financial inclusion measurement for regulators: survey design and
TRANSCRIPT
Policy paper
Financial inclusion measurement for regulators:Survey design and implementation
Contents
Executive summary 01
1 Measuringfinancialaccess 03
2 Definingfinancialinclusion 04
2.1 Componentsoffinancialinclusion—whatisbeingmeasured? 04
2.2 Creatingmeasurablegoals–whatarethebenchmarksforsuccess? 05
3 Determining data needs 07
3.1 Usingdatatoaidpolicymaking 07
3.2 Whatpolicyquestionscandifferentsurveydesignsanswer? 08
3.3 Whatcanbegainedfromgatheringdatafromdifferentsources? 09
3.3.1 Supply-sidesurveys 09
3.3.2 Demand-side surveys 11
3.3.3 Keyattributesfordemand-sidesurveys 12
3.3.4 Combiningdata 15
3.4 Whatvariablesareneededtoanswerpolicyquestions? 15
4 Practical implementation 17
4.1 Takeaninventoryofexistingdatacollectioneffortsonbothdemand-andsupply-side 17
4.2 Consideruseofdatabystakeholders 17
4.3 Optionsforcreatingnewdatasets 18
4.3.1 Enhancementofexistingsurveys 18
4.3.2 Implementinganewsurvey 19
4.4 Increasingtheuseofsurveydata 19
4.5 Roleoftheregulator 20
5 Conclusion 21
References 22
Additionalresources 24
ThisreportwasdevelopedbyBankableFrontierAssociates, commissionedbytheAllianceforFinancialInclusion(AFI).February,2010.
Executive summary
1 Background Havingappropriateandup-todateinformationaboutlevelsandtrendsoffinancialinclusionisacritical
firststeptowardsdevisingrelevantpolicyapproachestofurtherdeepenthereachofthefinancialsector.Interestincollectingsuchdataisincreasingacrosstheglobe,resultinginthedevelopmentof anumberofcross-countryandcountry-specificdatacollectionstrategiesinrecentyears.
2 Objectives Thisreportaimstoinformfinancialpolicymakersandregulatorsonhowtodevelopastrategyfor
gatheringfinancialinclusiondatausingsurveysofdifferentkinds.Dependingonthefinancialresourcesandskillsavailable,aswellasstakeholderappetitefordata,thesestrategiescanrangefromsimplyleveragingalreadyavailabledatasets,tomodifyingexistingsurveystoincludenewquestionsonfinancialinclusion,oreventodesigningandimplementinganewfinancialsurvey.Inthisreport,weweightheadvantagesanddisadvantagesofeachapproach.
3 Structure Thisreportisorganizedtosystematicallytakethereaderthroughadecision-makingprocessto
determinetheappropriateresearchstrategy.Weshowhowfinancialinclusiondatacanbeused,whatsurveytechniquescanbeusedtocollectrelevantdata,andfinallyhowtobalanceinformationalneedswithresourceavailability.Afterabriefintroductionthatlaysoutthisprocess,section2focusesondevelopingacoherentdefinitionoffinancialinclusion,whichinfluencesbothdatacollectionandpolicydirection.Section3discusseshowdataneedsareassessedbydescribingthecoreelementsoffinancialaccesssurveys,withparticularfocusonthetypesofpolicy-relatedquestionsthatcanbeinformedbythisdata.Section4movesintothepracticalaspectsofimplementingadatacollectionstrategy,discussingtheactivities,costsandtradeoffsthatmustbeconsideredwhendevelopingaresearchstrategy.
4 Key insights • Thecoreelementsofdefiningfinancialinclusion,settingappropriatepoliciesandregulationsto
increase inclusion and designing data to monitor progress inherently work together.Definitions offinancialinclusionsetthebenchmarksagainstwhichpolicyisdevelopedandmonitoredaswellasprovidingtheguidelinesfordatacollectionwithwhichtoinformpolicy.Allthreeelementsrelyuponeachother,sobeingprecise,andrealistic,whendecideduponadefinitionoffinancialinclusionisimportant.
• Financial inclusion can be viewed through different lenses.Weofferfourexamplesoftheselenses,whichincreaseincomplexity:access,quality,usageandwelfare.Financialinclusionasdefinedbytheselensesgrowsincreasinglycomplexandhardertomeasureagainstbenchmarks,soestablishing adefinitionshouldtakeintoconsiderationtheresourcesavailablefordatacollection.
• Datacollectioncanvarysignificantlyintermsofdesign,sourceandquestionnairedesignand data needs should be assessed with respect to each.Sourcingdatafromfinancialinstitutions, i.e.supply-sidedata,canbecost-effective,butarenotabletorevealinformationabouttheclientexperienceandtheneedsofnon-consumersthathouseholdorindividuallevel,i.e.demand-side,surveyscanreveal.
• Differentpolicyquestionsdictatenotonlythespecificvariablestobecollectedbutalsoinfluencethe way in which data is collected.One-timecrosssectionsurveyscanbeeffectiveforprovidinginsightsonwhichsegmentsofthepopulationarefinancialexcluded,buttheyarenoteffectiveformonitoringorimpactifcollectedonlyonce.
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 01
Executive summary continued
• The complexity of the policy and research objectives should drive the complexity and budget for the research design.Simplerquestionsoffinancialinclusion,e.g.thosedealingwithaccess,requirelessrobustdataforsufficientanalysisandthereforemaynotjustifycomplexandcostlysurveys.Ontheotherhand,moredifficultsurveyquestions,suchasthoserelatingtoimpact, requiremoreinvestmenttodeliverappropriateresults.
5 Practical recommendations • Thereareseveralwaystoimprovedataavailabilityforfinancialinclusion.Beforeanynewsurvey
effortsareinitiated,werecommendanalyzingallavailabledata,bothfromsupply-sideand demand-sidesources.Thisservesthepurposeofnotonlyhighlightingthegapsthatneedtobefilled,buttheinventorycanalsobeusedtomakethecasetopushafinancialinclusionagendaforward.Thedecisionofhowtocollectfurtherdata,orwhethermoredatacollectioniswarrantedatall,involvesatrade-offbetweenresourceconstraints,thesizeoftheinformationgaptobefilledand thedata-drivenneedsofstakeholders.
• Inadditiontotheirownneeds,financialregulatorsshouldconsiderhowinclusiondatafromsurveys might also be used by different stakeholders and design an appropriate engagement and dissemination approach in order to maximize the value of their data-collection effort. Otherindustryplayersmayfindthedatausefulinmotivatingchangestotheirownapproaches.
02 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
1 Measuringfinancialaccess
Financialdevelopmentisbecomingincreasinglyimportantwithindevelopmentagendasglobally.Forsometime,thishasincludedfinancialdeepening—i.e.theexpansionofcreditandfinancialflowsrelativetoGDP—whichhasbeenshowntohaveastronglinktoeconomicgrowth.1Morerecently,attentionhasbecomefocusedonfinancial inclusion—thepercentageofthepopulationwithaccesstoformalfinancialservices—whichhasbeenshowntoasaneffectivetoolagainstpovertyalleviation.2
Increasingly,policymakersandregulatorsarerecognizingtheneedtodevelopevidence-basedapproachestoidentifyandpromotedriverstoexpeditenation-wideintegrationintoformalfinancialsystems.Creatingappropriatedatasetswhichaccuratelyelucidatethestateoffinancialinclusioncanaidpolicymakingbyhelpingto“focus the attention of policymakers and allow them to track and evaluate efforts to broaden access”(BeckandDemirgüç-Kunt(2008),p.393).Anumberofcountrieshavebeguntoassessandimplementtheirowndatacollectioneffortstosupportthisneed.InthewordsofapresentationgivenbyarepresentativefromMexico’sComisiónNacionalBancaraydeValores(CNBV)atthe2009AFIGlobalPolicyForum,3 “…countries which wish to promote financial inclusion must first define the concept and then measure and monitor it over time.”
Exactlyhowtocreatethedatato“measureandmonitor”financialinclusionisnotstraightforward.Surveysappropriateforgeneratingsuchdatasetsrequirebothskillstomanageandadequatefundingtoundertake.JudgingbythepopularityoftheGlobalStateofFinancialInclusionsessionatthe2009 AFI Global Policy Forum,4policymakersappeareagertoobtainthetoolswithwhichtodeterminethemosteffectivemechanismforgatheringinformation.
Thispaperaimstoinformfinancialpolicymakersandregulatorsonhowfinancialinclusiondatacanbecollectedtoprovideameansofmonitoringandpromotingfinancialinclusion.Specifically,wedescribeaframeworkfordevelopingadatacollectionstrategy,whichinvolves:
• developingameasurabledefinitionoffinancialinclusion;
• determiningdataneedswithregardstodevelopingappropriateandrelevantpolicy;and
• implementingaplantogatherdatainthemostcost-effectiveandefficientmanner.
ThisprocessisdescribedinFigure1belowandthispaperfollowsthisprogression.Thebulkofthepaperwilldescribethevarioussteps,payingparticularattentiontohowdatadevelopmentlookstoinformdecisionsconsideredbypolicymakersandregulators.Whileitisourhopethat,afterreadingthispaper,policymakerswillfeelconfidentlyarmedwiththeappropriatetoolstodeviseevidence-basedsolutionstohelpincreaselevelsoffinancialinclusion,itmustbeemphasizedatthestartthatthereisnotone“correct”strategythatcanbeuniversallyappliedtoallsituations.Therefore,thefocusofthispaperwillbeonenhancingthereaders’abilitytomakeinformeddecisionsabouthowbesttogatherthemostsuitabledatatoaskandanswerthequestionsmostrelevanttotheirrespectivenationalcontext.
