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Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David (Dave) Warren Field Technical Manager Transportation Composite Materials Research Oak Ridge National Laboratory P.O. Box 2009, M/S 8050 Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-8050 Phone: 865-574-9693 Fax: 865-574-0740 Email: [email protected]

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Page 1: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber

for Autos: International Scale-up &

What is Needed

C. David (Dave) Warren

Field Technical Manager

Transportation Composite Materials Research

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

P.O. Box 2009, M/S 8050

Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37831-8050

Phone: 865-574-9693 Fax: 865-574-0740

Email: [email protected]

Page 2: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber
Page 3: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

• DOE’s largest multiprogramscience laboratory

• Nation’s largest energy R&D laboratory

• Nation’s largestconcentration of opensource materials research

• World-class computing facilities

• Built the $1.2 billion Spallation Neutron Source

• $300 million modernization program in progress

• $1 billion budget

• 4200 employees

• 3000 research guests annually

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Page 4: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

http://www.eere.energy.gov

Bringing you a prosperous future where energy

is clean, abundant, reliable, and affordable

Office of Energy Efficiency

and Renewable Energy

© 2007 LWV7 All rights reserved

Page 5: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Light-Duty Vehicle Trends

Source: Light Duty Automotive Technology and Fuel Economy Trends: 1975 through

2004, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, April 2004.

Adjusted Fuel Economy by Model Year

(Three-Year Moving Average)Weight and Performance by Model Year

(Three Year Moving Average)

Page 6: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Gas

Prices

Page 7: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Note: Domestic production includes crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, refinery gain, and other inputs. This is consistent with EIA,

MER, Table 3.2. Previous versions of this chart included crude oil and natural gas plant liquids only.

Source: Transportation Energy Data Book: Edition 24, ORNL-6973, and EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2005, Preliminary release,

December 2004.

USA Transportation Petroleum

Use by Mode (1970-2025)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

Millio

n b

arr

els

pe

r d

ay Marine

Rail

Actual Projection

Cars

Air

Light Trucks

Heavy Vehicles

U.S. Production

Off-Road

Page 8: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Industrialized Pacific

Western Europe

Developing AsiaLatin America

Former Soviet Union

Mid-East

Eastern Europe

AfricaChina

U.S.

U.S. Historic

China, with 13 vehicles per 1000 people, is where the U.S. was in 1913

Global Growth Is Accelerating the Demand for Oil

Page 9: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber
Page 10: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon-fiber

CompositesLow-cost fibers

High-volume

Mfg.Recycling Joining

Predictive

Modeling

Aluminum Feedstock Cost Manufac-ing Improved Alloys Recycling

Magnesium Feedstock CostImproved

Alloys

Corrosion

ProtectionManufac-ing Recycling

Advanced High-

strength

Steels

ManufacturabilityWt. Red.

Concepts

Alloy

Development

TitaniumLow-cost

Extraction

Low-cost

Production

Forming &

MachiningLow-cost PM

Alloy

Development

Metal-matrix

CompositesFeedstock Cost

Compositing

Methods

Powder

HandlingCompaction

Machining &

Forming

GlazingsLow-cost

Lightweight Matls.

Noise, To

struc. models

simulations

Noise reduction

techniques

UV and IR

blockers

Emerging

Materials and

Manufacturing

Material Cost Mfg-abilityDesign

Concepts

Performance

Models

Critical Challenges

Inc

rea

sin

g Im

pact

on

Mis

sio

n

Increasing Severity of Challenge

Chart is provided courtesy of Robert McCune - Ford Motor Company

Ma

teri

al O

pti

on

s

A 10% mass reduction translates to a 6-7% increase in fuel

economy or may be used to offset the increased weight and

cost per unit of power of alternative powertrains

Page 11: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

1978 Ford LTD

$1M Demonstration Vehicle

Composites in the

Automotive Industry

Page 12: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

2006 Z06 Corvette

Carbon fiber fenders,

wheel house, and floorpan

(7000 units/year)

Composites in the

Automotive Industry

Ford GT

Carbon fiber

composite rear

deck lid and seat

(4500 units total)

2006 Dodge Viper

Carbon fiber LH/RH fender/sill

supports, LH/RH door inner

reinforcements, windshield

surround reinforcement

(2000 units/year)

