fundamentals of gis ©2010all lecture materials by austin troy except where noted lecture 10: part...
TRANSCRIPT
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Lecture 10:Part 1: GPS
Part 2: Interpolation and geostatistics
By Austin Troy
------Using GIS--
Fundamentals of GIS
Lecture Materials by Austin Troy, Weiqi Zhou and Jarlath O’Neil Dunne© 2008
Part 1:Global Positioning System
------Using GIS--
Many materials for this part of the lecture adapted from Trimble Navigation Ltd’s GPS Web tutorial at http://trimble.com/gps/index.html
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
GPS• Stands for Global Positioning System
• GPS is used to get an exact location on the surface of the earth, in three dimensions.
• GPS is a very important data input source, used for surveying, military operations, engineering, vehicle tracking, flight navigation, car navigation, ship navigation, unmanned vehicle guidance, agriculture, and of course, mapping
• For mapping, a GPS tells us “where” and allows us to input “what”
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
GPS• GPS is a worldwide radio-navigation
system formed from 24 satellites and their ground stations.
• Uses satellites in space as reference points for locations here on earth
• Ground stations help satellites determine their exact location in space. There are five monitor stations: Hawaii, Ascension Island, Diego Garcia, Kwajalein, and Colorado Springs.
Source: Wikipedia
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
How does GPS work?• GPS derives position relative to satellite “reference
points,” using triangulation
• The GPS unit on the ground figures its out distance to each of several satellites using the time it takes for a radio signal to travel to the satellite
• To do this, the exact position of the satellites at a given time, must be known; otherwise they can’t serve as reference points
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
How does GPS work?
x km
y km
z km
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©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
How does GPS work?• We need at least 3 satellites as reference points to
“triangulate” our position.
• Based on the principle that where we know our exact distance from a satellite in space, we know we are somewhere on the surface of an imaginary sphere with radius equal to the distance to the satellite.
• With two satellites we know we are in the plane where the two intersect. With three or more, we can get two possible points, and one of those is usually impossible from a practical standpoint and can be discarded
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
How does GPS work?• Here’s how the sphere concept works
• A fourth satellite narrows it from 2 possible points to 1 point
Source: Trimble Navigation Ltd.
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How does GPS work?• This method assumes we can find exact distance from
our GPS receiver to a satellite. How does that work?
• Simple answer: see how long it takes for a radio signal to get from the satellite to the receiver.
• Since we know speed of light, we can answer this
• This gets complicated when you think about the need to perfectly synchronize satellite and receiver.
• A tiny error in synchronization can result in hundreds of meters of positional error
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How does GPS work?• The difficult part is measuring travel time, because
the amount of time elapsed is tiny (about .06 seconds for an overhead satellite), and we require a way to know precisely WHEN the signal left the satellite
• To do this requires comparing lag in exactly similar patterns, one from satellite and one from receiver.
• Analogy, going to a stadium, sitting 1000 feet from the speaker and pressing “play” on your handheld tape player containing REO Speedwagon at exactly the same time as the guy in the sound booth presses play for that same song.
Fundamentals of GIS
©2008. Austin Troy. All rights reserved
How does GPS work?
• Only, instead of using cheesy eighties rock power ballads, GPS uses something called “pseudo-random code.”
• This code has to be extremely complex (hence almost random), so that patterns are not linked up at the wrong place on the code—that would generate the wrong time delay and hence the wrong distance
Local: “I can’t fight this feeling any more,”
delayed:“I can’t fight this feeling any more,”
Source: Trimble Navigation Ltd.
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How does GPS work?• So how do we know that the two Speedwagon fans
are pressing “play” at exactly the same time? Do Speedwagon fans all think alike? Hardly.
• We must assume that satellite and receiver generate signal at exactly the same time; if they’re off by 1/1000th of a second, that means 200 m of error
• The satellites have expensive atomic clocks that keep perfect time—that takes care of their end.
• But what about the ground receiver?
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How does GPS work?• Here is where the fourth satellite signal comes in.
• While 3 perfect satellite signals can give a perfect location, 3 imperfect signals can’t, but 4 can
• Imagine time to receiver as distance, with each distance from each satellite defining a circle around each satellite of that radius
• If receiver clock is correct, 4 circles should meet at one point. If they don’t meet, the computer knows there is an error in the clock: “ They don’t add up”
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How does GPS work?• Dotted lines represent real distance, and solid lines
represent erroneous distance, based on clock error—they don’t meet. Notice here we used three circles, because we’re looking in 2D, but in reality (3D) this represents four satellites, or four circles
Source: Trimble Navigation Ltd.