Figure1:Decisionmakingprocess
1 See,forexample,KingandLevine(1993),Beck,Demirgüç-KuntandLevine(2007),andGinéandTownsend(2004).2 SeeBurgessandPande(2005),Beck,LevineandLevkov(2007)andBruhnandLove(2009),whicharediscussedinmoredetailinsection3.2.3 PresentationsgivenattheAFIGlobalPolicyForumcanbefoundonhttp://www.afi-global.net/gpf09/agenda.htm.4 ThissessionwasratedthethirdmostpopularaccordingtoapolltakenbyAFI.
Principle implementation
•Takeinventoryof existingdatasets
•Enhanceexistingsurveys tofulfillcurrentdata needsand/or
•Createanewsurvey
Definedataneeds
•Identifythepolicy questionsthatthedata shouldbeabletoanswer
•Developahighlevelplan tocapturedatatoanswer thosequestions
Definefinancialinclusion
•Derterminethedepthof deffinitiontouseasa benchmark
•Includespecificand measurablelanguage
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 03
2 Definingfinancialinclusion
Anevidence-basedapproachtopolicymaking,guidedbyathoughtful and focuseddatacollectionstrategy,iscriticaltoensureefficientuseofresourcestowardsdeliveringresultswithimpact.Developingacontextuallyrelevantdefinitionoffinancialinclusionupfrontcanprovidehelpful directionnotonlybyguidingwhatvariablestomeasure,butalsobyidentifyingthebenchmarks againstwhichsuccessorfailureismeasured.Howfinancialinclusionisdefinedisthereforelikelytoinfluencethenatureofthestudyundertaken.
2.1 Componentsoffinancialinclusion—whatisbeingmeasured? Financialinclusionbyitselfisamulti-facetedconceptwithanumberofnuancedcomponents,allor
someofwhichmayberelevanttothespecificcountryagenda.Belowweofferexamplesoffourcommonlyusedlensesthroughwhichfinancialinclusioncanbedefined,inorderofcomplexity:
I Access–Thiscomponentisconcernedprimarilywiththeability to use availablefinancialservicesandproductsfromformalinstitutions.Understandinglevelsofaccessmaythereforerequireinsightandanalysisofpotentialbarrierstoopeningandusingabankaccountforanypurpose,suchascostandphysicalproximityofbankservicepoints(branches,ATMs,etc).Averybasicproxyforaccesscanbederivedthroughcountingthenumberofopenaccountsacrossfinancialinstitutionsandestimatingtheproportionofthepopulationwithanaccount.Dataonaccesscanusuallybeobtainedthroughinformationprovidedbyfinancialinstitutions.
II Quality–Asameasureoftherelevanceofthefinancialserviceorproducttothelifestyleneedsoftheconsumer,qualityencompassestheexperienceoftheconsumer,demonstratedinattitudesandopinionstowardsthoseproductsthatarecurrentlyavailabletothem.Themeasureofqualitywouldthereforebeusedtogaugethenatureanddepthoftherelationshipbetweenthefinancialserviceproviderandtheconsumeraswellasthechoicesavailableandtheirlevelsofunderstandingofthosechoicesandtheirimplications.
III Usage–Concernedwithmorethanbasicadoptionofbankingservices,usagefocusesmoreonthepermanence and depthoffinancialservice/productuse.Inotherwords,determiningusagerequiresmoredetailsabouttheregularity,frequencyanddurationofuseovertime.Usagealsoinvolvesmeasuringwhatcombinationoffinancialproductsisusedbyanyonepersonorhousehold.
IV Welfare–Themostdifficultoutcometomeasureistheimpactthatafinancialdeviceorservicehashadonthelivesofconsumers,includingchangesinconsumption,businessactivityandwellness.Distinguishingtheroleoffinancialservicesonthepeople’slives,withoutmistakingitforanotherconcurrentfactor,suchasincreasedincome,requiresacertainresearchdesign,discussedinsection3.1.Inordertoacquireinformationonquality,usageandwelfare,itiscriticaltohaveinformationfromtheuser’spointofview,i.e.datagatheredthroughademand-sidesurvey.
5 Practicallyspeaking,definitionswithincreasedcomplexityrequireanalysiswithheightenedrigor.Itisthereforeadvisabletoconsiderthelevelofavailableresourcesandskillstoguidedecisionsaboutthecomplexityofthefinancialinclusionbenchmark.
6 In2003,FinScope(www.finscope.com)foundthat88%ofhouseholdsinSwazilandareseenasexcludedbasedonthecostsassociatedwithtransactionaccounts).7 Kempson,etal.(2000),forexampledescribealistofpotentialbarrierstoinclusionwhichincludegeographicaccess,riskassessmentsoflow-incomecustomers,
prohibitivelyhighproductcosts,etc.8 Seesection4.1whichdiscussesconcernsassociatedwiththesemeasures.9 See,forexample,Kempson,et.al(2000),whicharguesthatthemajorityofcurrentaccountsinBritainareinappropriatefortheneedsoflow-incomeindividuals.
04 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Abilitytouseformalfinancial services,i.e.minimalbarriers toopeninganaccount
• Physicalproximity
• Affordability
Figure2:Possiblelensestomeasurefinancialinclusion
2.2 Creatingmeasurablegoals–whatarethebenchmarksforsuccess? Transformingpolicyobjectivesintoclearandobjectivelymeasurablestandardsisacriticalstepto
designingaresearchstrategy.Indoingso,itisessentialtoinvolvespecificandmeasurablelanguage,soastoprovideclearguidanceintermsofdatapointstotrackandgoalsagainstwhichtogaugeperformance.Toexemplifythispoint,wecomparetheUNVisionofInclusiveFinance,10whichespouseshigh-levelidealsoffinancialinclusion,withtheSouthAfricanFinancialSectorCharter’s11moreprecisedefinitionof“effectiveaccess.”
TheUNVision’shigh-levelstandards,whilecomprehensive,aredifficulttomeasure.Forexample,suchwordsas“reasonable”and“appropriate”arepronetomultipleandsubjectiveinterpretations.Furthermore,suchstandardsdonotprovideaclearpathformeasurement.Ontheotherhand,theSouthAfricanCharter’sspecificitywithrespecttogeographicalaccessbetterservesthepurposeofmeasurement,astheCharternotonlypaintsaclearpictureofakeydimensionoftheideal(effectiveaccess),butalsodefinesitinawaythatsupportsmeasurementandmonitoring(e.g.20kmsdistancetothenearestservicepoint).Itfurthermoredefinesthetargetgrouptobeservedinspecifictermsincurrencyinthelocalmarket.
Itisinstructivetonoticethat,whilethegoalsoftheSouthAfricanCharterareclearandmeasurable,theyarelimitedtodefiningfinancialinclusionbyaccess—definitionsbeingexploredinothercountriesareimplicitlymeasuringquality,usageandwelfare.InapresentationgivenattheAFI2009GeneralPolicyForuminNairobi,Mexico’sComisiónNacionalBancaraydeValores(CNBV)clearlysuggestedthatthedefinitionoffinancialinclusionshouldincludenotonlyaccessbutalsouseoffinancialservices.ThismoreambitiousdefinitionoftheCNBVwouldrequiredatanotonlyfromfinancialinstitutionsbutalsofromusersoffinancialservicesthemselves.ApresentationgivenbytheBankofThailandsuggestedanevenmoreambitiousdefinition,whichincludedcapturinganimprovementinwellbeingresultingfromfinancialaccess,literacyandconsumerprotection.Currently,theavailabledataisnotabletomeasureprogressbasedonthisdefinitionbut,havingreachedmoreclarityonitsexactgoals,theBankofThailandhasaclearroadmapofwhatneedstobedonetogatherthenecessarydata.13
10 Availableat:http://www.uncdf.org/english/microfinance/index.php11 Availableat:www.fscharter.co.za/12 LSM1-5aremarketsegmentationmeasuresinwidespreadusagetodenotehouseholdswithspecificlow-incomecharacteristics.
Actualusageoffinancialservices/products
• Regularity
• Frequency
• Lengthoftimeused
• Productattributesmatchtheneedsofcustomers
• Productdevelopment considerstheneeds ofcustomers
Effectonthelivelihoods ofthecustomers
• Welfare/consumption
• Personal/business productivity
Financialinclusion
2 Defining financial inclusion continued
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 05
Thedepthandextentofafinancialinclusiondefinitionistheresultof,amongotherfactors,thefinancialresourcesandskillsavailableforthedatarequirementsinherentinthisdefinition.TheprogressionwithinFigure2suggeststhedegreeofdifficultyofmeasurement,andhencetheamount ofresourcesnecessary,ofeachlens.Asthenextsectionwillreveal,measuringaccessmaybeaccomplishedrelativelyeasilywithdatafrominstitutions,whichmayalreadybeinhandwithintheregulatoryagency,whilemeasuringimpactonwellbeingrequiresspecificsamplingtechniquesandrepeatedsurveysofindividualsand/orhouseholds.
