florida education data profile - may 2011

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    HOW WELL IS FLORIDAPREPARING ALLSTUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011

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    A high school diploma is no longer enough; now, nearly every good job requires some education beyond high school such as anassociates or bachelors degree, certificate, license, or completionof an apprenticeship or significant on-the-job training.

    Far too many students drop out or graduate from high schoolwithout the knowledge and skills required for success, closing doorsand limiting their post-high school options and opportunities.

    The best way to prepare students for life after high school is to alignK-12 and postsecondary expectations. All students deserve a world-class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.

    Why College- and Career-ReadyExpectations for All?

    2

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    A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NOLONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESSThe changing economy is accelerating theexpectations gap, as careers increasingly requiresome education/training beyond high school,and more developed knowledge and skills.

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    4Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ationR equ ir eme nts Thro ug h 2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce.ww9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf

    Jobs in Todays (and Tomorrows) WorkforceRequire More Education and Training

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    The Rise of Middle-Skill Jobs

    5Source: Holzer, Harry J. and Robert I. Lerman (February 2009). The F ut ur e of Mi ddle-Sk i ll Jobs.B rookings Institution.

    High-skill jobs

    Occupations in the professional/technical and managerial categories.

    Often require four-year degrees and above

    Middle-skill jobs

    Occupations that include clerical, sales, construction, installation/repair,production, and transportation/material moving.

    Low-skill jobs

    Occupations in the service and agricultural categories.

    Often require some education and training beyond high school (buttypically less than a bachelors degree), including associatesdegrees, vocational certificates, significant on-the-job training.

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    Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level

    6Source: National Skills Coalition (2010). The Bri dge to a N ew E c ono my : Wor ke r Trainin g Fi ll s th e Ga p.http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/assets/reports-/the-bridge-to-a-new-economy.pdf ; National Skills Coalition (2011).S tat e Mi ddle Sk i ll Fa c t S hee ts . http://www.nationalskillscoalition.org/resources/fact-sheets/state-fact-sheets/

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    The Jobs of Tomorrow

    9Source: Milano, Jessica,B

    ruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009). A

    Matt e r of Deg r ee s : Tomorro w s Fast e st Gro w ing Jobs an d Why Co mmu nity Co llege Gra du at e s Wi ll Ge t Them . TheNew Democratic Leadership Council.

    Florida should be preparing students for the jobs of tomorrow, not the jobs of yesterday or even today.

    A quarter of American workers are now in jobs not even listed in theCensus B ureaus occupation codes in 1967.

    Given the growth of new job sectors most notably green jobs it iscommon sense to provide all students with a strong foundation thatkeeps all doors open and all opportunities available in the future.

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    The Public Agrees That Education or Training B eyond High Schoolis Necessary for Future Success

    10

    To really get ahead in life, aperson needs at least someeducation beyond highschool, whether that meansuniversity, communitycollege, technical or vocational school.

    To really get ahead inlife, a person needs morethan just a high schooleducation.

    87

    8

    Source: Achieve, Inc. (2010). A c hi ev ing the Possib le: What A me ri c ans Thin k the Co llege an d Car ee r -R e ad y A ge nd a. http://www.achieve.org/files/AchievingThePossible-FinalReport.pdf

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

    11Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported.) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 10 20 30 4 0 50 60% Young Adults (25-3 4 ) with College Degree % Adults (25-6 4 ) with College Degree

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    % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2 )

    - 4 4 - 4 3 -44 2 -34 ALL (2 - 4)

    1 U.S. ( 4 0%) Canada ( 44 %) Canada (5 4 %) Korea (58%) Canada ( 4 9%)

    2 Canada ( 4 0%) Japan ( 4 3%) Japan ( 4 8%) Canada (56%) Japan ( 4 3%)

    3 N.Z. (3 4 %) U.S. ( 4 0%) Finland ( 44 %) Japan (55%) U.S. ( 4 1%)

    4 Finland (29%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. ( 4 3%) N.Z. ( 4 8%) N.Z. ( 4 0%)

    Australia (28%) Finland (37%) Korea ( 4 3%) Norway ( 4 6%) Finland (37%)

    Norway (28%) Australia (33%) N.Z. ( 4 0%) Ireland ( 4 5%) Korea (37%)

    7 Switz. (27%) Denmark (32%) Norway (38%) Denmark ( 4 3%) Norway (36%)

    8 U.K. (27%) Norway (32%) Australia (38%) B elgium ( 4 2%) Australia (36%)

    Sweden (26%) Switz. (31%) Denmark (37%) Australia ( 4 2%) Denmark (3 4 %)

    1 Neth. (26%) Neth. (31%) Ireland (37%) U.S. ( 4 2%) Ireland (3 4 %)

    11 Denmark (26%) Iceland (30%) Switz. (36%) Sweden ( 4 1%) Switz. (3 4 %)12 Japan (26%) U.K. (30%) Iceland (36%) France ( 4 1%) U.K. (33%)

