flsmidth @ seb enskildanordic seminar prologue 2013
TRANSCRIPT
FLSmidth @ SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 2013
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 17 January 2013
Jørgen Huno Rasmussen, CEO - Copenhagen, 7 January 2013
Forward-looking statements
Disclaimer
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 2
FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ financial reports, whether in the form of annual reports or interim reports, filed with the Danish Business Authority and/or announced via the company’s website and/or NASDAQ OMX Copenhagen, as well as any presentations based on such financial reports, and any other written information released, or oral statements made, to the public based on this interim report or in the future on behalf of FLSmidth & Co. A/S, may contain forward-looking statements.
Words such as ‘believe’, ‘expect’, ‘may’, ‘will’, ‘plan’, ‘strategy’, ‘prospect’, ‘foresee’, ‘estimate’, ‘project’, ‘anticipate’, ‘can’, ‘intend’, ‘target’ and other words and terms of similar meaning in connection with any discussion of future operating or financial performance identify forward-looking statements.Examples of such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to:• statements of plans, objectives or goals for future operations, including those related to FLSmidth & Co. A/S markets, products, product research and product
development• statements containing projections of or targets for revenues, profit (or loss), capital expenditures, dividends, capital structure or other net financial items• statements regarding future economic performance, future actions and outcome of contingencies such as legal proceedings and statements regarding the underlying
assumptions or relating to such statements• statements regarding potential merger & acquisition activities. These forward-looking statements are based on current plans, estimates and projections. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, which may be outside FLSmidth & Co. A/S’s influence, and which could materially affect such forward-looking statements.
FLSmidth & Co. A/S cautions that a number of important factors, including those described in this presentation, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in any forward-looking statements.
Factors that may affect future results include, but are not limited to, global as well as local political and economic conditions, including interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations, delays or faults in project execution, fluctuations in raw material prices, delays in research and/or development of new products or service concepts,interruptions of supplies and production, unexpected breach or termination of contracts, market-driven price reductions for FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ products and/or services, introduction of competing products, reliance on information technology, FLSmidth & Co. A/S’ ability to successfully market current and new products, exposure to product liability and legal proceedings and investigations, changes in legislation or regulation and interpretation thereof, intellectual property protection, perceived or actual failure to adhere to ethical marketing practices, investments in and divestitures of domestic and foreign enterprises, unexpected growth in costsand expenses, failure to recruit and retain the right employees and failure to maintain a culture of compliance.Unless required by law FLSmidth & Co. A/S is under no duty and undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement after the distribution of this presentation.
A leading supplier of equipment and services to the global minerals and cement industries
Revenue EUR ~3bn in 2011, of which 69% was generated in developing countries
Listed on NASDAQOMX Copenhagen, Denmark
Among the 5-10 most traded shares in CopenhagenCurrent Market Cap EUR ~2.2bn >40% foreign shareholders98% free-float
FLSmidth in brief
FLSmidth in brief
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 37 January 2013
A strong competitive positionUnmatched scope of technology, equipment and expertise within cement, mineral processing and material handling
Unique ability to meet the full range of customer requirements, from complete plants to spare parts and full O&M services
Excellent track record of reliability, time to market and project follow-through
Proven ability to help customers increase capacity, reduce operating costs and lower environmental impact
Local presence in more than 50 countries
In-country resources and substantial presence in India
FLSmidth in brief
FLSmidth in brief
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 47 January 2013
Engineering house and technology provider
Flexible cost structure (mostly engineering and project management)
Most manufacturing is outsourced (~80-90%)
Relatively low working capital due to prepayments from customers (typically 10-25% of total contract amount upfront)
Low maintenance CAPEX
Order related engineering off-shored to India
Increased sourcing from cost-competitive-countries (~40% at present; target is 75%)
