for the state…. by 2010, texas is likely to have 25 million people and by 2040 could have more...
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State of Texas Projected Population 2000-2040
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For the State….For the State…. By 2010, Texas is likely to have 25 million people and by By 2010, Texas is likely to have 25 million people and by
2040 could have more than 51.7 million people. 2040 could have more than 51.7 million people. Growth will substantially exceed that for the nation which Growth will substantially exceed that for the nation which
the Census Bureau projects to be roughly 49 percent for the Census Bureau projects to be roughly 49 percent for the 50-year period from 2000 to 2050. the 50-year period from 2000 to 2050.
According to recent Census Bureau estimates, Texas According to recent Census Bureau estimates, Texas population became less than 50 percent Anglo by July 1, population became less than 50 percent Anglo by July 1, 2004. Texas will become a majority Hispanic state, 2004. Texas will become a majority Hispanic state, anywhere between 2025 and 2035.anywhere between 2025 and 2035.
Texas population will show substantial aging. The Texas population will show substantial aging. The median age of the population which was 32.3 in 2000 median age of the population which was 32.3 in 2000 becomes between 38.1 and 38.6 years of age becomes between 38.1 and 38.6 years of age (depending on the scenario) by 2040. (depending on the scenario) by 2040.
For Regions….For Regions…. The Capital Area will surpass the Alamo Area to become The Capital Area will surpass the Alamo Area to become
the third most populous region in Texas. the third most populous region in Texas. Although the Alamo Area had a 2000 population of 1.8 Although the Alamo Area had a 2000 population of 1.8
million compared to 1.3 million in the Capital Area, by million compared to 1.3 million in the Capital Area, by 2040, the Alamo Area is projected to have between 2.6 2040, the Alamo Area is projected to have between 2.6 and 3.2 million compared to between 2.8 and 5.0 million and 3.2 million compared to between 2.8 and 5.0 million in the Capital Area in 2040. in the Capital Area in 2040.
Rapid growth is projected to occur in regions along the Rapid growth is projected to occur in regions along the 1-35 and 1-10 corridors and along the Texas-Mexico 1-35 and 1-10 corridors and along the Texas-Mexico Border with slow growth in regions in the Panhandle and Border with slow growth in regions in the Panhandle and West Texas. West Texas.
For Metropolitan Areas…For Metropolitan Areas… Texas will have at least five metropolitan areas with Texas will have at least five metropolitan areas with
more than one million people by 2040 and two with more more than one million people by 2040 and two with more than 8.0 million people. than 8.0 million people.
Austin-Round Rock is projected to surpass San Antonio Austin-Round Rock is projected to surpass San Antonio to become the third largest metropolitan area and to become the third largest metropolitan area and McAllen-Edinburg-Mission will surpass El Paso to McAllen-Edinburg-Mission will surpass El Paso to become the fifth largest metropolitan area with a become the fifth largest metropolitan area with a population of between 2.7 million and 3.5 million by population of between 2.7 million and 3.5 million by 2040. 2040.
Projections are showing that Texarkana, Abilene, Corpus Projections are showing that Texarkana, Abilene, Corpus Christi, Lubbock, Wichita Falls, and San Angelo are Christi, Lubbock, Wichita Falls, and San Angelo are projected to decrease in population size from 2000 to projected to decrease in population size from 2000 to 2040. 2040.
For Counties…For Counties…
Under most scenarios, growth is evident Under most scenarios, growth is evident across a majority of Texas counties with across a majority of Texas counties with 150 to 200 counties showing population 150 to 200 counties showing population increases from 2000 to 2040. increases from 2000 to 2040.
