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Media Briefing September 2008 For personal use only

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Page 1: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

Media BriefingSeptember 2008

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Page 2: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

2

AGENDA

1.

Management Structure

2.

Progress on construction of Airport Link

3.

Issue Analysis

4.

Key fundamentals of Airport Link

5.

Summary

6.

Q&A

7.

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Page 3: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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01MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE

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Page 4: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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MANAGEMENT STRUCTURE

Nick Lattimore appointed Chief Financial Officer

Charles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction

Other executive appointments progressing

Core team in place by November 2008For

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Page 5: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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MANAGEMENT STRUCTUREF

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Page 6: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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02PROGRESS ON CONSTRUCTION OF

AIRPORT LINKFor

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Page 7: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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CONSTRUCTION PROGRESS

BCS’ contractor Thiess John Holland has signed a $90 million plus contract for Australia’s two largest tunnel boring machines (TBMs) to construct the Airport Link tunnel

TJH has also signed agreement to purchase 3 piling rigs and 11 roadheaders

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Page 8: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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03ISSUE ANALYSIS

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Page 9: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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MARKET CONDITIONS

The S&P/ASX 200 has fallen 24% YTD and by 17% since the BrisConnections IPO was priced on 9 May 2008

The toll road sector* has fallen 32% YTD and by 28% since the BrisConnections IPO was priced on 9 May 2008

BrisConnections security price has fallen 32% since IPO (on fully paid basis)

* Toll road sector includes MIG, Transurban, ConnectEast and RiverCity, weighted by market capitalisation as at 15 September 2008

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Rebased ASX 200 Toll Road Sector* (Weighted by Market Capitalisation)

31 July 08: BrisConnections lists

on ASX

9 May 08: BrisConnections IPO

priced

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Page 10: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

BrisConnections is trading significantly below analysts price targets

ISSUE: BCS SECURITY PRICE

Broker valuations(based on the initial instalment)

Source: broker reports

$0.83HOLD

$1.10BUY

$0.93BUY

$0.60BUY

$0.91BUY

$0.00 $0.20 $0.40 $0.60 $0.80 $1.00 $1.20

Wilson HTM, Nathan Lead (11 Aug 08)

JPMorgan, Kirsty Mackay-Fisher (5 Sep 08)

Macquarie Research, Ian Myles (9 Sep 08)

Deutsche Bank, Cameron McDonald (10 Sep 08)

Credit Suisse, Anthony Moulder (11 Sep 08)

$0.037 security price as at 15 Sep

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Page 11: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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ISSUE: DEBT FUNDING

The price at which the Trusts’ stapled securities trade does not impact the pricing or availability of the funding for the Airport Link project

All of the debt facilities raised by BCS for the project are fully underwritten by a group of leading Australian and International banks experienced in motorway financings

Those facilities are and remain fully committed and available for their specified maturities (10 years in the case of the main project facilities)

There are no market capitalisation undertakings in BCS’ debt facilitiesF

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Page 12: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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ISSUE: DEBT FUNDING

BCS has a robust and simple financial structure with gearing aligned to the projected revenue profile

Our financing assumptions are significantly more conservative than recent comparable toll road projects

BCS debt service withstands a 40% reduction in forecast traffic in each year

Debt is plain vanilla debt on 10 year termsFor

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Page 13: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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FINANCING & USE OF FUNDS

Sources of Funds $ million Application of Funds $ million

Bank debt 2,928 Construction cost –

Airport Link 3,400

Equity raised in the Offer 1,170 Upfront development and financing costs

269

Equity raised via DRP 3451 Net interest prior to Airport Link Opening

575

Deferred Equity 200 Reserves 2532

State Works Contribution 267 Equity distributions during construction

301

Ongoing development, financing and other costs

1123

Total 4,910 Total 4,910

1. Comprises all proceeds received from the issue of Stapled Units under the DRP for the period up to Airport Link Opening. This

includes the proceeds received from the Second Instalment and the Final Instalment in respect of party paid Stapled Units issued under the DRP.

2. This includes the Distribution reserve and the cash funded component of the Ramp-up reserve. In addition to these reserves, there is up to $120 million in available debt facilities under the Reserve Facility.

3. Includes ongoing company costs, ongoing DRP underwriting fees, provision for the capitalisation of interest in respect of the

Equity Bridge Facilities, net GST and other ongoing costs.