• Assuming the clock error affects all measurements equally, the computer can then simply apply a correction factor that makes circles meet in one place
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How does GPS work?• The receiver then knows the difference between its
clock’s time and universal time and can apply that to future measurements.
• Of course, the receiver clock will have to be resynchronized often , because it will lose or gain time
• This is one reason why a GPS receiver needs at least four channels to get four signals
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How does GPS work?• So now we know how far we are from the satellites,
but how do we know where the satellites are?? We can’t use them as a reference otherwise.
• Because the satellites are ~ 20,200 km up they operate according to the well understood laws of physics, and are subject to few random, unknown forces.
• This allows us to know where a satellite should be at any given moment.
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How does GPS work?• There is a digital “almanac” on each GPS receiver
that tells it where a given satellite is supposed to be at any given moment.
• While the positions can be predicted very accurately based on simple mathematics, the DOD does monitor them using precise radar, just to make sure.
• These errors are called “ephemeris” and are caused by gravitational pull of other celestial bodies
• That info is relayed to the satellite, which transmits the info when it sends its pseudo random code.
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GPS sources of error• Even after all this, there are still many factors that
can generate errors and reduce positional accuracy
• One of the biggest error sources is the fact that the radio signal does not travel at the exact speed of light in different parts if the atmosphere as it does in the vacuum of space.
• This can be partly dealt with using predictive models of known atmospheric behavior
Source: Trimble Navigation Ltd.
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GPS sources of error• Signals also can bounce off features, like tall
buildings, cliffs and mountains, resulting in “multipath error,” where a direct signal hits, followed by a bunch of “bounced” signals which can confuse the receiver.
• Good receivers have algorithms that can deal with this by determining what counts as a multi-path signal and choosing the first one as the signal to use
• There are other errors as well, resulting from things like ionospheric distortions and satellite inaccuracies
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GPS: selective availability• Until May of 2000, the DoD intentionally introduced
a small amount of error into the signal for all civilian users, calling it “selective availability,” so non- US military users would not have the same positional accuracy as the US military.
• SA resulted in about 100 m error most of the time
• Turning off SA reduced error to about 30 m radius
• Here is Clinton’s letter: http://www.ngs.noaa.gov/FGCS/info/sans_SA/docs/statement.html
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Differential GPS• This is a way to dramatically increase the accuracy of
GPS positioning to a matter of a few meters, using basic concepts of geometry
• This was used in the past to overcome SA, but with that gone, is now used for reducing the 30m error
• DGPS uses one stationary and one moving receiver to help overcome the various errors in the signal
• By using two receivers that are nearby each other they are getting essentially the same signals; since position of one is known, clock error can be calculated
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How does DGPS work?• The stationary receiver must be located on a control
point whose position has been accurately surveyed: eg. USGS benchmarks
• The stationary unit works backwards—instead of using timing to calculate position, it uses its position to calculate timing
• It determines what the GPS signal travel time should be and compares it with what it actually is
• Can do this because, precise location of stationary receiver is known, and hence, so is location of satellite
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How does DGPS work?• Can do this because, precise location of stationary
receiver is known, and hence, so is location of satellite
• Once it knows error, it determines a correction factor and sends it to the other receiver.
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How does DGPS work?• Since the reference receiver does not know which
satellites the mobile receiver is using, it sends a message to it telling the correction factor for all
• It used to be that only big companies and governments could use DGPS because they had to set up their own reference receiver station
• Now there are many public agencies that maintain them, especially the Coast guard; these stations broadcast on a radio frequency, which GPS receivers with a radio receiver can pick up
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Differential GPS• DGPS improves accuracy much more than disabling
of SA does
• This table shows typical error—these may vary
Introduction to GIS
Source: http://www.furuno.com/news/saoff.html
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Surveyor DGPS• There are even more accurate types of DGPS that
surveyors use
• These are accurate to a matter of millimeters
• This uses a very involved method that won’t be discussed here
• One of the techniques they use though, carrier-phase GPS” is beginning to make its way into consumer GPS
• Use carrier-phase signal, which is much smaller cycle widths than the standard code phase signal
Fundamentals of GIS
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Aviation DGPS• FAA is implementing DGPS for the continent, so all
planes can get extremely accurate GPS navigation, called Wide Area Augmentation System (WAAS)
• They have installed 25 ground reference stations as well as a master ground station that almost instantaneously processes and sends out satellite errors
• Improves error to 7 m and, when finished, will allow GPS to be used as primary navigational tool for Category I landings, where there is some visibility.
