foreign sorghum exports lowest since 2005/06 · while rice is still the staple, demand for...
TRANSCRIPT
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Grain: World Markets and Trade
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February 2020
Foreign Sorghum Exports Lowest Since 2005/06
The current forecast for 2019/20 (Oct-Sep) foreign sorghum exports is the third-lowest in USDA’s database. World sorghum exports are expected to be the fifth-lowest in history, though the United States has slightly improved prospects relative to the previous year. Sorghum production in the United States, Argentina, and Australia has trended down over the last decade, with Australia’s drought-affected production in particular forecast to be the lowest since 1969/70, negatively affecting global exportable supplies. On the demand side, China’s substantially curtailed demand from its 2014/15 zenith has impacted exports from its primary suppliers, the United States and Australia. Earlier in the last decade, Argentina exported sorghum to other countries in South America and Mexico, but sorghum demand in these markets has tapered off due to plentiful and comparatively inexpensive corn. Moreover, the feed value of corn is higher than sorghum, giving corn a potential advantage in both price and end use. However, there remains some sustained, though limited, demand for sorghum globally and U.S. sorghum is poised to capture most of this demand as competitors Australia and Argentina have limited presence in the 2019/20 market.
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TU.S. and Foreign Sorghum Exports
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China Sorghum Imports (Oct/Sep)
United States Australia Other ForecastSource: TDM
TABLE OF CONTENTS
World Markets and Trade: Commodities and Data WHEAT .................................................................................................... 3 RICE ......................................................................................................... 8 COARSE GRAINS ................................................................................... 12 ENDNOTES ............................................................................................ 15 DATA TABLES ........................................................................................ 18 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): scroll down to Reports, and then click Grains.
FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Archived World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online) Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports) Export Sales Report Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports) Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) Economic Research Service National Agricultural Statistics Service
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 February 2020Global Market Analysis
WHEAT
WHEAT PRICES Domestic: Prices for U.S. wheat classes were mixed during the month of January. Hard Red Winter (HRW) dropped $7/ton to $230. Soft Red Winter (SRW) gained $1/ton to $252 as supplies of that class remain tight. Both classes showed notable declines toward the end of the month based on favorable rains for 2020/21 wheat as well as on concerns of slowing exports. Soft White Winter (SWW) gained $8/ton to $241 on firm export demand. Hard Red Spring (HRS) dropped $19/ton to $259 likely pressured by easing logistical constraints in the Pacific Northwest.
OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global production is marginally lower with a smaller crop for Morocco. Global trade is raised slightly with stronger demand from China and Turkey. Higher exports for the European Union, Kazakhstan, and the United States more than offset lower shipments from Canada. The projected U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $4.55 per bushel.
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U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids
HRW SRW SWW HRS
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 3 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Global: Exporter prices showed mixed direction during the month of January. Argentina’s price skyrocketed with a rapid pace of shipments. Local supplies are tightening as exporters marketed a large portion of the crop in advance, anticipating a higher export tax. Russia’s prices rose as supplies there have become seasonally tighter. EU prices were steady during the month. U.S. HRW weakened slightly, improving its competitiveness with the European Union and Russia. Canada’s prices dropped but remain elevated based on lingering transportation backlogs. Australia’s prices eased slightly but are still uncompetitive based on tight supplies.
Month Ending Argentina Australia Russia EU US Canada November $197 $265 $208 $208 $223 $238 December $208 $286 $218 $217 $237 $266 January $240 $282 $228 $217 $230 $253
Month Ending Prices for Major Wheat Exporters Source: IGC *Note on FOB prices: Argentina- 12.0%, up river; Australia- average of APW; Fremantle, Newcastle, and Port Adelaide; Russia - Black Sea- milling; EU- France grade 1, Rouen; US- HRW 11.5% Gulf; Canada- CWRS (13.5%), St. Lawrence
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International Daily FOB Export Bids
Argentina Australia Russia Canada EU United States
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 4 February 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURE Shift in Market Dynamics in Southeast Asia’s Wheat Demand
As the population grows and per capita incomes rise in Southeast Asia, consumer tastes and preferences have shifted to include more meat and wheat-based products in their diet. However, the region’s tropical climate limits wheat production, requiring imports to fill increasing wheat demand for both food and feed uses. Since 2013/14, Southeast Asia’s total wheat imports have increased by over 60 percent to 26.7 million tons in 2018/19 and are forecast at 27.5 million tons for 2019/20. Indonesia and the Philippines are the world’s second- and third-leading wheat importers (after Egypt), accounting for approximately two-thirds of the region’s wheat imports. Trade: A Shift in Suppliers The main suppliers to Southeast Asia are the United States, Ukraine, and Australia, followed by Canada and Russia. Typically, Australia is the main supplier due to its proximity, supplying nearly 40 percent of the wheat in 2016/17. However, 3 consecutive years of drought have resulted in low supplies and high prices allowing competitors to gain market share. Indonesia has historically been Australia’s largest market until 2018/19 when shipments fell by over 60 percent from the prior year. Despite the free trade agreement
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Southeast Asia Imports (July/June)
Indonesia Philippines Vietnam Thailand Others
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Suppliers to Southeast Asia
United States Ukraine AustraliaCanada Russia
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 5 February 2020Global Market Analysis
signed in March 2019, this price sensitive economy shifted its supplier from Australia as wheat quality in Ukraine and Russia has improved while remaining price competitive. Similarly, Vietnam’s free trade agreement with Australia also created a preference for Australian wheat which once accounted for over 70 percent of Vietnam’s total imports; however, with competitive pricing, Russia now dominates the market despite phytosanitary concerns that temporarily halted its shipments. Food: A Shift from Rice to Wheat While rice is still the staple, demand for wheat-based products, such as noodles, pasta, bread, and pastries, has been growing in the region. Noodles are the primary wheat-based product consumed in Southeast Asia, except in the Philippines, the only country in the region where more bread is consumed than noodles. The Philippines purchases nearly all of its wheat for food consumption from the United States as millers have a preference for the high quality that ensures consistency in final products. This has made the country the top importer of U.S. wheat in the region (and second globally). Millers in Thailand also prefer high-quality wheat for baked goods, importing supplies from both the United States and Australia. Noodles make up approximately 70 percent of Indonesia’s wheat for food use, while baked goods account for just 20 percent, and the remaining 10 percent is used for making biscuits.
Feed: A Shift from Corn to Wheat Indonesia, the Philippines, Vietnam, and Thailand account for nearly all of Southeast Asia’s commercial feed production. Corn is the preferred feed ingredient with significant domestic production making it ideal and cost effective. However, in the last decade, plant disease, weather conditions, price, and
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Wheat Feed Use
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Top SE Asia Importers and Sources(TY 2018/19)
United States
Ukraine
Australia
Canada
Russia
Argentina
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 6 February 2020Global Market Analysis
policy issues have encouraged the industry to incorporate imported wheat as an important feed ingredient. This is particularly true for the Philippines where imports of feed wheat nearly tripled in the last decade as it is no longer just a feed substitute. High corn prices in the Philippines and Indonesia initially drove feed mills to substitute wheat into feed rations. Furthermore, a policy restriction on corn imports has pushed the Indonesian feed millers to rely on imported wheat feed to fulfill demand. On the other hand, Thailand’s January 2017 import restrictions continue to require importers to purchase domestic corn prior to importing feed wheat at a 3-to-1 absorption ratio. Wheat feed use in both Thailand and Vietnam peaked in 2016 but has since declined. Exporter uncertainty due to animal disease outbreaks, coupled with increased quarantine measures in Vietnam, has reduced their imports for feed wheat. Demand Remains Strong Internal challenges, such as policy restrictions, increased quarantine measures, and changes in consumer preferences, along with external challenges, such as weather, diseases, and logistics, all play a role in the region’s dynamic wheat trade. Despite these challenges, overall wheat demand in the region remains strong. TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT) Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Canada Exports 24,000 23,500 -500 Trade slowing in recent months amid logistical constraints; stronger feeding with lower domestic wheat quality
European Union Exports 31,000 32,000 1,000 Strong global demand and fast pace of shipments
Kazakhstan Exports 5,200 6,000 800 Fast pace of shipments
Pakistan Exports 800 500 -300 Slow trade to date
United States Exports 27,000 27,500 500 Reduced competition from Canada as well as stronger global demand
China Imports 3,200 4,000 800 Fast pace of trade to date and large recent purchases
Thailand Imports 3,100 3,300 200 Larger import volume
Turkey Imports 7,800 8,500 700 Large shipments in recent months, mainly from Russia1
1 Shipments were exceptionally large in recent months based on the government’s decision to authorize some wheat imports at zero duty. For more detail, see Turkey’s latest Grain and Feed Update, available here.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 7 February 2020Global Market Analysis
RICE
RICE PRICES Global: Since the January WASDE, Thai 100B quotes rose based on concerns about the crop and then have fallen on reduced buying interest to $436/ton. Vietnamese prices declined from last month to $350/ton with reduced market activity in January due to the Tet Holiday. Meanwhile, Indian quotes were steady at $363/ton, while Pakistani quotes strengthened to $381/ton on the strong basmati exports and steady exports to core African markets. U.S. values have risen to $595/ton due to tightening supplies, while Uruguay quotes have remained at $516/ton.
OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global rice production is lowered this month due to a reduction in the forecasts for Sri Lanka and Paraguay. Global trade is also down, with lower imports forecast for Guinea, Egypt, and the Philippines. Exports are revised lower for India and Paraguay. OVERVIEW FOR 2018/19 Global rice production is nearly unchanged this month, with an upward revision to production in Cambodia nearly offset by a downward revision to Paraguay. Global trade is down with lower estimates for several countries including Egypt, Philippines, Guinea, and Kenya. Export estimates were similarly lowered for China, India, and Thailand.