Gearing %

Debt / (Debt + Equity + DRP) 63.1

Debt / (Debt + Equity) 68.1

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Page 14: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

ISSUE: DISTRIBUTIONS AND INSTALMENTS

Distributions

The Board intends to declare the first Fixed Distribution of 5.95 cents per stapled unit on 19th December 2008. Payment date is expected to be 2nd March, 2009

BrisConnections current intention is to make further semi-annual distributions for the periods ending 30th June and 31st December as detailed in the PDS

Distributions will be reinvested in further Stapled Units via a DRP unless the unit holder elects not to participate

Distributions during the Fixed Distribution Period are expected to be fully tax deferred

Instalments

Second instalment of one dollar (A$1.00) per stapled unit is due by 29th April, 2009.

Third and final instalment of one dollar (A$1.00) per stapled unit is due by 29th January, 2010

Both of these instalments are underwritten

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Page 15: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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04KEY FUNDAMENTALS OF AIRPORT LINK

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Page 16: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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TRAFFIC

Arup, BCS’ traffic expert, has a detailed understanding of transport and traffic issues within Brisbane and South East Queensland

Arup developed the Brisbane Strategic Transport Model (in conjunction with Sinclair Knight Merz) for Brisbane City Council, QueenslandTransport and the Queensland Department of Main Roads in 2000

Arup’s experience includes developing the traffic forecasting studies used for several major domestic and international road and toll road projects,

Includes the Inner City Bypass, Bruce Highway, Brisbane Airport Northern Access Road, Ipswich Motorway, Centenary Highway, SH-121 in Texas in US and the Tyne River Crossing in UKFor

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Page 17: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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TRAFFIC

Arup has taken into account all the costs of making a trip in determining its traffic forecasts - tolls, vehicle operating costs and fuel prices

Australian toll road users are demonstrating that they are very inelastic to petrol prices, as traffic growth is continuing despite increased fuel prices

In the quarter to 30 June 2008, average fuel prices in Sydney and Melbourne increased by 18.2% and 16.7% respectively. Despite this, Transurban’s most recent traffic data has showed solid growth for Australian roads over this periodF

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Page 18: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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TOLL ROAD COMPARISONS

Successful, high use toll road projects in Australia have been those built for strong economic reasons, such as Melbourne CityLink and WestlinkM7

The Cross City and Lane Cove tunnels were built for planning reasons (Cross City to try to remove traffic from cross city streets and create a boulevard along William Street, Lane Cove tunnel to put traffic underground and return Epping Road to local residents)

Airport Link has been procured by the Queensland Government for genuine economic reasons

It will be a key driver of economic growth in Brisbane, and alleviate congestion in the critical CBD/northern suburbs/Airport and Trade Coast corridor, which will underpin its success

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Page 19: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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BRISBANE’S MISSING LINK

Serves multiple markets

Time sensitive and commercially driven users

Highest employment and trip generators in the greater Brisbane region

Airport Link catchment contains 60% of Brisbane population

Three tollroads under one concession

Commuter Road linking northern suburbs to CBD

Link to one of Australia's fastest growing airports

Link to Australia Trade Coast, Australia’s fastest growing industrial & trade precincts.

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Page 20: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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KEY FUNDAMENTALS

Airport Link will complete a missing part of Brisbane’s road network and will be the first motorway standard road from the CBD to the northern suburbs and Brisbane Airport, which are key traffic generators

Brisbane has strong demographics validating the demand for such a road – it will have the highest peak hour and travel time growth of any Australian city

Airport Link is “3 toll roads in one”, a multi-functional road with three distinct traffic movements that cater to different markets

Commuter Tollroad: Connecting the CBD to the northern suburbs. Similar characteristics to M4 and M5

CBD to Airport Tollroad: CBD to Brisbane Airport, Australia TradeCoast and Port of Brisbane (similar characteristics to Eastern Distributor)

Orbital ring road: Northern suburbs to Airport, Australia TradeCoast and Port of Brisbane (similar characteristics to Westlink M7 and EastLink)

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Page 21: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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KEY FUNDAMENTALS: DEMOGRAPHICS

almost 2x national

average

~50% higher than the national

growth rate

~50% higher than national average

12%

18.5%

3.2%5.0% 1.3%

2.2%

Brisbane Nat. Avg

Qld Nat. Avg

Economic Growth per annum(2002 to 2007)

Sydney MelbourneBrisbane Adelaide Perth

4.9%

Qld Australia

Population Growth per annum(2001/02 to 2006)

55%

23%28%

9%

45%

Forecast Population Growth(2004 to 2031)

Car Registration Growth(2002 to 2006)

Brisbane is the fastest growing

capital city in Australia

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

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Page 22: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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TOLLABLE SECTION 1CBD TO NORTHERN SUBURBS

Historic traffic growth1: 7.0% p.a.