Page 14: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber

Demand and Supply

End of the cold War

1998

2005 Commercial Aircraft

build up by Boeing 787&

Airbus A380 & A350

Source: Cliff Eberle, ORNL and Mohamed Abdullah, MGA Consultants

Carbon Fiber Supply and Demand

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016

Year

Millio

n L

bs

Supply

Demand

2005 Commercial Aircraft

build up by Boeing 787&

Airbus A380 & A350

End of the cold War

1998

Page 15: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

34278 34278 35904

4520448454

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Na

me

pla

te C

ap

ac

ity

(M

etr

ic T

on

s)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

North American Vehicle Production > 16 / year

12 pounds of Carbon Fiber per Vehicle: 192M lb/year2X World

Capacity

Source: U.S. Department of Defense, “Polyacrylonitrile (PAN) Carbon Fibers Industrial Capability Assessment”,

OUSD(AT&L) Industrial Policy, October 2005.

Carbon Fiber Capacity

Page 16: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber

Market History

Year

Millio

n L

b/Y

r

Demand

Supply

Commercial grade fiber

Aerospace grade fiber

Fib

er

Pri

ce

pe

r lb

Automotive Targets $5-7

Sources: High performance Composites Magazine

Proceedings of the Global Outlook for Carbon Fiber 1998 to 2007

CEH Marketing Research Report: Carbon Fibers, SRI Consulting

The Market Prespective for PAN-Based Carbon Fiber 1999 - 2005 Kline& Company

Page 17: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

PAN Dependence

on Oil Price

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

Oct-0

1

Dec

-01

Feb-0

2

Apr

-02

Jun-

02

Aug

-02

Oct-0

2

Dec

-02

Feb-0

3

Apr

-03

Jun-

03

Aug

-03

Oct-0

3

Dec

-03

Feb-0

4

Apr

-04

Jun-

04

Aug

-04

Oct-0

4

Dec

-04

Feb-0

5

Apr

-05

Jun-

05

Aug

-05

Oct-0

5

Dec

-05

Feb-0

6

Apr

-06

Jun-

06

Propylene c/lb Brent Crude $ / barrel Acrylic Fiber c/lb

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Cru

de O

il P

rice (

$/B

arr

el)

Acrylic Fiber

Brent Crude Oil

Propylene

2008

Current Carbon Fiber Raw Materials are Tied to Oil

Page 18: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Projected Carbon

Fiber Market Demand

Year

70

0%

Gro

wth

in

Ne

xt

De

ca

de90MM lbs Carbon Fiber

Produced in 2007

Source: Zoltek Annual Report, February 2007

The Growth and Challenges are Multi-Industry

Page 19: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon fiber is a leading candidate for mass reduction.

- 10% Mass Savings = 6-7% Fuel Savings

- Mass reduction allows earlier introduction of

alternative propulsion systems.

Price too high for medium to large volumes.

Supplies are insufficient.

Processing technologies undeveloped.

Automotive

Page 20: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Longer blade design requires use of CF.

- Energy captured is greater with longer blades

- Blades must be both stiff and light.

Insufficient volume of CF at any price.

Lower price needed for more efficient designs.

Needs: Higher volume at lower price.

(Needed now for rapid deployment)

Wind Energy

Page 21: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

In deeper waters strength/weight and stiffness/weight

becomes critical.

Pipes, drill shafts and other structures must support their own

weight while being constructed.

Need stable, larger supply.

Significant materials development.

Materials processing development.

Competitive pricing.

Oil & Gas

Page 22: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon fiber could replace steel with Equivalent stiffness - similar “packing

factor” of reinforcement

• Increased strength - higher tension permissible

• Low (slightly negative) CTE - less sag compensation needed for low

temps

• Reduced weight (~94 lbs vs 344 lbs) - more conductor for equivalent

sag

Need ready supply of materials at volume

pricing and development of materials and

processing technologies.

Power Transmission

Page 23: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Strength to weight demands CF for pressurized H2 storage.

Could make more compact NG storage with higher pressures.

Cost of fiber makes designs prohibitively expensive.

Cost of fiber makes Designs prohibitively expensive.

Insufficient volume of CF available.

Hydrogen and NG Storage

Carbon Fiber

Glass Fiber

Epoxy

Curatives

Liner Polymer

Foam Dome

Front Boss

Aft Boss

1-1/8 Adapter

Seals

Valve

PRD

Miscellaneous

40 - 80% is carbon fiber cost

Page 24: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Retrofit and new construction in days rather than months.

Large structures fabricated in plants rather than on site.

High demand for rebar.

