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Financing Options for India/LATAM Investments
Abril 2010
1) An Overview of India/LATAM Investment Opportunities;
2) Financing Options in Brazil;
3) Recommendations as requested by CII Committee;
4) NLP Team Credentials.
Introduction
This presentation aims to present:
3
I. Overview of India/LATAM Opportunities
Overview of Region: Brazil
Brazil
GDP: US$ 1,994 trillions
2008 GDP Growth: 5,1%
Population: 189,6 millions
MacroeconomicOverview
5
GDP (2008): $1.994 tr
Agriculture . . . . 5.5%
Industry . . . . . 28.7%
Serrvices . . . . . 65.8%
% increase in GDP (est. 2009): 2.1%
Annual Inflation (2008): 4.46%
Exports (US$): $197.9 bi
Population: 190 mi
GDP per Capita: US$10,551
Other LATAM Countries –Argentina and Chile
Argentina
2008 GDP: US$ 338.7 billion
2008 GDP Growth Rate:
6.5%
Population: 39.7 million
Agribusiness
Retail
Growth Areas:
Chile
2008 GDP: US$ 181.5 billion
2008 GDP Growth Rate:
4.5%
Population: 16.6 million
Spanish Language IT/BPO Solutions
Mining
Forestry
Growth Areas:
6
Other LATAM Countries –Peru and Colombia
Peru
2008 GDP: US$ 131.4 billion
2008 GDP Growth Rate:
9.2%
Population: 28.7 million
Infra Projects – Energy
Telecom
Mining
Growth Areas:
Colombia
2008 GDP: US$ 249.8 billion
2008 GDP Growth Rate:
4.0%
Population: 44.4 million
Infra Projects – Energy
Mining
Telecom
Growth Areas:
7
Óleo & Gás Brazil as Export Platform for LATAM
8
Peru
MiningEnergy Infra
Chile
Spanish ITExports to
Asia Argentina
Agribusiness
Brazil as Gateway to LATAM
Through the MERCOSUL trade group, Brazilian products and services
have access to important LATAM markets such as Argentina, Chile,
Uruguay and Paraguay.
New multi-billion dollar road connections from Brazil-Peru and
Argentina-Chile also will dramatically increase this cross border trade,
also allowing brazilian goods and services easier access to Pacific
Ocean markets and Asia.
Brazilian Firms“Global Players”
Brazilian firms have become very active multinational players, often
using BNDES financing to finance projects in LATAM and Africa.
Indian BPO firms can follow the success of these brazilian firms.
Among the major Brazilian international players:
ColombiaTelecomMining
Energy Infra
Rated investment grade by Standard and Poor’s and Fitch Ratings.Sophisticated Capital Markets and Stable Banking Sector.Favorable Tax Benefits and Investment-Friendly Regulatory Environment.
8th Largest Economy in the World (2008) and second largest in the Americas (2008).Population of 190 Million, Growing Middle Class with Significant Pent Up Demand in Nearly All Economic Sectors.Prospects for Growth in 2009 and Expected Strong Recovery in 2010.
World-class corporations in sectors from heavy infrastructure construction (Odebrecht), to mining (Vale), oil and gas (Petrobras), sugar and ethanol (Cosan), banking and finance(Itaú/Unibanco) and commercial airplanes (EMBRAER).World’s largest amount of available arable lands and abundant water and mineral resources.Solid industrial base and telecommunications infrastructure.
