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Page 1: Full year 2016 - Vestas/media/vestas/investor/investor pdf/financial... · Full year 2016 Vestas Wind Systems A/S Copenhagen, 8 February 2017 Classification: Public . This document

Full year 2016

Vestas Wind Systems A/S

Copenhagen, 8 February 2017

Classification: Public

Page 2: Full year 2016 - Vestas/media/vestas/investor/investor pdf/financial... · Full year 2016 Vestas Wind Systems A/S Copenhagen, 8 February 2017 Classification: Public . This document

This document contains forward-looking statements concerning Vestas’ financial condition, results of operations

and business. All statements other than statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-

looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on

management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties

that could cause actual results, performance, or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in

these statements.

Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning Vestas’ potential exposure to

market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections

and assumptions. A number of factors that affect Vestas’ future operations and could cause Vestas’ results to

differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this document, include

(without limitation): (a) changes in demand for Vestas’ products; (b) currency and interest rate fluctuations; (c)

loss of market share and industry competition; (d) environmental and physical risks, including adverse weather

conditions; (e) legislative, fiscal, and regulatory developments, including changes in tax or accounting policies;

(f) economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (g) political risks, including the

risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental entities, and delays or

advancements in the approval of projects; (h) ability to enforce patents; (i) product development risks; (j) cost of

commodities; (k) customer credit risks; (l) supply of components; and (m) customer created delays affecting

product installation, grid connections and other revenue-recognition factors.

All forward-looking statements contained in this document are expressly qualified by the cautionary statements

contained or referenced to in this statement. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking

statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Vestas’ annual report for the year

ended 31 December 2016 (available at www.vestas.com/investor) and these factors also should be considered.

Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date of this document. Vestas does not undertake any

obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information or future

events other than as required by Danish law. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those

stated, implied or inferred from the forward-looking statements contained in this document.

Disclaimer and cautionary statement

│ Full year 2016 2 Classification: Public

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Key highlights Solid strategy execution leading to record-breaking year on financial and operational parameters

Financial and operational results

• FY 2016 guidance met on all parameters; revenue of EUR 10.2bn, EBIT of 13.9 percent, FCF of EUR

1.6bn*, and total investments of EUR 0.6bn.

• Highest ever order intake (10.5 GW) across 33 countries on six continents.

• Combined turbine and service order backlog at highest level ever of EUR 19.2bn.

• Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) at 265.2 percent.

• Improved safety performance with total recordable injuries of 6.9 in 2016, compared to 8.7 in 2015 and

target for 2016 of 8.0.

• Recommended dividend payment of DKK 9.71 per share, equal to a pay-out ratio of 30.0, for a total of

DKK 2.2bn.

• Initiation of EUR 95m share buy-back programme based on expected net proceeds from sale of office

buildings in Aarhus, DK.

Strategy progress

• Profitable growth strategy firmly on track; overall key objectives remain in place but updated to reflect

strong execution and changed market conditions.

3 │ Full year 2016

* Excluding investments in marketable securities.

Classification: Public

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Agenda

1. Orders and markets

2. Financials

3. Profitable Growth for Vestas – status and update

4. Outlook, and questions & answers

Annual report,

2016.

FY

4 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Q4 2016 order intake at 4.5 GW – up by 70 percent Order intake at 4,532 MW – an increase of 70 percent compared to Q4 2015. Average selling

price remains stable, Q4 2016 impacted by scope, mix, and FX.

Order intake

MW

Average selling price of order intake

mEUR per MW

• Q4 2016 order intake was 1,864 MW higher than in

Q4 2015, corresponding to an increase of 70

percent.

• USA, Australia, Germany, and France were the

main contributors to order intake in Q4 2016,

accounting for approximately 70 percent.

Key takes:

• Price per MW remains at overall stable levels

observed in recent quarters. Q4 2016 impacted

by larger share of EPC, turbine mix, and FX.

• Price per MW depends on a variety of factors,

i.e. wind turbine type, geography, scope, and

uniqueness of offering.