Forecast traffic growth2: 6.2% p.a.

TOLLABLE SECTION 3NORTHERN SUBURBS TO AIRPORT

Historic traffic growth1: 10.0% p.a.Forecast traffic growth2: 6.0% p.a.

TOLLABLE SECTION 2CBD TO AIRPORT

Historic traffic growth1: 7.2% p.a.Forecast traffic growth2: 4.9%

p.a.

NORTHERN SUBURBS/ NORTH-WESTERN

SUBURBS/ SUNSHINE COAST

AIRPORT/ AUSTRALIA

TRADECOAST/ PORT OF BRISBANE

CBD AND INNER SUBURBS/ WESTERN SUBURBS/ SOUTHERN SUBURBS

1 2000-2006

2

2004-2012

KEY FUNDAMENTALS: CORRIDOR GROWTH

CBD: approximately 150,000 jobs (forecast 220,000 by 2031)

Inner Suburbs: approximately 100,000 jobs (forecast 150,000 by 2031)

Represents approximately 50% of catchment

Airport: 17.5 million passengers in 2006/2007 (10% pa passenger growth 2003-2007)

Australia TradeCoast: 38,000 jobs –

expected to rise to 70,000 by 2031

Note: refer to slides 52-55 for additional detail on the key trip generators

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Page 23: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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KEY FUNDAMENTALS

The alternative routes to Airport Link are low capacity and otherwise constrained arterial roads, however Airport Link’s main feeder roads include motorway standard and higher quality arterial roads. It has a high ratio of feeder road lanes to tollroad lanes and the feeder routes have significant capacity to allow future traffic growth

The different markets to which Airport Link caters have complementary peak periods that spread demand broadly across the day - Airport Link’s feeder roads exhibit higher expansion factors than the feeders to comparable toll roads in Australia

With several toll roads in Brisbane, all of which will be fully electronic at Airport Link opening, tag penetration is likely to be very high in Brisbane when Airport Link opensF

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Page 24: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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TRAVEL TIME BENEFITS / TOLL AFFORDABILITY―

Substantial

variability

in travel times on current arterial network

Airport Link will be one of the most economical tunnels in Australia

Incorporates travel time variability. Travel time savings are post ramp up. TS2 and TS3 take into account Airport Roundabout Upgrade.

Competing routes (minutes) Travel time savings (minutes)

Year 2012 2022 2012 2022

CBD to northern suburbs (TS1) 22-26 68-79 12-16 35-46

CBD to airport (TS2) 25-29 61-72 13-17 36-47

Northern suburbs to airport (TS3)

14-17 20-25 9-12 16-21

Toll value comparison

* Toll cost amortised over a return trip as tolled in one direction only

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

M1: ED(Sydney)*

NSBT(Brisbane)

Lane Cove(Sydney)

SHT(Sydney)*

BurnleyTunnel

(Melbourne)

Bolte

Bridge(Melbourne)

EastLinkTunnel

(Melbourne)

GatewayBridge

(Brisbane)

Cross City(Sydney)

DomainTunnel

(Melbourne)

AirportLink(TS1)

AirportLink(TS2)

AirportLink(TS2) incl

Airport Roundabout Upgrade

AirportLink(TS3)

AirportLink(TS3) incl

Airport Roundabout Upgrade

A$/

Km

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Page 25: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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05SUMMARY

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Page 26: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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SUMMARY

Experienced and qualified management and contractor in place to deliver on time, on budget

Negative toll road sentiment, tough market conditions and the ‘forgotten’ qualities of long term, defensive infrastructure projects are weighing on the security price

BCS has the concession over Australia’s most exciting road project in the country’s number one growth area for the next 45 years

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Page 27: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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06Q&A

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Page 28: For personal use only - ASXCharles MacDonald appointed General Manager, Construction Other executive appointments progressing For personal use only Core team in place by November 2008

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07CLOSE

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