Asset light business model
FLSmidth in brief
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August 2002: Launch of Focus Strategy: Focus on core competencies (non-core divested in 2005) √
Grow Minerals to same size as Cement (happened in 2010) √
Grow the Service business continuously (has grown from DKK ~1bn in 2001 to DKK ~7bn in 2011) √
February 2012: Launch of Growth Strategy: We will be our customers’ preferred full-service provider of sustainable minerals and cement technologies
We will focus on 6 key industries: Copper, Gold, Coal, Iron ore, Fertilizer and Cement
We will offer customers in our six key industries full flow sheet solutions that reflect our core competences
Our primary value-proposition will be based on a holistic life-cycle approach, lower total cost of ownership and more sustainable and eco-efficient technologies
2012: Has been a year of transformation and expansion
2013: Main focus will be on execution and consolidation
Strategic roadmap
FLSmidth in Brief
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Long history of strategic acquisitions- contributing to FLSmidth’s growth and success
FLSmidth in brief
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1926 1959 1990 19971914 2012
Key historical milestones …FLSmidth (Denmark) starts to supply equipment and services to the minerals industry
Fuller Company is established in Catasauqua, PA, USA
Traylor Engineering & Manufacturing Company is acquired by Fuller Company (Established 1902)
FLSmidth acquires Fuller Company
FLSmidth forms a separate minerals company, FFE Minerals
2007
FFE Minerals changes name to FLSmidth Minerals Acquisition of GL&V transformed minerals to a single source solution supplier
20001995 2010 201120092008
7 January 2013
Group Structure
Group Structure (February 2012)
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MineralsCement*
FLSmidth
Old structure
Customer Services
Material Handling*
Mineral Processing** Cement
FLSmidth
Projects and Products
Projects and Products
New structure
*) Renamed Material Handling on 1 December 2012 (previously Bulk Materials)**) Renamed Mineral Processing on 1 December 2012 (previously Non-Ferrous)
7 January 2013
Divisions renamed
Divisions renamed
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Effective 1 December 2012 the two divisions previously known as Non-Ferrous and Bulk Materials have been renamed to reflect the underlying technology focus in each of the two divisions
Non-Ferrous is now “Mineral Processing”
Bulk Materials is now “Material Handling”
Continued strong growth in revenue and order intake
Ludowici acquisition completed in Q3
Continued execution challenges inMaterial Handling
Revenue guidance maintained at DKK 25-26bn (excl. Cembrit)EBITA margin guidance clarified at 10%
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Order intake up 11% on Q3’11, and also up 9% sequentially
Revenue up 23% due to positive developments in all segments, particularly in Mineral Processing and Customer Services
EBITA unchanged, reflecting a decrease in the EBITA margin
EBIT down 6%, adversely impacted by effects of purchase price allocations amounting to DKK -88m in Q3 (Q3’11: DKK -45m)
Excluding acquisitions, the number of employees increased 12%, most of which is related to O&M contracts
Financial developments in Q3 2012
Q3 Results 2012
7 January 2013 11
FLSmidth & Co. A/S(DKKm) Q3 2012 Q3 2011 Change
Order intake 7,956 7,176 +11%Order backlog 31,766 27,492 +16%Revenue 6,316 5,131 +23%Gross margin 25.6% 26.3%EBITA 628 628 0%EBITA margin 9.9% 12.2%EBIT 528 562 -6%EBIT margin 8.4% 11.0%Net results1) 377 403 -6%CFFO -28 563 n/aEmployees2) 14,740 11,628 +27%
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue
1) Including Cembrit2) Excluding Cembrit
Service accounts for ~40% of overall business
41%
20%
31%
8%
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Order intake Q3 2012– classified by segment
Customer Services
Material Handling
Cement
39%
61%
Capital Business
Order intake & Revenue Q1-Q3 2012 – classified by Service and Capital business
Service Business
Mineral Processing
7 January 2013
28%
28%14%
6%
3%
7%
14%
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Distribution of order intake by industry
Interim Report Q3 2012
Order intake Q1-Q3 2012 – classified by industry
Cement
Copper
Gold
Coal
Iron ore
Fertilizers
Other Announced orders in Q4 2012
Copper Kazakhstan DKK 380m (MP)Cement Russia DKK 200m (C)Copper Chile DKK 1.1bn (CS)Gold Russia DKK 200m (MP)
Total DKK 1,880m
... copper, cement and gold continue to be most important industries
7 January 2013
Unannounced orders record high DKK 5.9bn in Q3
Stable level of announced orders (orders > DKK 200m, announced when they become effective)
Contribution margin of 2012 order intake has increased the average margin of the order backlog
Order intake increased 11% in Q3 2012
Interim Report Q3 2012
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order intake (quarterly)+11% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
Announced O&M ordersAnnounced Capital ordersUnannounced orders
