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•Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, October 22, 2013

8:30 a.m. EDT

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Significant Activity: Oct 21 – 22 Significant Events: None

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – Tropical Storm Lorenzo

• Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Raymond

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Wednesday evening

• Western Pacific – Typhoon 28W (Lekima)

Significant Weather:

• Rain and thunderstorms – Southern Plains; Gulf Coast to Southeast

• Rain and snow – Northern Plains to Upper Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes

• Critical Fire Weather Areas / Red Flag Warnings: None

• Space Weather: Past 24 hours – Minor (R1 radio blackouts); next 24 hours - none

Earthquake Activity: No significant activity

Declaration Activity:

• Major Disaster Declaration Request for New Mexico

• Amendment No. 8 to FEMA-4145-DR-CO

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Updates at 2:00 am/pm and 8:00 am/pm EDT

Atlantic – Tropical Outlook

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Atlantic - Tropical Storm Lorenzo

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 725 miles ESE of Bermuda

• Moving ENE at 8 mph

• E to ENE motion expected through Wed, followed by turn NE

by early Thurs

• Maximum sustained winds 40 mph

• Little change in strength forecast next 48 hours

• Tropical storm force winds extend 70 miles

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Eastern Pacific – Hurricane Raymond

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 85 miles SSW of Zihuatanejo, Mexico

• Nearly stationary past few hours; slow and erratic motion

expected next day or so

• Slow motion WSW expected to begin on Wed

• Maximum sustained winds 115 mph (Category 3 Hurricane)

• Some weakening forecast next 48 hours

• Hurricane force winds extend 25 miles

• Tropical Storm force winds extend 80 miles

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http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

This product is updated at approximately 5 AM, 11 AM, 5 PM, and

11 PM PDT from May 15 to November 30. Special outlooks may be

issued as conditions warrant.

Central Pacific – Tropical Outlook

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Western Pacific – Typhoon 28W (Lekima)

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT (Advisory #8)

• Located 812 miles ENE of Andersen AFB, Guam

• Moving NW at 21 mph

• Maximum sustained winds 121 mph with gusts to 150 mph

• Closest point of approach to Saipan, CNMI (Commonwealth of

Northern Mariana Islands) is 434 miles at 2:00 pm EDT on

October 23

• Guam and CNMI EOCs not activated (Monitoring)

• FEMA Region IX RWC remains at Watch/Steady State

(Monitoring)

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/noaa/noaad1.pdf

National Weather Forecast

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Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

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http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-3.shtml

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

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River Forecast – 7 Day

13

Convective Outlooks Days 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

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Critical Fire Weather Areas Days 1 – 8

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3-8

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http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: Oct 24 – 28

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NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Minor None None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R1 None None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

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Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

5 Date Requested 0 0

KS – DR Severe Storms, Straight-line Winds, Tornadoes, and

Flooding September 25, 2013

CA – DR Rim Fire October 8, 2013

AZ – DR Flooding October 9, 2013

Santa Clara Pueblo – DR Severe Storms and Flooding October 11, 2013

NM – Severe Storms, Flooding and Mudslides October 21, 2013

Disaster Requests & Declarations

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Major Disaster Declaration Request – New Mexico

October 21, 2013

• Request for Major Disaster Declaration for State of New Mexico

• For severe storms, flooding and mudslides during the period

September 9-22, 2013

• Requesting:

• Public Assistance for 15 counties

• Hazard Mitigation statewide

Requested counties

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Disaster Amendments

A B C D E F G

Debris Removal Emergency Protective

Measures Road Systems & Bridges Water Control Facilities Public Buildings & Contents Public Utilities Parks, Recreational, & Other

Amendment Effective Date Action

Amendment No. 8

FEMA-4145-DR-CO October 21, 2013 Adds 2 counties for IA and 8 counties for PA

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Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

VIII SD Blizzard & Flooding

October 2013 PA

15 counties

2 tribal nations 0 10/28-TBD

IX Navajo

Nation

Flooding

September 13-17, 2013 PA 1 0 10/22-10/25

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Open Field Offices as of October 22, 2013

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Deployed Detailed Available Not Available Total

30 1 7 1 39

OFDC Cadre Member Status

Total Available Type 1 Type 2 Type 3 Type 4

8* 2 4 1 1

As of: 10/18/2013

* All Type 1 FCOs are available unless deployed to a Level 1 event

Deployed Available Pending Hire On Board Positions

8 1 1 9 10

Federal Coordinating Officer

Federal Disaster Recovery Coordinator

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MCOV Fleet / Deployment Status

Fully Mission Capable 51 Partially Mission Capable 0 Non-Mission Capable 4 Total Not Deployed 34

MCOV FLEET STATUS MCOV DISASTER SUPPORT DEPLOYMENTS

Location Units

Assigned Available

FMC Deployed

Committed PMC Unavailable DR-State OPCON

En

Route Unit Prep

Open

Request Notes:

MERS Maynard 3 2 0 0 1 DR-4145-CO 17 0 0

MERS Frederick 8 6 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Thomasville 14 11 3 0 0 0 0 0

DC Ft Worth 20 6 14 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Denver 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

MERS Bothell 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0

Sacramento 4 3 0 0 1 0 0 0

TOTAL 55 30 21 0 4 TOTAL 17 0 0 0

Included in above totals, units in route for turn-in.

