forth quarter 2017 march 2018 - investor relations -...
TRANSCRIPT
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Forth Quarter 2017March 2018
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Forward-Looking Statements
Certain forward-looking statements may be made in this presentation, including statements regarding
possible future business, financing and growth objectives. Investors are cautioned that such forward-
looking statements involve risks and uncertainties detailed from time to time in the Company’s periodic
reports filed with Canadian regulatory authorities. Many factors could cause actual results, performance or
achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements that may be
expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Equitable Group Inc. does not undertake to
update any forward-looking statements, oral or written, made by itself or on its behalf except in
accordance with applicable securities laws.
www.eqbank.ca
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Company Overview
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Investment Thesis
Structural business model advantages
Disciplined and proven value creation processes
Track record of consistent performance
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3
4
Well positioned as a challenger bank1
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Company Overview
• 9th largest investable Schedule I bank in Canada by assets
• Proven lending and deposit-taking capabilities
• 45+ year track record
• 120th most profitable company in Canada
(Globe & Mail, 2016)
Who We Are Our Vision
4.1 5.4 6.4 7.9 9.3 2.4 2.3 2.2
2.8 3.0
5.66.1
8.0
10.310.9
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Single Family
Commercial
Securitization Financing
Diversified Business Earnings Momentum
• Become Canada’s leading challenger bank…
• …by providing the best customer service experience of any
bank in Canada
• Nurturing a distinctive culture that engages our employees
• Delivering a long-term Return on Equity above 15% and
maintaining strong capital ratios
Mortgages Under Management ($Bn) Earnings Per Share ($)
5.11 5.82 6.537.73 8.49 9.39
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
13% CAGR
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Canada’s Challenger Bank™
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Launched EQ
Bank, our first
direct-to-
consumer
business
INCREASING GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE AND PRODUCT BREADTH
Long History as a Regulated Canadian Financial Institution
Have Been Successfully Evolving the Business
2004 2008 2013 2014 2015 2016
IPO of
Equitable Group
Increased focus
on Alternative
Single Family
businessOpened
Montreal Office
Launched
brokered HISA
account
Converted
Equitable Trust
to Equitable
Bank
Issued first
Deposit Note
Implemented
new large bank
sponsored
funding facility
Entered Prime
Single Family
business
Became a truly
national
alternative SFR
lender, with
entry into
Quebec market
Implemented
two new funding
facilities
Opened
Vancouver
Office
1970
Equitable Trust
Incorporated
Introduced a
HELOC
Began to Issue
MBS and
Participate in
CMB
Launched
Alternative
Single Family
business in
Quebec
2006
Opened
Calgary Office
2010 2017
Launched PATH
Home Plan
product
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Equitable’s Long-Term Value Creation Equation
29.83 35.14
40.90 46.57
54.96 64.57
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
17% CAGR
Book Value Per Share ($)
Grow Capital by
Retaining the
Majority of Earnings
and Reinvesting in
the Business
Grow Assets at Rates
In-Line With Capital
Growth, if
Opportunities
Meet or Exceed Our
ROE Targets
Generate an ROE in the Mid
to High Teens
Pay Out a Consistently Growing
Dividend to Our Shareholders
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Disciplined Capital Management
Strong capital base has allowed us to pursue our
growth objectives while returning capital to
shareholders
• Capital Management Framework
0.52 0.60 0.68 0.76 0.840.95
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
13% CAGR
Maintain target CET1 and leverage ratios
Find attractive assets within existing markets;
deploy to highest ROE opportunities first
Consistently grow dividends
Invest in growth and diversification initiatives that
meet return thresholds
Cap
ital D
ep
loym
en
t
• History of Consistent Dividend Growth
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Balance sheet strength
• Higher CET1 and Total Capital ratios than any of the eight largest