Favorable Market
Environment
Huge and Growing Internal Market
World-Leading GrowthSectors
Brazil – A World Leader in Growth AreasBrazil – A World Leader in Growth Areas
9
Source: Brazil Central Bank
10
1815
19
35
45
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Foreign Direct Investments (US$ billions)
53 54
86
180207 200
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 mar-09International Reserves (US$ billions)
High growth Solid Monetary Policy
Increased Foreign Investment Solid Reserves
Solid Macroeconomic Landscape
16,3%19,1%
12,0% 12,5%10,7%
15,3%
4,6%5,9%4,5%3,1%
5,7%7,1%
40%35%
31%26%
24%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 E2009
Basic Interest Rate - Selic CPI Inflation Credit Offer - % of GDP
5,7%
2,9%3,7%
5,2% 5,6%
1,1%
3,5%4,1%
2004 2005 2006 2007 E2008 E2009 E2010 E2011
Real GDP Growth
Solid Macroeconomic Landscape
10
Óleo & Gás Domestic Opportunity: Brazilian Financial Sector
11
Credit Composition – GDP %
Source: Brazil Central Bank/Fundap
0
10
20
30
40
50
2007 2008 Jun/2009
Evolução do crédito bancário ao setorprivado/PIB (%)
Major Players
Sector Indicators
Óleo & Gás Domestic Opportunity: Medical Industry
12
Brazilian Pharmaceutical Market Growth Brazilian Pharmaceutical Industry Revenues (US$ bi)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2007 2008 2009 World(estimated/2009)
Source: Unicamp Source: IMS Health
02468
1012
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Sep/2007
Major Players
Sector Indicators
Óleo & Gás Domestic Opportunity: Oil and Gas Industry
13
Santos Basin
Campos Basin
EspíritoSanto Basin
Caxareu * Pirambu *-100% Petrobras -100% Petrobras- 1.011 meters - 1.011 meters30º API 30º API
Tupi Carioca-65% Petrobras -45% Petrobras- 2.166 meters - 2.140 meters28º API 27º API
* First to be developed (proximity to Jubarte)
Rio de Janeiro
São Paulo
Petrobras has been announcing several discoveries and reserve possibilities,
drawing investors’ attention. Oil specialists estimate that Brazil’s pre-salt
formations could have up to 70-80 billion barrels, which would provide Brazil with
one of the largest oil reserves in the world. Petrobras is expected to dedicate a
significant amount of its CAPEX budget (USD 112 billion through 2012) in E&P
activities.
Recent oil discoveries in non-OPEC countries have been concentrated in off-shore
deep water locations, not only in Brazil but also off the west coast of Africa and in
the Gulf of Mexico, known as the “golden triangle” (85% of global ultra-deep water
production occurs in this area). Suppliers of platforms, drilling and exploration
equipment and related services will benefit from this scenario, principally if they
have operations in Brazil.
Oil and Gas
Major Players
Óleo & Gás Domestic Opportunity:Infrastructure Projects
14
40.549
50.357
2005 2006
Breakdown of construction works (2006)
Total value of executed works (US$ Million)
+24%The sector is characterized by fragmentation and fierce competition.
The sector expects an upsurge in activity due to PAC, an especial program to
improve Brazilian infrastructure which includes public and private investments.
Heavy construction opportunities in Brazil include transportation (I.e., roads,
bridges, subways, airports, ports, railroads), energy and industrial parks, sanitation
systems, hotels, resorts, cultural and sports centers.
As the 2014 World Cup approaches, demand for heavy construction should
increase even more in each of the areas cited above, as Brazil will need to invest
hundreds of billions of dollars to build and upgrade facilities.
Infrastructure
Major Players
Infrastructure; 36,7%
Residential buildings;
19,1%
Industrial and commercial buildings;
21,9%
Others; 22,4%
Óleo & Gás
Another important driver for Indian BPO firms coming to Brazil are the many US and UK based clients with significant brazilian operations. Among them:
Serving Multi National Clients In Brazil
15
BPO - Players and Indian Firms in Brazil
Local Players
16
Indian Firms
Several local players have emerged to challenge the US and European based consulting/BPO players. Among the local leaders:
Since 2005, Brazil has been on the “radar” of Indian IT/BPO players, several of whom have entered the market, often through acquisition of local Brazilian firms:
IIII. Financing Options in Brazil
Favorable Regulatory Climate
Solid Legal System
Autonomous and Independent Entities
Autonomous Central Bank.
Independent entities, such as CVM (the Brazilian SEC), ANBID, BM&FBovespa and CBLC, are
responsible for regulating capital markets.