Key takes:

Q4

2016

1,769

Q2

2016

Q3

2016

1,790

4,532

Q1

2016

+70%

2,668

Q4

2015

2,403

Q2

2016

0.95

Q3

2016

0.89 0.90 0.88

Q4

2016

Q1

2016

0.82

Q4

2015

5 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Record-high full-year order intake at 10.5 GW

Americas

MW

EMEA

MW

Asia Pacific

MW

• FY 2016 primarily driven by

good activity levels in USA,

Brazil, Canada, and Argentina.

• Q4 2016 impacted by US PTC

orders and general good

activity across Latin America.

• FY 2016 significantly impacted

by 1 GW in Norway further sup-

ported by a good activity mainly

in Germany, France, and

Sweden.

• Q4 2016 mainly driven by Ger-

many, France, Sweden, and UK.

• FY 2016 mainly driven by

Australia and general good

activity levels across the

region – China almost on a

par with 2015.

• Q4 2016 primarily due to

~0.5 GW in Australia.

6

941 695

+32%

+5%

Q4

+72%

+56% +84%

+10%

FY

5,141

1,178

3,889

403

FY

4,318 4,113

Q4

1,087 1,035

Q4

1,996

FY

1,841

2016 2015

Strong performance across all regions contributing to highest-ever order intake level.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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All regions contributing to highest-ever level of deliveries

Americas

MW

EMEA

MW

Asia Pacific

MW

• FY 2016 primarily driven by

strong US market and overall

improvement in Latin America.

• Q4 2016 impacted by PTC

orders in the US as well as

good developments in Mexico,

Chile, Brazil, and Uruguay.

• FY 2016 improvement mainly

due to the Nordics, Germany,

and offshore* in Belgium and UK

slightly offset by Poland.

• Q4 2016 general good activity

levels primarily offset by Poland.

• FY 2016 solid development

across the region with China

as main driver.

• Q4 2016 primarily driven by

South Korea and China.

7

457926 838

+44%

+9%

+64%

+105% +83%

-17%

FY

3,991

1,518

Q4

1,591

FY

334

FY

4,825

163

3,357

Q4

3,672

1,315

Q4

2015 2016

2016 MW deliveries up by 29 percent. Strong performance especially driven by USA, Germany,

Chile, Mexico, and China.

│ Full year 2016

* Based on the 3 MW platform.

Classification: Public

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Unique global reach once again manifested in 2016

Order intake by country, FY 2016

8

Balanced order intake from 33 countries across six continents in 2016. Installation in Georgia

expands global reach to 76 countries and first-ever orders signed in Mongolia and Honduras.

10.5 GW • 33 countries

• 6 continents USA

Canada

Honduras*

Argentina

Netherlands Antilles

Uruguay

Australia

China

Scandinavia

Finland

Sweden

Denmark

Norway

Northern Europe

United Kingdom

Netherlands

Belgium

Ireland

Southern

Europe

France

Turkey

Italy

Greece

Spain

Brazil

Central Europe

Germany

Poland

Austria

Ukraine

India

South Korea

Vietnam

* New markets for Vestas with firm order intake for the first time in 2016.

│ Full year 2016

Morocco

Jordan

Japan

Mongolia*

Classification: Public

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Historic high combined order backlog of EUR 19.2bn Combined backlog increased by EUR 2.1bn in the quarter. Backlog of wind turbines increased

by EUR 1.3bn, while the service backlog increased by EUR 0.8bn.

Wind turbines:

EUR

8.5bn

Service:

EUR

10.7bn

EUR +1.3bn* EUR +0.8bn*

* Compared to Q3 2016.

9 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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10

Record-high activity levels in the US in 2016 Deliveries of ~4 GW and order intake of ~3.5 GW enabling significant future potential

│ Full year 2016

Strong deliveries in 2016

ToR

~4 GW

Order intake secures significant future potential

• Vestas’ factories in Colorado, US contribute to 3,940 MW of deliveries in 2016

– up 941 MW compared to 2015.