publicly traded Canadian Banks…
– …even though we use the standardized approach to risk weight
our assets
• 91% of regulatory capital in high-quality common equity
• Strong Regulatory Capital Position • Diversified Funding Sources
• $2.0 Bn backstop funding facility from big-6 Canadian Banks
• Liquidity portfolio of $1.4 Bn or 6.8% of total assets
– 93% is cash held at big-6 Canadian banks or in government
guaranteed accounts/instruments
• LCR well in excess of regulatory minimum
• 100% of securities investments are preferred shares rated P-3(mid)
or higher, with 42% rated P2(low) or higher
Resilient Liquidity Position
Brokered Term GICs,
37%
EQ Bank Savings
Account, 7%Brokered
HISAs, 4%
Bank Facilities, 4%
CMB Program, 34%
MBS, 14%
Deposit Notes, 1% $22.8 Bn total
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Our Digital Strategy
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Equitable is embracing FinTech
Be Open Be Collaborative Be Invested
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Digital simplicity, absent of legacy infrastructure, enables innovation
State-of-the-Art Banking Systems
and Central Data Depository
Account Opening Now More
Automated For Quick Approval
With Full FINTRAC Compliance
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What our customers are saying about us
“All things being equal I prefer the EQ experience. Using EQ I’ve
grown to hate the ‘Tangerine two-step’ (transfer from savings to
chequing and then pay bill) almost as much as I used to hate the 1-day
delay transferring from PCF savings to chequing.”
“IMO, EQ is better in this respect since they don’t play games with
timing of deposits, starting balances, ‘new money’, etc. Every dollar of
every customer earns the same 2%. That’s the fairest by far.”
“EQ > Tangerine > PCF in my personal experience.”
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Canadians have responded well to our innovative digital banking platform
0.1
0.81.0 1.0 1.1
1.21.3
1.6 1.6
2015 Q4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4
First Marketing campaign (January 2016)
EQ Bank Deposit Principal Balances ($Bn)
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Our Recent Performance
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2017 Performance HighlightsObjectives Results
Grow by providing superior
service, competitive products
and cost-efficient operations
Grew assets by 9% to $20.6 billion
Completed development of PATH Home PlanTM, an equity release solution that launched in early
2018 and diversifies our product suite
Build our capabilities and
brand
Increased our deposit balances by $1.3 billion or 14% to $11 billion from $9.7 billion a year ago
Awarded 6th place in Financial IT’s 2017 ranking of the top digital banks globally
Received Canada’s Best Employer Platinum Award for 2018 by AON for the second consecutive year
Completed our IFRS 9 program and implemented it on January 1, 2018
Consistently create
shareholder value
Delivered EPS of $9.39, 11% higher than in the preceding year even with $1.11 of costs related to
successfully managing through a liquidity event
Produced an ROE of 15.8%
Declared common share dividends that were 13% higher than in 2016
Maintain a low risk profile
Recorded a provision for credit losses of $1.5 million or 1 bp of average loan balances
Reported a CET1 Ratio of 14.8%, which remained ahead of regulatory minimums, our own internal
targets, and most competitive benchmarks
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Continued high returns
10.7 12.1 15.5 16.5 17.9 16.1 14.5 13.8 13.7 14.5 16.6 17.0 17.0 16.5
18.7 18.1 17.4 17.9 16.9 15.8
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Canadian Banks EQB(1)
Includes eight largest publicly traded Canadian Banks
Source: company filings, Bloomberg, Equitable analysis
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Liquidity and funding position has been stable
Deposit Principal Balances($ billion)
Total Liquid Assets($ billion)
Liquidity Coverage Ratio Well Above 100% Deposits Diversified and Growing
1.0 1.0
1.3
1.2
1.61.5 1.5
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
9.0 9.2
9.79.9 10.0
10.5
11.0
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
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A strong risk management framework and low loss levels
Actual Credit Loss Rates, Selected Canadian Banks
EQB
Industry Comparators1
Minimal Credit Losses and Strong Relative Performance Highlight Portfolio Quality