• Soon, it will allow zero-visibility landing navigation
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GPS Uses• Trimble Navigation Ltd., breaks GPS uses into five
categories: • Location – positioning things in space
• Navigation – getting from point a to point b
• Tracking - monitoring movements
• Mapping – creating maps based on those positions
• Timing – precision global timing
• You can learn about all these applications at these web links, but we mainly care about mapping
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GPS Uses• The uses for GPS mapping are enormous. Here are
just a few examples:• Centerlines of roads
• Hydrologic features (over time)
• Bird nest/colony locations (over time)
• Fire perimeters
• Trail maps
• Geologic/mining maps
• Vegetation and habitat
Fundamentals of GIS
Lecture Materials by Austin Troy, Weiqi Zhou and Jarlath O’Neil Dunne© 2008
Part 2:Introduction to interpolation, geostatistics
and spatial sampling
------Using GIS--
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
What is interpolation?• Three types:
1. Resampling of raster cell size
2. Transforming a continuous surface from one data model to another (e.g. TIN to raster or raster to vector).
3. Creating a surface based on a sample of values within the domain.
Fundamentals of GIS
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How does it Look• Let say we have our ground water pollution samples
This gives us
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How does it work• This can be displayed as a 3D trend surface in 3D analyst
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Requirements of interpolation• Interpolation only works where values are spatially
dependent—that values for nearby points tend to be more similar
• Where values across a landscape are geographically independent, interpolation does not work
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Interpolation examples• Elevation:
• Elevation values tend to be highly spatially autocorrelated because elevation at location (x,y) is generally a function of the surrounding locations
• Except is areas where terrain is very abrupt and precipitous, such as Patagonia, or Yosemite
• In this case, elevation would not be autocorrelated at local (large) scale, but still may be autocorrelated at regional (small scale)
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Interpolation examples• Elevation:
Source: LUBOS MITAS AND HELENA MITASOVA, University of Illinois
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
How does interpolation work• In ArcGIS, to interpolate:
• Create or add a point shapefile with some attribute that will be used as a Z value
• Click Spatial Analyst>>Interpolate to Raster and then choose the method
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Three methods in Arc GIS• IDW
• SPLINE
• Kriging
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Inverse Distance Weighting• IDW weights the value of each point by its distance to
the cell being analyzed and averages the values.
• IDW assumes that unknown value is influenced more by nearby than far away points, but we can control how rapid that decay is. Influence diminishes with distance.
• IDW has no method of testing for the quality of predictions, so validity testing requires taking additional observations.
• IDW is sensitive to sampling, with circular patterns often around solitary data points
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
• IDW: assumes value of an attribute z at any unsampled point is a distance-weighted average of sampled points lying within a defined neighborhood around that unsampled point. Essentially it is a weighted moving avg
Where λi are given by some weighting fn and
• Common form of weighting function is d-p
yielding:
Inverse Distance Weighting
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Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
IDW-How it works
• Z value at location ij is f of Z value at known point xy times the inverse distance raised to a power P.
• Z value field: numeric attribute to be interpolated
• Power: determines relationship of weighting and distance; where p= 0, no decrease in influence with distance; as p increases distant points becoming less influential in interpolating Z value at a given pixel
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
IDW-How it works• There are two IDW method options Variable and fixed radius:
• 1. Variable (or nearest neighbor): User defines how many neighbor points are going to be used to define value for each cell
• 2. Fixed Radius: User defines a radius within which every point will be used to define the value for each cell
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
IDW-How it works• Can also define “Barriers”: User chooses whether to limit
certain points from being used in the calculation of a new value for a cell, even if the point is near. E.g. wouldn't use an elevation point on one side of a ridge to create an elevation value on the other side of the ridge. User chooses a line theme to represent the barrier
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
IDW-How it works• What is the best P to use?
• It is the P where the Root Mean Squared Prediction Error (RMSPE) is lowest, as in the graph on right
• To determine this, we would need a test, or validation data set, showing Z values in x,y locations that are not included in prediction data and then look for discrepancies between actual and predicted values. We keep changing the P value until we get the minimum level of error. Without this, we just guess.
Fundamentals of GIS
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IDW-How it works• This can be done in ArcGIS using the Geostatistical Wizard
• You can look for an optimal P by testing your sample point data against a validation data set
• This validation set can be another point layer or a raster layer
• Example: we have elevation data points and we generate a DTM. We then validate our newly created DTM against an existing DTM, or against another existing elevation points data set. The computer determine what the optimum P is to minimize our error
Fundamentals of GIS
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IDW-How it works
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Optimizing P value
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Plot of model fitsThe blue line indicates degree of spatial autocorrelation (required for interpolation). The closer to the dashed (1:1) line, the more perfectly autocorrelated.
