February, 2012NTHMP

Warning Coordination Subcommittee Meeting

Agenda

• Introductions

• Action Item Review

• Exercises

• NTHMP Post-event Assessments

• TWC Products

• TWC Procedures

• NTHMP Measures and Milestones

• WCS Core Membership

Action Item Review

• Tsunami Amplitude terminology– IOC PTWS User’s Guide Definition:

• Tsunami Height: Amplitude from predicted tide level to the crest of the maximum wave.

• EAS Activation for Tsunami Warnings

Exercises

• West coast communications test– Move from Sept. to March in 2014?

• March, 2012 live code tests

• Sept., 2012 west coast EAS test

• 2014 USGS Exercise

• 2013 National Exercises – Date?

• Exercises– Pacifex/ Lantex/ PacWave Plans

Lantex12

• Two separate options– GOM slide– Atlantic slide

Pacifex12

• Similar to 1964 event

• KMZ overlays available

• Handbook at WCATWC web site

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Utilized 3 times in 2011– Japan Tsunami– June Aleutian Warning– September Aleutian Warning– Three Reports Available on NTHMP web site

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Results– ¾ Japan event responses from WA– 20-40% of responders had rec’d large amt. of training– 55-75% had been involved with tsunami warning– Almost all knew the correct TWC for their area– Most trusted dissem. systems – NWR - EAS –State – Local News– Least trusted – National News– Understanding of tsunamis – generally very good– Have safe shelter or area – 47 to 100%

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Results– How rec’d warning 1. Email

2. Web Sites

3. State system

4. Local News

5. National News

6. EAS

7. NWR

8. LETS

9. FAX

10.NAWAS

11.Other

12.CISN

13.EMWIN

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Results– Was risk to community Clear?

• Yes 59%• No 10% • Do Not Know 31%

– Was warning Timely?• Yes 59%• No 10%• Do Not Know 31%

– Was information updated regularly?• Yes 56%• No 13%• Do Not Know 31%

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Results– Was information clear and concise?

• Yes 57%• No 12% • Do Not Know 31%

– Did warning give proper response guidance?• Yes 50%• No 9%• Do Not Know 41%

– Did being TsunamiReady help response?• Yes 81%• No 2%• Do Not Know/NA 17%

Post-warning effectiveness survey

• Lessons Learned– Need better participation!– Update questions

• Group as laid out in report• Change “trust” points with categories as in report• Don’t allow answers if question doesn’t pertain.• Use Survey Monkey?

– Report Writing

Tsunami Products

• Last year’s updates

• Product Improvement Team

• Tsunami Travel Times… Include in TIS?

• Estimate of length of danger time

• Tsunami Local Statement

• PTWC Domestic Product update

• Inundation Map and Currents Update

Forecast/Observation Table•  

• MEASUREMENTS AND/OR FORECASTS OF TSUNAMI ACTIVITY•  • SITE LAT LON ARRIVAL TIME FCST AMP OBS AMP• --------------------------------------------------------------------• CANADA• HALIFAX-NS 44.7N 63.6W 2018EDT JUL 27 6.6F/2.0M 6.8F/2.1M • LOCKEPORT-NS 43.7N 65.1W 2244ADT JUL 27 3.3F/1.0M• NEW YORK• MONTAUK 41.1N 72.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.2F/0.4M• VIRGINIA• VIRGINIA BCH 36.9N 76.0W 2150EDT JUL 27 1.5F/0.5M•  • LAT – LATITUDE/ N-NORTH, S-SOUTH/• LON – LONGITUDE/ E-EAST, W-WEST/• ARRIVAL TIME – EXPECTED TIME OF INITIAL TSUNAMI ARRIVAL• FCST AMP – FORECAST TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL.• OBS AMP – OBSERVED TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE ABOVE AMBIENT SEA LEVEL.• IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.• VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS/M/ AND FEET/F/.

Tsunami Procedures

• Tsunami Information Statements– When to Issue?

• Major Warning level of Alert

WCS Milestone Status

• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Annual table top exercise by 2010

• DONE

– Develop decision support tools for emergency responders by 2013

• ONGOING WITH WEB SITE DEVELOPMENT• PROVIDE DIRECT DECISION SUPPORT FROM TWCs TO

PRIMARY CUSTOMERS DURING EVENT

WCS Milestone Status

• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– All states with high/very high hazard create high-level

structure to address tsunami response by 2012• Hawaii – Tsunami Technical Review Committee• California – Tsunami Steering Committee• Oregon - Yes• Washington – State/Local Working Group• Alaska• Puerto Rico – Tsunami Technical Review Committee• USVI - ???• American Samoa• Guam

WCS Milestone Status

• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Increase percentage of monthly TWC comms test

responses to 90% by 2013 • 97% OVERALL IN 2011

– Conduct annual E2E comms test of the TWS• LIVE CODE TESTS CONDUCTED IN THREE STATES/TERR.

PRESENTLY

– Develop post-event review process by 2009• SURVEYS DEVELOPED BY WCS MEMBERS IN 2009• IMPLEMENTATION PLAN DEVELOPED

WCS Milestone Status

• NTHMP strategic plan WCS items– Conduct post-event reviews within one year of a tsunami

warning• THREE SURVEYS CONDUCTED IN 2011

– Develop inventory of local warning dissemination capabilities by 2010

• INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY

– Develop inventory of local warning reception capabilities by 2010

• INCLUDED IN MES SURVEY

WCS Milestone Status

• NTHMP strategic plan generic items– Annually increase to baseline developed above by 10%.

• TRACK WITH SEMI ANNUAL REPORTS

– Complete 90% of action items from subcommittee meetings• CLOSE THIS YEAR – 89%

– Conduct one in-person meeting per year• MEET AGAIN DURING NEXT ANNUAL MEETING

– Revise Terms of Reference to implement Strat. Plan measures and milestones by 2009.

• CONSIDER INCLUSION OF CTWP/ITIC MGRs.

– Funds Required• NONE REQUESTED

New Actions– Special team for Tsunami Advisory EAS

• JS, KM, KR, MB, TN, CP, JL – Rizzo Lead• Provide rec. by May 1

– Product format changes• Implement 10-701 changes to message format• TWCs work ideas from PIT into messages and send prototypes to

WCS Core for review

– Amplitude to Tsunami Height• Proposed change sent to Core Members for review

– Kevin M to provide CA input on move of comms test to March,

• Depending on CA input, propose date for 2014

New Actions

– Establish date and scenario for 2013 Exercises• Christa to suggest March 20, 2013 to Carib ICG and will

respond to co-Chairs• PW to suggest March 27, 2013 to WCS Core for review

– Create 2013 Exercise Handbooks – ITIC to keep WCS informed on plans for PacWave

2013– Re-post effectiveness survey (3/2011) around

anniversary– Implement update to survey process

New Actions

– Posting Tsunami Travel Times during event:• Chris Gregg to question focus groups and respond to

WCS

– WCATWC to evaluate and propose updated TIS criteria for west coast/PR-VI

– Schedule conference calls at specific and predictable times