fd country overview - south sudan
TRANSCRIPT
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South Sudan – Country Overview
John David Garrett
This country overview looks at the factors that have most influenced the newly-formed sub-
Saharan state of South Sudan in adopting a decentralized legal order, along with a popular call for a
concrete federal constitution. It will therefore also be necessary to address the situation in Sudan
(considered 'quasi' sub-Saharan) prior to the succession of South Sudan from that state. In the first
section, the social, economic, political, and legal foundations in South Sudan are explained. The
overview will address how power is distributed via South Sudan's system – how practices of shared-rule
and self-rule exist (or not) within the system. The overview will then look at the normative dimensions
that have followed since being instituted as a decentralized state, along with any unintended
consequences and conflicts. Finally, the overview will end with a diagnosis of the apparent problems to
which a nominally decentralized government is blamed and to which a decentralized/federalist system
may or may not be able to address.
The social, economic, political, and legal foundations of South Sudan
The newly formed state of South Sudan is the result of two great conflicts in the history of
Sudan, that of 1955-1972 and 1983-2005, which culminated in the Comprehensive Peace Agreement
(CPA) in 2005 and the succession of South Sudan from Sudan in 2011 (e.g., Lokuji, 2011; Seymour,
2013). Ethnic tensions and a lack of distributive justice have been cited as the main reasons for the long
civil war and final succession of South Sudan. The government of Sudan in Khartoum (GoS) had tried
to stop any succession of the South, keep its political identity as 'Arab' rather than 'African' (with a
Muslim-Christian divide), and maintain GoS control of resources such as water and oil in South Sudan.
Groups that made up what is now South Sudan accused the GoS as being a neo-colonialist oppressor
denying the South political equality and equal access to resource wealth (e.g., Lokuji, 2011).
Upon its succession, South Sudan declared itself as a republic divided into three regions, ten
states, and 86 counties. The Transitional Constitution of South Sudan (TCSS) was formed in 2011 upon
the independence of South Sudan to deal with the formulation of the new government. While there was
an initial call for a federalist system, the government in Juba (GoSS) kept the country within the realm
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of a decentralized republic stopping short of creating a full-blown federalist constitution. The GoSS
promised inclusive governance, and it has since been constitutionally mandated via the TCSS. The
government is structured along the lines of 'trias politica' with executive, legislative, and judicial
branches both at the center and at the state level (CIA, 2015). In practice, though, governance has given
way towards a more centralized form with the GoSS in Juba holding the reigns of power (e.g., Obonyo
& Omia, 2015).
The normative dimensions 'decentralization', conflict, and a call for a federalist constitution
While shared-rule and self-rule has been adopted in theory by the state, it has apparently failed
to be realized with charges against the GoSS of ethnic favoritism via government posts, funds, etc. This
has led to new calls for justice and further hostilities within South Sudan between the apparently
marginalized ethnic groups and the GoSS. As a result, those marginalized groups have called for a
federalist constitution that would concretely allow semi-autonomous rule within 23 districts with a
guarantee of federal services and funds (e.g., Obonyo & Omia, 2015). Though, the call for 23 districts
may be irrelevant in actually dealing with conflict, as the two orders of government at the center and
regional state exist as detailed by Erk (2015).
Ethiopia also used a transitional authority in its road to a federalist constitution (Kefale, 2014).
As with Ethiopia, South Sudan will most likely face a call to power-sharing between the local and the
center based not just on defined territorial boundaries, but because of increasingly diverse cities and
gender relations (e.g. Obonyo & Omia, 2015). These normative changes influenced by both the
changing local conditions within cities due to changes with infrastructure and global influences with
regards to social egalitarianism could very likely cause a degree of unanticipated stress.
A diagnosis based on literature detailing other African reforms in decentralization and federalism
Ejobowah (2010) stated in his research regarding Nigerian ethnofederalism that, while power-
sharing as a normative need is quite important, fiscal autonomy was also fundamental. The “real evil in
Nigerian ethnofederalism” he said, was “financial dependence” on the center (p. 270). He went on to
set forward a 'viability test' that was considered essential for any normative peace, and that such a
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viability test could be satisfied with the proper distribution of Nigerian oil revenues, or responsibilities
in production and ownership. Garang (2015) added to this the idea of further leveraging oil resources as
a means to build small and medium-sized industries within South Sudan, further enhancing the ability
for economic autonomy and thereby political self-rule.