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Weekly Price Quotes
U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIETNAM 5%
INDIA 5% PAKISTAN 5% URUGUAY 5%
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 8 February 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURE Medium- and Short-Grain Rice Trade Overview Although the majority of rice traded internationally is long-grain rice, there is a smaller but significant quantity of medium- and short-grain rice. Typically, trade for these classes is relatively stable, with consistent markets around the Mediterranean region and East Asia. However, recent years have included quite a bit of volatility for both the importers and exporters, which has shifted some trading patterns. Importers East Asian markets such as Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan made minimum access agreements under the Uruguay Round of the World Trade Organization negotiations in order to maintain relatively high tariffs and protection for their markets. For years, these countries have been consistent and steady buyers, primarily of medium-grain rice. Japan has recently expanded access for Australia, but only for 6,000 tons in the initial years, rising to 8,400 tons. In 2019, South Korea agreed to country-specific quotas amounting to 388,700 tons, of which the United States has access to 132,304 tons. Taiwan is a small but consistent market. Other East Asian markets have recently made large purchases. North Korea had a smaller crop of rice in 2018/19 and has been buying steadily since mid-2019, a trend that is expected to continue into 2020. These imports have almost entirely been from China. China has a tariff-rate quota (TRQ) for 2.66 million tons of medium- and short-grain rice, but it was been largely underfilled since its inception when China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO). Between 2013 and 2017, China sharply boosted its imports under this part of the TRQ, largely glutinous rice from Vietnam. However, after China changed its tariff codes in 2018 and indicated that glutinous rice would enter under the long-grain TRQ, glutinous rice imports plummeted. For both 2018 and 2019, medium- and short-grain imports remained well below the full TRQ amount. In 2019, the WTO ruled that China must take measures to improve its TRQ administration and the U.S.-China Phase One Agreement included the provision that the WTO ruling would be implemented.
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East Asian Medium-Grain Rice Importers
Japan South Korea TaiwanNorth Korea China
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 9 February 2020Global Market Analysis
In addition to East Asia, another significant region for medium-grain rice trade is among countries in the Middle East and North Africa around the Mediterranean Sea. Turkey is a significant producer but also imports paddy rice for domestic needs and as part of its inward processing regime, re-exporting a portion as milled rice. For the past several years, Turkey has been the largest importer in the region. Egypt emerged as the dominant importer in 2019 at 700,000 tons. This was a notable development since this major medium-grain producer was a significant exporter less than 15 years ago. In 2018, the Egyptian crop was down more than a third compared to the prior year due to government limitations on rice planted area. To meet domestic demand, Egypt turned to the global market and its imports were primarily from China with smaller amounts from India. With the 2019 crop rebounding to normal levels, demand for imported rice has fallen, with an expectation of only 200,000 tons of imports in 2020.
Exporters The United States has tended to be the dominant player among medium- and short-grain exporters, with smaller volumes from the European Union, Australia, and China. However, China’s prominence in these classes has expanded significantly over the past couple of years, outpacing the United States. China’s top medium-grain market in 2019 was Egypt, followed by Turkey, North Korea, and South Korea. Both the United States and China have been able to benefit in 2019 from Australia’s relative absence from the market amid its persistent drought. Looking ahead to 2020, China’s exports are forecast to remain strong, supported by continued auction sales from its large stockpiles. The Chinese old-crop rice is selling around $300/ton and export prices for medium- and short-grain rice are averaging slightly above that, well below the prices of other medium- and short-grain exporters.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 10 February 2020Global Market Analysis
TRADE CHANGES IN 2020 (1,000 MT)
Country Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Egypt Imports 300 200 -100 Indications of sufficient domestic supplies
European Union Imports 2,050
2,200 150
Growing demand for Asian imported varieties
Guinea Imports 900 650 -250 Lower-than-expected consumption growth
Iran Imports 1,150
1,050 -100 Economic challenges limiting basmati purchases
Kenya Imports 800 700 -100 Reduced consumption growth rate
Korea, North Imports 60 200 140 Expectations of continued buying amid tight domestic supplies
Philippines Imports 2,700
2,500 -200 Slowing pace of purchases
China Exports 3,500
3,400 -100 Lower trade with Egypt
India Exports
12,000
11,500 -500 Reduced prospects to Iran and West African markets
Paraguay Exports 700 600 -100 Smaller crop TRADE CHANGES IN 2019 (1,000 MT) Based on trade data
Country Attribute Previous Current Change
China Imports 2,400
2,600 200 Egypt Imports 900 700 -200 Guinea Imports 850 500 -350 Indonesia Imports 300 500 200 Kenya Imports 750 575 -175 Korea, North Imports 100 200 100 Korea, South Imports 410 292 -118 Nepal Imports 750 600 -150 Philippines Imports 3,200 2,900 -300 Sierra Leone Imports 450 330 -120 China Exports 3,000 2,720 -280 India Exports 10,600 10,000 -600 Thailand Exports 7,900 7,562 -338
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 11 February 2020Global Market Analysis
COARSE GRAINS
CORN PRICES Global: Since the January WASDE, U.S. bids have drifted lower than those of the other major exporters. Brazilian bids remain seasonally unavailable. Argentine bids are up $5/ton to $181 and Black Sea bids are up $7/ton to $183 on strong foreign demand. U.S. bids are up $3/ton to $178, reflecting sizeable recent sales as evidenced by Export Sales Reports.
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Selected Export Bids
Argentina Brazil US Black SeaSource: IGC
OVERVIEW FOR 2019/20 Global corn production is forecast up with larger crops in Moldova, South Africa, and Ukraine more than offsetting a decline in Vietnam. Global trade is up marginally from last month with higher imports for Brazil and Turkey. Lower exports for the United States are more than offset by higher exports for the European Union, South Africa, and Ukraine. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $3.85 per bushel.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 12 February 2020Global Market Analysis
MARKET FEATURE Mexico’s Corn Flour Exports Offset Reduced Corn Grain Exports
For the past few years, Mexico’s decline in corn exports has been offset by its growth in corn flour exports. Mexico is the ninth-largest producer of corn in the world and primarily produces and exports white corn, widely prized for food around the world. Although exports have sharply declined over the period, its export markets are diversified among neighboring countries, Europe, and Africa. Except for 2015/16 and 2016/17, Venezuela has been a key destination, accounting for more than half of Mexico corn exports.2 However, Venezuela’s restrictive policies on foreign exchange, food imports, and food distribution have dampened import prospects. In contrast, Mexico’s corn flour (commonly known as masa, HS 110220) exports have trended up over the same period with the United States as the top destination. Accounting for over half of Mexican corn flour exports in 2019, U.S. consumer demand for Mexican-style corn products continues to grow, reflecting the diverse population and the popularity of ethnic foods in general.
2 In 2015, a South African drought caused Mexican corn exports to significantly grow to South Africa. While drought conditions lingered on, Kenya faced its own drought in 2016, which caused corn exports to grow to Kenya as well.
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 13 February 2020Global Market Analysis
TRADE CHANGES IN 2019/20 (1,000 MT)
Country Commodity Attribute Previous Current Change Reason
Brazil Corn Imports 1,300 1,500 200 Large shipments from Paraguay
European Union Corn Exports 2,400 2,800 400 Faster pace of trade per EU Customs Surveillance
Morocco Barley Imports 1,200 1,000 -200 Pace of trade
Paraguay Corn Exports 2,200 2,500 300 Large shipments to southern Brazil
South Africa Corn Exports 1,500 2,000 500 Greater exportable supplies
Turkey Corn Imports 2,600 3,000 400 Faster pace of trade
Ukraine Corn Exports 30,500 31,000 500 Larger crop and pace of trade
United States Corn Exports 48,000 47,000 -1,000 Slow pace of shipments