    13 Germany (2 4 %) B elgium (29%) B elgium (35%) Neth. ( 4 0%) B elgium (32%)

    14 Iceland (2 4 %) Sweden (28%) U.K. (33%) Spain (39%) Neth. (32%)

    1 B elgium (22%) Ireland (27%) Sweden (33%) Luxembourg (39%) Sweden (32%)

    4 - 4: Florida (3 % ) FL(38 % ) FL (3 % ) FL (3 % )

    Americas International Edge is Slipping inPostsecondary Degree Attainment

    12Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en ; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2009 AmericanCommunity Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

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    FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROPOUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH

    SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REALWORLD CHALLENGES

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    Of Every 100 9 th Graders in Florida

    14Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008). S t ude nt Pi pel ine - Transition an d Co mple tion Rat e sfrom 9th Gra de to Co llege . http://www.higheredinfo.org

    01020304 05060708090

    100

    9th Graders Grad ateigh hoolin 4 ears

    Enroll inCollege In the

    Fall

    till Enrolledophomore

    ear of College

    Earn aCollegeDegree

    1

    324

    1

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    Achievement Remains Low: 8 th Grade Achievement Over Time

    15Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    8 th Grade Math 1 2 2

    Florida 15% 29%

    U.S. 21% 3 4 %

    8 th Grade Reading 1 8 2

    Florida 23% 32%

    U.S. 33% 32%

    8 th Grade Science 1 2

    Florida 21% 25%

    U.S. 29% 30%

    % At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    And Gaps Persist: Floridas 8 th Grade Achievement Gap

    16Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded fromhttp://nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/naepdata/

    Subgroup8 th Grade Math

    (2 )8 th Grade

    Reading (2 )8 th Grade Science

    (2 )

    All Students 29% 32% 23%

    White 39% 4 0% 36%

    B lack 13% 15% 7%

    Hispanic 22% 27% 17%

    Asian 55% 6 4 % 4 0%

    American Indian n/a n/a n/a

    % At or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP

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    High School Graduation Rates RemainInequitable in Florida

    17Source: Education Week (2007). Gra du ation in th e Unit ed S tat e s .http://www.edweek.org/media/ew/dc/2010/3 4 sos_gradrate.pdf

    0%

    20%

    4 0%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    merica

    I diasia

    Hispa icB lackWhitell

    5 1%

    81 %

    56%5 4%

    77 %69%

    5 1%

    83 %

    5 8%

    5 1%

    6 8%6 2%

    n/a

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    Americas International Edge is Slipping inHigh School Graduation Rates

    18Source: OECD. E duc ation at a G l an ce 2010 . (All rates are self-reported) http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/education/education-at-a-glance-2010_eag-2010-en; National Center for Higher EducationManagement Systems, analysis of 2008 and 2009 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org

    0 20 4 0 60 80 100

    Iceland

    U.K.

    Netherlands

    Norway

    Ireland

    Denmark

    Germany

    Israel

    Canada

    Poland

    Korea

    U.S.

    lorida

    % Young Adults (25-3 4 ) with HS Diploma+ % Adults (25-6 4 ) with HS Diploma+

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness

    19Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee- Grantin g Posts ec ond ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation

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    Enrollment in College Does NOT EqualCollege Readiness in Florida

    20Source: Florida Office of Program Policy Analysis & Government Accountability (July 2008).http://www.oppaga.state.fl.us/MonitorDocs/Reports/pdf/08 4 7rpt.pdf

    Percentage of students at two-year and four-year institutionsrequiring remediation in Florida

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    Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are MoreLikely to Require Remediation

    21Source: National Center for Education Statistics (2003). R emed ial E duc ation at D eg r ee-Grantin g Posts ec ond ary Instit utions in Fa ll 2000.

    0%5%

    0%5%

    20%25%30%

    35%4 0%4 5%

    Reading, Writingor MathReadingWriting

    Math

    42 %

    20 %23%

    35%

    20 %

    6%9%16%

    Public 2-Year Colleges Public 4 -Year Colleges

    Percentage of U.S. first-year students requiring remediation,by institution type

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    Many College Students Fail to Return Their Sophomore Year and Go On To Earn Degrees

    22Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2008).R e t e ntion Rat e s -

    First -Ti me Co llege Fr e sh me n R e t urning The ir Sec ond Y e ar ; Gra du ation Rat e s .http://www.higheredinfo.org/

    U.S.

    Florida

    0%10%20%30%4 0%50%60%70%80%

    Completion ( 4 -Year)Persistence ( 4 -

    Year)Persistence (2-Year)

    56%

    75%

    5 4% 5 1%

    7 %

    6 2%

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    Many College Students Fail to Earn aDegree in Florida

    23Source: NCES. IPED S Gra du ation Rat e Su r ve y , analyzed by National Center for Management of Higher Education Systems.

    Percent of students earning a bachelorsdegree within six years in Florida, 2 7

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    The Majority of Graduates Would Have TakenHarder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics

    24Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies (2005). Risin g to th e Cha llenge: A r e H i g h Sc hoo l Gra du at e s Pr ep ar ed for Co llege an d Wor k ? Washington, DC: Achieve.

