future mobilities : the major disruption for …

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FUTURE MOBILITIES : THE MAJOR DISRUPTION FOR AUTOMOBILE AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin Rémi BASTIEN - Chairman of VEDECOM Institute for Energy T ransition VP Automotive Prospective at RENAULT 22nd International Forum on Advanced Microsystems for Automotive Applications

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FUTURE MOBILITIES : THE MAJOR DISRUPTION FOR AUTOMOBILE

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

Rémi BASTIEN - Chairman of VEDECOM Institute for Energy Transition

VP Automotive Prospective at RENAULT

22nd International Forum on Advanced Microsystems for Automotive Applications

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6 DRIVING FORCES FOR FUTURE MOBILITIES

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

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DISRUPTIONS IN VALUE CHAIN AND TECHNOLOGIES

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin VEDECOM Property – Copy forbidden

Non-Traditional entrants

New Retail

Shift to Asia

Alternative fuels

Low cost brands

Start-up OEMs

Light-weighting

Automated driving

(level 0’2) (1)

Fuel Cells

Electrification

Shared mobility

Connectivity

Automated driving

(level 3-5) (1)

Combustion engine

advancement

Digital experience

Source : Roland BERGER

Disruptive change in expanded value chain Evoluationary change within incubent value chain Disruptive change 1) SAE automated driving classification

DISRUPTIVE impact on the value chain

LIMITED impact on the value chain

ITERATIVE technology change

DISTRUPTIVE technology change

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Mobility and connectivity (recurring revenue) After market One time vehicle sales

AUTOMOTIVE REVENUES 2015 ► 2030

3,500

6,700

In USD B. Source: McKinsey, Goldman Sachs

2015 2030

2,750 (78%)

720 (21%)

30 (1%)

4,000 (60%)

1,200 (18%)

1,500 (22%)

In 2030 for every 100 USD, 22 USD are generated through mobility and connected services

+30% p.y.

+2.2% p.y.

MOBILITY AND CONNECTIVITY SERVICES TO GROW BY 30% P.Y

The services will become a major revenue pool by 2030: >50% of today’s vehicle sales

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

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VEDECOM 360° VISION & EXPERIENCE

3 programs to answer major society challenges

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VEDECOM’S VISION: TO PREPARE THE SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY FOR ALL

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

Towards…

• 0 emissions

• 0 fatalities

• 0 stress

• 0 left out (access to mobility)

• 0 waste (energy, time, space)

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

VEDECOM: a cooperative research hub

Industrials Academics Local authorities

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VEDECOM‘S MISSION: TO ADDRESS 3 MAJOR SOCIETY CHALLENGES

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

Mission Develop disruptive technologies and a cross-disciplinary vision of new usages, for sustainable, safe, efficient and affordable mobility

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

VEDECOMDomains

Challenges Autonomous

drive Connected

car Electric vehicle

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BENEFITS OF ELECTRIC VEHICLE

Dynamic performance Quietness

Running cost Zero emission

Contribute massively to air quality in urban aereas

and CO2 reduction

by moving electric vehicule from niche to mass market

VEDECOM’s Mission

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

9

BENEFITS OF AUTONOMOUS AND CONNECTED DRIVE

Autonomous Drive Mode

Let’s keep it for driving pleasure!

Manual Drive Mode

Safety

Stress-free

Free time

VEDECOM’s Mission

Offer sustainable, safe and efficient

mobility

by accelerating the introduction of

automated cars, with or without driver

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

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BENEFITS OF SHARED MOBILITY AND ENERGY

VEDECOM’s Mission

Optimize mobility systems on territories

by analysing and experimenting new services linked with clean, autonous and connected vehicles

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

Vehicle to home Vehicle to building

Big Data Utilization Shared Mobility

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VEDECOM, A PIONEER FOR AUTONOMOUS DRIVING

12

User Value

Technical & Legal Complexity

Com- muting

driver-less

Partnership with IT industry

tele- op.

Traffic jam

B to B

B to C

Level 2 : assistance to the driver Level 3 : conditional automation Level 4 : high automation Level 5 : full automation

City Driving Highway Incl. City highway

Traffic jam

Long run

Valet park

TWO MAJOR FIELDS FOR AUTOMOTIVE CAR MAKERS

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

13 PERI-URBAN DEMONSTRATION IN STRASBOURG - JUNE 2017

01/10/2018

CROSS-BORDER Automated On-demand MOBILITY SERVICE

Robot taxi

station Control station Pick up point Drop off

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

14

AMA 2018, Sept 12, Berlin

Watch the demonstration

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

15

01/10/2018

Service order

Automated driving

Remote Control Center

Service optimization

PERI-URBAN DEMONSTRATION IN STRASBOURG - JUNE 2017 CROSS-BORDER Automated On-demand MOBILITY SERVICE

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

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AD SAFETY APPROACH – FRENCH NATIONAL PLAN

01/10/2018

1. SAFETY SCOPE

SOTIF

3. SAFETY QUANTITATIVE

TARGET

Accidentology X

Improvement factor

4. SAFETY QUALITATIVE PRINCIPLES

- Perception - Safe behavior - MRM

- Driver monitoring

- Alert - Take Over

request

7. SAFETY

VALIDATION & VERIFICATION

6.

SCENARIOS DATABASE

2. METHODOLOGY

GAME +

5. SIMULATION

METHODS &TOOLS

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

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MOOVE PROJECT: COLLECTION & SCENARIO DATA BASE

01/10/2018

1. Data collect 0. Use case Definition & Targeted scenarios

2. Data transformation at common format

3. Calculation of high level parameter (Sensors independant)

4. Scenario searching and clustering

1. Real world driving safety critical scenarios (SCS)

2. SCS occurrence statistics

3. New SCS

• More than 700.000 km and 15.000 h recorded

• 2Tb of raw data collected each day • Several interesting sequences

extracted like accidents, hazardous driving situations, etc.

Analyses process

Datacenter

Import tool

SSD Mass storage

Onboard screen Data logger

Collaborative analysis

VEDECOM Property – Copy is forbidden

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AT A GLANCE

• The game is changing: from car business to mobility solutions

• The vehicle of future will be zero emission, connected and autonomous

• Partnerships in this new eco-system are key for this mutation

=> VEDECOM : a centre of excellence for this mutation

Together to accelerate the mobility of tomorrow!

Thank you for your attention