Need standard materials.

Standard construction processes.

Affordable materials.

Steady supply of materials.

Rapid Repair

Civil Infrastructure

Page 25: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Strong History in Aerospace

Needed for lightweight portable ground and sea systems.

Affordable materials for rapid

deployment of ground systems.

non-flying equipment.

Defense

Page 26: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Bio-Fuel Refining

1. Oil refinery profitability is in making fuel AND

other products from input material.

2. Virtually all input Crude is turned into a value-

added product.

3. To be economically viable, a bio-refinery will

have to operate in much the same manner.

Millions of Barrels/Year 2006 2007

US Refineries

Liquified Refinery Gases 209.0 229.0

Motor Gasoline 2225.4 1964.4

Aviation 570.4 546.7

Kerosene 23.9 17.3

Fuel Oil 1672.4 1706.6

Petrochemical Feedstocks 141.9 143.9

Lubricants 61.2 66.8

Waxes 5.8 5.4

Petroleum Coke 304.7 309.4

Asphalt and Road Oil 186.7 184.7

Still Gas 249.5 258.9

Miscellaneous 21.4 25.2

Lignin Based Carbon Fiber may be

one Value-Added Product to make

Bio-Refineries economically Attractive

Source: Energy Information Administration

Page 27: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Common Issues

and Needs

HydrogenStorage

Only MaterialWith Sufficient

Strength/Weight

Wind EnergyNeeded for Longer

Blade Designs

Vehicle TechnologiesNecessary for 50+%

Mass Reduction

Oil and GasOffshore Structual

Components

Power TransmissionLess Bulky Structures

Zero CLTE

Fiber Cost

Fiber Availability

Design Methods

Manufacturing Methods

Product Forms

Civil InfrastructureRapid Repair andInstallation, Time and Cost Savings

Bio-Mass MaterialsAlternative Revenue Waste Minimization

Page 28: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

If the Demand is so Great,

Why Don’t we see more applications

in Automotive and other Industries?

#1 Reason

$$$$$$

But there are other Reasons

Page 29: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Designers are not comfortable with composites, especially in

Crash critical applications. Full system & subsystem

demonstration needed.

Many composite processing methods are optimized for

performance not production rate efficiency. Cost

optimization of production methods needed.

Page 30: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Capital investment already sunk into metal forming equipment.

Must be ready for the next generation.

Size of the carbon fiber industry cannot support large scale

utilization. Must choose applications and ramp up

capacity.

Boom or bust nature of the market. Automotive industry

needs long term pricing and stable long term partners.

The secret art of sizing. Collaborative development efforts

are needed.

The lack of resin targeted systems. Need sizings optimized

for specific classes of resins that are of interest to the

automotive companies.

Page 31: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber

United States

Companies with US Facilities

Company US Facilities Non-US Facilities

Hexcel (US) Decatur, AL; Salt Lake City Spain

Cytec (US) Greenville, SC; Rock Hill, SC None

Toray (Japan) Decatur, AL Japan

SGL (Germany) Evanston, WY Scotland, Germany

Zoltek (US) Abilene, TX; St. Louis, MO Mexico, Hungary

Mistubishi (Japan) Sacramento, CA Japan

Toho Tenax (Japan) Rockwood, TN Japan, Germany

Universities with significant research in Carbon Fiber production

Clemson University

University of Kentucky

Virginia Tech

Note: Large efforts in carbon fiber composite development and many laboratories

and universities.

Source: Polyacrylonitrile (PAN) Carbon Fibers

Industrial Capability Assessment, Department of Defense

Page 32: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

• Aircraft orders straining Capacity Worldwide – Boeing (787), Airbus (380)

• Current Carbon Fiber manufacturers replicating Capacity. Announcements from

all manufacturers regarding expanded capacity.

• Japanese moving into automotive by vertically integrating into Tier I supply chain

Announcements made by large teams from fiber supplier throught OEMs

• Attempts to entice development of capacity in Middle East in at least 2 different

countries

• EU developing automotive, infrastructure & wind applications but only with

existing business models for fiber production

• UB Koltrefjar ehf in Iceland investigating the development of a carbon fiber plant

to be located there due to the reduced cost of energy and potential

homeland applications.

