fukushima six years latercapacity (gw) 0 100 200 300 400 at risk under construction/planned source...

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Fukushima Six Years Later Fears from Fukushima has had significant international impacts (eg, Germany, Taiwan, S. Korea) Public acceptance of nuclear main issue for climate change and environment Soil clean-up and tritiated water retention reinforced irrational fears 44

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Page 1: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

Fukushima Six Years Later

Fears from Fukushima has had significant international impacts (eg, Germany, Taiwan, S. Korea)

Public acceptance of nuclear main issue for climate change and environment

Soil clean-up and tritiated water retention reinforced irrational fears

44

Page 2: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

Nuclear on the decline

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 2015

Perc

ent o

f ele

ctric

ity g

loba

lly th

at is

nuc

lear

9

10.5

12

13.5

15

16.5

18

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

-7

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Page 3: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

Cap

acity

(GW

)

0

100

200

300

400

At Risk Under Construction/PlannedSource & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017. Plant-specific rankings based on economic and energy trend analysis, political and societal assessment, and expert elicitations. Longer methodology discussion can be found at environmentalprogress.org/research Last updated March 2, 2017. Email [email protected] for more information.

Very High

High

Medium

Very Low

Low

Under Construction

High Likelihood

Medium Likelihood

Low Likelihood

World could lose up to 2x more nuclear than it gains by 2030

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Page 4: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

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Page 5: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

49

Page 6: Fukushima Six Years LaterCapacity (GW) 0 100 200 300 400 At Risk Under Construction/Planned Source & Methods: EP Energy Progress Assessment, 2017.Plant-specific rankings based on

Fukushima Six Years Later

Arrogant overconfidence that Japan immune from nuclear accident

Little to no accident preparedness

Fear of alarming public near plant behind lack of preparedness

Pre-Fukushima public education focused on avoidance of accident not benign nature of low-dose radiation

49