financial results presentation - naspers.com results presentation ... based on independent external...
TRANSCRIPT
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Important information
This presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995. Words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “seek”, “will”, “plan”, “could”, “may”, “endeavour” and similar
expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements, but are not the exclusive means of identifying such
statements.
While these forward-looking statements represent our judgments and future expectations, a number of risks, uncertainties
and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These
include key factors that could adversely affect our businesses and financial performance.
We are not under any obligation to (and expressly disclaim any such obligation to) update or alter our forward-looking
statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Investors are cautioned not to place undue
reliance on any forward-looking statements contained herein.
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1H FY16 Overview: building platforms to optimise returns
Continue to focus on fast growing segments2
Leadership in ecommerce1
Transform further into mobile4
Target high growth markets3
Optimise returns5
5
Classifieds leader across growth markets
+40 countries>260m monthly active users
#1 ecommerce platform in India
~50 million monthly active users
#1 ecommerce platform in Poland
>50 million registered users
Classifieds Etail Marketplaces
Monthly visits (3Q15) Mobile app sessions (3Q15) Monthly visits/internet capita (3Q15)
AllegroPoland
eBayUK
eBayGermany
eBayUSA
MELIArgentina
MELIBrazil
*Desktop & mobile web (excl. mobile apps)
Flipkart Snapdeal Amazon Jabong
Source: SimilarWeb, IDC Naspers
*Android (India). Flipkart includes Myntra app *Includes desktop & mobile web (worldwide)
Craigslist Naspers Schibsted eBay
1 Leadership in ecommerce
6
Online video consumption doubles over past 4 years
Ecommerce Video entertainment
Source: Ericsson ConsumerLab. Users across 9 countries aged 16-59
2x
174%
103%
89% 89%
74%
49%
33% 30%
Lifestyle& shopping
Messagingsocial
Health& fitness
Travel Sports News &magazines
Music,media &
entertainment
Games
20
13
vs.
20
14
Yo
Ygr
ow
th r
ate
(%)
Mobile commerce growing >2x averageUS mobile services
Source: Flurry Analytics
Average = 76%
2011 2015
Streamed TV Streamed movies
2.9h/week
6h/week
Continue focus on fast growing segments2
7
Etail PayU #1 in payments Etail
• ~70% market share in Brazil
• >850k orders per month
• >US$140m GMV run-rate
• 70% of orders from mobile apps
• 2.95m transactions/month, ~2.3x size of any competitor
• Largest online bus ticketing service, 8x size of nearest competitor – rolled out to Singapore and Malaysia
• Largest player in hotels (350% YoY growth)
• 62% of hotel transactions on mobile
iFood #1 in Brazilian food delivery
Ibibo #1 in Indian travel
• Operations across 16 markets
• Offering PSP services and e-wallets
• >100k merchants and 220+ payment options
• More than US$10bn in annual TPV
LetGo
• Fast-growing, hyper-local marketplace
• Optimized specifically for mobile
• Offers instant chat and geolocation-based search
Target high growth markets3
8
0
50
100
Flipkart Snapdeal Amazon Jabong ShopClues0
50
100
MakeMyTrip Goibibo Cleartrip Yatra Booking
0
50
100
OLX Quikr Junglee
Strong position in IndiaMobile app sessions (indexed, 3Q15, India, Android)
Etail Travel Classifieds
Source: SimilarWeb
Transform further into mobile4
9
Exiting businesses with limited opportunities
* Some transactions still subject to regulatory approval1H FY15 2H FY15 FY16 YTD*
US$127m US$300m US$252m* Some transactions still subject to regulatory approval
Optimise returns5
11
Revenue* (ZARbn)
Trading profit* (ZARbn) Core HEPS (ZAR)
Sep 14
Sep 15
Development spend* (ZARbn)
1H FY16: Synopsis of financials
59.9474.29
24%
4.37 5.11
17%
11.4415.35
34%
15.2821.33
40%
* Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated
20%
Total
Organic
19%
8%
31%
12
Revenue growth remains strong
Revenue by business segment*
Internet (64%)
Video entertainment (30%)
Print (6%)
10,038 1,808 (2,141) 4,635
59,947