Carbon Fiber

Globally

Page 33: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

•Chinese quietly developing a 40 Million lb/year plant for industrial grade fiber

• Claimed applications are wind, power transmission and automotive

• Russia, China and Japan have increase R&D efforts significantly

• United States – Expanded interest on all fronts

• Strong interest from end user communities

•. Growing interest from potential new carbon fiber producers

• R&D for Carbon Fiber Production focused on high volume

Carbon Fiber

Globally

Page 34: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber Obstacles to

High Volume, Affordable Supplies

Industry Age < 50 years

Limited Precursors – Pitch, PAN, Rayon

Aerospace Mind-Set –High Margin, Low VolumeLimited Technical AdvancesProhibition against process changesBound to epoxy chemistry

Small Industry and Company Size – 100M lb/yrLimited resourcesSpecialty material mentality

Limited Research CommunityFew Scientists (handful worldwide)

What can be done?

Accelerate Learning Curve

Develop Lower Cost Precursors

Develop New ApplicationsInvestment by High Vol IndustryInvolve other R&D OrganizationsDevelop New Processing MethodsDevelop Non-Epoxy Chemistry

Large Manufacturers Enter the MarketInvest in high volume plantsDevelop commodity mat’l formsIndustry StandardsBring together toward 1 GoalSponsor graduate degrees in US

Carbon Fiber

Industry

To Rapidly Expand the Carbon Fiber Industry

Page 35: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber

Industry

To Rapidly Expand the Carbon Fiber Industry

1. Develop a multiple End Use sector approach.

2. Large investment in NEW production methods required.

3. Development of Lower Cost Precursors.

4. Product forms amenable to High Volume industries needed.

5. Development of a larger EXPERT base required.

6. Industry Standards

Page 36: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber

Price Goal

#1 Priority$5 - $7 Per Pound

$11 - $15.50 Per Kilogram

Strength: > 250 Ksi (1.73 GPa)

Modulus: > 25 Msi (173 GPa)

Strain: > 1%

12/24k: $12/lb 1993, $18/lb 1997, $9/lb 2000

[Walsh, Zoltek 8/2000]

All time low $5.25/lbs std grade (mid-grade) 2003

$12.00

$18.00

$9.00

$5.25

$11.00 –

$17.50

$ p

er

Po

un

d

Page 37: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Thermal reduction of a limited number of

precursors by pyrolysis of all but the carbon

followed by heat treatment of the carbon to

obtain desired structure.

Are these the only materialsand the only way?

Carbon Fiber Production

Historically: No cost driver for lower cost.Only better Performance.

Page 38: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Carbon Fiber Costs

(Production Costs)

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

CF PAN Textile HK Lignin SK Lignin

US $/lbCost versus Volume for

Conventional Technology

Baseline $9-10/lb Effect of Large Volume

and Alternate Precursors

PrecursorsStabilization

& Oxidation

Carbonization/

Graphitization

Surface

Treatment

Spooling &

Packaging

Baseline Today - $9.88

High Volume - $7.85

$5.04

$4.64

$1.54

$0.99

$2.32

$1.48

$0.37

$0.33

$0.61

$0.41

Page 39: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Alternative Precursors and

Conventional Processing3 Precursor Options

1. Textile Grade PAN

(MA or VA formulations)

2. Lignin Based Precursor

(Hardwood or Softwood)

3. Polyolefins (not shown on charts)

Other Important Precursor Technologies:

1. Melt-Spun PAN

2. Scaling to Pilot Plant

3. Cost Studies

Carbon Fiber Costs

(Production Costs)

Page 40: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Alternative Processing

3 Processing Options

1. Advanced Stabilization

2. Plasma Oxidation

3. MAP Carbonization

Other Important Processing Technologies:

1. Tow Splittng

2. On-line Feedback

3. Scaling to Pilot Plant

4. Development of carbon fiber SMC

5. Plasma Modification of Surfaces

6. Cost Studies

Carbon Fiber Costs

(Production Costs)

Page 41: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Program Integration

PAN

$3.53

Oxidation

$1.34

Carbonization

$1.00

ST

$0.82

Graphitization

$1.19

Baseline

Options

Textile Grade PAN

$2.33

Precursor Production Processing Precursor to Fiber

Conventional Thermal

Hardwood Kraft Lignin

$2.07

Softwood Kraft Lignin

$1.73

or

or

Advanced Stabilization

and

Plasma Oxidation

and/or

MAP

$1.34

Microwave-Assisted

Plasma

AS PO

$0.60

Page 42: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Lignin

Precursors

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

= $5-7/lb

Page 43: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Plot of average fiber diameter vs winder speed

5

10

15

20

25

100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Winding Speed (m/min)

Fib

er

Dia

me

ter

( mm

)

Optical Average

SEM Average

Theoretical

10 mm

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

• Demonstrated that solvent-extracted, purified hardwood lignin (provided by

MeadWestvaco) can be continuously melt-spun into fiber form

• Successfully Spun 12 filament tows with no additives and no problems using lignin

from MeadWestvaco’s “Organosolv” process

• Lignin fiber diameters were successfully varied under controlled conditions from 20

down to 10 microns.