Announced orders in Q3 2012
Cement Egypt DKK >1.1bn (CS)Copper South America DKK 655m (MP)Aluminium Venezuela DKK 280m (CS)
Total DKK >2,035m
7 January 2013
High visibility >1.3 years revenue in the backlog
We always know what to do the next 6-9 months
O&M order backlog DKK 4.5bn at the end of Q3’12 (~14% of total order backlog)
Order backlog provides high visibility into 2013
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Expected conversion of Q3’12 backlog to revenue:
Q4 2012: 25%
2013: 46%
2014: 15%
2015+: 14% 0.901.001.101.201.301.401.501.60
05,000
10,00015,00020,00025,00030,00035,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order backlog (quarterly)+15% vs. Q3 2011DKKm Book-to-bill ratio*
*) Order backlog divided by Trailing-Twelve-Months Revenue
7 January 2013
Organic growth +16% (excl. currency impact and acquisitions)
Pattern of increasing quarterly revenue over the calendar year expected to be repeated in 2012
EBITA margin challenged by execution problems in Material Handling and increasing SG&A ratio
Revenue increased 23% in Q3 2012
Interim Report Q3 2012
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0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Revenue (quarterly)+23% vs. Q3 2011DKKm EBITA margin
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
EBITA (quarterly)= Q3 2011DKKm
Tight focus on SG&A developments
Interim Report Q3 2012
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SG&A ratio up 1.2 %-points compared to Q3’11
Increase in SG&A vs. last year partly due to: Acquisitions (DKK ~108m in Q3 2012)
Currency effects (DKK ~75m in Q1-Q3 2012)
High tender activity leading to increasing proposal costs- adding to costs now and revenue later
Additionally, SG&A included costs of non-recurringnature amounting to DKK ~100m in Q3 2012:
Implementation of new strategy and organizationBusiness alignment related to roll out of global ERP business systemTransaction and integration costs in connection with acquisitions
Cost efficiency program initiated
SG&A ratio
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
SG&A (quarterly)+34% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
CFFO adversely impacted by increase in working capital of DKK 813m in Q3
CFFI amounted to DKK -2,421m in Q3 primarily related to the acquisition of Ludowici, Decanter, Inc. and Teutrine and MIE Enterprises.
Temporary slow down in acquisitions except for smaller bolt-on in coming quarters
Cash flow from operating and investing activities
Interim Report Q3 2012
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CFFO (quarterly)DKKm
-600-400-200
0200400600
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
CFFI (quarterly)-186% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
-3,000-2,400-1,800-1,200
-6000
600
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Tight focus on working capital developments
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Working capital* (quarterly)+447% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
Working capital increased 3.1 %-points of sales to 10.8% in Q3
Structural reasons for increase in working capital:Strategic initiatives in Customer Services
Change in business mix towards more Customer Services, more products and mining projects and less cement projects
Specific reasons for increase in working capital in Q3:
Acquired entities in Q3 2012 contributed with DKK 525m to Group working capital
Working capital program initiated, including:Monthly reporting, monitoring and follow-up on KPIs
Systematic NWC responsibility in the global organisation
Specific initiatives launched in relation to accounts receivables, account payables, inventories, etc.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
WC /TTM* Sales
*) Working capital excluding Cembrit
*) TTM : Trailing-Twelve-Months excluding Cembrit
Net debt increased in Q3 primarily due to acquisition of Ludowici
Equity ratio declined to 29% due to increased balance sheet total, primarily attributable to acquisitions and in particular Ludowici. An equity ratio below 30% is expected to be of temporary nature
Capital structure
Interim Report Q3 2012
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NIBD* (quarterly)DKKm
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Equity (quarterly)DKKm Equity ratio
-0.8-0.400.40.81.21.6
-2,000-1,000
01,0002,0003,0004,000
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Gearing (NIBD/ TTM* EBITDA)
Gearing 1.4x EBITDA +14% vs. Q3 2011
*) NIBD excluding Cembrit
*) TTM: Trailing-Twelve-Months excl. Cembrit
Cembrit sales process
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Not part of FLSmidth’s long term strategy, and a sales process is on-going
Cembrit is reported as discontinued activities
A number of potential acquirers have expressed a preliminary interest in Cembrit
A sales process is expected to be completed within 12 months from the announcement in August 2012, however FLSmidth cautions that there is no assurance that the process will in fact lead to a sale
Acquisition of Ludowici
Interim Report Q3 2012
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 22