Components enabling

future project pipeline

• 1,640 MW (including repowering)

Normal orders

• 1,825 MW

FOI

~3.5 GW

MAKE Consulting: US market outlook relative to

PTC-qualifying activity*

GW

4.5 GW

Safe-harbor

qualifying

components

10 GW

Start-of-

construction

qualification

+

= ~40 GW in 2017-20e

• Some level of project attrition is expected.

• Upside potential depends on combining qualification

methods and qualification activity in 2017-19.

* Source: MAKE Consulting, US Wind Industry Qualifies 45GW of Safe Harbor Equipment in 2016, Flash note January 2017.

Classification: Public

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A satisfactory year for the JV Good order activity combined with solid project execution and controlled manufacturing ramp-up

bodes well for the JV in the future

11 │ Full year 2016

Good order activity

• Announcements in 2016 and year-to-date:

- Total order backlog as of 8 February 2017

of 2.5 GW.

- Total preferred supplier agreements for 932 MW.

~1.4

GW

~1.0

GW

Announced

firm orders

Announced

preferred supplier

Project execution and manufacturing ramp-up Activity levels increasing

• Manufacturing ramp-up progressing according

to plan preparing for execution of order backlog

in 2017 and beyond.

• During 2016, more than 500 employees were

recruited in JV.

Delivered projects in 2016 and projects

currently under work-in-progress

Classification: Public

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Agenda

1. Orders and markets

2. Financials

3. Profitable Growth for Vestas – status and update

4. Outlook, and questions & answers

Annual report,

2016.

FY

12 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Income statement – full year Record-high earnings and net profit driven by strong activity levels

13

• Revenue increased by 22 percent

primarily due to higher volume.

• Gross profit up by 41 percent mainly

driven by the higher revenue,

favourable product mix, and improved

average project margins.

• EBIT before special items up by 65

percent mainly driven by higher gross

profit.

• Income from JV at EUR (101)m

mainly due to ramp-up costs and

amortisation of the V164 platform.

• Record-high net profit at EUR 965m:

– up by EUR 280m compared to

2015.

Key takes:

*R&D, distribution, and administration.

mEUR FY 2016 FY 2015 %

Change

Revenue 10,237 8,423 22%

Cost of sales (8,111) (6,918) 17%

Gross profit 2,126 1,505 41%

Fixed costs* (705) (645) 9%

EBIT before special items 1,421 860 65%

Special items - 46 -

EBIT after special items 1,421 906 57%

Income/(loss) from investments in

associates and joint ventures (101) 34 -

Net profit/(loss) 965 685 41%

Gross margin 20.8% 17.9% 2.9%-pts

EBITDA margin before special items 17.8% 14.4% 3.4%-pts

EBIT margin before special items 13.9% 10.2% 3.7%-pts

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Income statement – Q4 EBIT margin before special items increased by 1.9 percentage point to 15.2 percent

14

• Revenue increased by 9 percent due

to higher volume further

supplemented by higher activity

levels in the service business.

• Gross profit up by 16 percent mainly

driven by the higher revenue and

improved average project margins.

• EBIT before special items up by 25

percent mainly driven by the higher

gross profit.

• Net profit up by EUR 45m.

Key takes:

*R&D, distribution, and administration.

mEUR Q4 2016 Q4 2015 %

change

Revenue 3,313 3,035 9%

Cost of sales (2,646) (2,460) 8%

Gross profit 667 575 16%

Fixed costs* (163) (171) (5)%

EBIT before special items 504 404 25%

Special items - 46 -

EBIT after special items 504 450 12%

Income/(loss) from investments in

associates and joint ventures (45) (10) -

Net profit/(loss) 343 298 15%

Gross margin 20.1% 18.9% 1.2%-pts

EBITDA margin before special items 18.1% 16.5% 1.6%-pts

EBIT margin before special items 15.2% 13.3% 1.9%-pts

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Leveraging on SG&A SG&A costs continue to be under control

SG&A costs (TTM)*

mEUR and percent of revenue Key takes:

• SG&A costs* relative to activity levels

continue downward in stable trend.

