flexibility and robustness as options to reduce uncertainty
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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\ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtzmw ovtjokw to |nd~gn ~kgn|tmjktz mkd |jwe
@mk B~wdmi
Hoidn ^kjsn|wjtz Goiinan) Hoidn) Ko|qmzDngnhln|
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ "
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ "
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B~wdmi) @+ "* v~tw jt) cinrjljijtz jw tbn jkbn|nkt gmvmljijtz to hodjcz m voijgz tomggohhodmtn mkd w~ggnwwc~iiz mdmvt to w~gb gbmkanw) qbn|nmw |ol~wtknww |ncn|w to tbnmljijtz to nkd~|n w~gb gbmkanw+
Cja~|n =0 Tbn v|jkgjvmi djccn|nkgn lntqnnk |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz+\ol~wtknww "mlosn* hnmkw tbn mljijtz to wtmz ok go~|wn mkd to mggohhodmtn ~kco|nwnnk nrtn|kmi nsnktw"jkdjgmtnd lz m||oqw*+ Cinrjljijtz "lnioq* hnmkw tbn mljijtz to mggohhodmtn ~kco|nwnnk nrtn|kmi nsnktw lz
gbmkajka t|mgew qbjin lnjka ovnk to dnsjmtn c|oh tbn jkjtjmi go~|wn+
Cja~|n = jii~wt|mtnw tbn tn|hw |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz+ \ol~wtknww hnmkw tbn mljijtz to wtmzok go~|wn mkd to mggohhodmtn ~kco|nwnnk goktjkankt nsnktw+ Cinrjljijtz hnmkw tbn mljijtz tomggohhodmtn ~kco|nwnnk nrtn|kmi nsnktw lz gbmkajka t|mgew mkd lnjka ovnk to dnsjmtnc|oh tbn jkjtjmi go~|wn+ Jk |nmijtz ko wt|mtnaz wbo~id ln l~jit ok v~|n |ol~wtknww o| v~|ncinrjljijtz) l~t wbo~id ln m hn|an| oc lotb+
4 Boq to hmen dngjwjokw?Hmejka dngjwjokw qbnk cmgnd qjtb ~kgn|tmjktjnw jw m djccjg~it tmwe+ Tbn coiioqjka jw mdnwg|jvtjok oc wohn oc tbn tooiw tbmt m|n msmjimlin co| dngjwjok w~vvo|t+ Mamjk) jt jw kot mknrbm~wtjsn ijwt) hn|niz m wbo|tijwt oc tbn howt ~wnd hntbodw+
4+= Wgnkm|jo mkmizwjw
Okn qmz to bmkdin ~kgn|tmjktjnw jw to ~wn wgnkm|jo mkmizwjw) mvvizjka tbn gokgnvt ocnrvngtnd smi~nw+ Tbjw t~|kw wtogbmwtjg sm|jmlinw jkto dntn|hjkjwtjg vm|mhntn|w+ Okn ginm|mdsmktman oc tbjw hntbod jw tbmt tbn o~tgohn oc m im|an k~hln| oc vowwjlin jkv~tw o|dngjwjokw gmk ln mkmizwnd+ ^wjka wgnkm|jo mkmizwjw) tbn w~vvowndiz howt ijeniz) o| howtnrvngtnd) c~t~|n gmk ln dntn|hjknd) mkd jkjtjmi dngjwjokw hmdn mggo|djkaiz+ Tbn doqkwjdn oc
wgnkm|jo mkmizwjw jw jtw jkmljijtz to bmkdin goktjkankt dngjwjokw tbmt m|jwn qjtbjk tbn wgnkm|jo+Wo) okgn tbn wgnkm|jo jw dntn|hjknd) mkd dngjwjokw hmdn) mkd tbn c~t~|n wtm|tw |~kkjka)tbn|n jw v|mgtjgmiiz ko qmz oc |nt~|kjka mkd hmejka m djccn|nkt dngjwjok) gn|tmjkiz kot qjtbo~tvmzjka m bnctz v|jgn+ Jk mddjtjok) tbn howt ijeniz wgnkm|jo hmz kot ln tbn ovtjhmi woi~tjok+
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ "
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ "
gmk ln ~wnd to |nd~gn ~kgn|tmjktz o| mdmvt to jt+ Kotn tbn djwtjkgtjok lntqnnk |nd~gtjok mkdmdmvtmtjok tbmt gim|jcjnw tbn djccn|nkgn lntqnnk |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz+ \ol~wtknww|nd~gnw ~kgn|tmjktz lngm~wn kngnwwm|z wtnvw m|n tmenk to hjkjhjwn tbn "~kqmktnd* nccngtwoc ~kgn|tmjktz+ Cinrjljijtz donw kot hjkjhjwn tbn nccngtw vn| wn) l~t "wjhviz* mdmvtw to jt+Cinrjljijtz hnmkw tbn mljijtz to gbmkan o| |nmgt qbnk kngnwwm|z "E~) =::>*5 |ol~wtknwwhnmkw tbn mlwnkgn oc m knnd to gbmkan o| |nmgt "v+ 4=7*+
Cja~|n
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ " W~vvizjka mkd v~|gbmwjka
To |nd~gn tbn |jwew) wnsn|mi tzvnw oc gokt|mgtw h~wt ln wo~abt) lotb ioka(tn|h mkd wbo|t(
tn|h) tbmt gmk ln gmkgniind jc gokdjtjokw t~|k ~kcmso~|mlin) j+n+ jc tbn nrgbmkan |mtn w~ddnkizd|ovw mkd v|ocjtw djhjkjwb+ Mvvizjka co|qm|dw mkd c~t~|nw jw mkotbn| hntbod co| wng~|jka ma~m|mktnnd c~t~|n gmwb cioq+
1 Gokgi~wjokM wt|mtnaz co| |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz h~wt ln jknrt|jgmliz ijkend to tbn wt|mtnajnw co| miil~wjknww m|nmw) qbjgb knnd to goktmjk hnmw~|nw oc |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz) mkd jt jw tbnjktn|mgtjok oc tbn jkdjsjd~mi |ol~wtknww mkd cinrjljijtz oc tbnwn l~wjknww m|nmw tbmt dntn|hjknwboq |ol~wt mkd cinrjlin qn m|n mw m gohvmkz+ Cinrjljijtz mkd |ol~wtknww gohn mt m gowt+ Jkmkz gmwn) jt h~wt ln dntn|hjknd qbntbn| cinrjljijtz o| |ol~wtknww jw tbn lnttn| ovtjok+
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8/14/2019 Flexibility and Robustness as Options to reduce Uncertainty
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B~wdmi) @+ "* Hodniijka ^kgn|tmjktz jk Ningt|jgjtz Gmvmgjtz Vimkkjka+ ^kv~lijwbnd VbD tbnwjw+Iokdok L~wjknww Wgbooi) Iokdok) ^E+ Msmjimlin mt qqq+mkmiztjgmi}+goh/tbnwjw/gb3+vdc"Imwt mggnwwnd =6 Dng