Sep 14 Internet Video entertainment Print M&A Forex Sep 15
5
8%28% 24%9%
* Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated
Revenue* (ZARm)
56,522
76,776
104,981
132,446
59,947
74,292
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
CAGR33%
74,292
Incremental revenue* by segment, YoY (ZARm)
24%
% increases = YoY organic for segment
4%
13
Incremental development* spend by segment, YoY (ZARm)
*Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated
369363 14
(11)
4,374
Sep 14 Internet Video entertainment Print Forex Sep 15
5,109
8%10% 2% 7% 17%
Development spend up 17%
1H FY16 Development spend* by segment
Etail (37%)
Classifieds (31%)
Other ecommerce (17%)
Video entertainment (12%)
Print (3%)
4,025 3,513
Sep 14 Sep 15
13%
Consolidated development spend (ZARm)
% increases = YOY organic for segment
14
M&A activity
Acquisition spend over time (US$m)
260
634
465
421
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 15
Other
213
Other Etail (58%)
Classifieds (31%)
New ventures (4%)
Travel (1%)
Payments (1%)
Other (5%)
1H FY16 M&A by segment
Avg US$445m
15
18.50
22.16 21.81
27.82
15.28
21.33
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
Core headline earnings continue to grow
CAGR+15%
40%
Trend in core headline earnings per share (ZAR)
16
Summarised consolidated income statement
Sep 14ZARm
Sep 15ZARm
Revenue* 59,947 74,292
Less: Associates and joint ventures (25,584) (36,531)
Consolidated revenue 34,363 37,761
Trading profit 2,798 2,890
Trading margin 8% 8%
Net finance costs (1,208) (1,993)
Share of equity accounted results 9,932 8,029
- excluding net gain resulting from remeasurements** 5,178 6,531
- net gain resulting from remeasurements** 4,754 1,498
Impairments (172) (1,952)
Taxation (1,755) (1,830)
Net profit 9,269 8,306
Core headline earnings 6,077 8,786
Core headline EPS (ZAR) 15.28 21.33
*Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated** Remeasurements refer to business combination-related gains and losses and disposals of investments
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FCF benefits from lower capex and higher investment income
Sep 14ZARm
Sep 15ZARm
Operating cash flow 2,490 3,420
Capex (1,435) (1,304)
Finance leases (445) (530)
Tax (2,086) (2,047)
Investment income (1) 1,048 1,798
Free cash flow (FCF) (428) 1,337
(1) Dividends received from investments and equity accounted investments
18
Balance sheet remains solid
Sep 15ZARm
Debt (1): (offshore US$3.1bn) (44,330)
Cash: (South Africa ZAR4.5bn) 13,663
Closing net debt (30,667)
Gearing 32%
Value of marketable listed securities/Debt* 30x
(1) Excludes satellite lease liabilities (R8.2bn) and non-interest bearing debt (R250m)
*As at 26 November 2015
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Capital raise being considered
Size• Considering an equity raise of up to US$2.5bn
• Expected to be within existing authorities
Rationale and Use of Proceeds
• Fully refinance the US$1.2bn to be spent on the Avito stake increase
• Provide flexibility to grow our ecommerce businesses in line with our well developed strategy
• Additional funding would equate to ~2yrs of our average annual M&A run-rate
• Targeting maintenance of current credit ratings
Timing • TBD
A
B
C
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44% 43% 43%
35%
21%
5%
Travel New ventures Classifieds Etail Payments Marketplaces
Ecommerce: segment overview*
1H FY16 YoY organic revenue growth by type (1)
Sep 14ZARm
Sep 15ZARm
% change
Revenue 12,141 15,327 26%
Trading loss (2,426) (3,769) -55%
* Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated
Revenue and trading losses (ZARm)
Etail (61%)
Marketplaces (13%)
New ventures (7%)
Classifieds (7%)
Payments (4%)
Travel (3%)
Other (5%)
1H FY16 Revenue split
6,643
12,386
20,355
27,772
12,141
15,327
(1,238)(2,337)
(5,329) (6,093)
(2,426)(3,769)
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
Revenue
Trading losses
(1) Marketplaces includes Allegro, Ricardo, Aukro and Molotok
2222
India & SE Asia (56%)
Europe (38%)
Africa & Middle East (6%)
Etail: revenue growth driven by scale
Etail: 1H FY16 GMV by region*
39%
Etail: Revenue (ZARm)*
* Based on economic interest, i.e. equity accounted investments are proportionately consolidated
35%
5,283
10,705
