florida apartment overview presented by: byron moger executive director florida apartment brokerage...
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Florida ApartmentOverviewPresented By:Byron MogerExecutive DirectorFlorida Apartment Brokerage ServicesCushman & Wakefield of Florida, Inc.
2Global C&W Locations
3ABS C&W Locations
4Florida ABS C&W Locations
5Economic Overview
EMPLOYMENT
Oct - 09 Oct - 10
Percentage Growth
2009-2010
Miami - Ft. Lauderdale - Pompano Beach MSA 2,542,854 2,555,440 0.5%
Tampa- St. Petersburg - Clearwater MSA 1,157,116 1,149,988 -0.6%
Orlando - Kissimmee MSA 995,302 1,000,766 0.5%
Jacksonville MSA 611,984 609,963 -0.3%
Statewide 5,307,166 5,316,157 0.1%
SOURCE: Florida Agency for Workforce Innovation
2009Percentage
of Total
Miami - Ft. Lauderdale - Pompano Beach MSA 5,445,714 29.38%
Tampa- St. Petersburg - Clearwater MSA 2,747,272 14.82%
Orlando - Kissimmee MSA 2,082,421 11.23%
Jacksonville MSA 1,328,144 7.16%
Statewide 18,537,969
SOURCE: US Census
POPULATION
6Economic Overview
CONDOMINIUMS (Median Sale Prices)
Oct - 06 Oct -
10
Percentage Growth
2006-2010
Miami $250,000 $107,700 -59.92%
Tampa- St. Petersburg - Clearwater $159,900 $81,600 -48.97%
Orlando $163,800 $50,700 -69.05%
Jacksonville $152,600 $66,400 -56.49%
Statewide $209,200 $82,400 -60.61%
SOURCE: Florida Association of Realtors
SINGLE-FAMILY, EXISTING HOMES (Median Sales Prices)
Oct - 06 Oct -
10
Percentage Growth
2006-2010
Miami $356,000 $199,100 -44.07%
Tampa- St. Petersburg - Clearwater $225,800 $137,900 -38.93%
Orlando $267,100 $130,800 -51.03%
Jacksonville $197,900 $141,000 -28.75%
Statewide $242,500 $136,000 -43.67%
SOURCE: Florida Association of Realtors
7Supply
BUY AT A6% CAP RATE
Or
BUILD TO AN8% CAP RATE
8Florida Average Apartment Price Per Unit
HISTORICAL COMPARISON
9US Interest Rates & Florida Cap Rates
7/16/2
007
9/2/2
007
10/20/2
007
12/7/2
007
1/24/2
008
3/12/2
008
4/29/2
008
6/16/2
008
8/3/2
008
9/20/2
008
11/7/2
008
12/25/2
008
2/11/2
009
3/31/2
009
5/18/2
009
7/5/2
009
8/22/2
009
10/9/2
009
11/26/2
009
1/13/2
010
3/2/2
010
4/19/2
010
6/6/2
010
7/24/2
010
9/10/2
010
10/28/2
0100.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
10 yr Treasury All - In Loan Rate Class A Cap Rate
10
Apartment Sales Volume by Metropolitan Area
FLORIDA MULTIFAMILY
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics, C&W Capital Markets Group
11Florida Distress Sales
AS A PERCENT OF TOTAL
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics
12US Monthly Apartment Distress Volume
CUMULATIVE DISTRESS
J '08
F M A M J J A S O N D J '09
F M A M J J A S O N D J '10
F M A M J J A S O$0
$10,000,000,000
$20,000,000,000
$30,000,000,000
$40,000,000,000
$50,000,000,000
$60,000,000,000
Total Outstanding Distress
Troubled REO Restructured Resolved
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics
13US Monthly Apartment Distress Volume
ADDITIONS & REDUCTIONS TO DISTRESS
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics, C&W’s Capital Markets Group
J '08
F M A M J J A S O N D J '09
F M A M J J A S O N D J '10
F M A M J J A S O-$3,000,000,000
-$2,000,000,000
-$1,000,000,000
$0
$1,000,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$4,000,000,000
$5,000,000,000
$6,000,000,000
$7,000,000,000
Monthly Additions and Reductions to Distress
Net Change to DistressNet Change to DistressWorkoutsAdditions
14Florida 2010 Top 10 Buyers
FLORIDA
Buyer Capital GroupAcquisitions (In Mil.)
Number of Properties
Avg. Price (in
Mil.)TA Realty Institutional 139.9 3 46.6
Covenant Capital Group Private 60.6 3 20.2
DeBartolo Development Private 31.7 3 10.6
Fred Cochran Private 22.7 3 7.6
Group LSR Private 9.7 3 3.2
Invesco Real Estate Institutional 113.3 2 56.7Gulfstream Capital Partners
Private 87 2 43.5
Area Property Partners Equity Fund 84.8 2 42.4
TGM Associates Institutional 73 2 36.5
Praedium Group Equity Fund 61.6 2 30.8
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics
152010 Top 10 Sellers
FLORIDA
SOURCE: Real Capital Analytics
Seller Capital GroupDispositio
ns (In Mil.)
Number of
Properties
Avg. Price (in Mil.)
AIMCO Public 85 5 17
Related Companies Private 440 3 146.7
Prudential RE Advisors Institutional 173.5 3 57.8
BF Group Private 67.2 3 22.4
FL Housing Finance Group User/ Other 33.4 3 11.1
Ocean Bank Institutional 23.1 3 7.7
Baucher & Co. Private 9.7 3 3.2
Bank of America Institutional 152.1 2 76
Fidelity Investments Institutional 93.6 2 46.8
Epoch Properties Private 85.8 2 42.9
16
THANK YOU