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 14 February 2020Global Market Analysis
ENDNOTES REGIONAL TABLES North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies, Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique, Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar, Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia, Taiwan South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 15 February 2020Global Market Analysis
OTHER NOTES Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2019/20 starts in 2019); except for summer grains in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second year begins the LMY (2019/20 starts in 2020). Key exporter LMY’s are:
Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Russia (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun) European Union (Jul/Jun) Ukraine (Oct/Sep) Russia (Jul/Jun) India (Apr/Mar) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) Kazakhstan (Sep/Aug) United States (Jun/May) Russia (Jul/Jun) Turkey (Jun/May) Ukraine (Jul/Jun) United States (Jun/May)
For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website (https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/): go to Reports, Reference Data, and then Data Availability. Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in time. Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however, reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only. Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year. EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union (Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through 1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10, plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00. Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 16 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries, and trade to countries outside the USDA database. The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Global Market Analysis, Foreign Agricultural Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this publication. Information is gathered from official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S. agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information. Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448. Note: For further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production February 2020. This publication is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov
Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat Jennifer Boun (202) 690-2208 [email protected] Wheat Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Wheat/Rice Jane Luxner (202) 720-8252 [email protected] Rice Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains Kevin Min (202) 720-0626 [email protected] Coarse Grains Jenny Morgan (202) 720-1743 [email protected] Coarse Grains
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 17 February 2020Global Market Analysis
DATA TABLES
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Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 18 February 2020Global Market Analysis
All Grain Summary Comparison
Million Metric Tons
Marketing Year
Wheat Rice, Milled Corn
2019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/182019/202018/192017/18
Production
United States (Jun-May) 47.4 51.3 52.3 5.7 7.1 5.9 371.1 364.3 347.8
Other 715.5 680.2 711.7 489.1 492.1 490.3 708.8 758.4 763.8
World Total 762.9 731.5 764.0 494.8 499.2 496.2 1,079.9 1,122.7 1,111.6
Domestic Consumption
United States (Jun-May) 29.3 30.0 31.7 4.3 4.6 4.2 314.0 310.5 313.6
Other 710.8 703.9 719.8 477.2 481.6 486.8 778.1 814.4 823.8
World Total 740.1 733.9 751.5 481.5 486.2 491.0 1,092.1 1,124.9 1,137.4
Ending Stocks
United States (Jun-May) 29.9 29.4 25.6 0.9 1.4 1.0 54.4 56.4 48.1
Other 253.9 248.9 262.4 161.7 173.6 177.1 286.9 264.1 248.7
World Total 283.8 278.3 288.0 162.6 175.0 178.1 341.3 320.5 296.8
TY Imports
United States (Jun-May) 4.4 3.5 2.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.3
Other 175.8 167.1 177.0 44.5 40.1 41.4 148.2 163.5 167.1
World Total 180.2 170.6 179.9 45.4 41.1 42.4 149.0 164.3 168.4
TY Exports
United States (Jun-May) 23.2 26.1 27.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 63.7 49.2 47.0
Other 160.8 149.3 155.8 44.8 40.7 42.1 89.1 122.7 126.0
World Total 184.0 175.4 183.3 47.6 43.8 45.3 152.8 171.9 173.0
Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and
exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:
Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat
only.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 19 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade
July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
13,00013,00012,68014,00012,2758,750 Argentina
8,4008,4009,83515,51222,06115,780 Australia
23,50024,00024,47622,01920,29722,099 Canada
1,1001,1001,0061,004748729 China
32,00031,00023,31023,38327,43934,760 European Union
6,0005,2008,7808,5197,2577,413 Kazakhstan
1,0001,0005261,1471,1191,568 Mexico
34,00034,00035,83841,43127,81525,546 Russia
6,8006,8006,2156,2186,1775,605 Turkey
20,50020,50016,01917,77518,10717,431 Ukraine
9,5069,73110,6189,7669,82310,246 Others
155,806154,731149,303160,774153,118149,927 Subtotal
27,50027,00026,06923,22629,31821,817 United States
183,306181,731175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total
none
TY Imports
3,0003,0003,7003,3002,7002,700 Afghanistan
7,0007,0007,5158,1728,4148,153 Algeria
6,0006,0005,1006,4725,5564,720 Bangladesh
7,5007,5007,4426,7027,7885,922 Brazil
4,0003,2003,1453,9374,4103,476 China
2,0002,0001,7031,9572,1102,032 Colombia
12,50012,50012,34712,40711,17511,925 Egypt
5,3005,3005,7625,8245,2996,928 European Union
11,00011,00010,93410,76310,19010,045 Indonesia
3,0003,0003,9154,1582,4742,248 Iraq
5,9005,9005,7265,8765,9115,715 Japan
2,3002,3002,0002,1581,7741,634 Kenya
4,1004,1003,9084,2694,6674,420 Korea, South
5,2005,2004,8615,2455,3704,805 Mexico
4,8004,8003,7243,6725,3444,496 Morocco
5,1005,1004,5855,1624,9724,410 Nigeria
2,1002,1002,1092,0301,9611,879 Peru
7,3007,3007,5466,0595,7084,919 Philippines
3,2003,2002,8983,4493,7162,931 Saudi Arabia
2,6002,6002,2222,5802,4582,022 Sudan
3,3003,1002,8993,1734,0644,691 Thailand
8,5007,8006,4945,9164,5533,979 Turkey
3,0003,0002,8373,1192,5962,662 Uzbekistan
3,5003,5003,1494,7095,5353,069 Vietnam
3,8003,8003,6753,0103,2783,332 Yemen
51,03650,83646,93451,69554,23951,676 Others
177,036175,136167,130175,814176,262164,789 Subtotal
3,3703,6954,7393,8112,8813,900 Unaccounted
2,9002,9003,5034,3753,2933,055 United States
183,306181,731175,372184,000182,436171,744 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 20 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
19,00019,00019,50018,50018,40011,300 Argentina
15,60015,60017,29820,94131,81922,275 Australia
5,2005,2005,4284,2646,7305,540 Brazil
32,35032,35032,20130,37732,14027,647 Canada
133,590133,590131,430134,334133,271132,639 China
8,7708,7708,4508,4508,1008,100 Egypt
154,000154,000136,863151,125145,369160,480 European Union
102,190102,19099,87098,51087,00086,527 India
16,80016,80014,50014,00014,50014,500 Iran
11,50011,50013,94714,80214,98513,748 Kazakhstan
25,60025,60025,10026,60025,63325,086 Pakistan
73,50073,50071,68585,16772,52961,044 Russia
19,00019,00019,00021,00017,25019,500 Turkey
29,00029,00025,05726,98126,79127,274 Ukraine
6,8006,8006,0006,9416,9406,965 Uzbekistan
58,79359,23353,81653,51251,98759,402 Others
711,693712,133680,145715,504693,444682,027 Subtotal
52,25852,25851,30647,38062,83256,117 United States
763,951764,391731,451762,884756,276738,144 World Total
none
Total Consumption
10,85010,85010,75010,45010,35010,250 Algeria
12,10012,10012,10012,00012,20011,100 Brazil
9,7009,3508,9719,02910,6717,987 Canada
128,000128,000125,000121,000119,000117,500 China
20,40020,40020,10019,80019,40019,200 Egypt
127,000127,500123,200130,400128,000129,850 European Union
98,00098,00095,62995,67797,23488,548 India
10,70010,70010,60010,60010,0009,100 Indonesia
16,40016,40016,10015,90016,25016,100 Iran
10,80010,80010,70010,50010,2009,800 Morocco
25,40025,40025,30025,00024,50024,400 Pakistan
39,50039,50040,50043,00040,00037,000 Russia
18,60018,40018,40018,20017,40018,000 Turkey
8,9008,9008,8009,80010,30012,200 Ukraine
9,6009,6009,6009,7009,3009,350 Uzbekistan
173,807173,892168,116169,829167,897160,563 Others
722,485722,664706,989712,496706,568684,112 Subtotal
31,70631,70730,02429,25031,86531,943 United States
754,191754,371737,013741,746738,433716,055 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
5,6405,3666,0406,7326,9315,178 Canada
148,255147,455139,765131,196114,92996,996 China
10,30010,80010,00013,88510,71915,490 European Union
20,70220,70216,99213,2309,80014,540 India
6,1366,1366,2368,06610,41611,166 Iran
8,2948,2947,81912,02610,8235,604 Russia
6,6546,6544,5543,9381,2893,100 Turkey
56,47156,41057,48064,85465,65866,227 Others
262,452261,817248,886253,927230,565218,301 Subtotal
25,58026,26029,38629,90732,13126,552 United States
288,032288,077278,272283,834262,696244,853 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 21 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
8,370 North America 9,169 10,071 8,842 8,550 8,550
1,832 Central America 1,995 1,910 1,911 2,015 2,015