Withaviewtosignificantlyincreaseoutreach…eachdevelopingcountryshouldhaveacontinuum offinancialinstitutionsthat…wouldbecharacterizedby:
a accessatareasonable cost of all households and enterprises totherangeoffinancialservicesforwhichtheyare“bankable,”includingsavings,credit,leasingandfactoring,mortgages,insurance,pensions,payments and local andinternationaltransfers;…
Effective Access means:
a Beingwithinadistanceof20kmstothenearestservicepointatwhichfirst-order retail finance servicescanbeundertaken,andincludesATMandotheroriginationpoints…
b Beingwithinadistanceof20kmtothenearestaccessibledeviceatwhichanelectronic(otherthanATM)servicecanbeundertaken
c Asufficientlywiderangeoffirst-order retail financial products and services…whichareaimedatandare appropriate for individuals who fall into the All Media Product Survey (AMPS) categories of LSM 1-5…
Firstorderretailproductsandservicesmeans:
a Transactionproductsandservices…fordaytodaypurposes
b Savingproductsandservices
c Creditforlow-incomehousing(definitionprovided)
d Insuranceproductsandservices
South Africa charter
UNCDF-Visionofinclusivefinance
13 PresentationsgivenattheAFIGlobalPolicyForumcanbefoundonhttp://www.afi-global.net/gpf09/agenda.htm.
2 Defining financial inclusion continued
06 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Withacleardefinitionoffinancialinclusioninhand,thenextstepistounderstandthedesign,sourcesofinformationandvariablesneededtocollecttodevelopandmonitorpoliciestoincreasefinancialinclusion.Althoughitisenticingtorushimmediatelytothesurveydesignstage,itisextremelyusefultofirstclearlydefinewhatthedatawillbeusedfor,whichultimatelyhelpsensurethatthedatathatiscollectedcanaddressthequestionsathand.
3.1 Using data to aid policymaking Ultimately,thepolicyobjectivespursuedwilltiecloselytothedefinitionoffinancialinclusionadopted,
aswellasthedatathatiscollected.Ataveryhighlevel,therearetwoprimaryobjectivesforwhichdatacanbeusedtosupportpolicymaking:
I Diagnosingthestateoffinancialinclusiontohelpdeveloppolicysolutions
II Monitoringthegrowthoffinancialinclusiontoaccordinglymodifyorcreatenewpolicyreforms
Figure3:Sequenceofdatausageinpolicymakingprocess
AsFigure3aboveshows,appropriatedatacantellusifthereisaproblemthatneedstoberesolved,aswellasmonitoringwhetheritinfactdoesgetresolved.Forexample,inthediagnosis,wemayfindthatcertainpartsofthepopulationaresystematicallyexcludedfromthefinancialsector.Orwemayfindthatcertainpartsofthepopulationareover-indebted.Thecorrectpolicyresponsewillnotonlyrespondwithsolutionsbutwillbeabletoprioritizethesolutions.Onewayofprioritizingwouldbebasedonthevulnerabilityofthepopulationaffected,forexample.Anotherwouldbebasedontheeaseorexpenseofimplementationrelativetothesizeofthepopulationreachedortheseverityoftheproblem.Oncepolicyisimplemented,datacontinuestoplayaroleinmonitoringitseffectiveness.Thiscanbeassimplytrackingthelevelofinclusionovertime,oritmaybedonebydeterminingthemeasurableimpactfromapolicydecisionagainstthecostofitsimplementation.Thismonitoringfunctionthenprovidesakeycomponentofthefeedbackloopintheprocessofrefiningorre-definingpolicyreforms.
Diagnosis
•Develophypotheses aboutwhatiscausing gapsinfinancialaccess
•Identifypopulationsegmentsparticularlyvulnerabletofinancialexclusion
Policy/regulatory reform
•Respondtohypotheses withappropriatepolicy/regulatory solutions.
•Considerprioritizingreformsbasedonpotentialforimpactandeaseofimplementation
Monitor
• Gauge level of improvementinfinancialinclusionnumbers
•Evaluaterelationshipbetweenpolicyandchangeinlevelsoffinancialinclusion
•Measureimpact
3 Determining data needs
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 07
3 Determining data needs continued
3.2 Whatpolicyquestionscandifferentsurveydesignsanswer? Broadlyspeaking,surveydesigndescribesthetypeofsamplingusedandwhethersurveysarerepeated.
Surveydesignsdependonthenatureofissuesbeinginvestigated.Weenvisionthreedifferent,thoughnotnecessarilyprogressive,categoriesofquestionswhichcanbeansweredusingsurveydesignsofdifferinglevelsofcomplexity.
Eventhemorebasicdesign(e.g.aone-timecross-sectionalviewoffinancialinclusion)canhelpestablishagreatdealofunderstanding.Forexample,asshowninTable1,thefirstcategoryofquestionscanbeusedtohelpsetthedirectionandprioritiesforregulationbysimplyestablishingthecurrentstatusoffinancialinclusion,e.g.whatpartsofthepopulationareunbanked,ordonothaveaccesstocredit.Inotherwords,thishelpsthe“diagnosis”partofFigure3.Includingbasicquestionsthatquerytheexperiencesandknowledgeofconsumerscanhelpdirectattentiontowardspossibleregulationsthatmightberequiredtoprovidesufficientconsumerprotection.Forexample,onecentralbankerinKenyafoundtheFinAccesssurvey,whichatthetimewasaone-timecrosssection,extremelyhelpful,since“Once we have information on the landscape it becomes much, much easier to chart policy. When we were approving M-Pesa for instance … we became more systematic. We could say, ok, let’s protect consumers but let’s go ahead.”(BankableFrontierAssociates(2009b),p.21).Onetimecrosssectionscanalsoprovidesomeinitialunderstandingofwhyconsumersmightlackaccess–perhapsfinancialinstitutionsaretoofaraway,orunfriendly,ordonotworkwithilliteratepeople.
Category2questionscanhelpaddresssomeaspectsofthe“monitoring”partofFigure3.Thesequestionsrequireadditionaldatathatcanbeaccessedacrosstwoadditionaldimensions:timeandspace.Atanationallevel,itispossibletosetinternalbenchmarksoffofpastperformanceinordertomeasureprogressandcontinuetomaintainfocusontheissueoffinancialinclusion.14Goalssuchasmeasuringimprovementsinfinancialinclusion,financialliteracyorbetterconsumerprotectionwouldbeundertakenbysuchdesigns.Thiswouldrequirewhatiscalled“repeatedcrosssections,”orsimplyperiodicrepeatsof“category1”surveys.
Comparisonstoothersimilarcountriescanalsobeextremelyusefulinsettingbenchmarksandestablishingprogress.Forexample,onememberoftheFinancialSectorDevelopmentProgrammesteeringcommitteeattheBankofZambia,foundthebenchmarkingdataofFinScopeextremelyuseful,as “It gives us the stark reality of how well or poor Zambia is doing compared to other markets.” (BankableFrontierAssociates(2009b)p.19).Whatisrequiredhereissimplyformulatingquestionsinawaythatiscomparabletootherfinancialaccesssurveys.
Finally,category3questionsrequiresurveysthataredesignedtomeasureimpactoffinancialinclusion.Thisisthemostchallengingpurposeforwhichtocollectdata,asitoftenentailsspecificandoftencomplexsamplingconsiderations.However,ifdonecorrectly,theresultscanbepowerful.BurgessandPande(2005),forexample,showedthatanexplicitpolicyforcingbankstoextendbranchesintoruralunbankedlocationsinIndia,viadepositmobilizationandcreditdisbursement,significantlyreducedruralpoverty.Additionally,Beck,LevineandLevkov(2007)usedtheCurrentPopulationSurveyintheU.S.,complementedwithstateleveldata,toexploitdifferencesinliberalizingregulatoryrestrictionsonintra-statebranchingtoshowthatderegulationloweredincomeinequalitybyreducingearningsgaps.
Tomeasuretheimpactofpoliciesmoreisneededthansimplyaskingtherightquestions.Inordertodistinguishtheimpactofthefinancialaccesspolicyfromanythingelseaffectingthelivesofthetargetpopulation,oneneedssurveyscollectedovertimeaswellasacontrolgroupwhichisnotaffectedbythepolicy.Moreover,thecontrolgroupneedstobeassimilaraspossibletothegroupaffectedbythepolicy.Thisusuallymeanstakingadvantageofwhatiscalleda“naturalexperiment,”i.e.policiesorregulationsbeingimplementedononegroupthatisdistinctbutsimilartoacontrolgroup.Inboththepapersdiscussedabove,differencesinimplementationsofpoliciesatstatelevelwereusedtoestablishimpact.
14 AswasdeterminedduringarecentreviewofFinScope’seffectiveness,itoftentakestimetoworktheadoptionofdataintoregularlyfunctioninginformation structures.Timeisalsoneededtodeveloptrustandunderstandingtofullyappreciatethebenefitsofincreasedmarket-leveldata(BankableFrontierAssociates, 2009b,p.31-32).
08 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Data designed to measure impact
Table1:Questionsansweredbydatadesigns
15 Honohan(2005)arguesthatanydatacollectionexercisemuststrivetounderstandboththesupplyanddemand-sideoffinancialservices.
Category
1. Basic questions that help define aspects of thefinanciallandscape
2. Comparative questionsacross time and countries
3. Impact questions
Questions they may ask of the data
Whichpopulationsegmentlackswhattypeoffinancialservices?
Whydotheylackaccess?
Howmuchusetakesplacefrominformal /unregulatedservices?
Whatistheevidenceofconsumerabuse?
HowdoIcomparetowhatIconsidertobemypeergroup?(byregional or level of income)
WhattargetsshouldIsetforaccesswhichIcanmeasurecredibly?
Isinclusionandprotectionimprovingovertime?
Impactofthepolicyonfinancialinclusion?
Welfareimpactofexpandingfinancialinclusiononthetargetpopulation?
Decisions theymaytake,based on the data
-Targetedregulation
-Furtherresearch /deepersurvey
-Begintoidentifybarrierstoformulatepolicy
-Begintoidentify atriskconsumers
-Targetedregulation
-Whetheranyreformoractionisrequired
-Choiceoftargets
-Targetedregulation
-Expansion/modification of regulation
-Expansion/modification ofpolicy
One-time cross- section
Internationally comparable data
Datacollected over time
x
x
x
x
3.3 What can be gained from gathering data from different sources? Financialinclusiondatamaybedistinguishedbasedondatasource,namely:supply-side(collectedfrom
financialinstitutionsorotherproviders)anddemand-side(householdorindividuallevelstudiesoftheconsumer).Bothplayimportantrolesinmeasuringfinancialinclusion,15buteachhasdifferentbenefitsandcostswhichmustbeconsideredintheoveralldatacollectionstrategy.