Lignin

Precursors

Page 44: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Achieved Excellent Structural Characteristics in Melt Spun Lignin Fiber:

12-filament fiber spun from

solvent-extracted

hardwood lignin (HWL-

SE1)

SEM – 2,500 X

SEM – 10,000 X

SEM – 400 X

Optical – 150 X

Lignin

Precursors

Page 45: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

Processed carbon fibers from a

Hardwood/Softwood lignin

blend.

A Hardwood lignin was used as

the plasticizer for the softwood

lignin.

Lignin

Precursors

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Stabilized Carbonized (1000 °C) Heat-treated (1700°C)StabilizedStabilized Carbonized (1000 °C)Carbonized Heat-treated (1700°C)Heat-Treated

Page 46: Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International ... · Future Lower Cost Carbon Fiber for Autos: International Scale-up & What is Needed C. David ... BMW M3 CSL. Carbon Fiber

• Chemical Modification of textile acrylic fibers reduces stabilization time and

increases CF mechanical properties.

• Established recommended “recipes” to produce carbon fiber from

chemically modified or radiated commodity textile acrylic tow

• Reduced Oxidation time from 85 min down to 50 minutes

TEXTILE CONVENTIONAL Program

Goals

GPASpool 1 Spool 2Zoltek

Panex 33

Fortafil

F3(C)

Production Line

Speed(in/min) - -

Modulus (GPA) 212 208 180 214 172

Ultimate Strength (GPA) 2.75 2.71 2.81 3.35 1.72

Elongation at Break (%) 1.30 1.30 1.56 1.57 1.0

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

Textile

Precursors

Data from Hexcel Development Project

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-5

0

5

10

15

20

He

at

Flo

w (

W/g

)

-50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Temperature (°C)

a1 #4 No EB.001 a1 #4 No EB––––––– B1 #5 No EB.001 B1 #5 No EB– – – – JMAP0052.001 Courtalds 50k (run in Air––––– · JMAP0053.001 Virgin Hexcel (PAN 3k)Run in ai––– – – JMAP0054.001 fully oxidized pan50k (in air)––– –––

Exo Up Universal V4.2E TA Instruments

Aerospace 3K

Commodity 50K

Fully Oxidized

Virgin Textile

Chemically Treated

Textile

Chemically treated textile could be undergo oxidative stabilization in less

time but a slightly higher temperature.

Steepest part of slope determines speed of stabilization.

Location of ramp up start & peak determine oxidative stabilization temp range.

Textile

Precursors

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Multiple

Spinnerettes

Solvent Extraction,

Washing and

Tensioning

Crimping Drying with

TensionSpooling

or Bailing

in Bulk

Starts with a large “tank farm” which

polymerizes PAN and other co-monomers

Gathering during

Crimping will

Be Deleted

Slightly Modified

versions of

polymer selected

Chemical Pretreatment

Textile

Precursors

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Current Properties:

Strength: 2.41 GPA (350 + 27 KSI)

Modulus: 218 GPA (31.7 + 1.0 MSI)

Target Properties:

Strength: 1.72 GPA (250 KSI)

Modulus: 172 GPA (25 MSI)

Textile

Precursors

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Tensile Strength (KSI)

Carbonized Textile Precursor

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Stabilization

Oxidation

Interface

Bulk Density,

g/cc

20+ 20+ 20+25Residence

Time, min

FOP “Fully”

Oxidized

PAN Fibers

(black)BlackBlackBlackYellowish to

reddish-black

Virgin PAN

White precursor

Stage IVStage IIIStage IIStage I

1.40Diffusion Controlled Phase1.20

Stabilization Oxidation

Transforms PAN from a thermoplastic linear polymer structure to an infusible,

highly condensed cyclized structure (thermoset) capable of further

processing at high temperatures

•Conducted in an oxidizing medium (e.g., air) at ~ 200 - 250°C

Oxidative

Stabilization

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Left: Before stretching. Right: Entry end of 1st oxidation oven.