13,419 South America 16,277 15,325 14,923 15,630 15,630
6,928 European Union - 28 5,299 5,824 5,762 5,300 5,300
1,896 Other Europe 2,047 1,931 1,905 1,910 1,910
7,166 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,035 7,862 7,828 7,860 7,960
24,141 Middle East 22,814 25,163 24,529 26,130 26,830
27,866 North Africa 28,426 27,441 26,949 27,400 27,400
22,724 Sub-Saharan Africa 22,089 25,412 22,196 25,945 26,045
16,225 East Asia 17,356 16,599 15,087 15,625 16,425
8,823 South Asia 15,565 11,932 9,960 10,121 10,121
25,307 Southeast Asia 28,219 27,255 27,381 27,735 27,935
3,147 Others 3,264 3,464 3,360 3,815 3,815
167,844 Total 179,555 180,189 170,633 178,036 179,936
Production none
87,475 North America 98,837 81,251 86,507 87,908 87,823
21,584 South America 28,737 26,202 28,829 28,081 28,081
160,480 European Union - 28 145,369 151,125 136,863 154,000 154,000
4,324 Other Europe 4,737 4,005 4,510 4,445 4,445
117,674 Former Soviet Union - 12 130,047 142,307 123,983 129,875 130,020
42,406 Middle East 38,814 41,560 39,365 46,480 46,480
19,987 North Africa 13,958 19,245 21,000 18,870 18,470
7,694 Sub-Saharan Africa 7,743 7,718 8,296 7,818 7,718
133,972 East Asia 134,738 135,645 132,823 135,007 135,007
119,660 South Asia 120,837 132,344 131,476 135,796 135,796
22,689 Oceania 32,278 21,346 17,668 16,010 16,010
199 Others 181 136 131 101 101
738,144 Total 756,276 762,884 731,451 764,391 763,951
Domestic Consumption none
46,930 North America 50,436 45,979 46,495 48,557 48,906
27,715 South America 28,565 29,008 28,820 29,225 29,325
129,850 European Union - 28 128,000 130,400 123,200 127,500 127,000
4,920 Other Europe 5,035 5,010 5,240 5,180 5,180
77,415 Former Soviet Union - 12 78,185 81,290 76,785 76,750 76,550
58,427 Middle East 58,517 59,655 59,739 62,080 62,280
43,666 North Africa 44,550 45,225 46,150 46,750 46,750
29,037 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,712 31,917 30,372 32,505 32,505
130,782 East Asia 132,915 134,401 138,081 141,120 141,120
129,112 South Asia 139,258 138,139 138,450 141,187 141,127
22,955 Southeast Asia 26,725 26,385 26,325 26,600 26,675
8,500 Oceania 8,835 8,905 10,600 10,165 10,165
3,582 Others 3,834 3,821 3,633 3,880 3,880
712,891 Total 734,567 740,135 733,890 751,499 751,463
Ending Stocks none
32,390 North America 39,938 37,407 36,029 32,229 31,738
3,956 South America 4,688 4,113 4,887 5,022 4,922
15,490 European Union - 28 10,719 13,885 10,000 10,800 10,300
1,632 Other Europe 2,002 1,945 1,919 2,139 2,139
16,982 Former Soviet Union - 12 21,438 21,177 15,190 15,572 15,120
22,614 Middle East 19,587 19,701 16,812 20,272 20,272
16,848 North Africa 14,277 14,864 15,471 13,990 13,606
3,830 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,000 3,378 2,728 3,031 3,031
100,357 East Asia 118,154 134,301 142,408 150,110 150,910
20,826 South Asia 16,530 21,116 21,537 24,828 25,237
5,379 Southeast Asia 5,920 5,694 5,662 5,209 5,882
4,133 Oceania 6,005 5,856 5,230 4,455 4,455
416 Others 438 397 399 420 420
244,853 Total 262,696 283,834 278,272 288,077 288,032
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 22 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rice Trade
January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
330330388375391527 Argentina
5005009531,245594641 Brazil
2,6002,6002,5002,7503,3501,300 Burma
1,4001,4001,3501,3001,1501,050 Cambodia
3,4003,5002,7202,0591,173368 China
300300300308372270 European Union
510510496414455431 Guyana
11,50012,00010,00011,79112,57310,062 India
4,4004,4004,6003,9133,6474,100 Pakistan
600700689653538556 Paraguay
140140150139175198 Russia
125125111113109145 South Africa
7,5007,5007,56211,05611,6159,867 Thailand
800800816799982996 Uruguay
7,0007,0006,8506,5906,4885,088 Vietnam
9971,0091,1371,3611,1491,269 Others
42,10242,81440,62244,86644,76136,868 Subtotal
3,2253,1753,1352,7803,3493,343 United States
45,32745,98943,75747,64648,11040,211 World Total
none
TY Imports
635635625625550450 Benin
900900770537758786 Brazil
620620600550500420 Burkina
725725700650600500 Cameroon
2,3002,3002,6004,5005,9004,600 China
1,4501,4501,4001,5001,3501,300 Cote d'Ivoire
600600460499429546 Cuba
2,2002,0502,1501,9221,9901,816 European Union
950950950830650700 Ghana
650900500865600650 Guinea
1,0001,0005002,3503501,050 Indonesia
1,0501,1501,2001,2501,4001,100 Iran
1,1501,1501,2001,2001,060930 Iraq
685685678670679685 Japan
700800575600625500 Kenya
1,0001,0001,000800900823 Malaysia
785785730776913731 Mexico
730730620550710625 Mozambique
800800600700535530 Nepal
1,8001,8001,8002,1002,5002,100 Nigeria
2,5002,7002,9002,5001,200800 Philippines
1,3751,3751,3501,2901,1951,260 Saudi Arabia
1,2001,2001,1001,1001,100980 Senegal
1,0501,0509661,0711,054958 South Africa
925925850775700670 United Arab Emirates
13,56813,66113,33814,32215,73811,364 Others
41,34841,94140,16244,53243,98636,874 Subtotal
2,9543,0932,6142,1983,3372,570 Unaccounted
1,025955981916787767 United States
45,32745,98943,75747,64648,11040,211 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 23 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Milled Production
35,85035,85034,90932,65034,57834,500 Bangladesh
7,1407,1407,1408,2048,3837,210 Brazil
13,30013,30013,17513,20012,65012,160 Burma
5,6885,6885,7425,5545,2564,931 Cambodia
146,730146,730148,490148,873147,766148,499 China
4,3004,3002,8004,3004,8004,000 Egypt
115,000115,000116,420112,760109,698104,408 India
36,50036,50036,70037,00036,85836,200 Indonesia
7,8007,8007,6577,7877,9297,876 Japan
3,7443,7443,8683,9724,1974,327 Korea, South
4,9004,9004,7884,7254,5363,941 Nigeria
7,5007,5007,3007,5006,8496,802 Pakistan
12,00012,00011,73212,23511,68611,008 Philippines
18,50018,50020,34020,57719,20015,800 Thailand
28,30028,30027,76727,65727,40027,584 Vietnam
43,10043,55043,24742,17342,09341,361 Others
490,352490,802492,075489,167483,879470,607 Subtotal
5,8645,8647,1075,6597,1176,131 United States
496,216496,666499,182494,826490,996476,738 World Total
none
Consumption and Residual
35,80035,80035,40035,20035,00035,100 Bangladesh
7,5007,5007,4707,7507,8507,900 Brazil
10,55010,55010,40010,20010,00010,400 Burma
4,3004,3004,3004,2004,0003,900 Cambodia
142,930143,000142,720142,509141,761141,028 China
4,3504,3504,1504,2004,3003,900 Egypt
102,500102,50099,10098,66995,83893,451 India
37,70037,70038,10038,10037,80037,850 Indonesia
8,4008,4008,5008,6008,7308,806 Japan
4,4004,4004,5884,7464,4354,212 Korea, South
4,2804,2804,3603,9804,0103,353 Nepal
7,0007,0007,0006,9006,7006,400 Nigeria
14,40014,40014,10013,25012,90012,900 Philippines
11,70011,50011,80011,00012,0009,100 Thailand
21,50021,50021,35021,50022,00022,500 Vietnam
69,46570,10568,27566,41065,47062,905 Others
488,902489,778482,182477,863479,257465,847 Subtotal
4,2244,2234,5654,2984,2303,590 United States
493,126494,001486,747482,161483,487469,437 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
1,5111,5111,4051,5008541,205 Bangladesh
118,000117,250115,000109,00098,50088,000 China
30,80030,20029,50022,60020,55018,400 India
3,0593,0593,2614,1632,9153,509 Indonesia
1,9712,0251,9512,2232,4102,552 Japan
3,7203,7903,5202,2882,0032,117 Philippines
3,7873,6494,2373,0094,2388,403 Thailand
14,28914,65814,70216,84916,96816,730 Others
177,137176,142173,576161,632148,438140,916 Subtotal
9539091,4249331,4621,475 United States
178,090177,051175,000162,565149,900142,391 World Total
Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 24 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
1,854 North America 2,056 2,075 2,111 2,140 2,210
1,109 Caribbean 1,153 1,068 1,083 1,257 1,257
2,015 South America 1,900 1,969 1,944 2,209 2,209
138 Other Europe 124 111 130 130 130
454 Former Soviet Union - 12 538 537 555 585 537
5,686 Middle East 6,234 6,444 6,540 6,560 6,460
483 North Africa 459 598 1,067 725 600
12,183 Sub-Saharan Africa 14,334 14,385 13,856 15,335 14,885
6,097 East Asia 7,487 6,024 4,235 3,925 4,065
945 South Asia 4,057 2,635 974 1,160 1,210
3,911 Southeast Asia 3,666 6,797 5,650 5,780 5,570
1,816 European Union 1,990 1,922 2,150 2,050 2,200
37,641 Total 44,773 45,448 41,143 42,896 42,373
Production none
6,287 North America 7,292 5,842 7,297 6,064 6,039
851 Caribbean 989 932 963 918 918
15,763 South America 16,790 16,825 15,508 15,449 15,423
2,050 European Union - 28 2,087 2,030 1,958 2,003 1,968
1,257 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,259 1,225 1,275 1,290 1,291
2,160 Middle East 2,549 2,743 2,623 2,903 2,903
4,044 North Africa 4,837 4,340 2,844 4,339 4,339
16,192 Sub-Saharan Africa 17,469 17,423 18,603 18,783 18,783
163,729 East Asia 162,710 163,567 162,556 160,770 160,770
152,133 South Asia 156,871 158,688 165,832 165,317 164,977
111,409 Southeast Asia 116,821 120,044 118,962 118,164 118,164
476,738 Total 490,996 494,826 499,182 496,666 496,216
Domestic Consumption none
4,817 North America 5,499 5,576 5,872 5,533 5,534
1,276 Central America 1,295 1,321 1,334 1,396 1,358
1,980 Caribbean 2,079 1,957 2,083 2,145 2,095
14,990 South America 14,894 15,015 14,870 14,855 14,875
3,550 European Union - 28 3,600 3,700 3,800 3,795 3,900
1,495 Former Soviet Union - 12 1,566 1,587 1,584 1,650 1,603
8,352 Middle East 8,669 9,099 9,275 9,560 9,490
4,279 North Africa 4,724 4,620 4,551 4,814 4,789