3.3.1.Supply-side surveys Supply-sidesurveystypicallycaptureinformation,suchasnumberofaccountsandproduct
specifications,fromfinancialservicesproviders,inordertoestimatethepercentageofthepopulationthatusesfinancialservices.Moreover,financialserviceproviderscouldbeaskedtoreportontheirphysicaloutreach,specificallyonthenumberofbranches,ATMs,etc.,which,ifcombinedwithpopulationdata,canbeusedasaproxyfordeterminingthelevelofaccesstofinancialservices.
3 Determining data needs continued
x
x
x
x
x x
x
x x
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 09
Kumaretal(2005)setouttoassessthelevelofaccesstofinancialservicesinBrazil.Inordertodoso,aWorldBankteamcollectedanumberofdifferentsupply-sideanddemand-sidemeasures.First,informationwasgatheredaboutthepresenceandspreadoffinancialinstitutionsorservicepoints(e.g.branches,ATMs,etc)inthe1990s.Asshownbelow,thenumberofbanksdecreasedfrom267in1993to194in2002,andthenumberofbankbranchesreducedfrom17,400in1994to16,000in1998,reflectingrecentreformpolicies,includingstricterprudentialregulationsonentryandoperation.However,duringthesametimeperiod,therewasasurgeinthenumberofATMsfrom3,500to22,500,andarapidexpansionofmicrofinanceinstitutions(MFIs)fromalowbase–bothfactorswhichcounteredthenotionthatbankingservicesweremadelessavailable.Inparticular,thestudydrewattentiontotherapidincreaseinbankcorrespondentsasanewchanneltoserveremoteareassuchthat,despitedecliningnumbersofbranches,Brazilhadnonethelessachievedthenormofhavingafinancialtouchpointineverymunicipality.
Forexample,Beck,Demirgüç-KuntandMartinezPeria(2007)usedtwodifferentsupply-sideindicatorstodeterminetheleveloffinancialaccessin99countries.Specifically,theyusedinformationonthenumberofbranchesandATMspercapita/squarekilometertoestimatefinancialaccess,arguingthatsuchanindicatorshedlightonthelevelofopportunityahouseholdorenterprisehastoengageafinancialserviceprovider.TheyalsocollectedinformationonthenumberandsizeofdepositandloanamountsrelativetopopulationandGDPpercapitatodetermineuseofsuchservices.TheWorldBank(2008)publishedseparatereportsondatadrawnfrom50+countriesoncostsassociatedwithopeningaccountsandlocationofbankservicetouchpointstoidentifypotentialbarrierstofinancialaccess.Inthesamevein,Honohan(2005),putforwardthattheimpactofpotentialpricebarriers(determinedbycostofproductsandservices),informationbarriers(determinedbylevelofinformationaboutactualcreditriskofunbankedpopulations),andproduct and service designbarriers(judgedonthesuitabilityofproductsandservicestotheneedsofthepoor),canbeinformedbysupply-sidedata.
Mostoftheprogresstodateinbuildingcross-countrydatasetshasbeenonthesupplyside,largelybecausethisdatatendstobealreadyavailablefrommostregulators.CGAP,forinstance,hasundertakenoneofthemostwide-reachingefforts,collectingannualdatafromapproximately130countryregulatorsaboutbankingactivityandothermatters.16In2009,theIMFalsoannouncedanefforttoincludeeightfinancialinclusivenessindicatorscollectedfromregulatorsinitsannualInternationalFinancialStatisticspublicationswhichcoverroughly190countries.17
Practicallyspeaking,supply-sidedatamaybetheeasiestandleastexpensivewaytocollectfinancialaccessdataasbankregulatorsorcentralbanksmayalreadybecollectingthisdatafromfinancialinstitutions.Ifthisisthecase,aggregationcouldbetheonlyactivityrequired.Inothercases,existingreportingrequirementsmayneedtobemodifiedtoincludemorerelevantordisaggregateddataneededforfinancialinclusionmeasurement.
Box1:AccesstofinancialservicesinBrazil,WorldBank(2005)
16 Thelatestresultsaredueforpublicationbythefourthquarterof2009.17 The8indicatorswilltrackthenumberofallfinancialinstitutions,includingbranches,ATMs,numberofdepositorsandborrowers,andfinancialservices
(deposits,loans,insurancetechnicalreserves).
#ofBanks(27%)
#ofBanksBranches(8%)
#ofATMs (543%)
#ofMFIs (333%)
1993
2002
1994
1998
1994
2002
1999
2002
267
194
17,400
16,000
3,500
22,500
6
26
Year Number
25
20
15
10
5
01994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Thousands
BranchesATMs
BankserviceoutpostsBankcorrespondents
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10 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
However,becausesupply-sidedataoftenfocusesonaccountsandbranches,ratherthanactualcustomers,18theresultsusuallyneedcomplementarydemand-sidedatatoprovideafullpictureoffinancialinclusionofquality, usage and welfare.Evenmeasuringaccesstofinancialservicesusingsupply-sidedataalonehasthefollowinglimitations:
• Data may be susceptible to double counting–sinceitisdifficulttoparseoutaccountsownedby thesamecustomer,supply-sidedatamayleadtoanoverestimationoftheactualfinancialoutreach.19
• Datamaybedifficulttosegment–Withoutinformationaboutthedemographicsofthecustomers, itisdifficulttounderstandthesegmentsofthepopulationbeingservedbyinstitutions(andnotbeingserved)andthusdevelopappropriateregulationtoreleasespecificbarrierstoaccessthatarerelevanttothesepopulations.
• Datamaybedifficulttoaggregate–thevarietyofinstitutions,diversearrayofproductsandservicesanddifferentinternalreportingsystems,makeitparticularlydifficulttoaggregatedatatoderiveaclearpictureofthedepthofthefinancialsystem.20
Nevertheless,Beck,Demirguc-KuntandPeria(2007)foundthat“…in the absence of survey measures on the use of deposit and loan services for a broad cross-section of countries, our aggregate indicators provide an adequate approximation of the extent to which households and firms use deposit and loan services, respectively”(p.236).
3.3.2. Demand-side surveys Whileabasicestimateofoutreachishelpful,aclearpictureoffinancialinclusionrequiresinputfrom
customers(actualandpotential)–particularly,whetherfinancialinclusionisequitablydistributedacrossthepopulation.Becausedemand-sideapproachesarebasedonsamplesofhouseholds,oftennationallyrepresentativesamples,andcollectdemographicinformationabouttherespondent,thedatasetscanbedisaggregatedbyincomelevel,urban/ruralresidence,employment,etc,toultimatelyhelpdeterminewhoisbeingserved.AsstatedbyHonohan(2005),“even if we had a credible measure of the penetration of financial services as a proportion of the population… we also want to know how many poor people have access...”(p.4)Demand-sidestudiesareusedtofulfillthatpurpose.
Forvariousreasons,however,adequatedemand-sideinformationhasbeenmarkedlylackinginmostcountries.Unlikesupply-sidestudies,demand-sidefinancialinformationisgenerallynotalreadycollectedbygovernmentagencies,atleastnotinsufficientdepthtomeasureinclusion.Althoughmostcountrieshaveahousehold-levelincomeandexpendituresurveywhichmayincludesomequestionsonfinancialaccess,thesesurveyscollectabroadrangeofhouseholdinformation,andrarelyprovideenoughdetailaboutfinancialinclusiontobeadequate.Furthermore,householdsurveysareexpensive,andgenerallyonlycarriedouteveryfewyears(Kneiding,Al-HussayniandMas,2009).
Thereare,however,twoexamplesofnationalsurveysthatfocuspurelyonfinancialaccessandwhichhavealreadybeenconductedacrossanumberofcountriesinthepastfiveyearsorso:FinMark’sFinScopesurveyandtheWorldBank’sFinancialAccessSurveys.
FinScope(www.finscope.co.za),anationallyrepresentativestudyofconsumers’perceptionsonfinancialservicesandissueswasfirstconductedinSouthAfricain2003,andhassinceexpandedinto14otherAfricancountries,plusPakistan.ItisrunannuallyonlyinSouthAfrica,butinfiveothercountries(Kenya,Tanzania,Botswana,UgandaandZambia),FinScopeisbeingconductedforasecondtime.Itisanindividual-levelsurveywhichfocusesoncollectingcomprehensivedemographicinformation,financialusageandpsychographicinformationabouttherespondents.Thisinformationisthenusedtocreatecomprehensivemetricsontheuse,accessandattitudestocredit,savings,andotherfinancialproducts.Whileithasbeenprimarilyusedbytheprivatesector,FinScopedatahasalsoprovedusefultothepublic
18 Honohan(2005)positsthatthesameisnottrueforspecializedmicrofinanceorganizationswhichtendtokeeprecordsaboutthecustomer19 Christenetal.(2004),forexample,performedaone-timeaggregationofaccountdatafrom‘alternative’financialserviceprovidersacross148countries,though
highlightedthemethodologicalflawofequatingnumberofaccountswithnumberofclients.20 SeeHonohan(2005).
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AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 11
sector.TheFinScopeteamisbasedwithinFinMarkTrust,anAfrica-focusedfinancialsectordevelopmenttrustsupportedbytheU.K.’sDepartmentforInternationalDevelopment(DFID).However,FinScopesurveysareconsciouslyundertakenwiththecooperationandsupportoflocalpolicymakers,andideally,theprocessofquestionnairedesignanddatadisseminationiscoordinatedwithinalocalinstitution,usuallytheCentralBank.Inthisway,FinScopeactivelyseekstoengagethepolicycommunityandultimatelyaimstohavethesupportinginstitution“own”theprocessofrunningfurtheriterationsofFinScope.