• Relative to activity levels, SG&A

costs* amounted to 6.9 percent in Q4

2016 – a decrease of 0.8 percentage

point compared to Q4 2015.

* R&D, administration and distribution on trailing 12 months basis.

713712

660645638636622619

705

7.7%

Q3

2015

8.1%

Q2

2015

Q1

2016

6.9% 7.2%

Q4

2016

Q3

2016

Q2

2016

7.9%

(0.8)%-pts

7.8%

Q4

2015

8.4% 8.7% 9.0%

Q4

2014

Q1

2015

│ Full year 2016 15 Classification: Public

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Service Satisfactory service business performance largely absorbing integration costs of service

acquisitions

16

Service revenue (onshore and offshore)

mEUR

949889

825

1,309

+15%

1,138

Key takes:

Onshore

6561

FY

2015

FY

2016

0 0

FY

2012

FY

2014

15

FY

2013

Offshore

• Q4 2016 service revenue of EUR

372m - up 20 percent.

Margin: 19.1 per cent.

• Service revenue increased by 15

percent in 2016 mainly due to

acquisitions and organic growth.

• EBIT before special items: EUR

225m.

Margin: 17.2 per cent.

• Integration of service acquisitions

well on track.

• Service order backlog growth of

EUR 800m compared to Q3 2016.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Balance sheet Continued strong balance sheet impacted by high activity levels

17

• Improvement in net debt due to

improved earnings and net working

capital.

• Positive net working capital

development of EUR 558m.

• Solvency ratio at 32.1 percent.

Key takes: Assets (mEUR) FY 2016 FY 2015 Abs.

change

%

change

Non-current assets 2,886 2,508 378 15%

Current assets 6,950 5,976 974 16%

Total assets 9,931 8,587 1,344 16%

Key figures (mEUR) FY 2016 FY 2015 Abs.

change

%

change

Net debt (3,255) (2,270) 985 43%

Net working capital (1,941) (1,383) 558 40%

Solvency ratio (%) 32.1 33.8 - (1.7)%-pts

Liabilities (mEUR) FY 2016 FY 2015 Abs.

change

%

change

Equity 3,190 2,899 291 10%

Non-current liabilities 1,114 883 231 26%

Current liabilities 5,627 4,805 822 17%

Total equity and liabilities 9,931 8,587 1,344 16%

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Change in net working capital Higher activity levels significantly impacting net working capital

NWC change over the last 12 months

mEUR

NWC change over the last 3 months

mEUR

NWC

end

2016

(1,941)

Other

liabilities

CCP*

123

Receiv-

ables

(1,383)

94

86

(800)

4

(65)

Payables NWC

end

2015

Inventories Pre-

payments

NWC

end

FY 2016

(1,941)

Inventories

(322)

Other

liabilities

Receiv-

ables

NWC

end

Q3 2016

(787)

CCP*

(8)

(389)

(107)

(597)

Pre-

payments

Payables

269

18

• Positive development due to increased activity

levels, primarily driven by higher prepayments.

Key takes:

• Quarterly improvement of EUR 1.2bn primarily

driven higher prepayments and lower inventories

driven by higher activity levels.

Key takes:

* Construction contracts in progress.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Warranty provisions and Lost Production Factor Warranty consumption and LPF continue at very satisfactory low levels

Warranty provisions made and consumed

mEUR

Lost Production Factor (LPF)

Percent

19

160

122117

148

228

95108

84

119

90

FY

2013

FY

2014

FY

2012

FY

2016

FY

2015

Provisions consumed Provisions made

• Warranty consumption constitutes approx 0.9

percent of revenue over the last 12 months.

• Warranty provisions made correlates with

revenue in the year, corresponding to approx 2.2

percent in 2016.

Key takes:

• LPF continues at a low level below 2.0.

• LPF measures potential energy production not

captured by the wind turbines.

