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COPERNICUS GIO LOT3 September 2013 Extended Executive Summary Page 1 Final Extended Executive Summary Specific Contract under the Framework Service Contract 89/PP/ENT/2011 LOT 3 "European Earth Observation and Copernicus Midstream Market Study"

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Page 1: Final Extended Executive Summary - Homepage | Copernicus · VHR and HR Optical VHR and HR X-SAR EUMETSAT Meteorological / Oceanography / Climate Other third party missions These missions

COPERNICUS GIO LOT3

September 2013 Extended Executive Summary Page 1

Final Extended Executive Summary Specific Contract under the Framework Service Contract 89/PP/ENT/2011 – LOT 3

"European Earth Observation and Copernicus

Midstream Market Study"

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CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY........................................................................................................ 3

1.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 3

1.2 Status of the Copernicus Programme and Key Boundary Conditions ............................. 4

1.3 Earth Observation Data Sales Market Overview ................................................................ 5

1.4 Competitive Landscape ....................................................................................................... 7

1.5 Key Assumptions ............................................................................................................... 12

1.6 Impact of Copernicus ......................................................................................................... 13

1.7 Summary and Recommendations ..................................................................................... 21

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1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1.1 Introduction

This document presents an Executive Summary of the “European Earth Observation (EO) and Copernicus Market Study”, performed under the second Specific Contract of the Framework Service Contract 89/PP/ENT/2011 – LOT 3 (“Support to GMES1 related policy measures”).

The primary objective of this study is to evaluate the potential impact of the Copernicus programme on the EO midstream data market, with a focus on the competitiveness effects arising from the “free and open” data policy of Copernicus. A 6-step approach has been adopted:

Figure 1: Work Approach

The EO midstream sector is made up of operators that sell or distribute EO data to customers. It is differentiated from the upstream sector, which includes manufacturing and operations of satellites, launchers and ground stations, and from the downstream applications sector, in which data is converted into value-added products.

Figure 2: Earth Observation Market Value Chain

1 GMES was renamed Copernicus in December 2012 (see http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-12-1345_en.htm).

However, the term GMES appears in several places for historical reasons.

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1.2 Status of the Copernicus Programme and Key Boundary Conditions

The European Union’s (EU) flagship Earth monitoring programme, Copernicus is being carried out in partnership with the European Space Agency (ESA) and EU/ESA Member States. Copernicus is due to commence operations in 2014, with funding assured for the period 2014-2020. The European Parliament (EP) approved the Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) budget which included € 3,786 Bn (2011 e.c.) for Copernicus, and a proposal for a regulation on the operational phase of Copernicus was released by the European Commission (EC) on the 29th of May 2013, for approval by EP and Council.

Figure 3: Copernicus Infrastructure and Ground Segment Scheme

A number of Copernicus services and several downstream services are in pre-operations, based on joint ESA-EC funding. The Emergency Management and Land Monitoring services have been fully operational since April 2012. The Coordinated Data Access System has been providing access to data via ESA and Contributing Missions (CMs) since 2008, and the Sentinel Space and Ground segment development is on track for the upcoming launch of the A-Units (Sentinel 1-A launch is expected in 2014). Negotiations between ESA and the EC for the next phase of their bilateral agreement have begun, aiming for completion by 2014. Several programmatic aspects remain in need of finalisation i.e.: Sentinel ownership, long-term funding, data policy, procurement responsibility and governance.

In 2010, the European Parliament approved the resolution on Copernicus data policy based on a principle of full and open access to Sentinel satellite data. The data will be available through a free-of-charge licensing and online access scheme, subject to security, technical, or programmatic requirements. It is likely that the Data Policy of Contributing Missions will be regulated by bilateral agreements and licensing schemes between the EC/ESA and the data providers. Where CM data is supplied through EUMETSAT rather than ESA, licensing arrangements will be made directly between EUMETSAT and the user. A Delegated Act on Data and Information Policy was adopted by the EC on the 12th of July 2013.