Notes: 1Industry Comparator group represents eight largest publicly traded Canadian banks
Source: company filings, Bloomberg, Equitable analysis
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
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Branchless operating model yields higher productivity and efficiency
2017 Efficiency Ratios (%)2017 Revenue per Employee ($000s/Employee)
Source: company filings, Equitable analysis
267 305 306 354 362
438 492 520
1,282
LB NB BNS CWB CIBC TD BMO RBC EQB
36.8
46.4
53.6 53.6 53.9 55.9 58.8
64.2 69.2
EQB CWB TD RBC BNS NB CIBC BMO LB
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Valuation Metrics vs. Other Canadian FIs
Price to Forward Earnings
Price to Q4 2017 Book Price to Book vs. Forward ROE
2017E Return on Equity
Source: Bloomberg, Equitable analysis
-
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
RY CWB TD BMO BNS NA CM HCG LB EQB
EQB
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
6% 9% 12% 15% 18%
Pri
ce /
Bo
ok M
ult
iple
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
NA RY CM TD BNS EQB BMO CWB LB HCG
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
RY NA TD CM BNS BMO CWB EQB LB HCG
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Looking Forward
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Our 2018 objectives build on our capabilities and our market opportunities
Grow our core lending businesses
Launch an equity release solution
Continue building EQ Bank
Pursue AIRB initiative
1
2
4
5
Diversify into adjacent businesses and win on service3
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Equity Release Product Overview
Target Market
Distribution
Brand
Loan
Parameters
• Homeowners 55 years and older
• Residents of larger urban centers, such as
Toronto or Calgary
• Through Canada’s vibrant mortgage broker
community
• Maximum LTV at origination of 40%
• Term of up to 5 years
• Floating interest rate (based off prime)
• PATH Home Plan branding
• Delivers message of equity release being a
natural part of an overall financial plan
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Why and Why Now?
Attractive Market
Favorable Competitive Landscape
Diversification Platform
Synergies with Existing Business
• Targets the growing demographic of aging Canadians
• Addresses increasing gap between retirement savings
and needs
• Provides an option for borrowers if recent regulatory
changes reduce availability of traditional mortgage credit
• New asset class but adjacent to existing businesses
• Broader range of products enhances our value
proposition to the broker community
• Leverages existing capabilities and financial strength
• Cash flow from current operations can finance reverse
mortgage investments
• Systems, corporate centre, and funding channels
• Relationships with brokers
• Robust risk management framework
• Only one incumbent regulated player
• Market size will likely make it appealing to only mid-
sized FIs; niche market not addressed by big-6
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Significant Market Opportunity
Source: 1. Statistics Canada – Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
2. Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household survey. Assumes approximately 5.8 million households with borrowers over 60, and a 69%
ownership rate among those households. Average mortgage size is assumed to be $150,000 based on $500,000 house price and 30% LTV
Growing Population 60+ in Canada1
In Millions
Illustrative Market Size2
In $Bn
Penetration rates in other established equity release markets such as Australia, the UK and the U.S. range from 1.2% to 3.5%
$2.7
$6.0
$9.0
$11.9
1% 1.50% 2%
EQB Market Penetration
7.5 7.7 8.0 8.3
9.7
11.1 12.0
12.8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Current Market
Size
As of Dec. 31, 2017
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Market Developments
Market Dynamics and Opportunities
Regulatory Changes
Competitive Developments
Housing Market
Conditions
Fintech and Consumer Banking
Preferences
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Recent regulatory proposals create operating uncertainty
OSFI has changed its Underwriting
Guideline B-20
• Interest rate stress test
• Dynamic LTV measurements
• Restrictions on co-lending
• Impact on Equitable currently unclear, though
we expect it to be negative
• Difficult to forecast competitor and consumer
reactions
• Intend to offset some of the effect with higher
commercial asset growth and new products