TheWorld Bank’s Financial Access SurveyhasseveraldistinctdifferencesfromFinScope.First,theWorldBanksurveysgatherinformationatthehouseholdlevel.Thissurveyhasbeenconductedinabout10countriesintotal.Ithasbeenconductedasastand-alonesurveythatcollectsdetailedinformationaboutthehouseholds’useofaccountsatvariousfinancialinstitutions(bankandnon-bank),proximitytotheinstitutions,successorfailureofloanapplications,aswellasotherdata.Ithasalsobeenconductedasashortmoduletobeaddedtootherhouseholdsurveys,liketheLivingStandardMeasurementSurvey(LSMS)tocollectbasicfinancialinformationabouthouseholds.Second,unlikeFinScope,whichactivelyseekstoengagepolicymakersinthedesignanddistributionofthesurvey,policymakershaveconsiderablyless“ownership”andcontroloverthedesignofthesesurveys.
Asignificantchallengehasbeendevelopingademand-sidesurveywhichcanproducecomparabledataacrossalargenumberofcountries,analogoustothesupply-sideeffortundertakenbyCGAPandtheIMFdiscussedabove.Inhopesoffillingthisgap,theBill &MelindaGatesFoundationrecentlyexploredthefeasibilityofdevelopingGlobal Financial Access Snapshots(GFAS)—asmallsetofaccessindicatorsgatheredusinganexisting,nationallyrepresentativeomnibusmarketingsurvey.Themodulewouldfocusoncollectingconsistentbasicinformationabouttherespondents’useoffinancialservicesinover100countries.21However,eveniftheFoundationdecidestoproceedtofundsuchanexercisein2009,itisunlikelythattheseindicatorswouldbeavailablemuchbefore2011duetotheleadtimesinvolved.
3.3.3 Key attributes for demand-side surveys Inordertoeffectivelymeasurethespreadoffinancialinclusion,demand-sidesurveysmustbecarefully
conceptualized.Therearefourkeyissuestodecideonwhendesigningahousehold-orindividual-levelsurvey:Sampling,samplingunit,surveyinstrumentandsurveydesign.
I Sampling:MostdatausessuchasthosedescribedinTable1requireanationallyrepresentativesample.22SpecifictacticsforgatheringasamplewithcharacteristicsproportionatetothepopulationaresuggestedinFigure4,but,attheleast,thesamplemustpossessthefollowingattributestoensuretheresultingdataisadequatelyrobustforanalysis:
• Sufficientsize:Smallsamplesizes,evenifcarefullycollected,aresusceptibletomeasurementerrorwhichwhencombinedwithpotentiallylowlevelsoffinancialusage,coulddramaticallymisrepresenttheleveloffinancialinclusion.Themainconcernisthatasmallsamplehasahigherchanceofmissingorinsufficientlycoveringtheaffectedpopulation.
• Drawnfromanappropriatesamplingframe,suchasapopulationcensus: As national representation iskeytomostdemand-sidesurveys,theuseofthecensusorasimilarsetofinformationtodrawthesampleacrosstheentirecountryisessentialtobuildasamplethatsharescharacteristicsproportionatetotheactualpopulation.
• Randomselectionofrespondents:Again,inthepursuitofnationalrepresentation,randomizationhelpsensurethatallmembersofthepopulationhaveanequalchanceofbeingselectedaspartofthesample.Bothhouseholdand,inthecaseofanindividualsurvey,memberswithinahousehold,mustbeselectedrandomly.
21 BankableFrontierAssociates(2009a).22 Theexceptioniscategory3questionsofimpact,whichhingesfarmoreontherandomallocationofthesamplebetweencontrolgroupandthegroupaffectedby
thepolicythanonissuesofnationalrepresentation).
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12 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Figure4:Achievingrepresentativenessindemand-sidesurveys
II Sampling unit:Anothercrucialissuewhetherthesurveyunitisthehousehold23 or individual. An exampleofahousehold-levelsurveyistheLSMSorWorldBankAccesstoFinanceSurvey,whileFinScopecollectsinformationaboutonlyonerandomlychosenindividualinthehousehold.Bothmethodologieshaverelativemerits,thoughusingthehouseholdastheunitofanalysismayprovideamorerobustperspectivesincethefinancesareoftenfungibleacrossthehousehold.Moreover,therandomlyselectedrespondentmaynothavethebestknowledgeaboutwhatfinancialdevicesthoseintherestofthehouseholduse.Itisalsoverylikelythatthereisnosinglepersonwithinahouseholdthathasfullinformationaboutallthecashflowsinandoutofthosedevices.24Therefore,dependingonthescopeofthestudy,itmaybeidealtointerviewallmembersofthehousehold.
III Surveyinstrument,orquestionnaire:Sincetheobjectiveofmeasurementisnotonlytoattainanoverallnationalpictureoffinancialinclusion,butsoalsotomeasurefinancialinclusionbyrelevantpopulations,itisimportanttogatherotherdata(referredtoas“covariates”)suchasincome,age,educationandhouseholdcompositionwhichenablessegmentation.Recommendedcovariatesforthispurposeincludeareincome(amountandsource),educationlevel,employmentstatus,socioeconomiccharacteristicsandhouseholdcomposition.Asasimpleguide,thetablebelowshowswhatdemographicinformationwascollectedbytheWorldBankAccesstoFinanceSurveyquestionnaireinIndonesia.25
• Replacenon-responsivehouseholds/respondentsinarandomway;and
•Selectingindividualswithin households inarandomway.
Necessary survey characteristics
• Usecensusasthesampleframe.
•Facetofaceinterviewingratherthan throughtelephonesand/orinternet.
•Solicitresponsesfromactualhouseholdsratherthanfroma centrallocation(e.g.shoppingmall ormarket).
Attribute
Sample’s characteristicsproportionate to entire population characteristics
Representationof respondentsacross various relevant characteristics(income,employment,gender)
23 CullandScott(2009),usingaseriesofrandomizedexperiments,findthatratesofhouseholdusagearesimilarwhenthehouseholdheadreportsonhouseholdusageorwheneveryoneinthehouseholdisquestioned.However,randomlyselectingahouseholdinformantprovidesalesscompletepictureofhouseholduseoffinancialservices.
24 CullandScott(2009),forexample,identifythehouseholdheadasthemostimportantpersontointerviewinademand-sidesurveyregardingfinancialaccessanduse,buttheyalsoillustratethelimitationsthatcanresultwhengatheringinformationfromasinglehouseholdinterviewee.
25 ActualIndonesiansurveyisavailableat:http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/EXTPROGRAMS/EXTFINRES/0,,contentMDK:21668967~menuPK:4730256~pagePK:64168182~piPK:64168060~theSitePK:478060,00.html.
Specificattributes
Proportionalhouseholddistributiontogeographicpopulationcharacteristics (e.g.urban/rural)
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AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 13
Table2:CovariatedatacollectedfromIndonesiaAccesstoFinanceSurvey
IV Survey design:Thelastconsiderationisdesignofthesurvey,whichwasdiscussedinsection 3.1above.Table3,below,providesadditionaldetailsbydescribingdifferenttypesofsurveyswithdifferentdesignsandobjectives,inorderofcomplexity.
Table3:Differentdemand-sidesurveydesigns
Covariates
Income
Education Level
Employment status
Source of Income
Socioeconomic characteristics
Household composition
WorldBankHouseholdAccesstoFinanceSurveycollectsinformationabout…
Differentsourcesofincome(wages,business,non-workingincomesuchas grant,rentalincome,interest)forthelast12months,andforeachhousehold memberseparately.
Highestlevelofeducationforeachrespondent
Fulltime,parttime,salariedorhourly-paidjobs,aswellasself-employment.
Employmentincome,remittances,investments,etc.
Condition/materialsofthehouse,electricity,water
Numberofpeoplewithinhousehold(definedaspeople,whoaspartorwhole ofadwellingunit,havecommonarrangementsforhousekeepingandshareat leastonemealregularly).
Type of survey
One-time cross -section
Repeated cross section
Panel
Definition
Crosssectionofthepopulation israndomlyselectedandinterviewedonce
Crosssectionofthepopulation israndomlyselectedandinterviewedonce.Inthenexttimeperiod(forexampleafter 1year),anothercrosssection ofthepopulation(whichresemblesthefirstsampleinterms of population characteristics)israndomlyselectedandinterviewedonce.
Thesamehouseholds/individualsareinterviewedmultiple times at regular intervals.
Survey Objective
Snapshotofcurrentleveloffinancialaccess
Monitor progress offinancialaccessacrosstime.
Canbeusedtoshowacausalimpactofchangesinpolicyifcombinedwithotherfactors.
Examples
FinScope –AllcountriesexceptforSouthAfrica(thoughsomecountriesaresurveyedmultipletimes,thoughnotatconsistentintervals,andwithoutpriorunderstandingthatsurveywillberepeated.
World Bank Access to Finance(addontoLSMSandstandalone)–10countriesintotal;householdlevelsurveyconductedperiodically,butnotatregularintervals.
FinScope–SouthAfrica:Conductedannually
GFAS–Globaldemand-sideindicatorstobecollectedeverytwoyears.Shortquestionnairewillbeaddedontoanalreadyexistingsurveywhichasanationallyrepresentative sample.