The international community could also play a role in helping to foster cooperation in the
younger days of state. Either the existence or misperception of bias can present a significant obstacle
towards inclusive governance as Isumonah & Egwaikhide (2013) suggested was the case with the
distribution of Nigeria's oil wealth. Though, as Guelke (1994) determined with the inclusion of 'foreign,
independent, electoral observers' in South Africa's first democratic elections, conflict based on
accusations of bias could be avoided. While his study didn't preclude unfairness in that election process,
the presence of outside observers gave it legitamacy within the eyes of the electorate and acceptance of
the major competing parties.
As such, a degree of 'prudence' might be in order as Erk (2014) suggested with regards to the
expectations of the promise of federalism or of decentralization. Whether trying to make its
decentralization efforts work or giving in to the call for a full federal constitution, South Sudan might do
well to reflect on the experiences of South Africa, Ethiopia, and Nigeria. Erk (2015) outlined in these
experiences that 'solving' conflict between groups might be better framed as 'managing' conflict between
groups. In these initial steps of consolidating a government that can successfully manage conflict either
through decentralization or federalism (or neither), arbitration via the African Union and other
multilateral organizations with an interest in keeping regional stability might prove a wise undertaking
for the long-term.
Obonyo & Omia (2015) stated, inclusive governance is essential in providing “democracy and
peace dividends in states emerging from conflict” (p. 96). South Sudan is the newest African state,
recently relieved from conflict with Sudan only to find itself in its own internal conflict – apparently
deriving again from the perceived marginization of groups from a center authority. Religious and
regional identity was considered a major factor in the 'Arab' versus 'African' divide, but with its absence
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there seems a multitude of other factors which can arise and cause conflict between groups (e.g. Lokuji,
2011; Rothfuss & Yakubu, 2015). Osaghae (2003) stated in the case of Nigeria, “ethnic autonomy is a
function of power relations” that involves a struggle for “control of state power and resources” (p. 84).
If so, South Sudan will have to take quite seriously how it's going to most effectively distribute control
over its oil wealth and other natural resources in a way that will effectively reduce tension between
groups – federalism or not.
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Bibliography / References
Egwaikhide, F. O., & Isumonah, V. A. (2013). Federal presence in higher institutions in Nigeria and the
north/south dichotomy. Regional & Federal Studies, 23(2), 169-188.
Ejobowah, J. B. (2010). Territorial pluralism: Assessing the ethnofederal variant in Nigeria. Regional &
Federal Studies, 20(2), 251-274.
Erk, J. (2010). Federalism and decentralization in sub-Saharan Africa: Five patterns of evolution.
Regional & Federal Studies, 24(5), 535-552.
Erk, J. (2015). Federalism & decentralization: Evaluating Africa's track record. MOOC videos,
Universiteit Leiden.
Garang, J. A. (2015). How to leverage oil resources to enhance SME financing in South Sudan.
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 8(2), 119-137.
Guelke, A. (1994). South Africa's 'peace' elections: The regional dimension. Regional Politics & Policy,
4(2), 117-125.
Kefale, A. (2014). Ethnic decentralization and the challenges of inclusive governance in multiethnic
cities: The case of Dire Dawa, Ethiopia. Regional & Federal Studies, 24(5), 589-605.
Lokuji, A. S. (2011). Beyond the North-South dichotomy in Sudan: Issues, actors, and interests. In M.
Baregu (Ed.) Understanding obstacles to peace: Actors, interests, and strategies in Africa's
Great Lakes region. Kampala, Uganda: Fountain Publishers, 170-221.
Obonyo, J. A., & Omia, D. O. (2015). Building legitimate and accountable government in South Sudan:
Re-thinking inclusive governance in the post CPA-2005.
Rothfuss, R., & Yakubu, J. (2015). The role of religion in the formation of a new state on the world map:
South Sudan. p. 3515-3540. The Changing World Religion Map. Springer, Netherlands.
Seymour, L. J. M. (2013). Let's bullshit! Arguing, bargaining and dissembling over Darfur. European
Journal of International Relations, 20(3), 1-25.
CIA, US. (2015). South Sudan. The world factbook. Retrieved from:
https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/od.html
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