28,179 Sub-Saharan Africa 30,568 31,124 32,569 33,877 33,382
157,483 East Asia 158,111 158,948 158,873 158,730 158,800
138,570 South Asia 141,556 144,599 145,710 149,567 149,387
101,770 Southeast Asia 103,895 103,424 105,131 105,076 105,276
467,295 Total 477,024 481,512 486,178 491,508 490,999
Ending Stocks none
1,602 North America 1,634 1,084 1,563 1,100 1,117
318 Central America 348 302 281 262 250
277 Caribbean 330 363 379 388 399
1,781 South America 2,047 2,043 1,506 1,517 1,498
1,183 European Union - 28 1,188 1,176 1,182 1,085 1,150
1,082 Middle East 1,129 1,129 966 870 864
924 North Africa 1,426 1,563 999 1,243 1,049
2,814 Sub-Saharan Africa 3,216 3,135 2,907 2,633 2,623
92,626 East Asia 103,262 113,388 118,639 120,738 121,404
21,576 South Asia 23,171 25,840 32,345 33,022 33,516
17,959 Southeast Asia 11,774 12,189 14,026 13,975 14,002
77 Oceania 208 217 41 27 27
142,391 Total 149,900 162,565 175,000 177,051 178,090
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 25 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Coarse Grain Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
36,90536,90536,07627,06426,10525,291 Argentina
4,1604,1604,0497,15610,2586,389 Australia
39,51039,51038,95325,12119,79735,415 Brazil
5,7505,7605,8055,7535,0424,693 Canada
9,6309,2309,8067,8288,19210,979 European Union
2,5152,2152,5741,4851,7602,663 Paraguay
11,46511,4657,40211,3799,2588,465 Russia
2,2712,2712,9068782,4491,594 Serbia
2,0051,5051,1902,3681,820775 South Africa
36,16035,63534,87421,39226,86821,456 Ukraine
7,8207,8188,2769,9668,8818,365 Others
158,191156,474151,911120,390120,430126,085 Subtotal
50,15051,12551,80468,64461,82259,178 United States
208,341207,599203,715189,034182,252185,263 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,6204,6205,2844,4924,5335,224 Algeria
1,4001,4001,3581,1451,1861,036 Bangladesh
2,2502,0501,7971,5273,1772,123 Brazil
2,7202,7202,4142,0001,5801,721 Chile
14,60014,60010,54016,42516,05517,499 China
6,6056,6056,3945,5825,0414,824 Colombia
1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic
9,9209,9209,5689,5418,7958,795 Egypt
21,80521,80526,66419,32315,63314,490 European Union
1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala
13,20013,20012,30011,60010,0008,300 Iran
2,3402,3401,8982,1451,9401,509 Israel
17,77017,77017,72617,58017,00017,073 Japan
1,9501,9501,6661,4221,5881,713 Jordan
1,4501,4502591,0411,146258 Kenya
10,91010,91010,96410,1929,30810,213 Korea, South
4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia
18,40018,35017,46516,39615,28314,827 Mexico
4,0024,2023,0292,6482,6323,182 Morocco
3,7603,7603,8023,4583,4383,083 Peru
12,51012,5109,86811,69211,82513,992 Saudi Arabia
4,4004,4004,6104,5134,2674,781 Taiwan
1,6001,6001,4181,6351,7451,713 Tunisia
3,7053,3053,2543,3131,712714 Turkey
11,65011,65011,1339,5778,6618,179 Vietnam
20,97220,97921,99219,44222,25124,251 Others
199,439198,996191,837182,754174,572176,000 Subtotal
5,5015,2029,2543,3544,2665,282 Unaccounted
3,4013,4012,6242,9263,4143,981 United States
208,341207,599203,715189,034182,252185,263 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 26 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
57,50957,61959,22339,32048,56938,436 Argentina
9,9619,96110,93412,19117,26712,550 Australia
104,349104,349104,33485,058101,57568,649 Brazil
28,55528,55526,19426,24326,62325,769 Canada
268,195268,195264,512265,719269,895271,076 China
17,00017,00016,70016,68015,64115,731 Ethiopia
159,040159,040148,185152,104152,829152,665 European Union
45,95045,95042,97146,94343,46638,698 India
12,70012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia
30,60030,60033,39933,19133,26232,378 Mexico
19,90019,90019,91918,85920,65719,052 Nigeria
40,77040,77034,99841,71540,76537,427 Russia
15,02814,52812,39313,55218,1178,658 South Africa
14,45114,45113,25112,27110,77614,181 Turkey
46,43046,04044,50334,07139,21733,387 Ukraine
171,075170,955174,176167,135167,061157,493 Others
1,041,5131,040,6131,017,692976,9521,016,620936,650 Subtotal
361,188361,188377,905384,387402,607367,007 United States
1,402,7011,401,8011,395,5971,361,3391,419,2271,303,657 World Total
none
Domestic Consumption
19,34919,44918,34117,61316,04414,218 Argentina
70,50270,00269,38367,18164,03259,823 Brazil
23,42523,42524,13723,20021,97120,909 Canada
293,950293,950287,370282,598274,640249,620 China
17,75817,75817,13616,77916,02715,803 Egypt
17,02517,02516,77516,60315,64215,715 Ethiopia
168,520168,520168,570162,370160,840157,150 European Union
46,12046,11544,62144,76942,37540,201 India
17,82017,82016,52015,82014,52014,020 Iran
18,07118,07117,87517,65917,25217,258 Japan
51,14051,04050,50548,41046,84544,715 Mexico
20,20020,20020,16919,55020,30318,990 Nigeria
28,94028,94027,36731,01532,07529,715 Russia
17,96117,56116,45115,23112,89114,021 Turkey
15,55015,55014,13313,67713,05012,279 Vietnam
272,438272,304266,928261,746259,866250,697 Others
1,097,0441,096,3441,095,9801,051,6671,054,933957,900 Subtotal
326,496325,099323,045324,407327,519312,598 United States
1,423,5401,421,4431,419,0251,376,0741,382,4521,270,498 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
6,0846,0944,8243,5046,6983,268 Argentina
4,6774,9774,9409,67214,4927,010 Brazil
3,7543,7443,3424,5675,5624,971 Canada
199,377199,377210,592222,978223,494212,295 China
16,32616,47513,53116,33215,11415,651 European Union
3,0233,0085,7636,1815,9995,835 Mexico
2,3622,3472,1172,9093,9421,323 South Africa
39,48239,98841,88646,83248,16050,389 Others
275,085276,010286,995312,975323,461300,742 Subtotal
51,54251,69160,47157,91962,16848,112 United States
326,627327,701347,466370,894385,629348,854 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 27 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
19,914 North America 19,475 21,159 22,761 22,783 22,833
3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,550
2,597 Caribbean 2,659 2,446 2,529 2,640 2,640
13,855 South America 15,087 14,830 15,602 16,480 16,700
14,490 European Union - 28 15,633 19,323 26,664 21,805 21,805
546 Former Soviet Union - 12 827 700 1,025 886 878
29,735 Middle East 30,541 33,556 32,034 36,566 36,966
20,819 North Africa 19,468 19,246 20,876 21,592 21,392
6,057 Sub-Saharan Africa 6,667 3,223 3,454 5,266 5,266
49,600 East Asia 46,723 48,757 43,903 47,730 47,730
15,395 Southeast Asia 14,169 15,529 17,638 18,375 18,375
3,035 Others 2,938 2,910 3,623 3,724 3,705
179,981 Total 177,986 185,680 194,461 202,397 202,840
Production none
425,154 North America 462,492 443,821 437,498 420,343 420,343
122,022 South America 164,208 138,829 178,069 176,514 176,374
152,665 European Union - 28 152,829 152,104 148,185 159,040 159,040
9,294 Other Europe 11,535 7,245 10,322 10,384 10,384
82,805 Former Soviet Union - 12 92,908 88,900 92,921 100,540 101,230
21,738 Middle East 19,047 19,400 19,565 24,183 24,183
12,269 North Africa 9,163 11,463 13,257 11,334 11,534
103,781 Sub-Saharan Africa 121,034 118,783 121,389 116,783 117,283
273,808 East Asia 272,535 268,381 267,226 270,927 270,927
50,626 South Asia 56,497 59,976 56,553 60,372 60,372
31,988 Southeast Asia 34,006 34,740 34,334 36,073 35,723
13,242 Oceania 17,884 12,700 11,524 10,584 10,584
4,265 Others 5,089 4,997 4,754 4,724 4,724
1,303,657 Total 1,419,227 1,361,339 1,395,597 1,401,801 1,402,701
Domestic Consumption none
378,222 North America 396,335 396,017 397,687 399,564 401,061
98,447 South America 104,336 110,691 113,906 116,230 116,700
157,150 European Union - 28 160,840 162,370 168,570 168,520 168,520
8,575 Other Europe 9,050 7,890 8,230 8,586 8,561
53,652 Former Soviet Union - 12 56,546 54,676 50,258 51,898 51,983
51,831 Middle East 51,015 53,349 52,988 59,316 59,716
31,981 North Africa 31,040 31,665 32,607 33,565 33,565
108,904 Sub-Saharan Africa 118,342 118,888 123,922 122,040 122,040
283,996 East Asia 308,094 317,296 323,389 330,209 330,209
53,847 South Asia 56,578 60,415 60,352 62,714 62,720
43,988 Southeast Asia 45,579 47,407 48,083 51,105 51,108
6,435 Oceania 6,760 6,482 7,594 6,916 6,916
10,704 Others 11,377 11,482 11,740 12,166 12,166
1,287,732 Total 1,355,892 1,378,628 1,399,326 1,422,829 1,425,265
Ending Stocks none
58,918 North America 73,729 68,667 69,576 58,443 58,319
13,619 South America 24,304 16,675 12,339 13,755 13,223
15,651 European Union - 28 15,114 16,332 13,531 16,475 16,326
963 Other Europe 1,713 886 958 1,269 1,264
6,303 Former Soviet Union - 12 6,870 5,838 5,043 5,108 5,195
9,156 Middle East 6,232 6,701 5,238 6,441 6,441
5,982 North Africa 3,715 3,321 3,798 3,429 3,429
10,488 Sub-Saharan Africa 13,988 13,426 12,138 9,752 9,767
216,657 East Asia 227,633 227,443 215,108 203,496 203,496
3,101 South Asia 4,185 4,981 2,961 2,760 2,760
5,157 Southeast Asia 3,990 2,913 3,099 3,582 3,257
1,619 Oceania 2,746 2,391 2,428 2,209 2,168
1,240 Others 1,410 1,320 1,249 982 982
348,854 Total 385,629 370,894 347,466 327,701 326,627
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 28 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Corn Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
33,50033,50032,87924,19822,95121,679 Argentina
39,50039,50038,91425,11619,79435,382 Brazil
1,4001,4001,4001,3501,5001,050 Burma
1,3001,3001,7191,9731,5441,767 Canada
2,8002,4003,6291,7492,1891,953 European Union
2,5002,2002,5591,4761,7572,662 Paraguay
