final op ex power point 30thnov

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Welcome to Oilsim

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Page 1: Final op ex power point 30thnov

Welcome to Oilsim

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2

Three Part Learning System

Introduction to the Industry Overview of the Oil & Gas

Industry Value Chain

Oilpatch EXClassroom

Exploration 101 Drilling and Completions 101

e-LearningModules

OilSim OilSim Team Learning Simulation

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Your Challenge Today

You are an exploration team in charge of a new petroleum exploration area.

Your task is to find and drill for new reserves and to maximize return on investment (ROI).

You will need to work as a company as well as in partnership with others.

You will show your new understanding of exploration and be rewarded through Knowledge Points.

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Finances

You will start with $50 millionYou can apply for more later.

Creating ValueProfit is measured by the net value of the oil and gas fields discovered MINUS all costs involved.

Winning team has highest ROIROI is calculated as Value created DIVIDED by Funds received.

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Credibility Points

You get CPs for doing wellduring the simulationCorrect answers and sensibledecisions are awarded with CPs

CPs are a measure of ability and credibilityA team’s CPs are considered when bidding for blocks and applying for funds from the HQ

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You will learn

Where and how to find hydrocarbons. Various surveys during exploration.

Licensing rounds. Farm-in and Partnerships.

Drilling rigs and Sub-contractors.

Environmental issues.

Economically viable volumes. Reducing uncertainty.

Team work and negotiation. Critical decision making, analytical skills. Multi-tasking.

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www.oilsim.com

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1010

Today’s Agenda – OilSim

AM

Team Challenge 1 – Finding Basins

Team Challenge 2 – Finding Prospects

Team Challenge 3a – Partnerships

PM

Team Challenge 3b – Drilling

Team Challenge 4 – License Round 2

Close and Feedback

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Login

www.oilsim.com

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Main screen

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MapColumns e.g C1, and C54

Row

s e

.g. R

35 a

nd R

163

Block

Blocks are divided into smaller cellse g. C57,R73

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First challenge

Challenge: Find three sedimentary basins in the area. Basins are sedimentary rocks in the deep subsurface where oil and gas has been generated.

Procedure: Buy and study magnetic and gravimetric surveys; and to submit the coordinates, column and row number for each basin centre.

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Gravimetric surveys

Gravimetric surveys show the gravity in the sub-surface. Measured by airborne sensors.

Sedimentary rocks have lower densities than the surrounding crystalline rocks. Low gravity means high probability of a basin below.

Low gravity are basins.

High gravity are crystalline rocks

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Surveys in OilSim

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Real gravimetric survey

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Survey in Oilsim

Gravimetric survey:South-east quadrant

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Survey in OilSim

All four quadrant surveys in map context.

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Magnetic surveys

Magnetic surveys show similar information as gravimetric surveys. The sedimentary rocks in the basins have a lower concentration of magnetic materials than the surrounding crystalline rocks. Sedimentary basins are the areas with the lowest magnetic field.

Basins have low magnetic field

Non-basins have high magnetic fields.

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Real magnetic survey

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Survey in OilSim

Magnetic survey:North-west quadrant

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Survey in OilSim

All four quadrant surveys in map context.

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Gravimetric survey analysis

Locate edges of the continous basin structure (yellow area)

Locate the diagonals and thus basin centre

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Magnetic survey analysis

Locate edges of the continous basin structure (purple area)

Locate the diagonals and thus basin centre

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Finding the Midpoint

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Centre may not be the same

Example:

Top basin on both maps

Calculate the midpoint between the gravimetric and magnetic centres found

= C55 and R105

C50

R100

C60

R110

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Enter decision

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Centre Midpoint calculation

3 centres – one Centre midpoint for each basin

Example: C55, R105

Solve before deadline. All submissions are evaluated after the deadline (and not before).

You may get 0-100 KPs. All three centres must be located to get full knowledge points.

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Solve task 1

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Task 1 solved

All teams have submitted their answers. Basin centres are located.

Message in Inbox. All teams have answers and KPs awarded.

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Challenge 2 : license round

Sedimentary basins may contain oil and gas.

The government has decided to put the blocks around one of the basins on offer.

Challenge: Identify the 3 most promising blocks and offer an amount for each of them.

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Challenge 2 : license round

Any restrictions involved? Yes, you need to watch for Environmentally Sensitive Areas.

What are we looking for? Hydrocarbon Prospects.