Key takes:

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Dec

2010

Dec

2009

Dec

2015

Dec

2014

Dec

2013

Dec

2012

Dec

2011

Dec

2016

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Cash flow statement – full year Significant improvement in cash flow from operating activities

20

Key takes: mEUR FY 2016 FY 2015 Abs.

change

Cash flow from operating activities before

change in net working capital 1,793 1,075 718

Change in net working capital 388 397 9

Cash flow from operating activities 2,181 1,472 709

Cash flow from investing activities* (617) (425) 192

Free cash flow* 1,564 1,047 517

Cash flow from financing activities (611) (360) 251

Change in cash at bank and in hand less

current portion of bank debt 753 687 66

• Free cash flow improvement of

EUR 517m driven primarily by

higher earnings and change in net

working capital partly offset by

higher investing activities (incl.

acquisition of Availon GmbH).

• Higher cash outflow from financing

activities mainly due to share buy-

back programme and dividend

payment based on 2015 results.

Note: Change in net working capital in 2016 impacted by non-cash adjustments and exchange rate adjustments with a total amount of EUR 170m.

* Excluding investments in marketable securities.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Cash flow statement – Q4 Free cash flow of EUR 1.4bn in Q4 2016

21

Key takes: mEUR Q4 2016 Q4 2015 Abs.

change

Cash flow from operating activities before

change in net working capital 509 310 199

Change in net working capital 1,092 454 638

Cash flow from operating activities 1,601 764 837

Cash flow from investing activities* (226) (204) 22

Free cash flow* 1,375 560 816

Cash flow from financing activities (272) (133) 139

Change in cash at bank and in hand less

current portion of bank debt 903 427 477

• Free cash flow more than doubled

to EUR 1.4bn mainly due to

positive change in net working

capital and increase of underlying

earnings.

• Cash flow from investing activities

in line with Q4 2015.

• Cash flow from financing activities

impacted by the share buy-back

programme launched in August

2016.

Note: Change in net working capital in Q4 2016 impacted by non-cash adjustments and exchange rate adjustments with a total amount of EUR 62m.

* Excluding investments in marketable securities.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Total investments Increased net investments in line with guidance. 2016 investments impacted by acquisitions.

22

Net investments

mEUR and percent of revenue Key takes:

• Investments increased by EUR

192m compared to 2015.

• 2016 investments mainly driven by

tangible blades investments as well

as capitalised R&D.

• In early 2016, Vestas acquired

German ISP Availon GmbH for

approx EUR 83m.

• Q3 2016, EUR 22m was spent on

the transfer of the blades facility in

Lauchhammer, Germany, from

leased to owned.

285

239

286

512

370

83

55

4% 5%

FY

2014

FY

2012

5%

425

22

4% 4%

FY

2013

FY

2015

FY

2016

+192

617

Note: ISP = Independent Service Provider. *Excl. marketable securities and short-term financials investments.

Acquisition of

Availon GmbH, EUR

83m.

│ Full year 2016

Transfer of blades

facility in Lauch-

hammer, Germany

from leased to

owned, EUR 22m.

Other acquisitions Percent of revenue (excl. acquisitions)

Service acquisitions Cashflow from investing activity*

Classification: Public

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Capital structure Capital structure targets firmly within boundaries

Net debt to EBITDA

×EBITDA

Solvency ratio

Percent

< 1.0

(1.2)

Q4

2016

(1.8)

Q2

2016

(1.4)

Q1

2016

(1.6)

Q4

2015

Q3

2016

(1.9)

Net debt to EBITDA, financial target

Net debt to EBITDA before special items, last 12 months

28

30

32

34

36

30.0

Q3

2016

32.9

Q2

2016

Q1

2016

Q4

2015

33.8 35.0

32.1

30.5 30.7

Q4

2016

Solvency ratio, financial target range

Solvency ratio

• Net debt to EBITDA decreased to (1.8) in Q4

2016.

• Development driven primarily by improved net

cash position more than offsetting the improved

EBITDA.

Key takes:

• Solvency ratio of 32.1 percent in Q4 2016.

• Q4 2016 development mainly driven by

improved net cash position more than offsetting

NWC and earnings effect.