5,7005,7002,7705,5325,5894,691 Russia
2,2002,2002,8368192,4141,560 Serbia
2,0001,5001,1832,3611,816759 South Africa
31,00030,50030,32118,03621,33416,595 Ukraine
4,0604,0554,5276,4735,7546,079 Others
125,960124,255122,73789,08386,64294,177 Subtotal
47,00048,00049,19463,66855,61851,056 United States
172,960172,255171,931152,751142,260145,233 World Total
none
TY Imports
4,5004,5004,8164,0463,9894,329 Algeria
1,4001,4001,3581,1451,1811,036 Bangladesh
1,5001,3001,1899432,4391,566 Brazil
1,0001,0002,6231,767686958 Canada
2,6002,6002,2921,8931,4841,539 Chile
7,0007,0004,4833,4562,4643,174 China
6,2006,2006,0485,2014,7544,458 Colombia
1,5001,5001,5361,3291,2941,351 Dominican Republic
9,9009,9009,3679,4648,7738,722 Egypt
21,00021,00025,20918,46514,97314,008 European Union
1,4001,4001,2241,0919511,027 Guatemala
10,00010,0009,0008,9007,8006,600 Iran
2,0002,0001,6111,8611,5391,156 Israel
16,00016,00016,04715,66815,16915,204 Japan
1,3001,3001509001,000200 Kenya
10,80010,80010,85610,0189,22010,121 Korea, South
4,0004,0003,6743,6453,5314,122 Malaysia
17,50017,50016,65816,12914,61413,957 Mexico
3,0003,0002,7282,2832,2212,224 Morocco
3,6003,6003,6943,4023,2692,985 Peru
4,0004,0003,6623,9833,4213,583 Saudi Arabia
4,3004,3004,5084,4104,1634,656 Taiwan
1,1001,1009319611,2441,017 Tunisia
3,0002,6002,9322,7151,421567 Turkey
11,50011,50011,0009,4008,5008,100 Vietnam
17,00217,02515,91215,13117,88019,748 Others
167,102166,525163,508148,206137,980136,408 Subtotal
4,5584,4307,6263,7072,8297,043 Unaccounted
1,3001,3007978381,4511,782 United States
172,960172,255171,931152,751142,260145,233 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 29 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
50,00050,00051,00032,00041,00029,500 Argentina
101,000101,000101,00082,00098,50067,000 Brazil
13,40013,40013,88514,09513,88913,680 Canada
260,770260,770257,330259,071263,613264,992 China
8,4008,4008,3508,4007,8477,882 Ethiopia
65,00065,00064,44062,00761,88458,748 European Union
29,00029,00027,23028,75325,90022,567 India
12,70012,70012,00011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia
25,00025,00027,60027,56927,57525,971 Mexico
11,00011,00011,00010,42011,54810,562 Nigeria
8,1008,1007,6088,0848,0876,966 Philippines
14,50014,50011,41513,20115,30513,168 Russia
6,7506,7507,0004,0007,6006,000 Serbia
14,50014,00011,80013,10417,5518,214 South Africa
35,80035,50035,80524,11527,96923,333 Ukraine
107,883107,933111,000110,084103,656100,456 Others
763,803763,053758,463708,803742,824669,539 Subtotal
347,782347,782364,262371,096384,778345,506 United States
1,111,5851,110,8351,122,7251,079,8991,127,6021,015,045 World Total
none
Total Consumption
15,00015,00013,80012,40011,2009,300 Argentina
66,50066,00065,40063,50060,50057,500 Brazil
13,50013,50015,15813,98512,94912,029 Canada
279,000279,000274,000263,000255,000229,000 China
16,70016,70016,20015,90015,10014,850 Egypt
82,50082,50088,00076,50074,00073,500 European Union
29,00029,00028,30026,70024,90023,550 India
13,40013,40012,90012,40012,30012,100 Indonesia
11,40011,40010,3009,8009,3008,800 Iran
16,10016,10016,00015,60015,20015,200 Japan
10,90010,90010,85010,0009,43510,123 Korea, South
44,50044,50044,10042,50040,40037,300 Mexico
11,40011,40011,30011,10011,40010,600 Nigeria
12,30012,30012,20012,23012,66310,970 South Africa
15,40015,40014,00013,50012,90012,200 Vietnam
186,259185,784181,939179,045171,668165,840 Others
821,639821,106833,064776,418773,905683,790 Subtotal
313,578312,308310,472313,981313,828298,845 United States
1,135,2171,133,4141,143,5361,090,3991,087,733982,635 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
5,1175,1173,6122,4075,2731,448 Argentina
4,2804,5804,5809,28014,0196,769 Brazil
199,069199,069210,319222,525223,017212,017 China
8,5408,7327,8409,8207,5976,929 European Union
1,9061,9061,9311,8481,7571,936 Korea, South
2,3892,3895,0895,6495,4095,159 Mexico
2,0722,0721,7722,6723,6951,096 South Africa
25,39525,87628,91432,71032,75832,432 Others
248,768249,741264,057286,911293,525267,786 Subtotal
48,06748,06756,41054,36758,25344,123 United States
296,835297,808320,467341,278351,778311,909 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 30 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
16,697 North America 16,751 18,734 20,078 19,800 19,800
3,938 Central America 3,799 4,001 4,352 4,550 4,550
12,462 South America 13,719 13,567 14,317 14,955 15,155
14,008 European Union - 28 14,973 18,465 25,209 21,000 21,000
356 Former Soviet Union - 12 367 440 588 455 457
14,890 Middle East 16,944 20,417 19,824 21,600 22,000
16,873 North Africa 16,906 17,246 18,531 19,100 19,100
5,408 Sub-Saharan Africa 5,902 2,416 2,714 4,353 4,353
33,189 East Asia 31,109 33,599 35,957 38,150 38,150
15,281 Southeast Asia 13,968 15,183 17,263 18,005 18,005
2,597 Caribbean 2,657 2,446 2,527 2,640 2,640
2,491 Others 2,336 2,530 2,945 3,217 3,192
138,190 Total 139,431 149,044 164,305 167,825 168,402
Production none
385,157 North America 426,242 412,760 405,747 386,182 386,182
108,879 South America 150,860 125,744 163,963 162,876 162,876
58,748 European Union - 28 61,884 62,007 64,440 65,000 65,000
7,447 Other Europe 9,452 5,376 8,663 8,370 8,370
40,267 Former Soviet Union - 12 47,988 42,272 52,556 54,935 55,535
7,789 Middle East 7,283 7,028 7,457 8,012 8,012
6,096 North Africa 6,130 6,523 6,951 6,521 6,521
63,836 Sub-Saharan Africa 75,025 76,337 74,316 72,727 73,227
267,431 East Asia 265,949 261,417 259,739 263,177 263,177
33,218 South Asia 37,764 40,797 39,894 42,321 42,321
3,336 Central America 3,911 3,878 3,598 3,598 3,598
31,693 Southeast Asia 33,716 34,450 34,044 35,783 35,433
1,148 Others 1,398 1,310 1,357 1,333 1,333
1,015,045 Total 1,127,602 1,079,899 1,122,725 1,110,835 1,111,585
Domestic Consumption none
348,174 North America 367,177 370,466 369,730 370,308 371,578
87,971 South America 92,928 98,348 102,256 104,580 105,130
73,500 European Union - 28 74,000 76,500 88,000 82,500 82,500
6,542 Other Europe 6,947 5,857 6,300 6,485 6,460
19,687 Former Soviet Union - 12 20,681 19,265 19,662 18,893 18,943
23,522 Middle East 24,513 27,036 27,243 29,290 29,690
22,990 North Africa 23,290 24,400 24,600 26,000 26,000
68,187 Sub-Saharan Africa 72,597 75,298 76,709 76,771 76,771
260,967 East Asia 286,087 295,227 307,806 312,950 312,950
35,634 South Asia 37,897 41,226 43,072 44,445 44,445
43,584 Southeast Asia 45,097 46,777 47,419 50,450 50,450
7,180 Central America 7,540 7,830 8,070 8,340 8,340
3,769 Others 3,989 3,911 4,052 4,180 4,180
1,001,707 Total 1,062,743 1,092,141 1,124,919 1,135,192 1,137,437
Ending Stocks none
51,732 North America 66,236 62,433 63,479 52,036 52,036
11,256 South America 22,066 14,827 10,441 12,012 11,492
6,929 European Union - 28 7,597 9,820 7,840 8,732 8,540
849 Other Europe 1,464 689 775 1,050 1,045
2,638 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,110 2,490 2,195 2,010 2,079
2,729 Middle East 2,325 2,675 2,543 2,675 2,675
2,988 North Africa 2,555 2,462 2,505 2,116 2,116
7,967 Sub-Saharan Africa 11,019 11,224 9,602 7,761 7,761
215,956 East Asia 226,775 226,575 214,439 202,796 202,796
2,388 South Asia 3,149 3,767 2,222 1,978 1,978
5,151 Southeast Asia 3,979 2,902 3,088 3,571 3,246
889 Central America 1,056 1,060 988 781 781
437 Others 447 354 350 290 290
311,909 Total 351,778 341,278 320,467 297,808 296,835
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 31 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Barley Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
3,2003,2003,0012,5372,6962,836 Argentina
3,8003,8003,6666,0889,1925,401 Australia
2,5002,5002,2691,8681,8091,147 Canada
6,5006,5005,8775,8575,6838,644 European Union
1,8001,8001,7621,411821776 Kazakhstan
6060538514859 Moldova
5,6005,6004,3205,6613,6263,735 Russia
707067573333 Serbia
5,0005,0004,4073,1885,3374,673 Ukraine
100100621211142 Uruguay
585837313452 Others
28,68828,68825,52126,79529,49027,398 Subtotal
11590101102125161 United States
28,80328,77825,62226,89729,61527,559 World Total
none
TY Imports
150150210541137 Belarus
750750608584737551 Brazil
6,5006,5005,1818,1448,1045,869 China
350350341324286301 Colombia
500500553231447315 European Union
2002002588932567 India
3,2003,2003,3002,7002,2001,700 Iran
300300236234376319 Israel
1,2001,2001,1581,2531,1971,154 Japan
1,1001,100928788759902 Jordan
400400474521569511 Kuwait
200200156199262132 Lebanon
6506508884381,0841,324 Libya
1,0001,200299363407958 Morocco
1501501085616998 Peru
8,5008,5006,2007,7008,40010,400 Saudi Arabia
2002002061472119 Thailand
500500487674501696 Tunisia
700700322598291146 Turkey
500500476263501668 United Arab Emirates
1,0209491,6211,3911,8061,944 Others
28,07028,19924,01026,75128,55528,081 Subtotal
5834291,478-24843-874 Unaccounted
150150134170217352 United States
28,80328,77825,62226,89729,61527,559 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 32 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
2,0502,0501,9509681,0001,300 Algeria
4,6004,7005,0603,7403,3004,940 Argentina
8,2008,2008,3109,25413,5068,993 Australia
1,4001,4009441,4201,2531,849 Belarus
10,40010,4008,3807,8918,8398,257 Canada
2,3002,3002,2002,0322,0252,047 Ethiopia
62,75062,75055,94758,65459,86662,095 European Union
1,7501,7501,7811,7471,4381,613 India