Where do we find prospects? In sedimentary basins

How do I find them? Interpreting 2D seismic and Common Risk Segment maps.

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Prospect

Prospect: An area of interest in the subsurface identified to be likely to contain hydrocarbons

What makes a prospect?

Source rock

Migration path

Reservoir rock

Seal or cap rock

Trap

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Traps

Geological “pockets”, that might contain hydrocarbons.

(c) OLFAnticline trap

Fault trap

Stratigraphic trap

Salt dome trap

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Environmentally Sensitive Areas

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Red areasYou will not be allowed to bid, drill or operate in any of the red areas. Blue areasBlocks in area may be awarded.

Sensitive Range-Lands

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Common Risk Segments

Is there a sedimentary basin and a migration route into the prospects in the area?

Is there porous reservoir rock in the area, so that the oil or gas can be stored?

Is there a sealing rock in the area, so that the oil and gas can be trapped?

If all are positive, then green

If some negative, then orange

If mostly negative, then red

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Common Risk Segment

Layer 3 Eocene1500m below the surface

Layer 2 Paleocene2500m below the surface

Layer 1 Cretaceous3500m below the surface

CRS. Common Risk Segment surveys tell you about the probability of a structure in the block/cell containing

oil or gasSurface

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2D Seismic surveys

Traps can be found with seismic surveys

2D seismic survey is a cross section of the geological layers along either a column or a row.

2D seismic surveys are used for locating prospects.

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Real Seismic

                                                                                                                                                                       

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Real Seismic

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OilSim of 2DSeismic

Unprocessed Processed

Interpreted Red is top of the sealing rock

Green is top of the reservoir rock

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Anticlinal traps

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Fault traps

Leakage

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Order Seismic

What type of data do you want?

Columns or Rows

Unprocessed or processed data

Interpreted or not

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Order Seismic

It takes time to process your request

Created to order

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View the Seismic

Red circles – navigate through the 2D seismic

Yellow square – Row 1 from Column 1-56

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Cross-sections

Column

Row

Prospect, ReservoirBasin,Source

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License Round in OilSim

Minimum bid is $250K

Maximum bid is $7.5M

Enter numbers without commas (ex: 250000)

You will bid for 3 licenses but each team will only be awarded one license

Highest bid wins the license

If two teams bid the same, the team with the most KP’s gets it

Random license awarded if none of your bids are high enough

Submit your bid before the deadline!

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Enter bids

Three different blocks

Three bids

Example-Block 1123

Bid 250000

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Recap on Challenge 2

Study Environmentally Sensivity Area maps to see which blocks to avoid

Use Common Risk Segment surveys to see which blocks to examine closer (look for green)

Buy and study many 2D surveys to identify which ones have the most potential traps, as well as the biggest traps.

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Solve task 2

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Task 2 solved

Message sent to all teams with the results

Knowledge Points are given for prosperity of the blocks you bid for

Every team has got one exploration license

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Challenge 3 : Exploration Drilling

Company management has reviewed the licence that you were awarded and the potential cost to drill a well.

Although the possibility of finding oil is fair, the costs involved are large. They have asked you to spread the risk.

Challenge: Farm-out a minimum of 20% on your license and farm-in as much as you can on other good licences.

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Partnerships

Spread the risk: e.g Investing in other blocks divides the risks amongst all partners, much more preferable than keeping 100% of one field and all the risk.

Increase probability of profit: investment in only 1 field which could be a dry prospect is possible, whereas the likelihood of investing in 5 fields which are all dry is unlikely.

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Challenge 3.1 Partnering

Acquire 3D Seismic interpretations for the block you operate, and study the results from the licensing round-can send under “surveys” to possible partners

Farm-out: Get others to invest 20% or more in your license

Farm-in: Send offers to other teams to buy shares in their viable licences. Submit an offer for each viable licence, with amount offered and share wanted in whole %.

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Real 3D Seismic

Shows the subsurface structure in a cube.

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3D Seismic in OilSim

Layer 1 Cretaceous

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 3 Eocene

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3D Seismic in OilSim

Structures are prospects, where hydrocarbons may be.

Prospects are no

guarantee for oil or gas

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Farm-in

Input your amount and %

Min bid is $25000 and max is $1250000 per %

Add a message to the seller

Press “Send offer”

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Financing

When a team receives a Farm-In offer it appears under Financing. This is where a team can receive finance or money for a % of their own blocks

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Farm-in

license OWNER decides whether to ACCEPT or REJECT the offer Partnerships established every time a license owner accepts an offer.