Copernicus will act as a market entrant through the provision of Sentinel data – albeit a public rather than commercial actor. The Copernicus data policy will establish the terms of its market entry. The assumption of full, free and open data is critical for the scope of this study, as is the understanding of

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more general, open issues related to Copernicus data policy which could influence market dynamics (e.g. international/non-EU free distribution of Copernicus data).

In addition to entering the market as a provider, Copernicus will act as a customer to the midstream sector through the Contributing Missions programme. Funding projections determine the impact of Copernicus as customer, both in terms of overall volume and regarding variance over time. For the purposes of the study, the ESA LTS has been taken as an input for determining Copernicus’ purchasing profile, as well as for the Sentinels launches and operations schedule.

1.3 Earth Observation Data Sales Market Overview

Global EO midstream turnover amounts to approximately € 1,2 Bn in 2012 and is expected to reach € 3,4 Bn by 2022, with an 11% CAGR2. Growth in the commercial data sector is now being driven by wider global sales to defence users, particularly by countries with high imagery intelligence (IMINT) requirements and limited viable proprietary solutions. In order to meet these needs, commercial operators are finding success in providing direct access contracts to end-users, providing secure imagery access to defence clients. With continued high demand, revenues from commercial data sales to defence are expected to grow to € 1,8 Bn by 2022.

Figure 4: Global EO Midstream Sales Outlook by Customer Type

The commercial EO midstream sector will see a growing market for emerging countries, while Europe is expected to grow at 9% CAGR, maintaining a ~15% share. In 2010, European EO satellite imagery sales totalled € 165 M, while in 2011 the market generated approximately € 230 M.

2 Compound Annual Growth Rate.

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Figure 5: Global EO Midstream Sales Outlook by Geography

In total, 83% of all commercial data sales comes from optical solutions, representing approximately € 0,9 Bn in commercial revenues. The remaining 17% comes from SAR data solutions. Very high resolution (VHR, sub-1m) datasets represent the bulk of data sales. Since defence is the key customer for imagery intelligence applications, customers show a clear preference for higher resolution and higher accuracy data sources; 60% of all optical data sales were from very high resolution data. High-resolution data sets have also witnessed growing up-take.

Three baseline scenarios of European market development are considered to constitute a set of null hypotheses. They represent possible evolutionary paths which unfold irrespectively of the effects of Copernicus. The Low scenario represents a pessimistic, minimum growth scenario (roughly in line with inflation, at 2% CAGR, the High scenario considers positive growth at 9%, in line with the global trend and the Medium (Base Case) scenario projects 6% growth equilibrium between the two extremes).

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Figure 6: Commercial EO Midstream Growth Projections

1.4 Competitive Landscape

In 2012, three companies captured approximately 70% of the total global revenue for EO commercial data sales: GeoEye (25%), DigitalGlobe (25%) and Astrium GEO-Information Services (20%). In February 2013, GeoEye and DigitalGlobe completed their merger, creating a global industry leader.

Astrium and e-GEOS are the leading players in Europe holding over 70% of overall market share. RapidEye, DMCii, Elecnor Deimos are the other relevant market players.

EO satellite data is distributed to end-users through several distribution channels, depending on user requirements and company strategies, e.g.:

Direct sales from the company: preferred for key clients and anchor tenants

Direct access to the satellite: preferred by international government clients, particular defence, for allowing more secure access to the satellite for direct data reception

Sales through dedicated resellers, or exclusive distribution agreements: allows the operating company access to local markets through regional distributors. The creation of these regional resellers distributing data from multiple satellite systems is in effect creating a further localised step in the value chain between operators and end-users or service providers

Sales from company websites, e.g., online image libraries or hosted satellite data archives, or satellite tasking through online portals: offers easy access to satellite data for end-users that require less costly archive data or individual satellite pass tasking; online data distribution mechanisms prove key to attracting commercial users that are often operating on more stringent budgets

In order to offer complete geospatial solutions, commercial operators have begun to extend their service offerings to include more value-added products and services. In addition, with increasing image automation and freely-available software solutions, certain service areas, which were once the realm of specialised companies, are becoming more standardised. Data distributors may also be value-added companies that offer data as a further business line, blurring the boundaries between

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functional units in the EO service supply chain. A diagram representing the midstream value chain and showing the positioning of the key European players and their distribution roles is provided below.