3,6003,6002,8003,1003,7243,200 Iran
1,6001,6007809751,5501,550 Iraq
3,9003,9003,9713,3053,2312,675 Kazakhstan
20,00020,00016,73720,21117,54717,083 Russia
2,0002,000400777720637 Syria
7,9007,9007,0006,4004,7507,400 Turkey
9,5009,5007,6048,6959,8748,751 Ukraine
10,47710,30711,46610,81510,12912,317 Others
152,427152,357135,330139,984142,752144,707 Subtotal
3,6923,6923,3433,1194,3534,750 United States
156,119156,049138,673143,103147,105149,457 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,1002,1002,0001,8502,0502,150 Algeria
1,6001,7001,5001,4001,1001,400 Argentina
4,5004,5004,5003,7003,5003,300 Australia
7,4007,4006,5006,7996,7606,960 Canada
7,4007,4006,2009,3009,2007,500 China
2,3252,3252,2252,2252,0251,990 Ethiopia
55,30055,30051,60054,00055,10051,400 European Union
2,0002,0001,9001,9501,6501,520 India
6,4006,4006,2006,0005,2005,200 Iran
2,2002,2002,1502,1502,2002,000 Kazakhstan
2,4002,4002,9002,8002,4003,200 Morocco
14,10014,10012,20014,50014,70013,700 Russia
8,5258,5257,0258,5259,82510,225 Saudi Arabia
8,5008,5007,5006,7005,5006,900 Turkey
4,5004,5004,1004,5004,9004,300 Ukraine
19,91419,79317,19016,92119,04019,098 Others
149,225149,118136,710142,709146,140142,901 Subtotal
3,7233,7233,5373,4664,3754,408 United States
152,948152,841140,247146,175150,515147,309 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
9409407905178771,291 Algeria
1,7991,8361,8991,7761,8841,068 Australia
1,3971,3978771,2502,1201,523 Canada
5,7655,7164,2154,6275,4215,924 European Union
990990640750839729 Russia
1,2991,2991,3141,8292,3444,059 Saudi Arabia
1,1151,1151,1101,1491,2371,609 Ukraine
5,7595,7375,0825,4305,4197,441 Others
19,06419,03015,92717,32820,14123,644 Subtotal
1,9181,9401,8842,0572,3162,223 United States
20,98220,97017,81119,38522,45725,867 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 33 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
615 North America 293 227 254 220 270
1,133 South America 1,277 1,082 1,167 1,310 1,330
315 European Union - 28 447 231 553 500 500
81 Other Europe 124 80 175 98 98
162 Former Soviet Union - 12 442 229 395 375 375
14,798 Middle East 13,563 13,077 12,152 14,910 14,910
3,914 North Africa 2,542 1,990 2,342 2,470 2,270
40 Sub-Saharan Africa 112 49 43 40 40
7,136 East Asia 9,413 9,499 6,441 7,825 7,825
134 South Asia 346 114 269 226 227
7 Oceania 31 19 14 25 25
28,433 Total 28,772 26,921 24,144 28,349 28,220
Production none
13,742 North America 14,170 12,015 12,719 15,102 15,102
5,925 South America 4,714 4,815 6,427 6,184 6,054
62,095 European Union - 28 59,866 58,654 55,947 62,750 62,750
1,258 Other Europe 1,451 1,290 1,253 1,407 1,407
32,491 Former Soviet Union - 12 34,150 35,527 31,175 36,774 36,774
12,880 Middle East 10,831 11,333 11,061 15,183 15,183
5,266 North Africa 2,156 4,041 5,378 3,908 4,108
2,549 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,562 2,537 2,822 2,835 2,835
1,700 East Asia 1,492 1,397 1,258 1,221 1,221
2,121 South Asia 1,843 1,942 1,945 2,105 2,105
9,430 Oceania 13,870 9,552 8,688 8,580 8,580
149,457 Total 147,105 143,103 138,673 156,049 156,119
Domestic Consumption none
12,293 North America 12,085 11,275 11,087 12,223 12,323
3,523 South America 3,467 3,742 3,963 4,297 4,217
51,400 European Union - 28 55,100 54,000 51,600 55,300 55,300
1,373 Other Europe 1,451 1,354 1,343 1,398 1,398
23,861 Former Soviet Union - 12 25,442 24,556 21,652 24,410 24,410
27,160 Middle East 25,523 25,226 24,637 28,977 28,977
8,053 North Africa 6,847 6,359 7,076 6,638 6,638
2,565 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,615 2,753 2,790 2,940 2,940
9,082 East Asia 10,846 10,934 7,777 9,050 9,050
2,093 South Asia 2,078 2,213 2,078 2,383 2,384
3,750 Oceania 3,900 4,050 4,885 4,900 4,900
145,251 Total 149,525 146,786 139,227 152,866 152,887
Ending Stocks none
4,132 North America 4,851 3,722 3,123 3,694 3,687
1,128 South America 835 696 1,073 892 890
5,924 European Union - 28 5,421 4,627 4,215 5,716 5,765
79 Other Europe 167 135 133 168 168
2,971 Former Soviet Union - 12 2,952 2,556 2,380 2,662 2,660
6,392 Middle East 3,887 3,996 2,665 3,741 3,741
2,945 North Africa 1,106 802 1,236 1,256 1,256
436 Sub-Saharan Africa 488 308 383 303 318
445 East Asia 504 466 388 384 384
275 South Asia 293 253 269 262 262
1,140 Oceania 1,942 1,813 1,935 1,881 1,840
25,867 Total 22,457 19,385 17,811 20,970 20,982
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 34 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Sorghum Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
200200196329457772 Argentina
505091449542717 Australia
404049433423 China
757575757575 Ethiopia
5050531232474 India
10010010010010050 Nigeria
1007593123164119 Ukraine
102105196306311133 Others
7176958531,5481,7071,963 Subtotal
3,0003,0002,4794,8396,0317,918 United States
3,7173,6953,3326,3877,7389,881 World Total
none
TY Imports
100100707354134 Chile
9009006524,4365,2098,284 China
5050056064 Colombia
250250666486194119 European Union
500500452594561649 Japan
15015010914114654 Kenya
70070059698548661 Mexico
505059278283 South Africa
150150261483619 South Sudan
200200160150120200 Sudan
439439509513364596 Others
3,4893,4893,2996,7227,31410,863 Subtotal
22720532-386380-1,080 Unaccounted
111514498 United States
3,7173,6953,3326,3877,7389,881 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 35 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
2,5002,5002,5003,0003,4003,375 Argentina
8718717801,023557802 Bolivia
2,1002,1002,1772,1361,8651,032 Brazil
1,8001,8001,9301,3661,6631,436 Burkina
1,2001,2001,2001,3521,3391,217 Cameroon
950950988946991835 Chad
3,6003,6003,4502,4652,2352,203 China
5,2005,2005,1505,1704,7524,766 Ethiopia
820820737660632674 European Union
4,5004,5003,7604,8034,5684,238 India
1,3001,3001,4701,4241,3941,527 Mali
4,5004,5004,7004,5454,6385,587 Mexico
1,9001,9002,1001,9451,8081,918 Niger
6,9006,9006,8006,9397,5567,005 Nigeria
4,0004,0004,9533,7436,4662,744 Sudan
6,7446,6747,8457,5717,2327,981 Others
48,88548,81550,54049,08851,09647,340 Subtotal
8,6738,6739,2719,19212,19915,158 United States
57,55857,48859,81158,28063,29562,498 World Total
none
Total Consumption
2,3002,3002,4003,2002,9002,900 Argentina
2,1002,1002,2002,1001,7001,150 Brazil
1,8001,8001,8001,4001,6401,465 Burkina
1,2251,2251,2251,3671,3691,232 Cameroon
1,0001,0001,0001,000950850 Chad
4,4004,4004,1006,9007,40010,500 China
5,1005,1005,1005,0004,7004,700 Ethiopia
1,0701,0701,520970790800 European Union
4,4004,4003,8004,6004,5004,600 India
1,4001,4001,5001,4501,4001,500 Mali
5,2505,2505,1004,7005,3006,300 Mexico
2,0502,0502,1001,8502,0002,000 Niger
6,8006,8006,7506,9507,3506,905 Nigeria
850850685800760830 South Sudan
4,4504,4504,9004,4005,9503,100 Sudan
8,0147,9868,8078,4627,5748,445 Others
52,48452,43452,94954,77556,64656,947 Subtotal
6,2236,0966,1894,1196,2836,130 United States
58,70758,53059,13858,89462,92963,077 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
423423423653889952 Argentina
18918919425021551 Brazil
178178183589779 Burkina
710710665670569576 Ethiopia
233233183274196151 India
259259309113172286 Mexico
294294549386993557 Sudan
1,0741,0541,4061,5671,4891,522 Others
3,3603,3403,9123,9714,6204,174 Subtotal
1,0201,1471,617885850930 United States
4,3804,4875,5294,8565,4705,104 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 36 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
759 North America 592 149 597 701 701
212 South America 60 135 77 175 175
119 European Union - 28 194 486 666 250 250
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
34 Middle East 30 41 43 31 31
1 North Africa 5 1 0 0 0
578 Sub-Saharan Africa 629 719 674 833 833
9,011 East Asia 5,823 5,156 1,178 1,455 1,455
16 Southeast Asia 19 22 36 20 20
231 Others 6 64 29 25 25
10,961 Total 7,358 6,773 3,300 3,490 3,490
Production none
20,745 North America 16,837 13,737 13,971 13,173 13,173
284 Central America 308 281 272 272 272
123 Caribbean 118 91 106 91 91
5,649 South America 6,150 6,420 5,750 5,712 5,712
674 European Union - 28 632 660 737 820 820
430 Middle East 356 410 440 390 390
755 North Africa 752 754 755 755 755
25,197 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,869 27,013 28,906 27,463 27,463
2,205 East Asia 2,237 2,467 3,452 3,602 3,602
4,399 South Asia 4,717 4,957 3,900 4,640 4,640
55 Southeast Asia 50 50 50 50 50
1,791 Oceania 994 1,257 1,278 400 400
191 Others 275 183 194 120 190
62,498 Total 63,295 58,280 59,811 57,488 57,558
Domestic Consumption none
12,430 North America 11,583 8,819 11,289 11,346 11,473
292 Central America 308 281 275 275 275
123 Caribbean 120 91 108 91 91
5,409 South America 5,561 6,628 5,772 5,626 5,626
800 European Union - 28 790 970 1,520 1,070 1,070
508 Middle East 383 447 486 421 421
755 North Africa 752 754 755 755 755
25,830 Sub-Saharan Africa 29,541 27,898 29,046 28,536 28,536
11,233 East Asia 8,017 7,622 4,628 4,957 4,957
4,981 South Asia 4,665 4,817 3,967 4,565 4,565
66 Southeast Asia 71 66 85 65 68
905 Oceania 675 800 1,150 500 500
75 Others 100 75 95 70 95
63,407 Total 62,566 59,268 59,176 58,277 58,432
Ending Stocks none
1,216 North America 1,022 998 1,926 1,406 1,279
17 Central America 17 12 9 6 6
1,095 South America 1,163 1,030 695 716 716
16 European Union - 28 24 132 101 96 96