Where horizontal, indicates data independence Mean pred. Error near zero means unbiased
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Plot of model errors
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Spline Method• Another option for interpolation method
• This fits a curve through the sample data assign values to other locations based on their location on the curve
• Thin plate splines create a surface that passes through sample points with the least possible change in slope at all points, that is with a minimum curvature surface.
• Uses piece-wise functions fitted to a small number of data points, but joins are continuous, hence can modify one part of curve without having to recompute whole
• Overall function is continuous with continuous first and second derivatives.
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Spline Method• SPLINE has two types: regularized and tension
• Tension results in a rougher surface that more closely adheres to abrupt changes in sample points
• Regularized results in a smoother surface that smoothes out abruptly changing values somewhat
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Spline Method• Weight: this controls the tautness of the curves.
High weight value with the Regularized Type, will result in an increasingly smooth output surface. Under the Tension Type, increases in the Weight will cause the surface to become stiffer, eventually conforming closely to the input points.
• Number of points around a cell that will be used to fit a polynomial function to a curve
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Pros and Cons of Spline Method
• Splines retain smaller features, in contrast to IDW
• Produce clear overview of data
• Continuous, so easy to calculate derivates for topology
• Results are sensitive to locations of break points
• No estimate of errors, like with IDW
• Can often result in over-smooth surfaces
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Kriging Method• Like IDW interpolation, Kriging forms weights from surrounding
measured values to predict values at unmeasured locations. As with IDW interpolation, the closest measured values usually have the most influence. However, the kriging weights for the surrounding measured points are more sophisticated than those of IDW. IDW uses a simple algorithm based on distance, but kriging weights come from a semivariogram that was developed by looking at the spatial structure of the data. To create a continuous surface or map of the phenomenon, predictions are made for locations in the study area based on the semivariogram and the spatial arrangement of measured values that are nearby.
--from ESRI Help
Fundamentals of GIS
Kriging Method• In other words, kriging substitutes the arbitrarily chosen
p from IDW with a probabilistically-based weighting function that models the spatial dependence of the data.
• The structure of the spatial dependence is quantified in the semi-variogram
• Semivariograms measure the strength of statistical correlation as a function of distance; they quantify spatial autocorrelation
• Kriging associates some probability with each prediction, hence it provides not just a surface, but some measure of the accuracy of that surface
• Kriging equations are estimated through least squares©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Kriging Method• Kriging has both a deterministic, stochastic and random error
component Z(s) = μ(s) + ε’(s)+ ε’’(s), where
μ(s) = deterministic component
ε’(s)= stochastic but spatially dependent component
ε’’(s)= spatially independent residual error
• Assumes spatial variation in variable is too irregular to be modeled by simple smooth function, better with stochastic surface
• Interpolation parameters (e.g. weights) are chosen to optimize fn
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Kriging Method
• Hence, foundation of Kriging is notion of spatial autocorrelation, or tendency of values of entities closer in space to be related.
• This is a violation of classical statistical models, which assumes that observations are independent.
• Autocorrelation can be assessed using a semivariogram, which plots the difference in pair values (variance) against their distances.
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Semivariance
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• Semivariance(distance h) = 0.5 * average [ (value at location i– value at location j)2] OR
• Based on the scatter of points, the computer (Geostatistical analyst) fits a curve through those points
• The inverse is the covariance matrix whichshows correlation over space
Fundamentals of GIS
Variogram
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• Plots semi-variance against distance between points
• Is binned to simplify• Can be binned based on just
distance (top) or distance and direction (bottom)
• Where autocorrelation exists, the semivariance should have slope
• Look at variogram to find where slope levels
Binning based on distance only
Binning based on distance and direction
Fundamentals of GIS
Variogram
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
• SV value where it flattens out is called a “sill.”
• The distance range for which there is a slope is called the “neighborhood”; this is where there is positive spatial structure
• The intercept is called the “nugget” and represents random noise that is spatially independent
sill
range
nugget
Fundamentals of GIS
Steps
• Variogram cloud; can use bins to make cloud plot of all points or box plot of points
• Empirical variogram: choose bins and lags• Model variogram: fit function through
empirical variogram– Functional forms?