Special fund for PE/VC (FIP) created by CVM, which is similar to a Limited Partnership.
Foreign Investors benefit from federal and state tax incentives, such as tax exemptions on:
Dividends
Capital gains
Local fund transfers
For equipment supplied to certain industries and setting up business in certain states
New legislation contributes to make cross-border investments across jurisdictions more
comparable: Bankruptcy Law, Accounting Law 11.638 (requiring IFRS) and corporate governance
regulations.
Arbitration recognized as a valid procedure in Brazil and is commonly used in business contracts.
Brazil follows all recommendations of G30 regarding custody, settlements, payment system and
data security.
Favorable Regulatory Climate
18
Tax Exemptions and Incentives for Foreign Investors
Óleo & Gás But Expensive Local Credit
19
Interest charged (% a.a.)
Source: Fiesp
High Capital Costs
World High Rates
While Brazilian prime rate (SELIC) has fallen, it still remains, at 8.75%a year, one of the highest in the world.
Brazilian banks charge high spreads, making most companies look to retained earning for working capital.
Regulatory costs costs for IPO’s also very high. Local bond marketis opening up, but Brazilian firms still face challenges.
40.4
35.135.4
42.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-08 Jan-09 Aug-09 Jan-10
Capital Cost (% a.a.)
109.1
14
11.9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Sep-08 Jan-09 Aug-09 Jan-10
Spread – Brasil (% a.a.)
25.126.3
30.5
26.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Sep-08 Jan-09 Aug-09 Jan-10
Óleo & Gás BNDES Funding Options
20
Exports Funding
Industry Funding
InfrastructureFunding
Business andServices Funding
Industry has taken US$ 28,2 billions for project finance, notably the food and drink sector.
.
Infrastructure has taken US$ 21,6 billions in 2009, being US$ 2,4 billions given to roads construction and US$ 1 billion to the energy sector.
Business and Services has received US$ 7,7 billionsof the global total in 2009.
BNDES Fundings By Sector (%, 2009)
In 2009, BNDES has spent US$ 8,3 billions in exports financing, which representsan increase of 26% in comparison to 2008.
Source: Brasil.gov.br
Óleo & Gás Mumbai vs. São Paulo Exchanges
21
Source: BOVESPA and BSE
São Paulo
While they have comparable total market caps, the Mumbai Exchange has almost 10x the number of listed companies.
Brazilian hurdle – US$500 Million revenues.
545Listed
Companies
Total Market Cap.
US$ 1,283trillion
4977Listed
Companies
Total Market Cap.
US$ 1,355trillion
BOVESPA (Sao Paulo, Brazil) BSE (Mumbai, India)
Mumbai
Brazil - Fewer andBigger Firms
22
Brazil - The Private Equity Opportunity
Due to the current global financial crisis, Brazilians companies, 75% of which are still family-owned(including 10 of the 50 largest Brazilian companies), are having difficulty financing their working capital and other operations with debt or equity capital. In addition, due to its own ambition capital expenditure program, the Brazilian government competes with private companies to obtain debt financing.
There are only 80 to 100 private equity funds active in Brazil, and collectively only 4% of Brazil’s GDP is invested in private equity funds, significantly less than China (10%), India (13%), South Korea (37%) or South Africa (57%) and not enough to bridge the financing gap.