Acquisition of Ludowici finalised on 3 July 2012
Integration process is ongoing and progressing well
Ludowici to be included across Mineral Processing and Customer ServicesSubstantial sales synergies expected to be achieved over the next couple of years, including
Additional FLSmidth equipment into coal plants
FLSmidth pull through of Ludowici products
Ludowici pull through of FLSmidth products
Added sales from Customer Services
Ludowici to substitute 3rd party screens and wear parts sold by FLSmidth in systems and islands in all focus industries
Ludowici integration ahead of plan
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Cross functional integration teams for each business area are established and working effectively
Employee integration in Australia, India China, South Africa, Chile, USA and Peru on schedule and expected to be substantially complete by Q1 2013
Integration of Ludowici manufacturing activities into FLSmidth Super Centers in Chile, Peru, Australia and Tucson ahead of schedule
Supply chain and procurement integration implementation underway and starting to yield results
Successful re-branding and IT migration of FLSmidth Ludowici globally
Ludowici technologies included in larger FLSmidth projects such as the recently announced copper concentrator in Kazakhstan
Market trends
Interim Report Q3 2012
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Continued good underlying demand and order intake
Only minor changes in project pipeline or ongoing dialogue with customers
In the short term, mining companies are likely to remain focused on cash flows and reducing capex programs
In the short term, coal and iron ore seem to be the weakest commodities, whereas copper and gold are expected to hold up
Long term prospects remain encouraging
In Cement, proposal activity remain high in many parts of the World. The US cement market is beginning to see a recovery
What are our expectations for the next couple of quarters?
Coal and iron ore weakest commodities in the short term due to slowing growth in China and declining demand for coal in the USA
Copper and gold are holding up due to different structural supply/demand balance
Historically, FLSmidth has highest exposure to copper and gold, where continued high demand is expected
Brownfield expansions and optimisation projects as well as late-stage greenfield projects are likely to be prioritized over new greenfield projects due to shorter payback
Mining Capex outlook
Mining Capex outlook
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Mining Capex outlook
Have we seen any changes in order activity or customer behaviour?
We have noticed public announcements of changed capex budgets, but have seen no significant changes in relation to our proposal hotlist so far
Once investments have been made in infrastructure, mining companies will most certainly also invest in equipment to get a return on investment
Therefore, mining equipment suppliers are typically late-cyclical by nature
Mining Capex outlook
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80-90% of CAPEX associated with greenfield plants relates to infrastructure, whereas equipmentonly accounts for 10-20% of the total investment
7 January 2013
What if Mining Capex drops significantly in 2013?Mining capex is not just mining capex! The good projects will still be developed and investments will still be made in maintaining and optimising existing operations. Especially, copper and gold projects are likely to continue
Experiences from 2008/2009?Cancellations happens very rarely, and only 3% of the order backlog was cancelled in late 2008
Another 10% of the order backlog was put on hold, but restarted again at a later stage
We were able to bridge the downturn and maintain a stable EBIT margin of 9-10% throughout the cycle due to a high backlog and a flexible cost structure
Mining Capex outlook
Mining Capex outlook
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Future Outlook
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Long term financial targets (unchanged)
Future Outlook
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 29
Financial targets
Annual revenue growth Above market averageEBITA margin 10-13%Equity ratio >30%Financial gearing (NIBD/EBITDA) <2Pay-out ratio 30-50%CFFI (excl. acquisitions) DKK -700m to -900m
The Board will be considering and adopting new financial targets for Return on Capital Employed in connection with the Annual Report for 2012
Group Guidance 2012 Actual2011
Revenue DKK 25-26bn1) DKK 22bn
EBITA ratio 10%2) 10.9%
EBIT ratio 8%3) 9.9%
Tax rate 30-32% 31%
CFFI (excl. acquisitions and their subsequent Capex needs) DKK -900m DKK -733m
Group guidance 2012 clarified
Future Outlook
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 30
1) Continuing activities - excluding Cembrit, and including Ludowici as of 3 July 20122) Previous EBITA-margin expectation of ≥10% clarified at 10% in Q3 3) EBIT-margin expectation reduced in Q2 due to write-down of capitalized R&D costs of DKK
188m. Previous EBIT-margin expectation of 8-9% clarified at 8% in Q3.