4 0 0

Data as of: 10/21/13 @ 1500

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IA Registration Statistics

IA Registrations and IHP Amounts as of October 21, 2013 @ 1500

DR/EM # - State Registrations Approved

Applicants Total HA Approved

Total ONA

Approved Total IHP Approved

4145 - CO 25,335 14,740 $42,295,330 $3,149,900 $45,445,230

Totals 25,335 14,740 $42,295,330 $3,149,900 $45,445,230

24 hour change +90 +82 +$377,714 +$39,235 +$416,948

NPSC Call Data for October 20, 2013

Total Calls Answered (Help Line + Registration Intake) 396

Average time to answer call 13 seconds

Maximum / Minimum time to answer a call 22 seconds / 9 seconds

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Housing Inspection Statistics

Inspection Data as of October 21, 2013 @ 1500

DR #-State Inspectors Inspections

Assigned

Inspections

Completed Inspection % Complete

Turnaround Time

(Days)

4145 - CO 24 22,359 22,119 98.93% 2.4

TOTAL 24 22,359 22,119 98.93% 2.4

24 hour change +1 +99 +98 0.0% 0.0

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State DSA Staff

Deployed

IA Web

or Phone

Registrations

Contacts

With

Survivors

Case

Status

Updates

Whole

Community

Referrals

CO

DR-

4145

154

(-120)

2,593

(+113)

31,166

(+11,038)

1,735

(+104)

2,717

(+274)

Total 154

(-120)

2,593

(+113)

31,166

(+11,038)

1,735

(+104)

2,717

(+274)

Disaster Survivor Assistance (DSA) Activity

Data as of: 10/20/13 @ 1500

Disaster Survivor Assistance Crew Locations

Legend

Active DSA Missions (IA Registration Period Closed)

Active DSA Missions (IA Registration Period Open)

CO

4145

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IMAT Status National Teams

Team Status Team Status Team Status

Blue/White East CO West CO

Regional Teams Team Status Team Status Team Status

Region I Region V Region VIII

Region II Region VI-1 Region IX-1

Region III Region VI-2 NM Region IX-2

Region IV-1 Region VII Region X

Region IV-2

= Assigned/Deployed

= Not Mission Capable

= Available/Mission Capable

= Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Urban Search & Rescue INCIDENT SUPPORT TEAMS (Red-White-Blue) – Monthly On Call Rotation

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

WEST CENTRAL EAST

Team Status Team Status Team Status

CA-TF1 Available AZ-TF1 Available FL-TF1 Available

CA-TF2 Available CO-TF1 Available FL-TF2 Available

CA-TF3 Available IN-TF1 Available MA-TF1 Available

CA-TF4 Available MO-TF1 Available MD-TF1 Available

CA-TF5 Available NE-TF1 Available NY-TF1 Available

CA-TF6 Available NM-TF1 Conditional PA-TF1 Available

CA-TF7 Available NV-TF1 Conditional VA-TF1 Available

CA-TF8 Available TN-TF1 Available VA-TF2 Available

WA-TF1 Available TX-TF1 Available OH-TF1 Available

UT-TF1 Available

= Assigned/Deployed = Out-of-Service

= Available/Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable

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Region RRCC Regional Watch Center

I Not Activated Maynard MOC (24/7)

II Not Activated 24/7

III Not Activated 24/7

IV Not Activated 24/7

V Not Activated 24/7

VI Not Activated Denton MOC (24/7)

VII Not Activated 24/7

VIII Not Activated Denver MOC (24/7)

IX Not Activated 24/7

X Not Activated Bothell MOC (24/7)

RRCC / Regional Watch Center Status

= Not Mission Capable = Available/Partially Mission Capable = Available/Mission Capable

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National Team Status

Team/Status Current Location Remarks

National Watch Center Washington, DC Watch/Steady State

NRCC Washington, DC Not Activated

HLT Miami, FL Activated

DEST Washington, DC Not Activated

Mission Capable Partially Mission Capable Not Mission Capable

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