financing energy storage: deal structures, revenue streams...
TRANSCRIPT
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Financing Energy Storage: Deal Structures,
Revenue Streams, Issues for Stand-Alone and
Co-Located StoragePerformance Guarantees, Warranties, Full-Wrap EPC Contracts, ITC Rules, Addition of
Storage to Renewable Generation
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WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16, 2020
Presenting a live 90-minute webinar with interactive Q&A
Deanne M. Barrow, Attorney, Norton Rose Fulbright US, Washington, D.C.
James M. Berger, Partner, Norton Rose Fulbright US, Los Angeles
Amanda L. Rosenberg, Partner, Norton Rose Fulbright US, Los Angeles
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Norton Rose Fulbright US LLP
Energy Storage Financing: Tax, Revenues, Offtake Structures, Risks
Deanne Barrow
Jim Berger
Amanda Rosenberg
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Outline
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1. Financing options and deal structures
– Revenue
– Financing
2. Shifting risks and key considerations for developers, lenders, and
investors
3. Tax considerations
– Including stand-alone and co-located energy storage projects
Outline
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Financing Options and Deal Structures
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Two ways to look at project finance
1. Lock down costs and revenue to determine how much money you will have to pay debt service
2. An exercise in risk allocation
First challenge is to find a fixed revenue stream
Background
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• A project developer will try to lock in a long-term
offtake agreement for each service provided. We
see five kinds of offtake structures currently for
standalone storage facilities.
Revenues
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1. Capacity sale agreement
2. Capacity sale agreement with energy put
3. Ancillary services financial hedge
4. Demand response grid services agreement
5. Demand charge management agreement
Offtake Structures for Standalone Storage
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Capacity Sale Agreement with Energy Put
• In addition to capacity sales, the project
company has a right to exercise a put option to
sell to the utility on an annual basis all of the
project’s stored energy and ancillary services at
a fixed $/MWh price.
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Capacity Sale Agreement
• The project company receives a fixed $/MW
capacity payment in exchange for an obligation
to be ready to run (charge or discharge energy to
the grid) when called on by the ISO. The utility
solely purchases capacity, so the project
company may be able to earn additional revenue
from selling energy or ancillary services.
Capacity Sale Agreement
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• The project company sells ancillary services to the market at
the spot price. It swaps floating payments for a fixed $/MWh
price calculated on a fixed volume of capacity for each
settlement period. As the floating price, the swap references
the market clearing price for the specific ancillary service
product sold.
Ancillary services financial hedge
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• Involves aggregation of distributed storage facilities to form a
virtual power plant providing demand response service to the
utility. Projects may be used by customers for other
applications when not providing grid services.
Demand Response Grid Services Agreement
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• Power from the storage facility is used to meet peak on-site load, thereby reducing demand charges.
Demand charge savings are split between the customer and project company under a shared-savings
model.
• Alternatively, the customer pays a fixed monthly subscription fee in return for guaranteed savings. This
provides revenue certainty for the project company but eliminates upside potential.
Demand Charge Management Agreement
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• Storage developers are relying on merchant revenues
for an increasing part of their overall cash flows.
• In 2017 when we closed the first-ever non-recourse
financing of standalone storage assets, banks were
unwilling to lend against anything except a fixed
capacity payment locked in for a specific contract
term.
• We have seen the market shift towards giving credit
for uncontracted revenues from sales of energy and
ancillary services in the spot market.
Merchant Storage
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Merchant exposure for storage is fundamentally different from solar and wind in two ways:
• Variable fuel costs. For wind and solar, fuel is essentially free. Fuel for storage is the electricity used to
charge the battery and in a merchant project, it is purchased on the spot market. This opens up storage to
double merchant exposure on the input and the output side. The project might mitigate exposure on the
output side with a hedge that sets a floor under the electricity price.
• Overlap With Contracted Revenues. When calculating advance rates, lenders will credit a certain
number of years of revenue past the PPA term. Because of the unique ability of storage to provide
different services to different customers at the same time, storage can realize contracted and
uncontracted revenues during overlapping periods, rather than waiting for a merchant tail.
Merchant Storage: Differentiators
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• Turning to forms of financing, there are various sources of
capital. The CFO at a storage company would normally stack
capital from cheapest to most expensive until he or she covers
the full cost of the storage facility.
Financing
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• Government grants or subsidized debt are likely to be the
cheapest. Export credit agencies might be willing to offer the
latter for imported storage units.
• If the project qualifies for federal tax credits, then it might be
best to focus in the first instance on how to get value for them
and then build the rest the capital stack around tax equity.
Financing
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There are three main tax equity structures:
Partnership flips are the only structure that works for wind projects. Most solar deals are partnership flips,
as well.