Survey of Consumer Finances–U.S:amulti-yearapproachusedbytheUnitedStatesFederalReservetoassessconsumerfinancepatterns
Financial Diaries26-Householdlevelsurveyconductedin3countrieswhichstudiedtheuseoffinancialproductsandflowoffinancialservices;conductedatthehighfrequencyofeveryfortnightfor one year.
ENNViH (Family life survey) – Mexico:Conductedregularly;Collectsinformationonhouseholdincomeandexpenditure;hassomefinancialaccessquestions,particularlycredit.
26 Seewww.financialdiaries.comorwww.bankablefrontier.comundertheresearchheadingformoreinformation.
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14 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
BellandHogarth(2009)examinedthechangesovertimeinconsumers’accessto,adoptionof,andattitudestowardsvariousformsofelectronicbankingintheU.S.Theybasedtheiranalysisontwosources:theFederalResearch’striennialSurveyofConsumerFinances(SCF),aswellasquestionsincludedbytheFederalReserveintheUniversityofMichiganSurveyResearchCenter’sSurveysofConsumers(SOC).Althoughthesurveyshavedifferentmethodologies,theywerefoundtobesufficientlycompatibletogainageneralpictureofconsumeruseandperceptionsofelectronicbankingtechnologies.Key to the analysis was that the data from the two surveys were not combined, per se, but rather analyzed separately and merely discussed together.Forexample,asthetwochartsbelowshow,theSCFwasusedtotrackthepercentageofhouseholdsthatuseonlinebankingwhilethequestionsaddedtotheSOCwereabletoprovideadeeperlookintothetypeofonlinebankingactivitieshouseholdsengagedin.Becausebothsurveyswerenationallyrepresentativeandrestrictedtohouseholdswithabankaccount,theanalysesofthedatawerecompatibleenoughtocomplementeachotheranddrawamorecomprehensivepictureofbranchlessbankingintheUS.
3.3.4.Combining data Tosummarizetheabovediscussions,supply-sidesurveysareacost-effectivewaytocollectcountrywide
dataontheoutreachofbanksorotherfinancialinstitutions,butdonotanswermorespecificquestionsaboutdemographic-specificusage.Demand-sidesurveys,whilemorecostly,aredesignedtogatherinformationaboutanationallyrepresentativesampleofthepopulation.Usually,itisnotpossibleto“splice”datatogetherifitisnotcollectedatuniformtimeperiodsandunitsofanalysis(seeHonohan,2008).However,reportsthatusetwosourcesofinformationinparalleltoprovidecorroborativeevidencecanbeveryeffective,asthefollowingcaseshows.
Box2:U.S.household’saccesstoanduseofelectronicbanking,1989-2007
3.4Whatvariablesareneededtoanswerpolicyquestions? Thefinal,butoftenthemosttime-consuminganddifficult,taskisdesigningthequestionswithinthe
survey,orwhatisknownasthesurvey instrument.Whetherthedatawillbeusedtohelpdiagnoseproblems,tomonitorortoevaluateimpactofapolicy,itisimportanttoincludethevariablesneeded toassesswhatpolicyleversmightbeused.
InTable4,welistsomeofthetopicsconnectedtofinancialinclusionandsuggestwhichvariableswouldbehelpfulinassessingthem.Withinthetopicoffinancialinclusion,tomeasurefinancialaccess,onewouldneedthenumberofaccountsandgeographicdistributionofservices,andtomeasureusage,onewouldneedmoredetailedinformationaboutrecentandpastusageandaccumulationpatternsfromindividuals.Tomeasurewhetherthereisaproblemwithindebtedness,acommonconcernamongregulators,onewouldneedanumberofindividualorhouseholdlevelvariables,suchasdebtservice andstockaswellasinformalsourcesofdebt,incombinationwithdefaultdatafrominstitutions.
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
% Households that use online banking (SCF)
1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2003
120
100
80
60
40
20
02006
Monitoraccounts
Transferfunds
betweenaccounts
Paybills
Opennewaccounts
Apply for loans
3 Determining data needs continued
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 15
Table4:Summaryofpolicyleversandtherequiredsurveyvariablestocollect
Core topics
Inclusion of the individual in the financialsystem
Segmentation of the market according to covariates
Usage of payment systems
Transaction costs of reaching and using financialserviceProviders
Levels of indebtedness
Demand-side variables
- Population in regions-Recentandpastusagepatterns-Wealthaccumulation
-Levelofincome- Gender-Geography-Numberinhousehold-Sourceofincome
-BillPay-Remittances-Salaries/wages-Mobile-Debit/credit/POS
-Transportation-Timeexpenditures(waitinginline,travel,requirements)
-Productfeatures-Convenience
-Debtservice-Totaldebtstock- Assets-Durationofdebt-Informalsources
Supply-side variables
-Numberofaccounts-Geographicdistributionofbanks,branches, ATMs,etc,intolow-incomeorruralareas.
-Eligibilityforaccounts
-Biographicalinformationcollectedbythe bankaboutaccountholders(gender,address,etc)
-Accountinformationfromthird-partyvendors-Numberofdirectdepositors-Numberofcreditcardaccounts, debitcardsissued,etc.
-Productfeatures
-Summaryofloanaccounts- History of default of loan payments
3 Determining data needs continued
16 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Inadditiontodeterminingthecontent,thedecisionaboutaresearchstrategywillhavetoconsiderthecostimplicationsofconductingsurveys.Theprocessofdesign,collectionandanalysisisintensiveintermsofbothfinancialandhumanrecoursesandwillrangedependingonthecomplexityofdesign.Formodestdataneeds,highexpendituresmaybebothunjustifiedaswellasunnecessary.Forkeypolicydecisionsaffectingthelivesofmany,ontheotherhand,thecostofcollectingmorecomprehensivedatamaybewarranted.
4.1 Take an inventory of existing data collection efforts on both demand- and supply-side
Themostcosteffectivewaytomeasurefinancialaccessiswithinformationthatalreadyexists.Thepublicdataalreadycollectedbygovernmentagents(e.g.creditbureaus,bankingregulators,statisticalbureausetc.)maywellprovideadequate,low-costinformationforregulatorsandpolicymakers.Thisalsoincludesinternational,cross-countrysourcesofinformationsuchasthoseprovidedbyCGAPand,eventually,bytheIMFand(potentially)theGatesFoundation.
Neverthelessitremainsimportanttoscrutinizethepotentialbenefitofusingexistingdata,particularlyformonitoringandsegmentation,asunduegapsincontentanddesigncanproducemisguidedoutcomeswhichmayoverrideanyfinancialsavings.Twocriticalquestionsmustthereforebeasked:
I Canexistingdatasatisfythedataneedsasestablishedabove?Itisoftenusefulatthispointtobringallexistingdatatogetherintoonedocument.Thisdocumentcanbeahelpfultooltoinitiatediscussionoffinancialinclusion,toclarifyanyconfusionoverconflictingorincomparabledata,27 andtopromotetheneed,shouldtherebeany,formoredatacollection.
II Wasthedatacollectedinasufficientlyrobustmanner?Whetherexistingsourcesofdatacanfulfilltheneedsoftheregulatorisnotonlyaquestionofcontent,butofdesign.Thesameframeworkforsamplinganddesigndiscussedabovecanhelpdeterminetherobustnessandusefulnessofthedataproducedbyothersources.
4.2 Consider use of data by stakeholders Inadditiontoaninventoryofexistingdata,acomplementarystakeholderassessmentofbothdataneeds
andthecapacitytousedatasetscanbehelpfulindeterminingwhetherandtowhatextentanewdatacollectionexerciseshouldtakeplace.Thismaybestbedoneinaseriesofface-to-faceinterviewswithpartiesalsoconcernedwithfinancialinclusion,suchasothergovernmentdepartmentsorministries,privatefinancialinstitutions,statisticalagenciesandsupportingagenciessuchascreditbureau.Dataproducedbynewcollectioneffortsshouldhavesignificancetothetypesofdecisionsthatstakeholdersneedtomakeonaregularbasisandwhethertheyusesurveydatatomakethosedecisions.Bysittingdownwithotherstakeholders,policymakersmaybetterdefinethebreadthofquestionsthatneedto beansweredbythedata.
Thatsaid,itisoftenenticingforstakeholderstowanttolisteverypossiblevariabletheycanthinkof, alistwhichmaynotreflecttheiractualneeds.However,ifstakeholdersarenotaccustomedtousingadatasetonwhichtobasedecisions,itwouldbeoverkilltoembarkonthecollectionofaverylargeandcomplicateddatasetandwisertofocusonacoresetofvariablesthatareeasytounderstand.Therefore,itishelpfultoseparatedatarequirementsintotwocategories:need-to-know and like-to-know.“Needtoknow”dataisthatwhichislikelytobeessentialformoststakeholderstohave.Publicagenciesmayrequirethisinformationtosetrelevantagendas,whereasintheprivatesector,lackofthisdatamaycauseinformationasymmetrieswhichcouldleadtodistinctmarketabnormalities.Inotherwords,inordertosetotherstakeholdersontherightpathtowardspromotingfinancialinclusion,itisessentialtoensurethatthiscategoryofdataisalreadyormadeavailablequickly.The“liketoknow”datacategory,ontheotherhand,willconsistofbroaderandmorediversedatarequirements,andislikelytobeprioritizedbasedontheconsistencyofinterestacrosstheend-usergroup,aswellasease bywhichitcanbeaccommodatedintothesurveydesign.
4 Practical implementation
27 Thisisparticularlyanissuewheninformationhasbeencollectedusingdifferentmethodologieswithvaryinglevelsofrobustness.
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 17
TheLivingStandardsMeasurementStudy(LSMS)isaresearchprojectthatwasinitiatedin1980inresponsetoaperceivedneedforpolicyrelevantdatathatwouldallowpolicymakerstomovebeyondsimplymeasuringsocialsectoroutcomestounderstandingthedeterminantsofthem.Thequestionnaires(household,priceandcommunity)thatarefieldedintheLSMSsurveysvaryacrosscountriesreflectingthespecificdataneedsandconcernsofindividualcountries.