Jørgen Huno Rasmussen to retire mid 2013, 10 years after agreeing to join FLSmidth
Thomas Schulz to be appointed new CEO no later than 1 June 2013:
47 years old and German citizen
MSc & PhD in Engineering with a dissertation in Mineral Mining and Quarrying
Employed by Sandvik (Svedala Industries) since 1998, most recently as President of ‘Construction’ and member of Sandvik's Executive Management Group
CEO succession plan
CEO succession plan
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 31
Key take-awaysContinued strong order intake, especially in Customer Services
Order prospects continue to be good, particularly in Copper and Gold
Our order book is robust and provides high visibility well into 2013
Work to do on capital efficiency and execution in Material Handling
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Back-up slidesSegment information
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Customer Services
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Customer Services
Customer Services
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(DKKm) Q3 2012
Q3 2011 Change Q1-Q3
2012Q1-Q3
2011 Change Full-year2011
Expected trendin 2012
Order intake 3,345 1,270 +163% 6,760 3,983 +70% 5,271 Strongly increasingOder backlog 7,909 6,290 +26% 7,909 6,290 +26% 6,082
Revenue 1,968 1,404 +40% 4,944 3,708 +33% 5,259 Strongly increasingEBITDA 258 253 +2% 695 622 +12% 882
EBITA 226 240 -6% 637 583 +9% 838
EBITA margin 11.5% 17.1% 12.9% 15.7% 15.9% Slightly decreasing1)
EBIT 199 238 -16% 5282) 577 -9% 832
EBIT margin 10.1 17.0% 10.7%2) 15.6% 15.8%
1) Previous expectation: Stable2) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2 of approximately DKK 60m
Very strong order intake in Q3 reflects continued good market conditions and a new seven year O&M contract exceeding DKK 1.1bn
Clear pattern of increasing quarterly revenue over the calendar year
Margin adversely impacted by one-off costs related to acquisitions
Strong growth in order intake and revenue
Customer Services
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 36
Revenue (quarterly)DKKm EBITA margin+40% vs. Q3 2011
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order intake (quarterly)+163% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
8 Service Supercenters in the pipeline
Customer Services
37SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue
Chile, Peru and Australia in operation in 2012
7 January 2013
Material Handling (previously Bulk Materials)
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Material Handling Division
Material Handling
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(DKKm) Q3 2012
Q3 2011 Change Q1-Q3
2012Q1-Q3
2011 Change Full-year2011
Expected trendin 2012
Order intake 1,675 1,357 +23% 3,890 4,259 -9% 5,482 IncreasingOder backlog 5,514 5,416 +2% 5,514 5,416 +2% 5,136
Revenue 1,340 1,248 +7% 3,671 3,234 +14% 5,005 IncreasingEBITDA -29 105 n/a 27 114 -76% 276
EBITA -42 91 n/a -9 88 n/a 225
EBITA margin -3.1% 7.3% -0.2% 2.7% 4.5% DecreasingEBIT -60 67 n/a -44 33 n/a 146
EBIT margin -4.5% 5.4% -1.2% 1.0% 2.9%
Weak short term outlook for Material Handling, but large growth potential
Prudent tender approach
Primary focus on improved operational excellence
Good order intake but execution challenges
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 40
Revenue (quarterly)DKKm EBITA margin+7% vs. Q3 2011
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order intake (quarterly)+23% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
-4%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Material Handling
Tight focus on execution challenges in Material Handling
Material Handling
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 41
Material Handling is the youngest and less mature business area, originating from a handful acquired specialised product companies. These companies work together in a global organisation to provide customers with innovative and value-adding material handling solutions.