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Investing

All your farm-in offers to other teams are shown under “Investing” on the right-hand side of the homepage . This is where a team offers investments to other teams for a % of their blocks

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Partnerships

Partners pay a proportional share of all future costs incurred by the partnership

Partners receive a proportional share of the net proceedings from any oil or gas found on the license.

The operator team makes all decisions regarding acquiring 3D seismic, drilling of wells and testing of wells.

Information: partners in a block can access info about drilled wells and discovered oil and gas fields.

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Ready to drill

Click on drill

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Choose rig

Truck-mounted Rigs

Light Duty Rigs

Heavy Duty Rigs

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Choose Rig

Max drilling depth is important

Rig cost = drilling days * day rate

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Rigs

Few: limited number of rigs available.

If you get one: start using it within 20 minutes.

If you don’t: wait in a queue, if another team is using the rig.

Price can change: rig day rates are dynamic.

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Drilling Depths

Ground level

3500 m below surface

Layer 3 Eocene

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 1 Cretaceous

19 days

35 days

45 days

1500 m below surface

2500 m below surface

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Service providers

9 Star quality:

Good- costs more

Bad: - cheaper, but reliability is low

5 types of providers- Construction and Maintenance , Logistics, Well Services, Camp Services and Analysis

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Penalties & Fines

Certain problems can occur if Service Provider Selection is poor quality

Other penalties can occur if you drill in areas indicated as problematic in the Environmental Impact Assessment

As in real life, problems can occur randomly and these are also applied with fines levied accordingly.

Oil spill control – 5% of overall drilling costs

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Environmental Impact Assessment

EIA survey: more knowledge about the area.

Less probability for drilling problems.

Less severe consequences if you run into problems.

= Which drilling locations to avoid.

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Drill Position

EIA: enviromental impact analysis shows where not to drill.

Place your mouse where to drill

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Drilling Position

Layer 1 Cretaceous

Layer 2 Paleocene

Layer 3 Eocene

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Drill Position

Too deep for the chosen rig.

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Estimated cost

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Drilling Days

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Drilling Result

Volume Range in MBOE counts

Test may increase Proven MBOE if oil or gas found

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Testing

Only if you discover a field – find Oil or Gas

You decide whether you want more information about that field

More information by doing a production test (and other tests)

Tests costs. Tests take 10 days per field. Tests have the same day-rate as the drilling if you use the same providers.

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Value and ROI

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Discovered Prospects

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Assumptions

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25% of 8 MBOE @ $50

12% $39.9M

Expected costs ifyou developed thefield (capex) andproducedthe oil (opex)

If total expenses arehigher than the salesvalue, the value of thelicense is zero

Value Calculation

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Appraisal

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Appraisal

From Probable volume to proven reserves

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Narrowing ranges

First well:

0 to 572 MBOE (after drilling)

11 to 266 MBOE (after testing)

Second well:

20 to 233 MBOE (after drilling)

55 to 210 MBOE (after testing)

Only proven MBOE counts.

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Challenge 3B Drilling

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Apply For More Funds

Click on Apply for More Funds Tab. 1 KP for each $100,000 applied for. Answer the questions: All correct gives cash and you

can keep CPs. One wrong gives cash and you keep ½ of your CPs. Two wrong gives ½ cash and you lose all CPs. All wrong, you get no cash and lose all CPs.

<10 knowledge points: Apply for cash and be fined $5million for each $20million requested.

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Continue...

Narrow uncertainty: Drill appraisal wells to get proven volumes

Drill into other prospects to find more proven volumes.

Farm-in and -out: Get into other good blocks.

Two additional licensing rounds: Repeat the processes.

Money: Apply for more money, if you run out of cash.

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Company strategy

Access to new exploration

areas

Make new discoveries

World class project

performance

Increased recovery through systematic plans and actions

Exploration acreage: Resources Reserves Production

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92929292

Oilpatch EX Learning Objectives

Describe Industry

Articulate Value Chain

Practice

Skills

Appreciat

e Complexity

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93

Industry Overview Summary

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Industry

Public

Regulator

Government

Investor

Consumer

949494Source: Photos.com 9494Source: Photos.com

The Lenses We Looked Through

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Thank you