future development perspectives for dhc
DESCRIPTION
Future Development Perspectives for DHC. Presented by: Sabine Froning Euroheat & Power. Heat Roadmap Europe 2050. First pre-study for the EU27. Why this study?. the heating and cooling sector has largely been overlooked in all scenarios exploring the energy future towards 2050 . - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Future Development Perspectives for DHC
Presented by:Sabine Froning
Euroheat & Power
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
by
Aalborg University David ConnollyBrian Vad MathiesenPoul Alberg ØstergaardBernd MöllerSteffen NielsenHenrik Lund
Halmstad UniversityUrban PerssonDaniel NilssonSven Werner
PlanEnergiDaniel Trier
for
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Why this study?
the heating and cooling sector has largely been overlooked in all scenarios exploring the energy future towards 2050.
The first pre-study focuses on the future European heat and cooling market and its importance in terms of cost-savings, job creation, investments, a smarter energy system
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Existing Studies
Existing scenario reports:Fail to provide proper analysis of heating and coolingHave a too low time and geographical resolution to model
the realities of the energy market, especially DHCAcknowledge the importance of DHC until 2030/2030, butAssume high shares of electric heating, low heat
consumption and low shares of DHC by 2050
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Urban areas (Heating Demands) Power and Heat Generation Waste Management Industrial waste heat potential Geothermal heat Solar Thermal
the average market share for district heating for buildings can increase to 30% in 2030 and 50% in 2050.
Many Energy Sources
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Energi System Analyse Model
CHP
Boiler
Electro-lyser
Heatpump and
electric boiler
PP
RES electricity
Fuel
RES heat
Hydro waterHydro
storageHydro
power plant
H2 storage
Electricity storagesystem
Import/Export
fixed and variable
Electricitydemand
Cooling device
Coolingdemand
Transport demand
Processheat
demandIndustry
Cars
Heat storage
Heat demand
www.EnergyPLAN.eu
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Europe IEA 2010 and
EU CPI scenario 2050CPI = Current Policy Initiatives
IEA Statistics 2009
EU Energy Roadmap
2050
Reference (12% DH)(IEA 2010 and EU CPI 2050)
Versus
Reference plus 30% and 50% DH (and CHP etc.)
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
District Heating benefits in 2
stepsStep 1: (Energy Efficiency)- Increasing DH to 30% then 50%- Increasing CHP- Using Oil/Natural gas in CC-CHPStep 2: (Utilise waste and RE sources)- Industrial waste heat- Waste incineration- Geothermal heat- Large-scale Solar Thermal
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Year 2010Step 1: Energy
Efficiency
IEA Statistic
s
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Year 2010Step 2
IEA Statistics
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Total European Energy Supply
HRE 2050 compared to EU CPI 2050:
5% reduction in Primary Energy Supply
10% reduction in fossil fuels
13% reduction in CO2-emissions
EU Energy Roadmap
2050
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Cost and Jobs
Saved fuel costs of annual approx. 30 Billion EUR in 2050
In total cost are reduced by 14 Billion EUR in 2050
Additional investments of a total of 500 billion EUR
Additional jobs from to 2013 to 2050: 8-9 million man-year in total
Approx. 220,000 jobs.
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
Conclusion
DH can have a great futureDecreasing primary energy supply
(fossil fuels) and CO2 emissions
Decreasing annual costs of energy in Europe by approx. 10 billion in 2050
Creating additional 220,000 jobs in the period 2013-2050
Further integration of RES
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
HRE 2nd pre-study
Comparison with the energy efficiency scenario of the EU Energy Roadmap
Better analysis of demand side: deep renovation vs. integrated solutions
Further optimise the DH-scenarios (replace electric heating, expand CHP and HP, further the integration of wind and PV etc.)
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
To make it happen
Thoroughly think the implementation of the Energy Efficiency Directive!
Use European Regional and Cohesion Funds for DHC infrastructure!
Ensure State Aid can be granted for DHC under non-restrictive conditions!
Get credit for your green heat by labelling your DH system!
Get involved in what happens in Brussels!
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
More info
Contact: [email protected] www.heatroadmapeurope.eu www.euroheat.org www.ecoheat4cities.eu www.dhcplus.eu www.ehpcongress.org
HEAT ROADMAP EUROPE 2050FIRST PRE-STUDY FOR THE EU27
17
Smart and Competitive: DHC for Cities of the Future
Join us on 27-28 May 2013 for our 36th Congress in Vienna, Austria
www.ehpcongress.org
See you!