Figure 7: Role of Main European EO Midstream Players

Although the midstream supply industry is globally dominated by large players (such as DigitalGlobe in the US and Astrium in Europe), the analysis indicates that there is scope for competition by a range of mid-sized (e-GEOS) and smaller players (RapidEye, DMCii). Whilst remaining largely driven by government contracts, it is evident that the structure of the industry is beginning to evolve, with potentially disruptive market entrants such as CloudEO.

In total, 149 satellites were launched for Earth Observation (including meteorology) between 2002 and 2011 from about 26 countries (including commercial missions), compared to 288 satellites from 42 different countries anticipated between 2012 and 2021 (Euroconsult 2012). Global civil government investment in EO totalled € 5,1 Bn in 2011. The increased number of satellite missions from commercial operators and governments will vastly expand the global data collection capacity for Earth Observation purposes. Europe in particular will be a key player in the market place, having launched several currently operational missions in recent years and planning to launch a number of key missions with an overall investment of € 1,5 Bn in 2011 (approximately 80% government funded), with Copernicus as the flagship European programme in this context.

In addition to the Sentinel satellites, Copernicus will rely on data provided by Contributing Missions from Member States, EUMETSAT and other third party mission operators. The following categories of Contributing Missions are considered:

VHR and HR Optical

VHR and HR X-SAR

EUMETSAT Meteorological / Oceanography / Climate

Other third party missions

These missions will be the main source of VHR data for Security and Emergency services, and will also complement Sentinel data and products as needed. In the following charts, an overview of

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current and planned Earth Observation Radar and Optical Missions in Europe, the US and Canada (as the latter being also part of ESA) is provided. In addition to the Copernicus Sentinels, each of these has the potential to contribute to Copernicus as “Contributing Missions”.

Figure 8: Overview of Current and Planned Radar and Optical Missions

Outlook of Current and Foreseen Main European EO Radar Satellite Missions*

Sources: ESA Long Term Scenario, Euroconsult, De Lisle 2012, Maranesi 2009, eoportal.org, STP analysis

(*) For each satellite, the best possible image resolution is reported

(**) Referring to Sentinel-1 “Strip Map Mode” (5x5 m spatial resolution)

Govt. Missions:

Operational

Estimated

Comm. Missions:

Operational

Estimated

Low: res ≥ 10m

Medium: 5m ≤ res < 10m

High: 2,5m ≤ res < 5m

Very High: res < 2,5m

******

Outlook of Current and Foreseen Main European EO Optical Satellite Missions*

Sources: ESA Long Term Scenario, Euroconsult, SPOT 6-7 Technical Sheet, astrium-geo.com, eoportal.com, STP analysis

(*) For each satellite, the best possible image resolution is reported

Govt. Missions:

Operational

Estimated

Comm. Missions:

Operational

Estimated

Low: res ≥ 10m

Medium: 5m ≤ res < 10m

High: 2,5m ≤ res < 5m

Very High: res < 2,5m

?

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On average, low-medium resolution data (< 5m) are free, or cost approximately 0,1-2 €/km2, whereas high and very high resolution solutions cost, on average, over 19 €/km2. Commercial operators compete by offering further advantages, such as improved geometric accuracy, greater satellite revisit time, higher resolutions (1m - 2,5m; the data price above 1m drops considerably) and radar data.

Copernicus is expected to impact mainly the commercial European market for non-VHR data.