Hays County Population Hays County Population 97,589 (2000 U.S. Census)97,589 (2000 U.S. Census)
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2000 Population 2000 Population (U.S. Census Bureau)(U.S. Census Bureau)
Bear CreekBear Creek 360360 BudaBuda 24042404 Dripping SpringsDripping Springs 1,5481,548 HaysHays 233233 KyleKyle 5,3145,314 Mountain CityMountain City 671671 NiederwaldNiederwald 584584 San MarcosSan Marcos 34,73334,733 UhlandUhland 386386 Wimberley CDPWimberley CDP 3,7973,797 WoodcreekWoodcreek 1,2741,274
Hays County Community Hays County Community Population EstimatesPopulation Estimates
20002000 2006 Est2006 Est..%%
BudaBuda 2,4042,404 4,4244,424 +84+84 Dripping SpringsDripping Springs 1,5481,548 1,8391,839 +19+19 HaysHays 233233 235235 +1+1 KyleKyle 5,3145,314 19,33519,335 +264+264 Mountain CityMountain City 671671 773773 +15+15 NiederwaldNiederwald 584584 416416 -29-29 San MarcosSan Marcos 34,73334,733 47,00547,005 +35+35 UhlandUhland 386386 425425 +10+10 Wimberley CDPWimberley CDP 3,7973,797 4,1114,111 +8+8 WoodcreekWoodcreek 1,2741,274 1,3801,380 +8 +8
Hays County Population Hays County Population Projections 1990-2040 Projections 1990-2040
050,000
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Hays County Community Hays County Community Population ProjectionsPopulation Projections
20002000 20102010 20202020 20302030 20402040 20502050 20602060
BudaBuda 2,4042,404 8,0428,042 13,97113,971 17,34117,341 20,72820,728 24,79724,797 27,90027,900Dripping SpringsDripping Springs 1,5481,548 5,3255,325 9,3089,308 11,65111,651 14,00514,005 16,83416,834 19,05819,058KyleKyle 5,3145,314 21,45721,457 31,12631,126 33,61333,613 35,20335,203 39,19739,197 41,85041,850Mountain CityMountain City 671671 1,0191,019 1,1871,187 1,3611,361 1,5361,536 1,7461,746 1,9111,911NeiderwaldNeiderwald 584584 1,0211,021 1,5301,530 2,0462,046 2,5642,564 3,158 3,6503,158 3,650San MarcosSan Marcos 34,73334,733 48,81448,814 69,90669,906 90,99090,990 114,477114,477 139,466139,466 158,099158,099Wimberley Wimberley 3,7973,797 4,3014,301 5,0015,001 5,7285,728 6,4946,494 7,4027,402WoodcreekWoodcreek 1,2741,274 1,7301,730 2,2522,252 2,7922,792 3,3353,335 3,987 4,500 3,987 4,500
Hays County 97,589 Hays County 97,589 166,342166,342 242,051242,051 302,795302,795 363,678363,678 436,388436,388493,320 493,320
Hays County Sub Area StudyHays County Sub Area Study(CAMPO STUDY)(CAMPO STUDY)
20002000 20302030 INCREASEINCREASE
BUDA/KYLEBUDA/KYLE 29,300 143,700 29,300 143,700 114,400 114,400
(+390%)(+390%)
SAN MARCOSSAN MARCOS 46,700 129,600 82,900 (+178%)46,700 129,600 82,900 (+178%)
WESTERN H.C. 21,600 85,700 64,100 (+297%)WESTERN H.C. 21,600 85,700 64,100 (+297%)
HAYS COUNTY 98,000 356,000 258,000 (+263%) HAYS COUNTY 98,000 356,000 258,000 (+263%)
For Hays County….For Hays County….
The U.S. Census Bureau identified the The U.S. Census Bureau identified the population of Hays County at 97,589. population of Hays County at 97,589.
Projections show the population of the County Projections show the population of the County reaching just over 426,000 by the year 2040reaching just over 426,000 by the year 2040
The largest growth is expected in the Buda/Kyle The largest growth is expected in the Buda/Kyle area which could see a rise in population of area which could see a rise in population of some 114,000 people. Not far behind will be the some 114,000 people. Not far behind will be the Western portion of Hays County which is Western portion of Hays County which is expected to see an increase of some 64,000 expected to see an increase of some 64,000 people by the year 2030 – an increase of some people by the year 2030 – an increase of some 297 percent from the year 2000. 297 percent from the year 2000.
Texas Water Development BoardTexas Water Development BoardPopulation ProjectionsPopulation Projections
Region L – South Central TexasRegion L – South Central Texas2000 2000 2,042,2212,042,2212010 2010 2,460,5992,460,59920202020 2,892,9332,892,93320302030 3,292,9703,292,97020402040 3,644,6613,644,66120502050 3,984,2583,984,25820602060 4,297,7864,297,786
Texas Water Development Board Texas Water Development Board Local “L” Population ProjectionsLocal “L” Population Projections
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Creedmoor-MAHA WSC
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Maxwell WSC
Mountain City
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San Marcos
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Woodcreek
Woodcreek Utilities
Texas Water Development Board Texas Water Development Board Local “L” Population ProjectionsLocal “L” Population Projections
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2000-2040 Growth Trend Comparison
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Region L
Hays County
Wesern H.C.
Wimberley
Woodcreek