.53.5 1.6-2.21.6-2.2 1.51.5
C NEC Corporation 2001
1040100 206080200400
SO
C P
erfo
rman
ce（
GH
z ＊M
Tr ／
W）
Gate Length (nm)
97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11
101
100
103
102
1040100 206080200400
SO
C P
erfo
rman
ce（G
Hz ＊
MT
r ／W）
Gate Length (nm)
97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11Start of Mass Production
10 1
10 0
10 3
10 2
C NEC Corporation 2001
Equivalent ScalingEquivalent Scaling
New Concept LSINew Concept LSI
Conventional Scaling
New ParadigmNew ParadigmNew ParadigmNew Paradigm
Equivalent device scalingEquivalent device scalingNew processes, New materialsNew processes, New materials
Equivalent system scalingEquivalent system scalingNew architecture, New CircuitsNew architecture, New Circuits
Synergetic device/circuit co-designSynergetic device/circuit co-designFlexible parameter CMOS SOCFlexible parameter CMOS SOC
C NEC Corporation 2001
0.15um 14 Million Trs. 125MHz x 4PEs x 2-way Superscalar
１ GIPS ＠１ W, Vdd=1.3V
Dynamic power control of PEs On-chip power switch
Idling:25mW, Sleep:0.2mW
0.15um 14 Million Trs. 125MHz x 4PEs x 2-way Superscalar
１ GIPS ＠１ W, Vdd=1.3V
Dynamic power control of PEs On-chip power switch
Idling:25mW, Sleep:0.2mW
10.5mm
10.5
mm
MP98MP98 ：： Single-Chip MultiprocessorSingle-Chip MultiprocessorNovel multi-thread architectureSoftware for parallel architectureSophisticated power management
C NEC Corporation 2001
Power Management in MP98Power Management in MP98
333µm
38.8µm
PowerSW
Block
Cap.SW Internal
CircuitsCd
Ctrl
ControlCircuits
PowerSW
De-couplingCapacitors
Multi-oxide/-Vt for high-speed and low-power circuitsSoftware controlled power management circuit
10
1.0
t
Normalmode Sleep
Cache data
Idle
Leak Current
80 ｕｓ
0.01
Power(W)
25ms
0.0002
C NEC Corporation 2001
Power ComparisonPower Comparison
1Power (Ratio)
VIDEO CODEC
Idle Mode
Sleep (Off/Instant On)
(2W, 1/2.5)
(1W, 1/5)
(0.9W, 1/4)
(25mW, <1/100)
(200mW, <1/10)
Latest 1GIPS MPUTransmeta TM5400
MP98(4PE)
Transmeta TM5400MP98
Transmeta TM5400MP98(Power Switch Off)
(5W)
(4W)
(8mW)(N.A.)
Latest 1GIPS MPU
Latest 1GIPS MPU
(Source: NEC for P98)
C NEC Corporation 2001
● Ｐｅｎｔｉｕｍ
Processor Map
10000
1000
100
10
1# of
App
licat
ion
Pro
gram
s
101 102 103 104 105
Power Efficiency (MIPS/W)
MPU
MCU
DSP
ASIC
DRL
Reconfigurable Computing Customize hardwaredynamically
� External control style
Reconfigurable Hardware
A
D
B
C
E
A B D C E
Task 1
X
Z
W
Y
Task N
H I J W
X Y
Z
� Internal control style
P
Task 1
Task N Tim
eT
ime
Task N
Mem
ory
Controller
Mem
oryController
Task 1
C NEC Corporation 2001
4 Phases of Competition
Key WordMarketPhase
Aspect ofCompetition
Purpose
Age of Sweat
Age ofAge ofKnowledgeKnowledge
Emerging
Growth
GlobalCompetition
Yield RatioValue Engineering
Investment
Productivity Competitiveness
Based On Outside Know-how
Know-howKnow-how
Productivity Competitiveness Based on Self-
developed Know-how
Variable CostOriented Management
High VolumeProduction Focused onSpreading Fixed Costs
Relative CustomerRelative CustomerSatisfactionSatisfactionManagementManagement
Age of SpeedAge of Speed Timing
Absolute CustomerAbsolute CustomerSatisfactionSatisfactionManagementManagement
Age of Money
4 Methods for Core Competence
Result CharacteristicMarket
Penetration
MassProduction
BasicPerformance
GrowthProfitability
Product ConceptProduct Concept
MaterialsMaterials
ProcessProcess
Production Production SystemSystem
wh
ath
ow
・ First Mover Advantage・ Patent Strategy
・ Serendipity・ First Mover Advantage
・ Individual Dependent・ Patent Strategy・ Dependent on Current Technology・ Corporate Culture Dependent・ Difficult to Imitate
Advantage in
C NEC Corporation 2001
Competent Semiconductor Industry
Core Core CompetenceCompetence
TechnologyBuy or Sell
Joint Development
Develop. of New Business Model
SelfDevelopment
C NEC Corporation 2001