In2005,anLSMSsurveywasconductedinGhana,whichwasdesignedtoprovideinformationonmultipleaspectsoflivingconditions,e.g.consumptionanduseofpublicservices.TakingadvantageofthedemographicinformationalreadycollectedbytheLSMS,adifferentdivisionoftheWorldBankcommissionedarevisittoarandomlyselectedsub-sampleofthehouseholdstogatherinformationspecificallyonfinancialusage.30
Themainrationaleforaddingamoduleontoanalreadyexistingsurvey,ratherthanconstructingacompletelynewsurvey,wascost.Theauthorsbelievedthat,“surveys of individuals and households about their use of financial services hold the most promise for measuring outreach well, but their cost and the other logistical hurdles have made it difficult to develop…”(CullandScott(2009),p.33).Therefore,anadd-onmoduletoarespectableandcompatiblesurveymayprovideameanstogainthenecessarydemand-sideinsight,withoutincurringsuchhighcosts.
4.3 Options for creating new data sets
Ifavailablesourcesproveinsufficient,theeffortnecessarytodevelopnewdatasetscanbejustified.Forsupply-sidedata,itistypicallythecasethatthisdataisalreadycollectedbytheregulator,butitneedstobestandardizedacrossinstitutions,checkedforrobustnessandbroughttogetherinananalyticallyhelpfulway.Althoughthisisnosmalltask,itcanbeaccomplishedwithoutneedingtocreateanentirelynewdatacollectionmechanism.
Fordemand-sidedata,whichistypicallynotalreadycollectedbytheregulator,theanalysisofexistingdatathatmayalreadybecollectedviasurveysbystatisticalagenciesneedtobeassessedtodeterminewhetherthesesurveyscansimplybeenhancedorwhetheranentirelynewsurveyneedstodevelopedwhichispurposefullydesignedtoproducethedesireddata.
4.3.1 Enhancement of existing surveys Evenifthecurrentdatasetsareinadequate,itstillmaybepossibletousecertainelementofexisting
surveys.Thisoftentakesplaceintwodifferentways:
I Enhancement of methodology–asoutlinedabove,dataappropriateformeasurementrequiresthatthesurveyhavevariouscoreattributes,includingnationalrepresentationandacomprehensivecoverageofrelevantdemographicinformation.Itmaybepossibletoincreasetherelevanceofalreadyexistingsurveysbyextendingorchangingtheexistingsample.
II Enhancement of content–itmayalsobepossibletoaddonfinancialaccessquestionstoanalreadyexistingsurvey.Theriskhereisthatthesurveylengthmaybecometoolongandcumbersometoadministereffectively.28
Partneringwithanotherinstitutionandmakingeitheroftheseenhancementscouldhavedistinctbenefits.Addingtoapre-existingsurveyprovidesavenuetosharethedesignandimplementation effortwithanotherreputableinstitutionwhocouldbecomeakeystakeholder.Partneringisalsolesscostlythandesigningasurveyfromscratch,asdatacollectioncontractshavealreadybeenestablishedandtestedbythesurveyinginstitution.Theresourceandtimesavingspotentialinthisoptioncannot beunderstated,asnewsurveydesigncanbealengthyeffort.
Nevertheless,add-oncomponentstoexistingsurveyscouldlimitthefreedomofregulatorsorotherauthoritiesandstakeholderstomeetpreciseobjectives.Therefore,itmaybewisetoconsideronlythosepartnerswhosharesimilarobjectivesandwithareputationamongstkeyindustryplayersthatwouldfacilitateappropriateusageoftheresults.
Box3:WorldBankaccesstofinancemodule,Ghana29
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28 Therecommendedlengthforasurveyisgenerallyonethatlastsonehour.Surveysthatlastlongermayresultinrespondentfatigueandsloppyanswers.29 Foracompletediscussion,seeCullandScott(2009).30 Foranexampleofthesurveyused,seetheGuatemalaAccesstoFinancemoduleat:http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/
EXTPROGRAMS/EXTFINRES/0,,contentMDK:21668967~menuPK:4730256~pagePK:64168182~piPK:64168060~theSitePK:478060,00.html.
18 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Whilesurveycostsaredifficulttopredictbecauseofthenumerousvariablesinvolved,wehaveplottedactualsurveycostsforthreedifferenttypesofsurveysasanindication.Comparingthesurveysinthismannermakesevidentthetrade-offsbetweensurveydesign,especiallythesamplesizeandmethodology,andcost.Forexample,apanelsurvey,whichisarguablythemostcomplexofthesurveydesigns,despiteitsdrasticallysmallersamplesize,cancostaboutthesameasanationally-representativecross-sectionalsurvey.Additionally,becauseofthehighly-focusedobjectivesthatpanelsareusuallydesignedtomeet,theyshouldbeusedsparinglyinacountrywithlimitedresourcesanduseforsuchindepthresearch.Ontheotherhand,addingamoduleontoanalreadyexistingsurveyseemstobetheleastexpensiveoption,evenwhileaccommodatingalargesamplesize.
Survey cost and sample size
4.3.2Implementinganewsurvey Ifnationalobjectivescannotbemetthroughadoptingoraddingontoexistingsurveys,thereisacase
fordesigningandimplementinganewfinancialinclusionsurvey,thoughsuchadecisionmustresultfromcarefulconsiderationofthetimeinvolvedtoundertakesuchaprocess,aswellastherelativecostsandbenefitsofdoingso.
TimeframeforDesign:Thepreparationofanational,cross-sectionalsurveymaytypicallyrequiresixtoelevenmonthsbeforeresultsbecomeavailable.Thatprocesswouldmostlikelybecomposedofthefollowingsteps:questionnairedesignandagreementofcontentamongstakeholders(2-4months),fieldtrialswherequestionsarepilotedwithasizeableportionofthesampletoensureappropriateresponsesarereceived(1-2months),analysisofthepilotresultsandsurveyredesignasnecessary(1-2months),followedbypreparationandfinaladministrationofthesurveyamongthetargetpopulation(2-3months).Thetimetoanalyzesurveyresultsandcross-checkagainstotherdatasourcesvariesdependingonthecapacityavailabletominethedata.Infutureiterations,whensurveydesignandquestionpilotingarenolongernecessary,theprocessofsurveyadministrationandanalysiswillshortenwithbuilt-ineconomiesofscaleandinstitutionalmemory.
Cost/Benefitsofnewsurveydesign:Thecostsofdevelopinganewsurveyaresignificant–bothintermsoftime(describedabove)andmoney.Unlessthereareparticularlycompellingbenefitstodevelopingandimplementinganewmeasurementsurvey,oriftherearenoalternativesurveyoptions,itwouldbeadvisabletoreserveresourcesformorerobustandmeaningfulsurveysdesignedtoprovideanswerstospecificanddeeperquestionsaboutfinancialinclusion.
Box4:Evaluatingsurveycosts
4.4 Increasing the use of survey data Tomaximizetheuseoffinancialinclusiondata,andinturntheinvestmentmadeintocollectingit,the
resultinginformationshouldbedisseminatedinthemosteffectivewaypossibleforstakeholders.Thisrequiresnotonlyanunderstandingofvariablesnecessarytodrivetokeydecisions,butalsotheformatlikelytofacilitateuseofthedata.ItshouldnotbeassumedthatproducingreportswithheadlineresultscanbeanylesseffectiveinstimulatingactionthanprovidinguserswithaCDoflargedataset.Asimple,
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AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 19
InZambia,anumberofbankshaverespondedpositivelytoheadlinedataprovidedbyaFinScopesurvey. Forexample,Barclaysusedthedatatojustifythere-openingofanumberofbranchesandservicecentres innon-urbanareas.AlsopromptedbyFinScopeevidence,thebankcreatedanewbrandandbusinessmodelspecificallyfocusedontheunbanked,althoughtheseplanshavebeenputonholdbecauseoftheglobal financialcrisis.Inaddition,ZANACO,ZambiaNationalCommercialBank,haslaunchedamobilebanking venturesimilartoWizzit.And,Dunavant,acottoncompany,hascreatedamobilepaymentlinkagefor 150,000ofitsout-growers.Bothwerestimulatedinpartbythefinancialinclusiondebatethathasbeen fuelledbytheprovisionofFinScopeheadlinedatainZambia.
31 BankableFrontierAssociates(2009b).32 Honohan(2005)statesthat“ultimately,nationalauthoritieswillbecomethemaincollectorsofsuchdata”(p.2).33 Morespecifically,“thefinancialaccessissueshighlightedbyFinAccessKenyaplayedanimportantroleinconfirmingtheCentralBank’sdecisiontoallowM-Pesa
toproceedandthennottointervenetooheavily,anticipatingthatM-Pesawouldhaveasubstantialandpositiveeffectbeyondthescaleandscopeofthebankingsector.”(BankableFrontierAssociates(2009b),p.21).
34 BankableFrontierAssociates(2009b),p.21.
user-friendlybrochurewiththemainresultsofthesurveycanbeaveryeffectiveinitialtool,particularlywherepublicandprivatesectorinstitutionsarenotusedtomakingdata-drivendecisions.Institutionsthatareaccustomedtomakingdecisionsdifferentlymaybeoverwhelmedbyneedingtointerpretarawdataset.Inthecasebelow,FinScopedatainfluencedthegrowthofthesector,withtheproductionofabrochureofdataandseveraltargetedpresentations.