16,501
6,690
9,320
Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
Etail: Value creation over time (indexed)*
Invested to date Current value of theseinvestments (1)
2.7x
* Reflecting current etail assets, excluding Netretail and flash sales(1) Based on independent external valuations and/or recent transaction values
2323
: a profitable and cash generative marketplace
1H FY16 financial summary (PLNm)
511
218 201
Revenue Trading profit Free cash flow
GMV* growth rate accelerating
5.0%
9.4%
11.5%
Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 15
* Exit rates for Allegro.pl only
2424
Ecommerce: promising progress in Online to Offline (020)
Etail #1 in mobile food orders #1 in kids segment
#1 in live event ticket sales Promising growth in other O2O categories
• Leading grossing app worldwide in kids category
• Over 160k subscribers
• Highlighted in Apple TV launch and keynote
Truckpad
• #1 truck loads marketplace in Brazil
• ~70% market share in Brazil
• >850k orders per month
• >US$140m GMV run-rate
• 70% of orders from mobile apps
• #1 Live events marketplace in Latam*
• GMV +25% growth YoY
• >4m tickets sold year to date
* Based on # of tickets
Maplink
• #1 SAAS real time routing platform in Brazil
well-positioned across a number of segments in Latam
2525
Classifieds: attractive business model, great returns at maturity
Winning = large market share + healthy margins
121
153
184
195
283
394
Blocket
Trademe
Leboncoin
Finn
Scout24
Autotrader
Market leaders generate substantial revenues
2014 Revenues in $ millions
…. at high EBITDA margins
2014 EBITDA margins
52%
72%
67%
44%
52%
59%
Blocket
Trademe
Leboncoin
Finn
Scout24
Autotrader
Source: Annual reports and Scout24 IPO prospectus
2626
Classifieds: massive footprint for the OLX brand
Note: numbers include OLX brand only
+260mMONTHLY
ACTIVE USERS
+19bMONTHLY
PAGE VIEWS
Scale
+4.3APP RATING
#1 app 17 COUNTRIES (1)
Mobile leadership
1) Google play store; shopping/lifestyle categories
+20Offices
+40Countries
+1,000Employees
Global footprint
2727
Classifieds: building momentum toward monetisation
16
2
12
25 5
21
63 3
24
8
1
5
25
9
Entering Fighting Leading Leading and monetising
2014 1H FY15 2H FY15 1H FY16
Naspers positions (number of countries)
Daily page views (m)*
2736
Sep 14 Sep 15
33%
Daily visits (m)*
*Reflects associates on a proportionate basis
456
739
Sep 14 Sep 15
62%
2828
Classifieds: gaining upper-hand in key markets
App engagement
Apr 15 Sep 15
OLX Quikr
1.9x1.3x
Source: SimilarWeb, Android active app users
Brand awareness
India
Source: Google Trends
Argentina
Source: SimilarWeb, Android active app users
App engagement
Source: Google Trends
Apr 15 Sep 15
OLX Alamaula
2.7x2.3x
OLXQuikr
OLXAlamaula
4.5x
1.3x1.4x 1.7x
Brand awareness
2929
Classifieds Brazil : Cutting spending and driving growth
Q3 14 Q3 15
82%
Marketing spend (indexed)
170
265
Q3 14 Q3 15
56%
Daily net new listings (‘000)
85115
Q3 14 Q3 15
35%
Daily page views (m)
* Q3 14 is the combination of the two separate pre-JV entities, OLX and Bomnegocio
*
*
*
+ +
3030
Leading classifieds site in Russia
Solidifying classifieds leadership: 67.9%
121
153
184
195
283
394
76
Blocket
Trademe
Leboncoin
Finn
Scout24
Autotrader
Avito
Avito: generating strong revenue growth at attractive margins
2014 Revenues in $ millions 2014 EBITDA margins
52%
72%
67%
44%
52%
59%
51%
Blocket
Trademe
Leboncoin
Finn
Scout24
Autotrader
Avito
8%
11%
21%
3%
16%
8%
79%
Blocket
Trademe
Leboncoin
Finn
Scout24
Autotrader
Avito
2014 Revenue growth YoY
Source: Annual reports and Scout24 IPO prospectus; YoY growth rates in reporting currencies
1
2
3
4
Large-scale market
High growth
Early monetisation
Talented management team
Rationale for investment
3131
12,254
15,479
19,194
30,542
15,633
19,408 *
2011 2012 2013 2014 1H FY14 1H FY15
Listed internet:
24%
CAGR+36%
Tencent operating profit (RMBm)
*Reflects 100% of Jan-Jun 2015 (1H FY15) results available on www.tencent.comEffective from Mar 11 2014, Tencent has divested its B2C and C2C ecommerce marketplaces and deconsolidated such revenues
1H FY16 ZAR/RMB2.025(1.732)
Value-added services (81%)
Online advertising (15%)
Other (4%)
Revenue mix 1H FY15*
Monthly active users(m): Weixin & WeChat
468650
3Q14 3Q15
39%