Figure 9: Average Price per Km² of Main Commercial EO Products

The commercial data supply is expanding with the launches of new satellites, with a trend towards increasingly high resolutions. With increasing competition, downward price pressure on data is expected.

The EO data offer is characterised by many different variables, along both technical and service dimensions. The combination of different dimensions/parameters determines the quality and the value/price of each product offered.

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Figure 10: Data Acquisition and Service Dimensions of Satellite EO Offerings

In this regard, commercial missions offer relatively higher performance than Copernicus’ Sentinels on a number of key dimensions, as depicted in the following figure.

Figure 11: Sentinels vs. Commercial European Missions (Qualitative Performance Rating)

Sentinel 2

SPOT 6-7

Pléiades 1-2

RapidEye

DMC-3

Sentinels Vs. Commercial European Missions (Qualitative Performance Rating)

Optical Key Observations

Sentinel 1

COSMO-SkyMed

Radarsat

TerraSar-X

Radar

n.a.

• Commercial satellites (both optical and

radar) offer better resolution products at a

higher revisit time than Sentinels 1-2

• The processing level of products from

Sentinel-1 is not defined at present

• Radarsat has the largest number of

products on offer (15 different choices)

• The geolocation accuracy of Sentinel-2 is

20m (without GCPs), whereas for SPOT,

Pléiades and RapidEye it is below 10m

(with GCPs)

• Sentinel-2 will have 13 spectral bands (0.4-

2.4 µm), whereas other commercial

missions generally only offer 5 bands

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Sentinel data provision will influence market dynamics and commercial players’ strategies along a number of key dimensions.

Figure 12: Dimensions of Copernicus' impact on market dynamics

In mid-2013, a group of commercial European midstream players jointly submitted a formal letter to the European Commission, in which they expressed their concerns about the potential effects on their businesses of Copernicus proposed free and open data policy. These include price pressure, which would affect all commercial data providers, and the potential erosion of European players’ competitive position against international entrants from low-cost labour markets.

1.5 Key Assumptions

The table below summarises the underlying assumptions used in this study.

Assumption Scope

Copernicus is assumed to become operational in 2014 under the full, open and free-of-charge data policy, as indicated in the Proposal for Regulation COM (2013) 312.

Entire study

Only Sentinels 1 and 2 are considered to have a commercially relevant impact on the midstream market, due to the scientific nature of the other Sentinels.

All market impacts

Three baseline scenarios are assumed to represent low, medium and high levels of market growth, at 2%, 6% and 9% respectively.

All market impacts

The analysis only takes into account the first generation of Sentinels, with sensors in the Medium Resolution (MR) range.

Assessment of market threats

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The budget for the Contributing Missions programme is assumed to align with that given in the ESA LTS document of April 2013. This is an area of high uncertainty, and may be subject to review if new information becomes available.

Assessment of market opportunities

In the ESA LTS, the budget for data access from Contributing Missions is projected up to 2027. In order to run the analysis up to 2030, the same budget level as in 2027 has been assumed for the three years which follow.

All market impacts

The ESA LTS states that the budget for Contributing Missions "includes the management and the operations of the Coordinated Data Access system and the integration of new Contributing Missions" (p. 20). The amount corresponding to these tasks is assumed to be 8% of the total budget.

Employment impact

Threat and opportunity (demand stimulation in particular) effects are assumed to attenuate over time, ending in 2022. The effect of Copernicus as a customer remains in effect until the end of the period.

All market impacts

Table 1: Summary of Key Assumptions

1.6 Impact of Copernicus

The effects of Copernicus on the market are seen in terms of either the threat posed by Copernicus to certain markets, or the opportunities which become available. The availability of free Copernicus data could take away market share from the data providers offering similar products and services. In addition, there is downward pressure on the price of data expected from the influx of free data from Copernicus. There is also an argument that the free and open availability of Copernicus services will raise awareness of the range and utility of EO products, and thus increase the demand for similar offerings, such as higher resolution imagery, or different product “bundling” and - further downstream - value-added products. Contributing Mission data plays a key role in the provision of Copernicus services. Currently Copernicus relies entirely on Contributing Mission data especially for Very High Resolution data supporting the Emergency and Security services. In this way, Copernicus acts as a customer (purchaser) of data, albeit as a rather small customer with respect to the overall market.