Fundamentals of GIS
Functional Forms
From Fortin and Dale Spatial Analysis:A Guide for Ecologists
Fundamentals of GIS
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Kriging Method• We can then use a scatter plot of predicted versus actual values to
see the extent to which our model actually predicts the values
• If the blue line and the points lie along the 1:1 line this indicates that the kriging model predicts the data well
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Kriging Method• The fitted variogram results in a series of matrices and vectors
that are used in weighting and locally solving the kriging equation.
• Basically, at this point, it is similar to other interpolation methods in that we are taking a weighting moving average, but the weights (λ) are based on statistically derived autocorrelation measures.
• λs are chosen so that the estimate is unbiased and the estimated variance is less than for any other possible linear combo of the variables.
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Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Kriging Method• Produces four types of prediction maps:
• Prediction Map: Predicted values
• Probability Map: Probability that value over x
• Prediction Standard Error Map: fit of model
• Quantile maps: Probability that value over certain quantile
Fundamentals of GIS
Kriging output: prediction
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Fundamentals of GIS
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Kriging: Ordinary vs. Universal
• Known as Kriging in the presence of universal trends.
• Universal kriging is used where there is an underlying trend beyond the simple spatial autocorrelation
• Generally this trend occurs at a different scale
• Trend may be fn of some geographic feature that occurs on one part of the map
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©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Example• Here are some sample elevation points from which surfaces were
derived using the three methods
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Example: IDW• Done with P =2. Notice how it is not as smooth as Spline. This is
because of the weighting function introduced through P
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Example: Spline• Note how smooth the curves of the terrain are; this is because
Spline is fitting a simply polynomial equation through the points
Fundamentals of GIS
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Example: Kriging• This one is kind of in between—because it fits an equation
through point, but weights it based on probabilities
Fundamentals of GIS
©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Other methods of interpolation• Thiessen polygons
• This method builds polygons, rather than a raster surface, from control points
• “grows” polygons around sample points that are supposed to represent areas of homogeneity
Source: Jens-Ulrich Nomme http://www.tu-harburg.de/sb3/pssd/GIS-Methods/thiessen.html
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Sampling Approaches• An intermediate approach is the stratified random
sample
• Create geographic or non-geographic subpopulations, from each of which random sample is taken• Proportional or equal probability SRS: enforce a certain sampling
rate, πhj= nh/Nh for each stratum h and obs j.
• Simple SRS: enforce a certain sample size nh
• Disproportionate SRS: where πhj varies such that certain strata are oversampled and certain undersampled.
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©2010All lecture materials by Austin Troy except where noted
Sampling Approaches• DSRS is advantageous when subpopulation variances are
unequal, which is frequently the case when stratum sizes are considerably different. In DSRS we sample those strata with higher variance at higher rate. We may also use this when we have an underrepresented subpopulation that will have too few observations to model if sampled with SSRS.
• Proportional samples are self-weighting because the rates are the same for each stratum
• The other two have unequal sampling probabilities (unless a simple SRS has equal Nh) and may require weighting
Fundamentals of GIS
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Sampling Approaches• When the stratifying unit is geographical (e.g. county, soil
polygon, forest stand), this is called a cluster sample.
• In a one stage cluster sample (OSCS) a series of geographic units are sampled and all observations within are sampled: obviously this does not work for interpolation
• More relevant is a two stage cluster sample (TSCS) in which we take a sample of cluster units and then a subsample of the population of each cluster unit.
• In this type of sample, variance has two components, that between clusters and that between observations
Fundamentals of GIS
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Sampling• The number of samples we want within each zone
depends on the statistical certainty with which we want to generate our surface
• Do we want to be 95% certain that a given pixel is classified right, or 90% or 80%?
• Our desired confidence level will determine the number of samples we need per strata
• This is a tradeoff between cost and statistical certainty
• Think of other examples where you could stratify….
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Sampling• A common problem with sampling points for
interpolation is what is not being sampled?
• Very frequently people leave out sample points that are hard to get to or hard to collect data at
• This creates sampling biases and regions whose interpolated values are essentially meaningless
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Sampling example• Say we were looking at an inland area, far from any ocean, and
we decided that precipitation varied with elevation. How would we set up our sampling design?
• In this case, flat areas would need fewer sample points, while areas of rough topography would need more
• In our sampling design we would set up zones, or strata, corresponding to different elevation zones and we would make sure that we get a certain minimum number of samples within each of those zones
• This ensures we get a representative sample across, in this case, elevation;
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Sampling• The number of zones we use will determine how
representative our sample is; if zones are big and broad, we do not ensure that all elevation ranges are represented