first industrial realty trust november 20, 2008 brian bird ryan foelske

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Page 1: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

First Industrial Realty Trust

November 20, 2008

Brian BirdRyan Foelske

Page 2: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Overview

• Company Overview

• Industry Overview

• Macroeconomic

• Financials

• Valuation

• RCMP Portfolio

• Recommendation

Page 3: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Company Overview

• Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois• First Industrial Realty-Trust (FR), founded in

1994, is an established REIT and owner of industrial real estate serving customers worldwide.

• FR engages in the buying, selling, leasing, development and management of industrial real estate solutions for every stage of the industrial supply chain.

• Their mission is to create industrial real estate solutions that mutually benefit their customers and their investors.

Page 4: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Description of a REIT

• A Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is a company that owns and operates income-producing real estates.

• REITs’ shares are traded publicly on major stock exchanges, giving anyone the ability to invest in large-scale real estate.

• REITs are required to distribute 90% of their taxable income annually in the form of dividends, giving high yields to its investors

• Diversification advantage of REIT• Give individual investors opportunity to access real

estate market• Typically, relatively low correlation between REITs

and other stocks and bonds

Page 5: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

First Industrial’s Portfolio

From FR Annual Report

Page 6: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Industry Overview

• Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): a company that owns and operates income-producing real estate.

• REIT shares are publicly traded on major stock exchanges, giving anyone the ability to invest in large-scale real estate.

• REITs are required to distribute 90% of their annual income in the form of dividends, giving high dividend yields to its investors.

• Diversification advantage of REIT• Give individual investors opportunity to access

real estate market.• Fairly low correlation between REITs and other

risky assets.

Page 7: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Macroeconomic Outlook

• Increasing borrowing rates make expanding property holdings more difficult.

• Decline in property values means fewer will be sold, especially at a gain.

• Ability to meet current debt obligations in question as sale of property is a major part of income.

Page 8: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Macroeconomic Outlook

• Customers (occupants) of industrial property having financial issues:

– Automotive Manufacturers downsizing if not heading towards bankruptcy.

– Retail Industry expecting declining sales, meaning less need for warehouses.

Page 9: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

SWOT Analysis

Strengths:Geographic Diversification

Most debt not mature until 2011

Large in-place joint ventures

Weaknesses:Large amounts of debt

Poor credit rating

Small player in industry

Opportunities:Purchase undervalued property

Continue to grow revenues related to contracting

Threats:Ability to raise capital

Meeting current debt obligations without selling properties at huge losses

Page 10: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Relative Valuation

FR PLD AMB DRE

Market Cap (Millions)

226.05 908.78 1,100.00 897.37

P/E 1.60 1.63 4.80 9.76

P/B 0.24 0.13 0.44 0.49

P/S 0.52 0.24 1.89 0.91

Book/Share 21.70 27.50 25.38 12.52

Page 11: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Relative ValuationFootball Chart

4.76

2.73

2.99

2.00

9.56

12.52

12.00

17.60

29.01

10.57

23.54

27.50

-1.00 4.00 9.00 14.00 19.00 24.00 29.00 34.00

P/E

P/B

P/S

Book/Share

DDM

DCF

Price

$2.75 $10.57

Page 12: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Current Position

• Purchased on Dec 10, 1999– 500 shares at $24.625 and 500 shares for

$24.75– Original Book Value of $24,687.50

• The current stock price is $5.88– Unrealized loss of $18,807.50

• 82.6 % Held by insiders

Page 13: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Portfolio CompositionPortfolio Composition

AEE12%

AEO10%

CPRT9%

DO7%

FR5%JKHY

6%

KMB16%

SRCL22%

WAG11%

WFR2%

Page 14: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Portfolio Correlation

Page 15: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Income Statement

From FR Supplemental Info

Page 16: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Debt Maturity Schedule• DEBT MATURITY• Debt Maturity By Year as of 9/30/08

– 2008 884– 2009 33,297– 2010 15,815– 2011 407,657– 2012 601,028– 2013 2,523– 2014 148,334– 2015 1,704– 2016 196,594– 2017 219,968– 2018 4,388– Thereafter 269,124– Total Debt $ 2,001,316

From FR Supplemental Info

Page 17: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

WACC

Weight CostEquity 10.36% 14.20% Risk Free Rate 0.04Debt 89.64% 10.00% Beta 1.7

WACC 10.43499% Mkt Risk Prem. 0.06

Page 18: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Calculating Revenue

Values assumed are the minimum values the company needs to remain profitable.

Page 19: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Valuation

Values assumed are the minimum values the company needs to remain profitable.

Page 20: First Industrial Realty Trust November 20, 2008 Brian Bird Ryan Foelske

Recommendation

• We recommend a market sale of 1000 shares of First Industrial. It is our belief that the values assumed are not capable under current economic conditions.

• This yielded an approximate loss of $18,807.50