These threats and opportunities are modelled by developing a series of threat and opportunity indices, by key customer segment, for each year in the period of analysis. The threat indices embed the price pressure effect, whilst the opportunity indices incorporate the effect of demand stimulation, as well as the impact of Copernicus as a customer. Taken together, the combined effect of the threat and opportunity indices serve to show the net impact of Copernicus on the main market players.

Invariably, there is a considerable amount of inherent uncertainty in the threat and opportunity indices. In assigning values to these indices, multiple sources of data were drawn upon, including interviews with industry professionals, market data from other industries and published literature. Efforts have been made to minimise the uncertainty and potential subjectivity in the data. Wherever possible, the results have been cross-correlated across different data sources and a conservative approach has been taken throughout (erring, in other words, on the side of maximum threat, and minimum opportunity).

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Figure 13: Summary of Threat and Opportunity Drivers

The impacts of Copernicus on European EO midstream industry turnover and employment have been simulated on the basis of the modelling logic shown below.

Figure 14: Modelling Logic

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Different threat (cannibalisation) and opportunity (demand stimulus) indices have been applied as a function of (1) the type of customer served by the midstream operators, and (2) the type of data considered in each case.

Figure 15: Threat and Opportunity Indices by Market Segment

The impact of both threats and opportunities is expected to decrease over time, as companies adapt to the cannibalisation effect (either by moving into different resolutions, or by adapting their offers with product bundles or vertical integration) and the market responds to the pricing and demand stimulus effects. For modelling purposes, threats and opportunities are assumed to end by 2022. The exception is the effect of Copernicus as a customer, which remains in effect as long as the period of the projected budget for the purchasing of Contributing Mission data. The budget in the ESA LTS ends in 2028; for the purposes of the study it is assumed to continue to 2030 at the same level as 2028.

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Figure 16: Contributing Missions Proposed and Assumed Budgets

Five major industry players, together representing 95% of the market, have been analysed as a representative sample. Since the focus of Sentinels 3, 4 and 5 is on scientific and research-oriented applications, only Sentinels 1 and 2 have been taken into account in the analysis.

The results of the analysis indicate a broadly positive net impact of Copernicus on the EO midstream sector. The net cumulative impact ranges between 6,0% and 11,3%, depending on the initial growth scenario, with total opportunities outweighing threats in each market baseline scenario. Examining the effects over time, it is possible to distinguish three phases in the incremental impact curve. These correspond roughly to the periods 2014 to 2020, 2021 to 2022 and 2023 to 2028.

During the first phase, the threat to vulnerable players is most strongly felt as the first and second units of Sentinels 1 and 2 enter orbit over the 2014 to 2015 period. The compound effect of price decrease, market cannibalisation and a degree of stimulation for alternative products results in a marginal net effect on the market, roughly between 4 and 8%. The net effect gradually decreases towards 2020 as combined market threat levels reach their peak.

After 2020, the effect of Copernicus as a customer increases thanks to the increase in the projected budget for Contributing Mission data. The market begins to adjust for the pricing and cannibalisation effects, but the threats remain in force, resulting in a 6 to 7% positive net effect. Possible responses by midstream players include restructuring their product or service portfolio to leverage or react to Copernicus in the market, for example creating data bundling offerings to customers, adding further processing to Copernicus data in order to generate new value-added data products, or rethinking their distribution strategy and invest in international distribution channels. Some players will need to defend their premium price in order to maintain their margins.

By 2023, the market is considered to have responded to the negative impacts. The beneficial contribution of Copernicus as a customer remains in force until the end of the period. The resultant positive effect on the market ranges between 10 and 15%.