Due to the scarcity of capital and the flight from equity investments by many investors, privately-held companies are generally undervalued in Brazil, providing private equity investors with an excellent opportunity to acquire these targets at attractive prices. Attractive Valuations
Low Level of PE Competition
Credit Scarcity
23
Exit
Options
Investment
Opportunities
Mac
roec
onom
ics
Corporate G
overnance Standards
Regulatory and Legal Framework
Human Capital
The PE Puzzle Comes Together
5% 6%
28% 36%
20%24%
22%22%
25%12%
per Quantity per Amount
IPO Trade-Sale Secondary-Sale Buyback Write-Off/Down
Source: Monitor Group, PWC, FGV
912
2123
2004 2005 2006 2007Private Equity Backed IPOs in Brazil
…so PEs became much relevant in Brazilian M&A scenario
…enabled PEs to increasingly use IPOs as an exit strategyHowever, the growing liquidity of capital markets…
Capital Markets was not fully developed years ago…
389
573
718
11,2%6,7%
15,3%
2005 2006 2007
M&As in Brazil M&As backed by PE/VCs % of Transactions
26 64 110
Most Common Exit Strategies (1999-2004)
4.9924.126
2.0491.370
1.013662
19,5 27,4 33,348,2
177,1
94,6
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Financial Volume (R$ Millions) Deal Volume (000s)
Viable Exit Strategies
24
25
Private Equity Backed Transactions in Brazil by Industry in 2007
Recent Cases of Success in Brazil
31%
24%11%
8%
9%
6%
6%5%
Shopping Malls Construction FoodTechnology Education RetailBanks Mining
Note: Includes direct and indirect transactions
31%
24%
14%
14%
12%
6% Others
Seed Capital
Late Stage Capital
PIPE
Start-Up
Growth Capital
Type of Investment
Source: Monitor Group, FGV
= Private Equity Opportunities
26
New MarketLevel 2Level 1Demands
XOnly ordinary stocks
XX100% Tag Along for ordinary stocks and minimum of 80% for preferred stocks
XVoting rights for preferred stocks in some issues
XXArbitration Chamber for solving partnership conflicts
XXTender Offer for every stock in circulationin case of capital closure or level changing
XXBalance Sheet according to US GAAP or IAS
XXAdministration Council with minimum of five members and yearly terms
XXXInclusion of the Demonstration of Cash Flow in the publicized results
XXXPublication of annual calendar of corporate events
XXXMake public the Shareholders Contract and Stock Options Programs
XXXTrimestral publication of consolidated results
XXXInformation of assets or derivatives negotiations from the company by controlling shareholders or directors
XXXPublic Offerings with mechanisms that favor capital dispersion
XXXMinimum Free Float of 25%
Levels of Corporate Governance in the Capital Market
Three agencies, BM&FBovespa, CVM and IBGC (Brazilian Institute for Corporate Governance), are responsible for the establishment and compliance with Corporate Governance standards by publicly traded companies. Currently there are five levels (Bovespa Mais, Traditional, Level 1, Level 2 and New Market) for listing stock on BM&FBovespa, three of which have Corporate Governance requirements (Level 1, Level 2 and New Market)
High Corporate Governance Standards
22.4
4.1 3.21.2 0.7 0.8
9.9
0.6
31.2
12.9
6
14.1
0.9
8.3
27.6
3.3
Daily Negotiated Volume ($MM) Before MigrationDaily Negotiated Volume ($MM) After Migration
11.2
18.8
4.8
11.1
EV/Ebitda 2008 P/E 2008New Market Others
Multiple Paid in IPOs in 2007
Impacts in Stock Liquidity After Migrating to New MarketIbovespa x IGC (Corporate Governance Index)
Source: McKinsey, Valor Economico, Economatica
Recent IPOs Distribution per Level
390
283
0
100200300400
500600700
800
jun/
01
jun/
02
jun/
03
jun/
04
jun/
05
jun/
06
jun/
07
jun/
08
IGC Ibovespa
71%
13%
15%1%
New Market Level 2Level 1 Traditional
And Premium Paid for Those Standards
27
Highlighted Successful PE / VC Exits
Company SectorNet Revenues 2006
(US$ MM)
Investment
(US$ MM)Time to Exit Estimated IRR in US$
Equatorial Energy 393 11 2 years
GOL Airline 1,746 26 1 year
TOTVS IT 161 16 < 1 year
Lupatech Drilling Equipment 100 10 4 years
DASA Medical Services 308 100 5 years
Submarino E-commerce 189 83 6 years
Gafisa Construction 305 78 9 years
TAM Airline 3,374 77 8 years
ALL Logistics 793 202 7 years
Akwan IT NA NA 4 years
Sé Supermercados Retail
Autotrac Logistics 122 2,5 7 years
Atrium Telecom 35 20.5 4 years
481%
242%
199%
40%
38%
36%
26%
22%
130%
32%
20%
IPO
sTr
ade-
Sal
es
Source: Monitor Group
Attractive Capital Returns
148%
117%
28
IIIIII. Recommendations to CII Committee
Favorable Regulatory Climate
Regional Development Bank
Brazil/India PE Conference
Creation of an event that would connect and begin the exchange of ideas between players in
Indian and Brazilian PE markets and investment banking communities.