The organisation has lagged adequate project execution skills and know-how to handle a sharply increasing business volume
As a consequence, Material Handling has faced challenges related to project execution...
..stemming from underestimated risks in connection with orders received in previous years...
..combined with lack of timely handling and mitigation hereof
A number of initiatives have been put in place, including:
Transfer of project management know-how and best practices from other divisions
New division head and member of Group Executive Management, Carsten Lund took office on 1 July 2012 and has relocated to Wadgassen in Germany, where the Material Handling Technology Centre is based
Strengthened divisional Management Group
Mineral Processing (previously Non-Ferrous)
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 42
Mineral Processing
Mineral Processing
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 43
(DKKm) Q3 2012
Q3 2011 Change Q1-Q3
2012Q1-Q3
2011 Change Full-year2011
Expected trendin 2012
Order intake 2,598 3,222 -19% 7,849 7,223 9% 9,731 Strongly increasingOder backlog 9,929 8,482 17% 9,929 8,482 17% 8,779
Revenue 2,375 1,838 29% 6,154 4,264 44% 6,766 Strongly increasingEBITDA 240 246 -2% 596 501 19% 859
EBITA 215 238 10% 543 470 16% 815
EBITA margin 9.1% 13.0% 8.8% 11.0% 12.0% Slightly decreasingEBIT 164 204 -20% 3471) 377 -8% 689
EBIT margin 6.9% 11.1% 5.6%1) 8.8% 10.2%
1) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2 of approximately DKK 60m
Stable quarterly order intake
Exploration efforts are shifting to areas with more favourable investment climates such as Africa, Mexico, Canada and the CIS countries
Margin slightly under pressure due to one-off costs related to acquisitions as well as run-off of good margin orders taken in pre-crisis years
Continued strong order intake and revenue growth
Mineral Processing
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 44
Revenue (quarterly)DKKm EBITA margin+29% vs. Q3 2011
0%3%6%9%12%15%18%
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,000
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,500
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order intake (quarterly)-19% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
Products no longer the end but the means:
Islands– plant engineering, third party auxiliary products
Systems EPS – “Bundled Islands” w/ Material Handling
Systems EPC – “Bundled Islands” w/ Material Handling, civil and construction (future)
Life cycle support – O&M, Super Centers
Flexible approach – customers choose
Extended the scope and ”One Source” offerings
Mineral Processing
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 45
Single Machines
Uncover the potentialby extending our scope
7 January 2013
Crushing Milling Flotation Thickening Filtration ScreeningExtended
Scope Supply
1. Concentrators2. Gold Plants
(excluding Heap Leach)3. Iron Ore Beneficiation Plants
Concentrator Technology GroupSulfide and other ores of – Copper · Gold · Iron Ore · Platinum · Lead/Zinc · Molybdenum · Nickel
Concentrator Product Groups
Concentrator Flowsheets for Extended Scope Supply
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 467 January 2013
GravityConcentration and
LeachingDownstream
Gold ProductsSolvent
Extraction (SX)Electrowinning
(EW)
LudowiciCentrifuges and Reflux Classifier
Decanter Centrifuges
Extended Scope Supply
1. Copper Leach and SX/EW Plants2. Gold Heap Leach, Carbon Columns
Merrill-Crowe3. Coal Preparation Plants 4. Phosphate5. Alumina6. Nickel Laterite
Hydromet Product Groups
Hydromet Technology GroupOxide and other Ores of – Copper · Gold · Coal · Phosphate · Potash · Alumina · Silver · Nickel
Hydromet Flowsheets for Extended Scope Supply
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 477 January 2013
Rotary Kilns Rotary Dryers Preheaters Rotary Coolers Gas Suspension Calciners
Extended Scope Supply
1. Ferronickel2. Petroleum Coke Plants3. Lime Plants
Pyromet Technology Group Oxide Ores & Thermal Treatment – Ferronickel · Alumina · Phosphate · Coke · Lime
Pyromet Product Groups
Pyromet Flowsheets for Extended Scope Supply
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 487 January 2013
Value Chain
FLSmidth
FlowsheetDevelopment,
Plant Design,Extended ScopeSupply
Crushing Milling Flotation Thickening Filtration Screening
Ore CharacterizationMineralogy,Process Dev.
