first industrial realty trust november 20, 2008 brian bird ryan foelske
TRANSCRIPT
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First Industrial Realty Trust
November 20, 2008
Brian BirdRyan Foelske
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Overview
• Company Overview
• Industry Overview
• Macroeconomic
• Financials
• Valuation
• RCMP Portfolio
• Recommendation
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Company Overview
• Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois• First Industrial Realty-Trust (FR), founded in
1994, is an established REIT and owner of industrial real estate serving customers worldwide.
• FR engages in the buying, selling, leasing, development and management of industrial real estate solutions for every stage of the industrial supply chain.
• Their mission is to create industrial real estate solutions that mutually benefit their customers and their investors.
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Description of a REIT
• A Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is a company that owns and operates income-producing real estates.
• REITs’ shares are traded publicly on major stock exchanges, giving anyone the ability to invest in large-scale real estate.
• REITs are required to distribute 90% of their taxable income annually in the form of dividends, giving high yields to its investors
• Diversification advantage of REIT• Give individual investors opportunity to access real
estate market• Typically, relatively low correlation between REITs
and other stocks and bonds
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First Industrial’s Portfolio
From FR Annual Report
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Industry Overview
• Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT): a company that owns and operates income-producing real estate.
• REIT shares are publicly traded on major stock exchanges, giving anyone the ability to invest in large-scale real estate.
• REITs are required to distribute 90% of their annual income in the form of dividends, giving high dividend yields to its investors.
• Diversification advantage of REIT• Give individual investors opportunity to access
real estate market.• Fairly low correlation between REITs and other
risky assets.
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Macroeconomic Outlook
• Increasing borrowing rates make expanding property holdings more difficult.
• Decline in property values means fewer will be sold, especially at a gain.
• Ability to meet current debt obligations in question as sale of property is a major part of income.
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Macroeconomic Outlook
• Customers (occupants) of industrial property having financial issues:
– Automotive Manufacturers downsizing if not heading towards bankruptcy.
– Retail Industry expecting declining sales, meaning less need for warehouses.
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SWOT Analysis
Strengths:Geographic Diversification
Most debt not mature until 2011
Large in-place joint ventures
Weaknesses:Large amounts of debt
Poor credit rating
Small player in industry
Opportunities:Purchase undervalued property
Continue to grow revenues related to contracting
Threats:Ability to raise capital
Meeting current debt obligations without selling properties at huge losses
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Relative Valuation
FR PLD AMB DRE
Market Cap (Millions)
226.05 908.78 1,100.00 897.37
P/E 1.60 1.63 4.80 9.76
P/B 0.24 0.13 0.44 0.49
P/S 0.52 0.24 1.89 0.91
Book/Share 21.70 27.50 25.38 12.52
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Relative ValuationFootball Chart
4.76
2.73
2.99
2.00
9.56
12.52
12.00
17.60
29.01
10.57
23.54
27.50
-1.00 4.00 9.00 14.00 19.00 24.00 29.00 34.00
P/E
P/B
P/S
Book/Share
DDM
DCF
Price
$2.75 $10.57
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Current Position
• Purchased on Dec 10, 1999– 500 shares at $24.625 and 500 shares for
$24.75– Original Book Value of $24,687.50
• The current stock price is $5.88– Unrealized loss of $18,807.50
• 82.6 % Held by insiders
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Portfolio CompositionPortfolio Composition
AEE12%
AEO10%
CPRT9%
DO7%
FR5%JKHY
6%
KMB16%
SRCL22%
WAG11%
WFR2%
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Portfolio Correlation
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Income Statement
From FR Supplemental Info
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Debt Maturity Schedule• DEBT MATURITY• Debt Maturity By Year as of 9/30/08
– 2008 884– 2009 33,297– 2010 15,815– 2011 407,657– 2012 601,028– 2013 2,523– 2014 148,334– 2015 1,704– 2016 196,594– 2017 219,968– 2018 4,388– Thereafter 269,124– Total Debt $ 2,001,316
From FR Supplemental Info
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WACC
Weight CostEquity 10.36% 14.20% Risk Free Rate 0.04Debt 89.64% 10.00% Beta 1.7
WACC 10.43499% Mkt Risk Prem. 0.06
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Calculating Revenue
Values assumed are the minimum values the company needs to remain profitable.
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Valuation
Values assumed are the minimum values the company needs to remain profitable.
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Recommendation
• We recommend a market sale of 1000 shares of First Industrial. It is our belief that the values assumed are not capable under current economic conditions.
• This yielded an approximate loss of $18,807.50