Recommendations
30
Total Amount Raised by PE Funds – 2009 Expected Increase in PE New Investors – 2010 (%)
Amount Invested in Projects – 2009
Take forward to initiatives suggested for cooperation between EXIM and BNDES to facilitate
access to trade finance for local firms in India, Brazil and LATAM region.
Facilitate access to information via local banking institutions.
IV. NLP IV. NLP TeamTeam CredentialsCredentials
Mergers and Aquisitions
Mergers and Acquisitions
NLP advises companies involved in asset or stock purchases or sales, mergers, joint ventures and other types of business associations, always striving to maximize the benefits for its clients.
NLP participates actively in the following stages:
1. Identifying sale, purchase and business association opportunities;
2. Mapping and contacting main targets or potentials investors;
3. Selecting or advising regarding the selection of qualified legal advisors and accountants;
4. Creating of an efficient transaction structure;
5. Preparing a valuation report or a fairness opinion regarding a third party valuation report or advising the client with respect to these matters;
6. Preparing business plans;
7. Coordinating and participating in management, legal and accounting due diligence and reviewing and commenting on due diligence reports;
8. Advising on or conducting negotiations;
9. Coordinating and participating in the closing of the operation.
Mergers and Aquisitions
JointJoint VenturesVenturesSector StudiesSector Studies
Mergers and Mergers and AcquisitionsAcquisitions
Strategic Strategic PositioningPositioning
32
Strategic Positioning
Strategic Positioning
NLP has extensive experience in advising companies regarding their strategic positioning, identifying strategic decisions that increase the company’s competitiveness by focusing the company on its core business and developing its untapped or underutilized resources. Through economic and financial modeling, NLP analyzes the company’s competitive strengths and weaknesses, as well as market trends, in formulating a customized solution that will assist its clients to improve their market position and maximize shareholder value.
Through strategic positioning analysis, our clients have decided to take the following actions, among others:
1. Increase their funding through debt or equity;
2. Consolidate their market through mergers and acquisitions;
3. Conduct an Initial Public Offering (IPO);
4. Dispose of assets and/or divest;
5. Restructuring their holdings;
6. Enter into new niches/markets, frequently through joint ventures.
Strategic Positioning
JointJoint VenturesVenturesSector StudiesSector Studies
Mergers and Mergers and AcquisitionsAcquisitions
StrategicStrategicPositioningPositioning
33
Capital Capital MarketsMarkets
MergersMergers andandAcquisitionsAcquisitions
StrategicStrategicPositioningPositioning
Ownership Restructurings
It is common that company groups want to strengthen, extend or rebalance, from time to time, certain interests or rights in a company. NLP conceives and executes ownership restructuring processes to allow for the admission of new investors or to preserve the ownership structure of the company.
Cross Border JVs
NLP develops a detailed analysis of the economic and financial condition of the company, taking into account, among other aspects, its market positioning, its prospects as a going concern and the extent of liquidity of its assets. NLP works to establish terms and long term planning for effective JV structuring.
RestructuringsJoint Ventures
JointJoint VenturesVentures
34
Capital Markets
Market Analysis
Advisory in basic market analysis, based on strategic modeling to develop an investment thesis that maximizes the value of the company based on current market conditions.
Market Entry Strategies
Advisory in process of positioning for new market entrants. Analysis of acquisitions, JV and greenfield options. Tax and regulatory analysis, with sector specific focus.
Sector Specific Advisory
NLP Consultants has specific sector knowledge and expertise in sectors such as Brazilian energy, oil and gas, offshore, IT-BPO, and BPO for Healthcare and Insurance.