Tax Equity Structures—Sale Leaseback
Partnership flips
Sale-leasebacks
Inverted leases
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Tax equity usually insists on being ahead of any debt in the capital structure. The rest of the capital stack is
usually back-levered debt and equity.
Tax Equity and Debt
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Partnership flips are straight forward structures. A tax equity investor owns the storage project in a
partnership with the developer and is allocated 99% of the tax benefits and a share of the cash until a flip
date anywhere from five to nine years out. The investor is allocated 5% of the economics after the flip.
Tax Equity Structures – Partnership Flips
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Partnership flip structure with back-leverage: financial close (start of construction)*
Sponsor
Holdco/TE
Partnershi
Borrower
Project
Company
Credit Agreement
Equity Capital
Contribution Agreement
Back-Leverage
Construction and Term
Loan
100% of Project
Company Interests
and Project assets
Tax Equity
Commitment
* This is the current structure preferred by the market. Other structures are available, but the illustrated structure
eliminates the need for (a) two separate credit agreements during the construction and operating periods and (b) a
long-term forbearance agreement between the back-leverage lender and the tax equity investor.
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Partnership flip structure with back-leverage: tax equity funding (around COD)
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Back-Leverage Term
Loan
Sponsor
Holdco/TE
Partnersp
Borrower/Class B Member
Project
Company
100% of Class A Interests100% of
Class B Interests
Limited Liability
Company AgreementTax Equity
Credit Agreement
Cash Diversion
Indemnity
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Shifting risks and key considerations for developers, lenders and investors
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• Most of the risks in energy storage projects are similar to the risks in any other project financing
• Financing parties focus first on anything that might interrupt the revenue stream
Other risks include:
Risks
Technology Operating
Contract Structure
Regulatory
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• Lithium-ion technology generally considered bankable
– requires an extended warranty from a supplier with a strong credit rating.
• Financing parties are less comfortable with other emerging technologies
– may only finance them with an additional performance guarantee
Technology
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• Storage projects have a shorter operating track record than gas, wind and solar because the technology
is newer. Poor operational performance can jeopardize offtake contracts and subject developers to heavy
non-performance penalties in certain wholesale markets.
• Project finance lenders do not like technology risk. For storage, the key technology risk is capacity
degradation.
– Lenders will look for a performance guarantee or capacity maintenance agreement under which the
service provider refreshes the battery with new cells to maintain capacity at minimum levels, albeit
decreasing with time. The cost of disposal and recycling of the old cells should be factored into the
model if the service provider does not assume responsibility.
– DSCRs for storage projects are typically more conservative than for other assets to reflect the risk of
the project realizing lower revenues if degradation occurs at a faster rate than what is warranted in the
performance guarantee. Lenders may also want to build a reserve account in the financing docs.
– Creditworthiness of the performance guarantor is a major issue.
Performance Guarantees and Warranties
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Contrasting Performance Guarantees and Warranties
Performance Guarantees Warranties
Storage Capacity Guarantee
Round Trip Efficiency Guarantee*
Auxiliary Load Guarantee
Charge Time Guarantee
Response Time Guarantee
Ramp Rate Guarantee
Availability Guarantee
Contractor Warranty (EPC) (for design, parts, workmanship, construction)
Service Provider Warranty (LTSA) (for general O&M services and parts)
Cells Warranty
Inverter Warranty
Enclosure Warranty
Solar Performance Ratio
Output Guarantee
Capacity Guarantee
Availability Guarantee
Contractor Warranty (EPC) (for design, parts, workmanship, construction)
Provider Warranty (O&M) (for general O&M services and parts)
Inverter Warranty
Racking Warranty
Module Warranty
Wind Power Curve
Noise Guarantee
Availability Guarantee
BOP Warranty (BOP) (for workmanship, construction)
Supplier Warranty (TSA) (for turbines)
Provider Warranty (O&M) (for general O&M services and parts)
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*Analogous to a heat rate guarantee
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The role of the asset manager is extremely important. The asset manager optimizes dispatch. Lenders will
insist on an asset manager with a good track record, although this is difficult given the nascent nature of the
industry.
Operations
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Fixed-price, Turnkey vs. Split EPC
• Project lenders have historically
preferred a fixed-price, turnkey EPC
contract that aggressively shifts as
much risk as possible from the owner
to a single EPC contractor.
• By contrast, a split structure may
have multiple equipment supply,
construction and installation
contracts.
• Split contracts are more common in
storage projects than in solar (without
storage).
– Compare with wind.
Contract structure
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• More risk under a split arrangement than a full wrap structure.
– Splitting creates interfacing risk with time and finger-pointing risk with defects.