3232
8,381
11,535
16,122
18,297
8,736 9,130 *
2011 2012 2013 2014 1H FY14 1H FY15
Listed internet:
13%
CAGR+30%
Mail.ru EBITDA (RUBm)
Online advertising (35%)
Community IVAS (35%)
MMO Games (22%)
Other (8%)
Revenue mix 1H FY15*
*Reflects 100% of 1H FY15 aggregate segment performance as reported For IFRS results with full disclosure refer to www.corp.mail.ru 1H FY16 ZAR/RUR0.217 (0.297)
Monthly active users (m)
5876
3Q14 3Q15
31%
34
Scale: operations in 50 countries across Africa
1
2
3
4
5
Leader in Africa
Significant expertise
Best content
Substantial scale
Multiple technologies
Key competitive advantages
Video entertainment subscriber homes (‘000)
3,698 4,168 4,699 5,174 5,563
1,499 1,686
2,019 2,355 2,243
151541
8732,428
Sep 11 Sep 12 Sep 13 Sep 14 Sep 15
SA DTH SSA DTH SSA DTT
22%CAGR18%
351
,28
8
2,0
30
3,7
20
2,3
98
1,0
08
88
2
Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Sep14 Sep15
25
,25
9
30
,25
7
36
,27
1
42
,41
9
20
,18
6
22
,58
4
6,3
79
7,5
59
8,5
20
8,0
09
4,9
69
5,0
17
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
Revenue Trading profit
Financials: navigating economic realities
Video entertainment financials (ZARm)
1%
12%
Development spend (ZARm) Capital expenditure (ZARm)Programming and production costs (ZARm)
60
7
73
0
1,8
12
2,3
89
64
2
64
4
Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Sep14 Sep15
6,6
85
8,0
46
9,9
56
12
,60
7
4,6
82
5,8
43
Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Sep14 Sep15
13%
25%
0%
CAGR58%
CAGR24%
36
DTH: operations strong in SA, headwinds in SSA
SA: solid performance SSA: economic headwinds
187
283 248
309
166
232
156
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
SA net additions (‘000)
78
225
108
215
121
208
(321)
1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16
SSA net additions (‘000)
317356
Sep 14 Sep 15
SA ARPU (ZAR)
29 28
Sep 14 Sep 15
-22%-38%
-93%
-18%
Nigeria Angola Zambia Kenya39
33
Sep 14 Sep 15
SA ARPU (US$) YoY currency declines (%) SSA ARPU (US$)
*Weighted average decline YoY -31% *Avg new price increases +25%
AvgAvg
37
DTT: good growth in absence of ASOs
23 151
377 541
817 873
2,256 2,428
Mar 12 Sep 12 Mar 13 Sep 13 Mar 14 Sep 14 Mar 15 Sep 15
DTT Subscribers (‘000)
Jun 15
11countries
162sites
Total DTT spend (ZARm)
185 416 1,305
2,110
465 382 383
329
1,714798
388 477
Mar 12 Mar 13 Mar 14 Mar 15 Sep 14 Sep 15
Development spend Capex
38
Focus on retentionBest quality entertainment Managing costs
• Increasing local content further
‒ The Voice Angola, Glam Guru, Top Shayela etc.
• Renewed EPL rights
• Added 24 new HD channels
• New products
‒ DStv Now
‒ ShowMax
• Growing value-added services
• Driving PVR penetration
‒ 20% SA
‒ 10% SSA
• Connecting PVRs to internet
• Improving customer satisfaction
• Managing churn
• Increasing subscription rates
• Saving on content
• Reducing SG&A
Positioning the business for the long-term
“Anytime, Anywhere, Any device”
4040
Vision going forward: building platforms to optimise returns
Continue to focus on fast growing segments2
Leadership in ecommerce1
Transform further into mobile4
Target high growth markets3
Optimise returns5
43
Ecommerce: expansive global footprint
* Only includes country of domicile for associates, not their entire footprint
44
Glossary of terms
ARPU: Average Revenue Per User
ASO: Analogue Switch Offs
B2C: Business to Consumer
C2C: Consumer to Consumer
CAGR: Cumulative Annual Growth Rate
DTH: Direct-to-Home
DTT: Digital Terrestrial Television
EPL: English Premier League
EPS: Earnings per Share
FCF: Free Cash Flow
FEC: Forward Exchange Contract
GMV: Gross Merchandise Value
HD: High Definition
IVAS: Internet Value-Added Service
M&A: Mergers and Acquisitions
MAU: Monthly Active Users
MMO: Massively Multiplayer Online
OCS: Online Comparison Shopping
O2O: Online to Offline
PSP: Payment Service Provider
PV: Page Views
PVR: Personal Video Recorder
SSA: Sub-Saharan Africa
STB: Set-top box
SVOD: Subscription Video-On-Demand
TPV: Total Payment Volume
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Investor Relations
Meloy Horn
Office: +27 11 289 3320
Mobile: +27 82 7727 123
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.naspers.com
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