Box5:FinScopeinZambia–encouragedgrowthoffinancialsector31
4.5 Role of the regulator Mostpolicymakersrecognizethat,inadditionaltobeingakeyuseroffinancialaccessdata,theyhavean
importantroletoplayinsettingthedirectionforthedevelopmentandimplementationofanationaldatacollectionstrategy.32TheBankofThailand,forexample,intheirpresentationatthe2009AFI Global Policy Forummadeaclearcasethatitisintheregulators’andpolicymakers’interesttomonitorpolicyprogressovertimeandexpressdemandfordatathatallowsthistohappen.
Theexperienceofdatacollectionthusfarsuggeststhatthiscoreleadershipbypolicymakersiswell-justified.AsFigure5shows,bothZambianandKenyanregulatorsprovidedandreceivedvaryingdegreesofdesignandimplementationsupportfortheirnationalfinancialsurveys,whilestillretainingaccesstotheresultingdataforpolicypurposes,asituationquitedifferenttothecollectionoffinancialaccessdatainIndonesia.ThehighlevelofinvolvementbytheCentralBankofKenyaintheFinAccesssurveyemboldenedthepolicymakerstousethedatafromtheFinAccesssurveytomakeakeydecisionabouthowheavilytoregulatetherelativelynewmobilepaymentsystemofferedbyM-Pesa.33 Similarly,encouragingotherstakeholderstomakeaninvestmentinthestudy(financialorotherwise)maypromotewiderusage.WefoundadeeperusageofSouthAfricanFinScopedata,forexample,amongprivatesectorplayerswhichhadgaineddirectaccesstothedatabasethroughapaidsyndicatemembership.34
Figure5:Engagementofregulators
Regulators Zambia Kenya US Fed Indonesia
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20 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
Relevantdataprovidescriticalinputforunderstandingandultimatelyinformingpoliciesandapproacheswhichmayimprovelevelsoffinancialinclusion.Regulators,inparticular,playauniqueroleinthegoalofincreasingaccesstofinancial services,inthattheymustevaluateandbalancemultipleinterestsanddeviseevidence-basedpoliciesthatultimatelyincentivizetheprivatesectoryetprotect thecustomer.Awell-guidedstrategytocollectrelevantandrobustfinancialaccessdatacanincreasetheimpactofthiscomplextask.
Thisstrategystartswiththedefinitionoffinancialinclusion,whichcanbedefinedthroughanumberoflenses.Eachlenspresentslayersofcomplexityin measurement,however,whichinfluencesthelevelofresourcesneededtocollectdatatoperformthatmeasurement.Measuringfinancialinclusionwithadefinitionconfinedtoaccesscangenerallybedoneusingsupply-sidedata,whichisusuallyonhandthroughexistingreportingtoregulatorybodies.However,measuringfinancialinclusionbywelfareisrequiresamoresophisticatedhouseholdsurveywhichisrepeatedovertime.Itisunlikelythatthistypeofdataisalreadyavailableandthereforewillrequireadditionalandsignificantinvestment.
Withadefinitionoffinancialinclusioninhand,policymakersstillneedtogothroughasystematicdecision-makingprocesstoevaluatetheirvariousdataneeds.Dataaidsinboththediagnosisofwherepolicymakingshouldfocusaswellasthemonitoringfollowingpolicymaking.Thecontextualenvironmentineachcountry—theeconomicbackdrop,theexistingstateoffinancialserviceprovision,thegeographiclandscape —isdifferentandthereforemeritsacarefulanalysisofhowdatacansupportpolicymakingineachenvironment.
Thepracticalimplementationofdatacollectionrequiresanassessmentofwhetherexistingdatasetscanbeleveragedtomeetthedataneedsofbothpolicymakers andotherstakeholders.Doingsowillensurethatresourcesareusedmostefficientlywiththemaximumimpact.Iftheregulatordecidestosupportorcommissionanewnationalsurvey,itisimperativethatthedetailsofthesurvey–bothintermsof themethodologyaswellasthecontentofthequestionnaires-beunderstoodandoptimizednotonlytomaximizetheimpactofthedata,butsoalsotoensurethatfaultyconclusionsarelimited.
Withthatunderstanding,itispossibletodevelopaneffectiveresearchstrategy thatnotonlyaimstobringattentiontothestateoffinancialinclusion,butalso tohighlightparticularlyunderservedgeographicareas,demographicsegments andproductniches.
5 Conclusion
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 21
Bankable Frontier Associates. 2009a.“GlobalFinancialAccessSnapshots:ExploringFeasibilityandPotentialRisks.”Report commissioned by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
Bankable Frontier Associates. 2009b.“FinScope:AReviewofImpactandStrategicOptions.”Report undertaken for FinMark Trust.http://www.finmark.org.za/.
Beck,ThorstenandAsliDemirgüç-Kunt.2008.“AccesstoFinance:AnUnfinishedAgenda.”The World Bank Economic Review22(3):383-396.
Beck,Thorsten,AsliDemirgüç-KuntandRossLevine.2007.“Finance,InequalityandthePoor:Cross-CountryEvidence.”Journal of Economic Growth12(1):27-49.
Beck,Thorsten,AsliDemirgüç-KuntandMariaSoledadMartinezPeria.2007.“ReachingOut:AccesstoandUseofBankingServicesacrossCountries.”Journal of Financial Economics85(1):234-66.
Beck,Thorsten,RossLevineandAlexLevkov.2007.“BigBadBanks?TheImpactofU.S.BranchDeregulationonIncomeDistribution.”PolicyResearchWorkingPaper4330.WorldBank,WashingtonD.C.
Bell,CatherineJ.andJeanneM.Hogarth.2009.“U.S.Households’AccesstoandUseofElectronicBanking,1989-2007.”Federal Reserve Bulletin,July,A99-A121.
Bruhn,MiriamandInessaLove.2009.“TheEconomicImpactofBankingtheUnbanked:EvidencefromMexico.”WorldBank.Policy Research Working Paper 4981.
Burgess,RobinandRohiniPande.2005.“DoRuralBanksMatter?EvidencefromtheIndianSocialBankingExperiment.”American Economic Review95(3):780-795.
Christen,RobertPeck,RichardRosenbergandVeenaJayadeva.2004.“FinancialInstitutionswithaDoubleBottomLine:ImplicationsfortheFutureofMicrofinance.”WashingtonDC:CGAP,OccasionalPaper8.http://www.cgap.org/docs/OccasionalPaper¬_8.pdf.
Cull,RobertandKinnonScott.2009.“MeasuringHouseholdUsageofFinancialServices:DoesItMatterHoworWhomYouAsk?”WorldBankDevelopmentResearchGroupworkingpaper.
South African Financial Sector Charter. 2004.http://www.fscharter.co.za.
Giné,XavierandRobertTownsend.2004.“EvaluationofFinancialLiberalization:AGeneralEquilibriumModelwithConstrainedOccupationChoice.”Journal of Development Economics74(2):269-307.
Honohan,Patrick.2005.“MeasuringMicrofinanceAccess:BuildingonExistingCross-CountryData.”PolicyResearchWorkingPaperNo.3606.WashingtonD.C.:TheWorldBank.
Honohan,Patrick.2008.“Cross-CountryVariationinHouseholdAccesstoFinancialServices.”Journal of Banking and Finance32(11):2493-2500.
Kempson,Elaine,ClaireWhyley,JohnCaskeyandSharonCollard.2000.“Inorout?FinancialExclusion:ALiteratureandResearchReview.”London:FinancialServicesAuthority.http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/consumer-research/crpr03.pdf.
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King,RobertG.andRossLevine.1993.“FinanceandGrowth:SchumpeterMightBeRight.”The Quarterly Journal of Economics:108(3):717-737.
Kumar,Anjali,ThorstenBeck,CristineCamposandSoumyaChattopadhyay.2005.“AssessingFinancialAccessinBrazil.”WorkingPaperNo.50.WashingtonD.C.:TheWorldBank.
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References continued
AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation | 23
Financial diaries http://www.financialdiaries.com
FinScopehttp://www.finscope.co.za/index.asp
MECOVIhttp://www.iadb.org/sds/POV/site_19_e.htm
Surveyofconsumerfinanceshttp://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/oss/oss2/scfindex.html
WorldBankaccesstofinancesurveyhttp://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/EXTPROGRAMS/EXTFINRES/0,, contentMDK:21668967~menuPK:4730256~pagePK:64168182~piPK:64168060~theSitePK:478060,00.html
World Bank living standards measurement study http://econ.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/EXTDEC/EXTRESEARCH/EXTLSMS/0,,contentMDK: 21610833~pagePK:64168427~piPK:64168435~theSitePK:3358997,00.html
Additional resources
24 | AFI Policy paper |Financialinclusionmeasurementforregulators:Surveydesignandimplementation
AFI,399InterchangeBuilding,24thfloor,SukhumvitRoad,Klongtoey–Nua,Wattana,Bangkok10110,Thailandt +66(0)24019370 f +66(0)24021122 [email protected] www.afi-global.org
AFIisfundedbytheBill&MelindaGatesFoundationandadministeredbyGTZ(GermanTechnicalCooperation).
About AFI
TheAllianceforFinancialInclusion(AFI)isaglobalnetworkofcentralbanksandotherfinancialinclusionpolicymakingbodiesindevelopingcountries.AFIprovidesitsmemberswiththetoolsandresourcestoshare,developandimplementtheirknowledgeoffinancialinclusionpolicies.Weconnectpolicymakersthroughonlineandface-to-facechannels,supportedbygrantsandlinkstostrategicpartners,sothatpolicymakerscansharetheirinsightsandimplementthemostappropriatefinancialinclusionpoliciesfortheircountries’individualcircumstances.
Alliance for Financial Inclusion