• Is the additional risk exposure is sufficiently mitigated? Here are some key questions:
Contract structure – Ensuring Bankability
• Does the owner protect against claims of one contractor when work is done by another contractor? For example, has the owner negotiated a common dispute resolution mechanism in the event of a dispute as to which contractor is to blame for a construction issue?
• Do all supply, installation and construction schedules match to meet target milestone dates?
• Is the construction contractor excused from its obligation to pay delay liquidated damages if delays are attributable to the owner’s other contractors? If so, has the owner adequately mitigated the risk that unexcused delays by one contractor will result in excused delays in performance by the others?
• If the software provider is different from the battery system supplier, is the software capable of integrating with the hardware?
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Regulatory issues
Regulatory regimes for storage are in
a state of flux. FERC and RTOs are
struggling with whether to classify
storage as generation, transmission
or a hybrid. Projects are more likely
to get financed the clearer the
regulatory framework.
ISO/RTO market rules for storage
participation vary widely. It is crucial
to have a deep understanding of the
particular market in which the project
is located.
Tariffs, trade policies and national
security policies may impact
procurement of storage system
components.
Shifting regulatory
frameworks
ISO/RTO market
participation rules
Tariffs, trade and national
security
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• On May 1, President Trump issued an Executive Order banning the use
of certain foreign-manufactured equipment used in the nation's bulk
power system, i.e. the interconnected electric grid.
• There are three key questions for storage developers.
Executive order
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Are battery cells, modules and packs covered by the
order?
• The order defines bulk power systems as “facilities and control systems necessary for operating an interconnected electric energy transmission network” as well as “electric energy from generation facilities needed to maintain transmission system reliability.”
• It appears a standalone battery connected to the transmission grid and injecting energy to provide voltage support would be covered by the order because it ensures transmission system reliability.
• The order does not apply to batteries that are sited behind the customer meter or on the distribution system.
Are balance of system components covered by the
order?
• The order's inclusion of “control systems” could potentially cover inverters, power conversion systems and battery management system (BMS) hardware.
• The order states that it is intended to guard against “malicious cyber activities”, among other threats to the grid. This could signal an increased level of scrutiny for the BMS given its vulnerability to remote attacks and the crucial role it plays in maintaining the battery system in a non-hazardous state.
Are Chinese battery vendors covered by the order? What about
US companies that have manufacturing facilities in China?
• The order covers bulk power system equipment “designed, developed, manufactured, or supplied by persons owned by, controlled by, or subject to the jurisdiction or direction of a foreign adversary.”
• It appears the order is aimed at China. If batteries are covered equipment, then the order could have significant ramifications for supply chains. According to BloombergNEF, China accounted for 73% of global lithium-ion cell manufacturing capacity in 2019. The US was a distant runner up with 12% of global capacity.
• It is unclear whether US companies that have established manufacturing plants in China would be considered "subject to the jurisdiction or direction of a foreign adversary". Tesla, for example, recently opened a Gigafactory in Shanghai although production appears to be geared towards the electric vehicle market.
Three questions
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• The Secretary of Energy is required to publish regulations explaining how the order will be implemented
in practice no later than September 28. The implementing regulations are expected to identify the
particular countries and persons that will be considered foreign adversaries and establish procedures to
license transactions otherwise prohibited by the order.
• In the meantime, storage developers may want to consider doing the following:
– Use alternative suppliers to Chinese companies and companies manufacturing equipment within
China.
– If the battery will be directly tied to the transmission grid, frame the utility’s dispatch rights in terms of
regulating the ramp rate at which the utility will accept power rather than balancing frequency of the
grid.
– Seek clarification from the DOE. In an interview with Politico, DOE Assistant Secretary Bruce
Walker suggested developers of power plants that tie into the grid could “work with the Department of
Energy ... with regard to understanding places on the system that we're more concerned about or not.”
Next Steps
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Tax Considerations
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Batteries that are combined with wind or solar projects on which investment tax credits are claimed
potentially qualify for such tax credits at the federal level. There are two important eligibility rules.
1. The battery has to be considered part of the generating equipment as opposed to a transmission asset.
2. At least 75% of the energy stored by the battery should come from the renewable generator to which it
is coupled. Standalone storage does not qualify at this time.
Tax Credits
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A tax credit for standalone storage and an extension of the solar tax credit are likely early next year if Biden
is elected. The November election is starting to play into construction and financing strategies. Possible
new IRS regulations next year could provide upside in solar-plus-storage projects.
Tax Credits
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Tel +1 202 974 5763
Senior Associate
Washington, D.C./San Francisco
Deanne Barrow
Tel: +1 213 892 9365
Partner
Los Angeles
Amanda Rosenberg
Questions?
40
Tel +1 213 892 9385
Partner
Los Angeles
James Berger
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