Key takes:

23 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Capital allocation Increased dividend proposed and share buy-back programmes. New share buy-back of EUR

95m initiated 8 February 2017.

24

FY 2016 FY 2015 FY 2014

Dividend per share (DKK) 9.71 6.82 3.90

Dividend per share (EUR) 1.31 0.91 0.52

Dividend payout ratio (%) 30.0 29.9 29.9

Dividend based on net result (mEUR)* 289 205 116

Share buy-back programme (mEUR) 401 150 -

Total distribution for financial year (mEUR) 690 355 116

Share price 31 December (DKK) 459.0 483.8 226.5

Share price 31 December (EUR) 61.7 64.8 30.4

* Based on shares issued at year end and for 2016 proposed dividend.

Key takes:

• For 2016, the Board recommends to

the AGM to pay out a dividend of

DKK 9.71 per share – corresponding

to 30 percent of the net result for the

year.

• Combined with the EUR 401m share

buy-back conducted 18 August – 30

December 2016 total distribution to

shareholders based on financial

year 2016 will amount to EUR 690m

compared to EUR 355m based on

financial year 2015.

• In addition, the expected net

proceeds from the sale of office

buildings in Aarhus, Denmark of

EUR 95m will be distributed through

a share buy-back programme

initiated 8 February 2017.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Return on invested capital ROIC development showcasing strong underlying business improvement. However, record-high

level impacted by NWC elements.

Return on invested capital (ROIC)

Percent

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300265.2

Q1

2016

Q2

2016

162.5

Q4

2016

148.2

119.1

Q4

2015

117.2

Q3

2016

EBIT margin before special items, last 12 months ROIC, last 12 months

Key takes:

• ROIC increased to 265.2

percent in Q4 2016 – an

improvement of 148.0

percentage point compared to

Q4 2015.

• Development primarily driven

by NWC elements and higher

earnings.

│ Full year 2016 25 Classification: Public

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Agenda

1. Orders and markets

2. Financials

3. Profitable Growth for Vestas – status and update

4. Outlook, and questions & answers

Annual report,

2016.

FY

26 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Renewables continue to dominate global electricity generation Future capacity additions expected to primarily come from renewables and wind in particular

27 │ Full year 2016

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA): World Energy Outlook 2016. November 2016. Bloomberg New Energy Finance: New Energy Outlook. June 2016.

• Wind estimated at ~18 percent of all

new-build capacity last year.

• Wind penetration estimated at ~7

percent of total accumulated

installed capacity in 2015.

• OECD countries to decommission

coal, nuclear, gas, and oil driven by

end of financial lifetime and CO2

reduction targets.

• Non-OECD countries increasingly to

pursue renewables to cater for

electricity demand.

Renewables expected to account for half of additional global electricity generation, overtaking

coal around 2030 to become the largest power source.

Classification: Public

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Wind continues to increase its competitiveness Wind is among the most economical sources of electricity in many markets

28 │ Full year 2016

Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF): Levelised cost of electricity update: H2 2016. October 2016. Bloomerg New Energy Finance: New Energy Outlook

June 2016. International Energy Agency (IEA): World Energy Outlook 2015, Nov 2015. Lazard: Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis – version 10.0. December 2016.

• LCOE decreased by more than 50

percent in the US and global

average by 15 percent between

2011-2016.

• USD 3.1tn expected investments in

wind in 2016-2040 – almost 50

percent more than the runner-up.

• Positive LCOE development for wind

energy expected to continue.

Classification: Public

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Onshore wind turbine market forecast, stable at high volumes Continued market share gain will be essential for mid-term growth

29 │ Full year 2016

Onshore market forecast, 2016e-2020e

GW

2017e 2020e 2018e

+3%

2016e 2019e

-2%

MAKE BNEF

~54* ~53* ~57* ~56* ~58*

Source: MAKE Consulting: Q4 Global Wind Power Market Update, November 2016; Bloomberg New Energy Finance: Q4 2016 Global Wind Market

Outlook, December 2016; GWEC. * Based on simple average of MAKE and BNEF.

Excl. China, 2017-2020e CAGR

equates to approx 4 percent.