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Figure 17: Cumulative Impact of Copernicus on Midstream Industry Turnover

Figure 18: Annual Incremental Net Impact of Copernicus on Midstream Industry Turnover (Medium Scenarios)

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The positive impact on the midstream market as a result of Copernicus can be seen in terms of the increase to employment which comes about as a result of the increased turnover. An appreciable impact on employment, of approximately 370 direct jobs in 2030, is also associated with the positive net effect of Copernicus.

Figure 19: EO Midstream Employment Associated with Copernicus

A number of sensitivity options have been assessed to examine the effect of combinations of the baseline scenarios with different levels of threat and opportunity on the market projections. Three sensitivity scenarios have been designed in order to stress the model in different ways and highlight best- and worst-case scenarios.

Figure 20: Sensitivity Analysis Scenarios

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1. Static Opportunities, Variable Threats: This provides for “worst-case” Threat scenarios against a static baseline of Opportunities. The model demonstrates low sensitivity to variance in the threat indices; the maximum overall threat to industry is 5,6%.

Figure 21: Sensitivity Analysis: Static Opportunities, Variable Threats

2. Static Threats, Variable Opportunities: Maintaining the Threats stable (at a medium level) and varying the Opportunities upwards and downwards allows the evaluation of “best-cases”. Sensitivity to variance in the Opportunity indices is higher, with a maximum opportunity impact of 19,5%.

Figure 22: Sensitivity Analysis: Static Threats, Variable Opportunities

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3. Static Threats and Opportunities, Variable Impact of Copernicus as Customer: This is a special case of (2), isolating the market effect of Copernicus as a purchaser of EO data. This plays a highly determinant role, varying by 1,9% to 3,1% across scenarios.

Figure 23: Sensitivity Analysis: Copernicus as a Customer

Analysis of the “best” and “worst” cases also reveals the positive net effect of Copernicus on both turnover and employment.

Figure 24: Best and Worst Case Impact on Turnover and Employment

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A set of key issues and potential enabling factors required for the realisation of the market potential stemming from the Copernicus programme have been identified for further consideration.

Strategic and Operational Coordination and Overall Governance

As highlighted in the industry interviews, the full benefits of Copernicus Sentinels in concert with CMs remain unrealised. A Europe-wide orchestrated approach to Earth Observation could contribute towards fully realising the benefits of European assets.

Sentinel Data Access, Reliability and Latency

The size of the threat of Copernicus to commercial operators depends on the way in which access to data will be implemented. The downstream sector’s potential development is dependent on efficient and reliable, commercially-optimised data accessibility. A consultation on industry needs regarding commercially optimised access to Sentinel data would support this enabler, eventually leading to enabling direct industry access to Sentinel data streams.

Long-Term Evolution of the Copernicus Programme

Much concern has been expressed over the longer-term potential evolution of the Copernicus programme, both in terms of engendering user reliance on publicly-funded data sources, and the risk that future Sentinels will enter into higher-resolution territory. The European Commission could mitigate these concerns by developing a long-term roadmap indicating future Copernicus resolution thresholds and demonstrating commitment to continuous data supply in the current resolution region.

“Last mile” Processing for Sentinel Data

Resources and capacities for the pre-processing of Sentinel data (geometric and radiometric correction) have not yet been formally established – although a number of pre-operational projects are now underway in this regard3. These activities could form an opportunity for EU service industry, if appropriate governance and purchasing structures are set up, and could stand as an important enabler of further downstream stimulus.

Entrepreneurship and Investment

Copernicus presents a challenge to midstream companies who find themselves in competition with a free and open data source. Addressing this challenge may necessitate repositioning (e.g. entering higher-resolution markets, launching new satellites) or product differentiation. Investor confidence and entrepreneurship within the midstream are considered to be enablers for realising the potential opportunities from Copernicus.