    Would have takenmore challengingcourses in at leastone area

    Math

    Science

    English

    Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work

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    A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANTHIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL

    OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS AND KEEP THEM OPEN

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    26

    Personal B enefits of Education in Florida

    While there may be jobs available to high school dropouts andgraduates, they often pay l and off r l c rit y than jobsheld by those with at least some postsecondary experience.

    The link between educational attainment and gainful employmentis clear:

    More education is associated with higher earnings and higher rates of employment.

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    27Source: U.S. Census B ureau (2010). C urr e nt Po pul ation Su r ve y . Figures are based on the total personsin the civilian labor force. http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/cpstc/cps_table_creator.html

    Personal B enefits of Education in Florida

    F l ori d a S tatisti c s : Tota l Unempl oy me nt : 11% , M e an In c ome: $40 ,921

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    28Source:Carnevale, Anthony P. et al. (June 2010). Help Want ed: Proj ec tions of Jobs an d E duc ation R equ ir eme nts Thro ug h

    2018. Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. www9.georgetown.edu/grad/gppi/hpi/cew/pdfs/FullReport.pdf Analysis based on authors analysis of March 2008 CPS data.

    B enefits to Education

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    29Source: ACT (2010). A CT 2009 R e s ul ts . http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html ; College B oard. M e an 2010 S A T Sc or e s by S tat e . http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/2010-sat-trends.pdf

    Floridas Students Taking College Admissions Exams

    2 1 Florida U.S.

    Participation in ACT 65% 4 7%

    Average ACT Score 19.5 21

    Participation in SAT 59% 4 7%

    Average SAT Score 14 73 1509

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    30Source: ACT (2010). Co llege R e ad ine ss B e nc hmar k A ttainme nt by S tat e .http://www.act.org/news/data/10/benchmarks.html?utm_campaign=cccr10&utm_source=data10_leftnav&utm_medium=web#benchmark

    Students Meeting College ReadinessB enchmark

    0%10%20%30%

    4 0%50%

    0%70%

    English, 2010Reading, 2010Math, 2010Science, 2010

    All 4 tests, 2010

    66%

    5 2%

    43 %

    29%24 %

    5 4%

    43 %

    34 %

    2 %16%

    Percentage of ACT-tested graduates who met or exceeded the College Readiness Benchmark score

    Not e: A be nc hmar k s c or e ind i c at e s a 50% c han ce of obtainin g a B or hi g he r or abo u t a 75% c han ce of obtainin g a C or hi g he r in the c orr e s pon d ing c r ed it -be arin g c ollege c ours e s.

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    31Source: College B oard (2011). A P R ep ort to th e Nation.http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/7th-annual-ap-report-to-the-nation-2011.pdf

    Students Participating in AdvancedPlacement and Exceeding College andCareer Readiness

    Percent of all 12th Graders Participating inAdvanced Placement (2 8)

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    THE SOLUTION:STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE

    EXPECTATIONS GAPAll students deserve a world-class education thatprepares them for college, careers and life.

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    The College- and Career-Ready Agenda

    33

    Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.Align high school standards with the demands of collegeand careers.

    Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.Require students to take a college- and career-readycurriculum to earn a high school diploma.

    Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.Build college- and career-ready measures into statewidehigh school assessment systems.

    Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.Develop reporting and accountability systems thatpromote college and career readiness.

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    Floridas Commitment to Closing theExpectations Gap to Date

    34

    In 2 9 Florida adopted PK-12 academic standards aligned with college-and career-ready expectations.

    Florida adopted the Common Core State Standards in July 2 1 .

    In 2 1 , Florida instituted new graduation rules, raising their high school

    graduation requirements to the college- and career-ready level.Florida was a Round 2 winner of the Race to the Top state competition.

    Florida is a Governing State in and the Fiscal Agent for the Partnershipfor Assessment of Readiness for College and Careers (PARCC), aconsortium of states working to develop a common assessment system

    using Race to the Top Common Assessment funds.Floridas longitudinal data system satisfies all ten essential Data QualityCampaign elements, including the matching of student-level K-12 andpostsecondary data, providing a foundation for strong and soundstudent-level data collection.

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    How Florida Can Continue to B uildon its Momentum

    35

    Leverage Race to the Top funds to advance the states college- andcareer-ready agenda, and build support structures for students to ensurethey are fully prepared to meet the raised expectations.

    Realize the promise of the Common Core State Standards byimplementing them fully and successfully, taking into consideration the

    related curricular and policy changes.Remain committed to the goals of PARCC and developing a next-generation, computer-based assessment system anchored by college-and career-ready tests in high school that will let students know if theyare ready for college-level coursework and measure the full range of theCommon Core State Standards.

    Sustain funding for professional development and instructionalresources to support teachers and classroom learning.

    Continue to improve the states K-12 accountability system so that itrewards measures of college and career readiness.

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    HOW WELL IS FLORIDAPREPARING ALLSTUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,CAREERS AND LIFE

    May 2011