Classification: Public

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Overall market for wind turbines driven by regional developments

30

Americas – growth

primarily driven by US

market

Asia Pacific – China on

lower level picked up by

market region

EMEA – continues to be a

key driver

Source: MAKE Consulting: Q4 Global Wind Power Market Update, November 2016; Bloomberg New Energy Finance: Q4 2016 Global Wind Market

Outlook, December 2016; GWEC.

│ Full year 2016

• Current PTC structure drives

demand in 2017-2023.

• Broad-based support in LatAm

especially in Mexico, Chile, and

Argentina.

• Short-term challenging market

conditions in Brazil, mid-term

potential in place.

• EU 2020 and 2030 RE targets

providing stability.

• General move to auctions. − Germany transitioning in 2017-18.

• Growth opportunities in MEA,

however, from a lower base.

• Repowering in northern Europe,

mainly in Germany and Denmark.

• China addressing curtailment

challenges, but remains commit-

ted to wind.

• India, ambitious wind energy tar-

gets in place. Transitioning to

auctions start 2017. •

• Good growth in Australia.

• Single market growth opportunities

throughout the region.

2016e 2019e

12

17

2020e 2017e

14

2018e

16 15

+5%

2016e

14

2017e

13

2018e

15

2019e

+2%

2020e

14 13

Average (MAKE and BNEF)

27 28

2020e

0%

2019e

27

2017e

26

2018e 2016e

27

Average (MAKE and BNEF) Average (MAKE and BNEF)

Onshore market forecast, Americas

GW

Onshore market outlook, EMEA

GW

Onshore market outlook, Asia Pacific

GW

Classification: Public

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Large growth potential in Service High growth in the service market stresses the importance of the aftermarket for future success

31 │ Full year 2016

Service market revenue opportunity, 2015 – 2025e

bnUSD

22.3

2025e

7.4

(38%)

4.9

(20%)

9.5

2015

3.2

(24%)

4.1

(55%)

2.2

(22%)

10.0

(42%)

+9% CAGR

EMEA Americas Asia Pacific

12%

8%

6%

CAGR:

Source: MAKE Consulting Global Wind Turbine O&M, November 2016.

Classification: Public

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Offshore market set for growth Improved competitiveness of offshore wind setting trajectory for future growth

32 │ Full year 2016

Offshore market forecast, 2016e-2020e

GW

3.5

2017e

4.9

8.0

2020e 2019e 2018e

3.2

5.3

2016e

1.8

4.9

1.9

34% CAGR 7.8

5.7

43% CAGR

MAKE BNEF

Source: MAKE Consulting: Q4 Global Wind Power Market Update, November 2016. Bloomberg New Energy Finance: Q4 2016 Global Wind Market

Outlook, December 2016.

Key takes:

• 34-43 percent CAGR towards

2020e.

• Market volumes expected to be

driven primarily by northern Europe,

especially UK and Germany.

• Expected growth in Asia Pacific with

China already an established

market.

• US market with medium- to long-

term potential

Classification: Public

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Vestas remains well positioned for future market trends Profitable growth strategy on track. Annual strategy process fine-tuned to reflect the market and

new opportunities.

33 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Strategic direction and execution supported by key achievements Vestas made significant progress on all key strategic objectives in 2016

34 │ Full year 2016

Global leader in the wind power plant

solutions market

Global leader in the wind

power service solutions market

Best-in-class operations

Lowest cost of energy

solutions

Grow faster than the market: − 10.5 GW FOI (+17 percent).

− 29 percent growth in deliveries.

More than 40 percent onshore

service growth mid-term: − Revenue up 15 percent in 2016.

− Order backlog up EUR 1.8bn.

Further strengthening multi-

brand capabilities: − Acquisition of Availon GmbH.

Margin improvement: − EBIT up 65 percent.

− Gross profit up 41 percent.

Competitive/broad product

portfolio with 2 MW, 3 MW,

8 MW platforms: − AEP in 3 MW platform improved by

up to 35 percent since launch**.