1.7 Summary and Recommendations

The present study has been conducted with the primary objective of evaluating the potential impact of the Copernicus programme on the midstream data market in terms of turnover, growth and employment. Particular attention has been paid to the effects of the “free and open” data policy, under which Copernicus is proposed to operate, on industry competitiveness. The Earth Observation midstream sector is defined as being comprised of companies engaged in the sale or distribution of EO data to customers, whether directly owning and operating satellite assets, operating satellites on another party’s behalf, or acting as resellers of satellite data.

3 For example, GLASS (Global Lakes Sentinel Services , http://cordis.europa.eu/projects/rcn/106791_en.html) and SenSyF

(Sentinels Synergy Framework , http://cordis.europa.eu/projects/rcn/106568_en.html)

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The global EO data sales market is valued at over € 1 Bn and is primarily constituted by VHR data sales. The market is expected to reach over € 3 Bn in the next 10 years, at 11% CAGR, driven by VHR and sales in emerging countries. The European EO Midstream sector generated € 0,2 Bn in 2012 and is forecast to grow at 6% annually in the medium/base scenario. The commercial data supply is expanding with the launches of new satellites, with a trend towards increasingly high resolutions. With increasing competition, downward price pressure on data is expected.

The effects of Copernicus on the EO midstream market take the form of both threats and opportunities:

Copernicus will mainly impact the European midstream industry players selling non-VHR data, with the overall threat estimated at approximately 5% of total industry turnover

On the opportunity side, a free and open data policy will act as a catalyst for the development of the EO downstream market and, in turn, stimulate demand for the offerings of the VHR/HR market

Data sales to Copernicus from Contributing Missions data providers will positively impact their turnover and employment. The impact of Copernicus as a customer is highly determinant of the positive net effect

The net impact of Copernicus on the EO midstream sector turnover is projected to be broadly positive, ranging between approximately 6% and 11% delta against the 2014-2030 (medium growth) baseline (€ 560-635 M cumulative impact). An appreciable impact on employment, of minimum approximately 363 jobs in the 2030 base case scenario, is also associated with the positive net effect of Copernicus. Nevertheless, a number of key issues need to be resolved in order to realise the envisaged benefits and a set of critical enabling factors implemented for the midstream sector and beyond. Four priority actions are recommended for the EO midstream sector in order to overcome existing issues and enable the realisation of the benefits of Copernicus for EU industry:

1. Clarify the potential roles and responsibilities of midstream industry within the Copernicus operational set-up and implement an industrial forum within the governance structure of the Copernicus Programme

The potential for the contribution of midstream industry to Copernicus is linked to the development of clear programme governance, particularly with regard to the interface with ESA. A formal mechanism for consultation with industry should be established; to this end the concept of an industrial forum or industry “round table” is proposed.

2. Define an operational plan for assuring Sentinel data access, reliability and latency

The issue of Sentinel data access, reliability and latency is crucial to the realisation of benefits from the Copernicus programme. The success of the programme overall is hinged on making the data commercially exploitable, and this means assuring access, reliability and low latency, whether by means of the Collaborative Ground Segment or by building distribution networks in concert with midstream players.

3. Develop long-term roadmap detailing the plans for future Sentinel evolution, including funding commitments and envisaged procurement budget allocation (for both data and services)

The relatively negative impact of Copernicus on the midstream sector can be significantly mitigated by the development and publication of a coherent long-term roadmap. A long-term plan even at a fairly high level would enable industry to position itself appropriately and mitigate the negative effects of the programme.

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September 2013 Extended Executive Summary Page 23

4. Use the momentum of the new EU Multiannual Financial Framework period to prepare for Copernicus customer-facing functions, including marketing, customer care and service delivery.

The new financing period represents a marked departure from the research and development phase, with Copernicus simultaneously shifting into a more stable state. Copernicus decision-makers and key actors will need to consider strengthening the capabilities of Copernicus in the marketplace in terms of key customer-facing functions, including marketing and distribution strategies, customer care and account handling, and service delivery.