Sector Studies
JointJoint VenturesVenturesSector Sector StudiesStudies
MergersMergers andandAcquisitionsAcquisitions
StrategicStrategicPositioningPositioning
35
Miguel Lawson
NLP Consultants Inc.
Managing DirectorMr. Stepan has more than fifteen years experience sourcing and structuring deals in Brazil, Latin America, US, and India for US and Brazilian firms. Education includes BA with honors from Brown University in USA and MBA in Finance at IBMEC/RJ in Brazil.
Head of Legal AffairsMr. Lawson is a graduate of Harvard Law School, and has more than ten years experience as an attorney working in capital markets and cross border transactions in Brazil with White and Case LLP and Clifford Chance LLP. Before moving to Brazil, Mr. Lawson worked in Washington DC in international and corporate law for Steptoe & Johnson.
Brazil/India Business DevelopmentMr. Sethi is an Indian national with more than 20 years experience working in Brazil and South America. Mr. Sethi is Vice-President of the Brazil India Chamber of Commerce of Rio de Janeiro (CCBI-RJ). Mr. Sethi is an engineer who completed his post-graduate education in Marine Insurance at Lloyd’s and Marine Maritime University in Sweden and MBA in Finance at IBMEC/RJ in Brazil.
Adam Stepan
36
Atul Sethi
Mauricio Rocha Neves
Alberto Machado Neto
Tax and Regulatory IssuesMr. Neves is certified public accountant and auditor who has worked at MPMG and Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, as well as serving as an independent auditor for companies such as Transpetro S.A. and Petrobras. Mr. Neves has worked as financial director of Stolt Comex Seaway, and as a special consultant to the President of Transpetro SA, controller of the Endessa Group and is currently on the independent auditors committee of Perdigao S.A. and Transenergia Renovável S.A.
Special Adivsor – Oil and GasMr. Machado Neto is currently the executive director of the oil and gás and petrochemical divisions of the Brazilian association of Machine and Equipment Manufacturers – ABIMAQ. Before joining ABIMAQ, Mr. Machado Neto was supervisor od the National Organization of Petroleum Companies, ONIP, and general manager of procurement at Petrobras, where he worked 29 years.
37
NLP Consultants Inc.
NLP Partners
NLP has strategic partnerships with top legal and accounting firms with experience in Brazil/India transactions.
Among them:
Brazil based law firm with experience in international law, Mergers and Acquisitions and structuring of Joint Ventures.
Leading Indian law firm.
One of the most respected consulting and accounting firms. With offices in both Brazil and India, provides independent due diligence and valuation services for M&A and JV operations.
38
This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute or form part of an offer for sale or subscription or an invitation or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for, purchase or exchange any securities, and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. Nothing herein constitutes an offer of securities to the public within the United Kingdom within the meaning of the public offer of securities regulations 1995. Any decision to subscribe for, purchase or exchange securities in any offering must be made solely on the basis of the information contained in a final information memorandum to be issued by NLP Consultants Inc. or its affiliate (the “Company”) in connection with any such offering and not on this presentation or the contents hereof.
This presentation and the information contained herein is strictly confidential, is being provided to you solely for your information, may not be distributed to the press or other media and may not be reproduced in any form or redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person, in whole or in part, for any purpose. Failure to comply with these restrictions may constitute a violation of U.S. and other securities laws.
To the best of the knowledge and belief of the Company, the information contained herein (other than projections and other forward-looking statements contained herein that the Company believes to be reasonable) is accurate in all material respects and is not misleading in any material respect. This presentation includes “forward-looking statements,” as this term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Forward-looking statements include, without limitation, any statements that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “expect,” “should,” “plan,” “intend,” “estimate,”“potential” or any other words or phrases of similar meaning. Such statements are subject to a number of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in this presentation. The Company does not undertake to update these forward-looking statements unless required by law.
This presentation and its contents are proprietary information and may not be reproduced or otherwise disseminated in whole or in part without the Company’s prior written consent.