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Figure 1

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Figure 2

FiguremmFigure 2

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Figure 3

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Figure 4

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Figure 5

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Figure 6

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Figure 7

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LA TERRE, VENUS ET MARS

Figure 8

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No DevelopmentWithout access to a minimuma minimum of Energy

90

30

40

50

60

70

80

0 1,5 3 4,5 6 7,5 9

Primary Energy (toe/y / cap)

Life

Exp

ecta

ncy

(yea

rs)

World

Zambia

South Africa

India

Japan

China

RussiaRomania

Greece Canada

USAFrance

Figure 9

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Consommation mondiale d’énergie primaire en Mtep depuis 1860 Source : JM Jancovici

Figure 10

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2000 : 6 billion People consumed 10 Gtoe

Oil

Gas

Coal

Wood,…

Nuclear

Hydro

Renew.

35%

21%

23,5%

6,8%

2006 : 6.5 billion People consumed 12 Gtoe

Sources d’énergie

Figure 11

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Figure 12

Génération d'électricité

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040

mill

iers

de

TWh

New policiesScenario

450 Scénario

Current PoliciesScénario

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Total Monde = 15546 TWh

Amérique Centrale et du Sud

763

4683

Amérique du Nord956

Afrique - Moyen Orient

1864

Asie (autres) - Océanie

3498

Europe

1043

Japon

NucléaireHydrauliqueRenouvelablesCharbonPétroleGaz Naturel

Chine

1472

Source : AIE

CEI

1267

Charbon 5992 Gaz Naturel 2829Nucléaire 2652Hydraulique 2646Pétrole 1167Renouvelables 260

Production mondiale d’électricité par source (TWh)

Production mondiale d’électricité en 2001

• Figure 13

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Figure 14

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NLD = Netherlands, DEU = Germany, AUT = Austria, GBR = United Kingdom, CHE = Switzerland, CHN = China,

VNM = Vietnam, IND = India

Figure 15

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Figure 16

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Figure 17

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Pénurie d’électricité

In 2030, if no new policies are implemented, there will still beIn 2030, if no new policies are implemented, there will still be 1.4 billion people without electricity1.4 billion people without electricity

Ref: C. Mandil, IEA, Dec. 2005 (based on World Energy Outlook 2005)

Figure 18

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Demande mondiale d’énergie primaire suivant 3 scénarios (AIE WEO 2010)

Figure 19

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Figure 20

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Figure 22

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Figure 23

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Figure 24

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Figure 25

Couts de production d’électricité en France avec une taxe sur le CO2 émis

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Prix du pétrole brut

Source : Platt’s

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05

$/b

Guerre du Kippour

1er CHOC

Nationalisationdes champs

pétroliersDomination

OPEP

RévolutionIranienne

2ème CHOC

ConflitIran/Irak

Politiquedes quotas

ContratsNetbacks

CONTRECHOC

ConflitIrak/Koweit

QuotasOPEP

Crise Asiatique

Hiver froid

Tensionessence

Accord Mexique, Venezuela,

Arabie Saoudite

11 sept.

Interventionen Irak

Figure 26

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Oil price evolution ($ / barrel)

Figure 27

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SENSIBILITE DU COUT DU kWh D’UNE CENTRALE THERMIQUEAU PRIX DE SON COMBUSTIBLE

8

ROME 2005 GV-PBI

NUCLEAIRE GAZ

PRIXDE L’URANIUM

x 2

PRIXDU GAZ

x 2

+ 5 % + 75 %

AIEAFigure 28

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46

DEPENDANCE ENERGETIQUE DE LA FRANCE

RAPPORT DE LA PRODUCTIONA LA CONSOMMATION D’ENERGIE PRIMAIRE

1960

63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90 93 96 99 2002

03

SANS ENERGIE NUCLEAIRE

%

AIEAFigure 29

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Figure 30

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Figure 31

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Figure 32

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Figure 33

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Figure 34

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EMISSIONS DE CO2 EN FRANCE

1973 1980 1990 2000 2005

0

200

400

600

800

1000

FRANCE FRANCE SANS NUCLEAIRE

Source : Ministère de l’Industrie, CEA

Millions detonnes CO2

Figure 35

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Figure 36

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Figure 37


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