feed control 0810 risk assessment risk governance
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1Nordic/Baltic meeting on feed control2010 - Iceland
Risk assessment risk governanceCoping with uncertainty in a complex world
Rolf Horntvedt
Risk assessment risk governance
ChallengesComplex worldHigher level of knowledge in the populationMany opinionists stakeholders Comparasion of apples and pearsInformation societyLess orthodoxy (we do not believe in the authorities)
Life is the art of drawing adequate conclusions out of inadequatepremisesSamuel Butler
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2Risk assessment risk governance
Pre-assessment
Risk appraisal
Risk characterization-evaluation
Riskmanagement Communication
Risk assessment risk governance
Pre-assessment Problem framing Early warning Screening Determination of scientific conventions
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3Risk assessment risk governance
Risk appraisal
Risk assessment Hazard identicication and estimation Exposure and vulnerability assessment Risk estimation
Concern assessment Risk perceptions Social concerns Sosio- economic concerns
Risk assessment risk governance
Risk characterization/evaluation
Risk characterization Risk profile Judgement of the seriousness of risk Conclusions and risk reducing options
Risk evaluation Judging the tolerability and acceptability Need for risk reducing measures
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4Risk assessment risk governance
Risk management
Implementation Option realization Monitoring and control Feedback from from risk management practiice
Decision-making Option identification and generation Option assessment Option evaluation and selection
Risk assessment risk governance
Economicsystem
Civilsociety
Politicalsystem
Expertsystem
Efficiency, decisionmaking toolsRisk assessment
Concerns, criteria for trade-offsRisk regulation
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5Risk assessment risk governance
Economic system Property rights Private contracts Compensation for external effects
Civil society Mutual understanding Social values and world views Empathy
Risk assessment risk governance
Political system Due process Liability laws Legal staus Voting
Expert system Test of truth claims Instrumental knowledge Enlightenment
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6Risk assessment risk governance
Good governance: Knowledge Legally prescribed procedures Social values
Still to be solved? Correct priority to the various fields of contol
Area analysis (feed, water, plants, etc)
Contradictary interestes between the different authorities / parts of the public opinion
Farm animals welfare versus predators
Risk assessment risk governance
Thank you for listening!
Rolf Horntvedt
Senior adviser, MSc Agr.Norwegian Food Safety Authority, Section for Animal Health and Animal Health Personnel
Phone +47 6497 2561, Mob +47 901 79 391 Fax +47 6494 4410
E-mail: [email protected]