Oxygen needs to diffuse

through the stabilized “skin”

Mainly stabilized region

Stabilized and oxidized

region

Single Filament Cross-Section

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

Oxidative Stabilization represents 75-80%

of fiber residence time and 18-20% of cost.

Oxidative

Stabilization

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Acid Digestion Removes Unstabilized Material

Poorly Stabilized but Typical for

Many Lower Cost FibersFully Stabilized Core

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

Oxidative

Stabilization

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Two Early Generation Oxidation Modules

Proprietary Oxidation

Process Developed based

on Non-Thermal

Atmospheric Plasma

Process able to replace later ¾ of

conventional oxidation but requires the use of

slightly pre-stabilized precursor.

Effort began to develop a rapid Pre-

Stabilization Technique

Oxidative

Stabilization

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

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Oxidative

Stabilization

Stabilization Time Thermal Post Plasma Total

Method ReQ’d Treatment Oxidation

AE-Beam Secs 20-26 min 20-24 min 40-50 minBultraviolet 6-7 min None 20-24 min 26-31 minCThermo-Chemical 5-10 min None 20-24 min 25-34 min

Conventional 100-120 min

APost Treatment believed to be due to over processing. Potentially may be eliminated.B6-7 minutes would require a huge amount of lamps at textile line speeds.CBy far the easiest to implement in existing plants

Down Select – Thermochemical (E-Beam)

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

• Objective is to stabilize (cross-link) the precursor sufficiently that it can

subsequently be plasma oxidized

• Needs to be fast (high throughput) and Inexpensive (<$0.05/lb)

• Three routes investigated

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• VFME was discarded as primary energy source for this process.

• Single frequency microwave energy became a major player.

• Hand processed samples

Generation A

Generation B

• Microwave direct heating of carbon fiber

using a long, tunable, resonant cavity.

• Capability to monitor fiber temperature

• Pre-heating of fiber with nitrogen/air to

enhance microwave coupling.

• Line speed 2-4 inches/minute

Microwave Assisted

PlasmaCarbonization

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

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Project paused While other Technologies Catch-up

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project Impact

Fiber Ultimate Strength

0100200300400500600

Forta

fil

Zolte

k

MAP 1

@35

MAP 1

@11

0

MAP 1

@16

0

MAP 3

@12

Prog

Req

'men

t

UT

S, ksi

Design Basis 3 std dev

3s Design basis

All data from ORNL

mechanical tests

Fiber Modulus

05

101520253035

Forta

fil

Zolte

k

MAP 1

@35

MAP 1

@11

0

MAP 1

@16

0

MAP 3

@12

Prog

Req

'men

t

Mo

du

lus, M

si

Design Basis 3 std dev

3s Design basis

All data from ORNL

mechanical tests

Produced fibers for ACC testing

Ran 3 large tows at 44in/min for > 1 hr in August 2006 with satisfactory mechanical properties

Met Final Milestone

Microwave Assisted

PlasmaCarbonization

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Carbon Fiber

Surface Tailoring• Fiber surface chemistry, due mainly to treatment and sizing, is

important to adhesion-sensitive mechanical properties

– Oxygen concentration on fiber surface is very important

• Preliminary ORNL plasma surface treatment results far superior to

conventional treatment results

Effect of varying plasma gas composition

Condition O O/C CV

Untreated

commercial fiber4.7% 0.051 0.21

O3 treated

commercial fiber6.2% 0.069 0.26

AP-A 24% 0.42 0.38

AP-B 30% 0.55 0.22

AP-C 29% 0.52 0.40

AP-D 21% 0.35 0.80

AP-E 28% 0.54 0.19

Data from XPS analysis

PAN

$3.53 (44.8%)

Oxidation

$1.34 (17.0%)

Carbonization

$1.00 (12.7%)

ST

$0.82 (10%)

Graphitization

$1.19 (15.1%)

Project ImpactOxygen content indicates density of

available bonding sites

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Polyethelene

Pitch:

PAN:

PE:

H

C

H

C

HH

C

H

C

HH

C

C N C N C N

H

C C CC C

H H H H

H H H H H

63% C Content

48-49% Yield

Mono: $2150/MT

$ 1.09/lb

$1.31 - $2.43 /lb

Solution Spun

86% C Content

65-75% Yield

Fiber: $0.50-$0.75/lb

Melt Spun

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