− Industrialisation and cost-out targets met.

− Delivered world’s most powerful turbine to

the JV.

Innovation: − Multi-rotor concept demonstrator.

− Industry leading investments in R&D.

* Excluding investments in marketable securities. ** AEP=Annual Energy Production. Compared to V112-3.0 MW/V90-3.0 MW. Actual performance depends

on site specific conditions.

Classification: Public

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Business model based on growth and stability Vestas has a strong position within its three main business areas of wind turbines, services, and

offshore offering a solid base for continued growth and stability

35 │ Full year 2016

Global leader in

the wind power plant

solutions market

Global leader in the

wind service

solutions market

2020e 2016e

+2% CAGR

2017e 2019e 2018e

”Stable growth” ”High growth” ”High growth”

2015

+9% CAGR

2025e 2018e 2016e

+38% CAGR

2020e 2019e 2017e

Source: MAKE Consulting: Q4 Global Wind Power Market Update, November 2016; Bloomberg New Energy Finance: Q4 2016 Global Wind Market

Outlook, December 2016; MAKE Consulting Global Wind Turbine O&M, June 2015.

Top player in the

offshore market

• Grow faster than the market • >50 percent growth by 2020 • Revenue to double over next 3 years

• Pre-tax profit break-even by 2019

Classification: Public

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Vestas key differentiators support strategic ambitions Global reach, technology and service leadership, and scale remain the foundation for Vestas’

unique position in the market place

36 │ Full year 2016

Global reach Technology and service

leadership Scale

• Pioneer and most experienced

wind energy company in the

world.

• Unique global reach in terms of

sales, manufacturing, installation,

and service.

• In 2016, Vestas had order intake

from 33 countries and deliveries

in 34 countries.

• Wind turbines covering all wind

classes across the world.

• A broad range of service offerings

securing optimal performance.

• Best-in-class quality.

• World-class siting and

forecasting.

• Largest R&D investment in the

industry.

• More people dedicated to wind

than anyone else, largest volume.

• Largest global installed base of

~82 GW across 76 countries.

• Largest service organisation with

more than 71 GW under service.

• Data insights from monitoring of

more than 32,000 wind turbines.

Classification: Public

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Vestas wants to exhibit the strongest performance in the sector Ambitions remain

37 │ Full year 2016

ROIC: • Double-digit each year over the cycle.

EBIT margin:

Revenue:

• Best in class margins

• Grow faster than the market and be the market leader in revenue.

FCF: • Positive each year.

Capital

Structure

targets:

• Net debt to EBITDA ratio below 1 at any point in the cycle.

• Solvency ratio in the range of 30-35 percent at the end of each financial year.

Distribution

policy:

• Any decision to distribute cash to shareholders will be taken in appropriate

consideration of capital structure targets and availability of excess cash, based on

the company’s growth plans and liquidity requirements.

• General intention of the Board of Directors to recommend a dividend of 25-30

percent of the net result after tax.

• From time to time supplement with share buy-back programmes.

Classification: Public

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Agenda

1. Orders and markets

2. Financials

3. Profitable Growth for Vestas – status and update

4. Outlook, and questions & answers

Annual report,

2016.

FY

38 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Outlook 2017 Another year with expected solid financial performance

• Service business is expected to continue to grow with stable margins.

Outlook

Revenue (bnEUR) 9.25-10.25

EBIT margin before special items (%) 12-14

Total investments (mEUR) (excl. marketable securities and short term financial investments and

incl. the expected net proceeds from the sale of office buildings)

approx. 350

Free cash flow (mEUR) (excl. marketable securities and short term financial investments and

incl. the expected net proceeds from the sale of office buildings)

min. 700

39

Note: Outlook for 2017 is subject to exchange rate movements.

│ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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Financial calendar 2017:

• Annual General Meeting (6 April 2017).

• Disclosure of Q1 2017 (5 May 2017).

• Disclosure of Q2 2017 (17 August 2017).

• Disclosure of Q3 2017 (9 November 2017).

Q&A

40 │ Full year 2016 Classification: Public

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