0 Middle East 0 0 0 0 0
48 North Africa 53 54 54 54 54
2,070 Sub-Saharan Africa 2,453 1,870 2,138 1,668 1,668
192 East Asia 199 157 110 170 170
151 South Asia 196 274 183 233 233
233 Oceania 272 273 251 101 101
66 Others 71 56 62 37 57
5,104 Total 5,470 4,856 5,529 4,487 4,380
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 37 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Oats Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
250250250550455214 Australia
1,8001,8001,6651,6851,5571,667 Canada
404036342726 Chile
125125106128179220 European Union
25252710125 Kazakhstan
140140134341416 Russia
10101171948 Ukraine
1111116511 Others
2,4012,4012,2402,4542,2682,207 Subtotal
303026314437 United States
2,4312,4312,2662,4852,3122,244 World Total
none
TY Imports
2020171131 Algeria
303026300 Belarus
553564 Bosnia and Herzegovina
10109121817 Canada
200200224389278172 China
555111 Colombia
303030392138 Ecuador
5515439 European Union
201521192531 India
505046444950 Japan
252531462321 Korea, South
10010012916811977 Mexico
5050932137 Norway
404023392431 South Africa
505051495441 Switzerland
17171692415 Others
657652723855659545 Subtotal
747914587123167 Unaccounted
1,7001,7001,3981,5431,5301,532 United States
2,4312,4312,2662,4852,3122,244 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 38 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
110110110110110110 Algeria
330340572492785553 Argentina
9359358881,2272,2661,300 Australia
450450342500390492 Belarus
825825795634828351 Brazil
4,1604,1603,4363,7333,2313,425 Canada
440440385573713533 Chile
625625575550525350 China
7,9207,9207,7158,0588,0447,524 European Union
340340336285335244 Kazakhstan
9090103727185 Mexico
300300144283359286 Norway
4,4004,4004,7155,4484,7504,527 Russia
230230230250225250 Turkey
430430423481510498 Ukraine
302302335279310293 Others
21,88721,89721,10422,97523,45220,821 Subtotal
7717718157209381,298 United States
22,65822,66821,91923,69524,39022,119 World Total
none
Total Consumption
130130111117132141 Algeria
370370550525760550 Argentina
7007007009001,5001,025 Australia
475475375500400500 Belarus
805805775675775345 Brazil
2,1002,1002,0802,0351,8541,620 Canada
375375375575655495 Chile
850850870850710500 China
7,7507,7507,8507,9007,9507,400 European Union
315315315275274245 Kazakhstan
190190255200195190 Mexico
330330250320315296 Norway
4,2004,2004,7005,4004,8004,600 Russia
240240230240240240 Turkey
430430450480450450 Ukraine
529524566533508506 Others
19,94419,94420,52621,66421,71019,195 Subtotal
2,4062,4062,3292,3582,5372,700 United States
22,35022,35022,85524,02224,24721,895 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
129129144196419143 Australia
525237236816 Brazil
687687417784703947 Canada
14514517024115259 China
436436386613637690 European Union
686868757527 Kazakhstan
12012060167147199 Russia
209219229302391275 Others
1,8461,8561,5112,4012,5922,356 Subtotal
522522549595731824 United States
2,3682,3782,0602,9963,3233,180 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 39 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
1,626 North America 1,667 1,723 1,536 1,810 1,810
48 South America 31 46 41 40 40
9 European Union - 28 3 4 15 5 5
53 Other Europe 63 76 150 110 110
4 Former Soviet Union - 12 11 3 31 30 30
1 Middle East 0 0 0 5 5
31 North Africa 15 9 3 22 22
31 Sub-Saharan Africa 24 39 23 40 40
243 East Asia 350 479 301 275 275
31 South Asia 25 19 21 15 20
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
2,077 Total 2,189 2,398 2,121 2,352 2,357
Production none
4,808 North America 4,240 4,525 4,354 5,021 5,021
1,478 South America 2,373 1,736 1,810 1,636 1,626
7,524 European Union - 28 8,044 8,058 7,715 7,920 7,920
421 Other Europe 502 426 293 451 451
5,768 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,990 6,719 5,822 5,626 5,626
250 Middle East 225 250 230 230 230
152 North Africa 125 145 173 150 150
38 Sub-Saharan Africa 56 23 33 40 40
351 East Asia 526 551 576 626 626
0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0
1,329 Oceania 2,309 1,262 913 968 968
22,119 Total 24,390 23,695 21,919 22,668 22,658
Domestic Consumption none
4,510 North America 4,586 4,593 4,664 4,696 4,696
1,453 South America 2,269 1,859 1,796 1,621 1,621
7,400 European Union - 28 7,950 7,900 7,850 7,750 7,750
487 Other Europe 514 519 454 539 539
5,802 Former Soviet Union - 12 5,929 6,660 5,846 5,426 5,426
240 Middle East 240 240 230 240 240
183 North Africa 151 152 176 172 172
72 Sub-Saharan Africa 67 66 65 75 75
571 East Asia 784 940 951 926 926
31 South Asia 25 19 21 15 20
1,054 Oceania 1,540 935 728 730 730
21,803 Total 24,055 23,883 22,781 22,190 22,195
Ending Stocks none
1,775 North America 1,437 1,383 969 1,212 1,212
140 South America 240 122 130 135 125
690 European Union - 28 637 613 386 436 436
35 Other Europe 82 62 50 51 51
298 Former Soviet Union - 12 316 330 177 233 233
21 Middle East 6 16 16 11 11
1 North Africa 1 3 3 3 3
15 Sub-Saharan Africa 28 24 15 20 20
62 East Asia 154 244 170 145 145
0 South Asia 0 0 0 0 0
143 Oceania 422 199 144 132 132
3,180 Total 3,323 2,996 2,060 2,378 2,368
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 40 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rye Trade
October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
TY Exports
000000 Albania
150160152227132112 Canada
20020018792139160 European Union
25251781522923 Russia
505042381421 Ukraine
0011924 Others
425435560510323340 Subtotal
554446 United States
430440564514327346 World Total
none
TY Imports
152592830 Belarus
222200 Canada
50502211371639 European Union
20201521412 Israel
202023212416 Japan
553345 Korea, South
5519542 Norway
4453929 Others
12113129722064103 Subtotal
5959-27-309126 Unaccounted
250250294324172217 United States
430440564514327346 World Total
TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 41 February 2020Global Market Analysis
World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20
Jan
2019/20
Feb
none
Production
757587867961 Argentina
650650503670651753 Belarus
330330236342436226 Canada
7,9507,9506,2087,4057,4407,833 European Union
1,4301,4301,9142,5402,5382,084 Russia
320320320320300330 Turkey
340340396510394394 Ukraine
166166122176155186 Others
11,26111,2619,78612,04911,99311,867 Subtotal
270270214260339295 United States
11,53111,53110,00012,30912,33212,162 World Total
none
Total Consumption
757587867961 Argentina
303030302930 Australia
665675550665700800 Belarus
160160142199180119 Canada
7,4007,4006,5007,7007,6007,900 European Union
292935353337 Kazakhstan
555527542667 Norway
1,4501,4501,7502,5002,4002,150 Russia
320320320320300330 Turkey
305305330480380420 Ukraine
10910910310510091 Others
10,60210,6129,90012,20811,85212,023 Subtotal
566566518483496515 United States
11,16811,17810,41812,69112,34812,538 World Total
none
Ending Stocks
353535614199 Belarus
90806811616551 Canada
8858824856749891,209 European Union
111112 Japan
9696141260291158 Russia
141414141414 Turkey
353549697775 Ukraine
00416124 Others
1,1561,1437971,2111,5901,612 Subtotal
151511151812 United States
1,1711,1588081,2261,6081,624 World Total
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 42 February 2020Global Market Analysis
Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks
Thousand Metric Tons
2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19
Jan
2019/20
Feb
2019/20
TY Imports none
217 North America 172 326 296 252 252
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
39 European Union - 28 16 137 221 50 50
7 Other Europe 9 8 22 8 8
24 Former Soviet Union - 12 7 28 11 26 16
12 Middle East 4 21 15 20 20
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
21 East Asia 28 24 26 25 25
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
320 Total 236 544 591 381 371
Production none
521 North America 775 602 450 600 600
69 South America 91 97 100 87 87
7,833 European Union - 28 7,440 7,405 6,208 7,950 7,950
108 Other Europe 70 93 53 96 96
3,268 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,624 3,759 2,836 2,445 2,445
330 Middle East 300 320 320 320 320
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0
30 Oceania 29 30 30 30 30
12,162 Total 12,332 12,309 10,000 11,531 11,531
Domestic Consumption none
634 North America 676 682 660 726 726
69 South America 91 97 100 87 87
7,900 European Union - 28 7,600 7,700 6,500 7,400 7,400
113 Other Europe 78 100 73 104 104
3,407 Former Soviet Union - 12 3,513 3,680 2,665 2,459 2,449
342 Middle East 304 341 335 340 340
3 Sub-Saharan Africa 3 3 3 3 3
22 East Asia 29 24 26 25 25
30 Oceania 29 30 30 30 30
12,520 Total 12,323 12,657 10,392 11,174 11,164
Ending Stocks none
63 North America 183 131 79 95 105
0 South America 0 0 0 0 0
1,209 European Union - 28 989 674 485 882 885
0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0
336 Former Soviet Union - 12 421 406 229 166 166
14 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14
0 Sub-Saharan Africa 0 0 0 0 0
2 East Asia 1 1 1 1 1
0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0
1,624 Total 1,608 1,226 808 1,158 1,171
NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are
reported using local marketing years.
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 43 February 2020Global Market Analysis