Value Chain
FLSmidth
FlowsheetDevelopment,
Plant Design,Extended ScopeSupply
Gravity Concentrationand Leaching
Downstream Gold Products
SolventExtraction (SX)
Electrowinning(EW) Classification Centrifugation
Ore Characterization Mineralogy,Process Dev.
Value Chain
FLSmidth
FlowsheetDevelopment, Plant Design,Extended ScopeSupply
Rotary
kilns
Rotary
Dryers Preheaters
Rotars
CoolersGasSuspension Calciners
OreCharacterization Mineralogy,Process Dev.
FLSmidth Hydromet and Coal Prep Products
FLSmidth Pyromet Products
FLSmidth Concentrator Products
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 497 January 2013
Competitive landscape
Mining Equipment competition
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 507 January 2013
Cement
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Cement
Cement
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 52
(DKKm) Q3 2012
Q3 2011 Change Q1-Q3
2012Q1-Q3
2011 Change Full-year2011
Expected trendin 2012
Order intake 667 1,507 -56% 3,984 3,324 +20% 4,439 Slightly increasingOder backlog 8,579 7,858 9% 8,579 7,858 9% 7,749
Revenue 905 844 7% 2,716 3,020 -10% 4,354 Slightly increasingEBITDA 214 52 314% 471 308 53% 541
EBITA 208 38 461% 445 264 69% 494
EBITA margin 23.0% 4.5% 16.4% 8.7% 11.3% Slightly increasingEBIT 206 33 541% 3651) 253 44% 475
EBIT margin 22.8% 3.9% 13.4%1)
8.4% 10.9%
1) Including one-off write-down of capitalized R&D costs in Q2 of approximately DKK 60m
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Extraordinary high EBITA margin due to projects being executed better than expected and not least finalisation of projects resulting in reversal of contingencies
Proposal activity remains high in many parts of the world, but decision-making is dragging out
The US cement market is beginning to see a recovery
Weak order intake but solid order execution
Cement
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 53
Revenue (quarterly)DKKm EBITA margin+7% vs. Q3 2011
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
03 2010
Q4 2010
Q1 2011
Q2 2011
Q3 2011
Q4 2011
Q1 2012
Q2 2012
Q3 2012
Order intake (quarterly)-56% vs. Q3 2011DKKm
Japan
Italy
IsraelIran
India
Hungary Hong Kong
Greece
Germany
Georgia
Gabon
FranceEstonia
Czech Republic
Croatia
China
Brazil
Belgium Australia
ArgentinaCanada
Singapore
Saudi Arabia
Russia
RomaniaPoland
Thailand
Tanzania
TaiwanSwitzerland
Sweden
SpainSouth Korea
Slovakia
PhilippinesNigeria
NetherlandsMoroccoMexico
Malaysia
Lithuania
Kenya
1,500
1,000
500
06050403020100
Vietnam
United StatesUnited Kingdom
TurkeyTunisia
Emergingmarkets
Maturemarkets
Maturingmarkets
Cement consumption per capita (2006-2009 avg., in kg)
Real GDP per capita (2006-9 avg., in 2005 kUS $)Note: United Arab Emirates and Norway excluded as outliers
Market drivers and outlook
Cement plants are needed where GDP grows...
547 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue
020406080
100120140160
1990
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Asia (excl. China & India)IndiaRussiaEuropeNorth AmericaLatin AmericaMiddleEastAfrica
mty
Global contracted new kiln capacity (excl. China)
Cement Capex
7 January 2013 55
Global contracted new kiln capacity in 2011: 46 mty (2010: 65 mty)
2012 estimate: 50-60 mty
SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue
The key players on the international market:
FLSmidth, Denmark
Polysius, Germany
KHD, Germany (now partly owned by CATIC, China)
Sinoma, China
FCB, France
CNBM, China
Competitive landscape
Cement Solutions competition
7 January 2013SEB Enskilda Nordic Seminar Prologue 56